The Actuary and Enterprise Risk Management Mark A Verheyen, FCAS, MAAA ReAdvisory A Carvill Service.
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The Actuary and Enterprise Risk Management Mark A Verheyen, FCAS, MAAA ReAdvisory A Carvill Service The Actuary and ERM 1 The Actuary and ERM CAS Activities Sample Enterprise Risk Management Projects 2 CAS Efforts to Date CAS ERM Advisory Committee (2000/1) ERM Definition and Framework CAS Research & Education Priorities CAS ERM Research Committee (2002-) Research Priorities Progress to Date Original Research Directed Research Future Plans 3 CAS Advisory Committee on ERM: Goals Define ERM; develop conceptual framework Determine current/desired knowledge level Identify research needs to close gaps Identify education needs to close gaps Recommend methods, priorities, timetable Compile initial ERM bibliography Recommend additional efforts of existing/new CAS committees 4 CAS ERM Definition “The discipline by which an organization in any industry assesses, controls, exploits, finances and monitors risk from all sources for the purpose of increasing the organization’s short- and long-term value to its stakeholders” Key elements: Dual nature of risk Value creation CAS relevance beyond insurance industry 5 CAS ERM Conceptual Framework: Two Dimensions Risk Type Strategic Operational Financial Hazard Risk Management Process Step Establish context Identify risks Analyze/quantify risks Integrate risks Assess/prioritize risks Treat/exploit risks Monitor and review 6 CAS ERM Framework Grid Risk Management Process Step Risk Type Establish Identify Context Risks Analyze/ Assess/ Quantify Integrate Prioritize Risks Risks Risks Treat/ Exploit Risks Monitor and Review Strategic Operational Financial Hazard 7 Compare to COSO Framework CAS has greater emphasis on quantification, integration of risks COSO has greater emphasis on internal controls Generally consistent conceptual design 8 CAS ERM Advisory Committee Recommendations -- Research Highest priority topics ERM overview Value creation through ERM Risk quantification (financial, operational, strategic) Risk correlation & integration Other priority topics Risk tolerances, risk/reward metrics, portfolio optimization, monitoring, treatment, integrated products 9 CAS ERM Advisory Committee Recommendations -- Research Form standing ERM Research Committee Direct & monitor research per above Expand, update, organize, maintain ERM bibliography Work with other CAS committees to coordinate ERM research and provide content for education Partner with other organizations Develop internal and external communications, designate spokespersons 10 CAS ERM Advisory Committee Recommendations -- Education Codified 2005 CAS ERM education needs For each element of ERM framework By degree of desired knowledge level By type of education vehicle Syllabus Continuing Education Developed detailed Learning Objectives for each element of ERM framework Publish ERM bibliography Accomplish through existing committees 11 ERM Research Committee -Research Priorities (Completed) “ERM Overview” document Financial risk quantification Risk correlation/concentration/integration Value creation through ERM ERM bibliography Coordination with other CAS committees Coordination with other professions 12 ERM Research Committee -Research Priorities (Ongoing) Value creation through ERM Risk quantification (financial, operational, strategic) 13 The CAS sees ERM in its Future CAS members will be recognized as leading experts in the evaluation of hazard risk and the integration of hazard risk with strategic, financial, and operational risk. Excerpt from CAS 2014 Centennial Goal 14 Sample Reinsurance ERM Project Risk / Return Efficient Frontier 7.0 500x500 Swing 6.0 Unreinsured 750x250 Swing Underwriting Profit 5.0 4.0 500x500 Cessions 3.0 2.0 Quota Share 1.0 750x250 Cessions 0.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 Risk Adjusted Capital 15 Concluding Thoughts ERM is a value creation tool ERM is a unifying framework ERM is an actuarial recruitment tool ERM is an important part of the actuarial profession’s future 16