Impact of Sleep Apnea on Hospital Admissions and Outcomes: 27,555 Inpatient Encounters of 19,044 Individuals Jon H.
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Impact of Sleep Apnea on Hospital Admissions and Outcomes: 27,555 Inpatient Encounters of 19,044 Individuals Jon H. Lemke, Ph.D. Chief Biostatistician Business Intelligence Center Genesis Health System Genesis Sleep Apnea Registry: Principal Investigator Genesis Research Summit Presentation Davenport, IA June 18, 2015 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Conclusions “Destiny is no matter of chance. It is a matter of choice. It is not a thing to be waited for, it is a thing to be achieved.” – William Jennings Bryan (1860-1925) Nonadherent and Probable sleep apnea patients’: – reasons for being in the hospital are in no way similar to those of the Adherent and Unlikely sleep apnea patients. – risks are greater for worse outcomes and longer stays than Adherent and Unlikely sleep apnea patients. If each of you can be bold enough to motivate one person to switch from a nonadherent or probable sleep apnea patient to an adherent sleep apnea patient you will have made a significant impact on their lives. 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Conclusions No ACO (Accountable Care Organization) will be successful unless it aggressively diagnoses and treats sleep apnea. Advantage goes to those that started before they became an ACO. CMS Bundled payments start July 1 are for 90-day episodes of care. Advantage go to Orthopedics given patients can be on CPAP prior to elective knee and hip surgery. All can benefit with 90-days instead of the traditional 30-days. Now there is even more opportunity for double dipping with CMS Pay-for-Performance: Readmission Reduction Program Hospital Value Based Purchasing Hospital Acquired Condition Penalty 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Current Research Team Investigators Jon H. Lemke Desyree Weakley Stephen C. Rasmus Vicki Loving Tosha Allen Mike Malloy Alyssa Barkalow Brian Dirksen Mikel O’Klock Neil Flynn 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Special Thanks Maja Zingmark Chris Lynn Dr. Claudy Gina Gore Candice Elias, Tami Gumpert Braxton Lancial Lynn Colberg 6/18/2015 Dianna Paustian Amanda Wesson Every Physician and Every Nurse who has had a frank discussion about sleep apnea. All of the Sleep Techs All of the Respiratory Techs Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center National Perspective ALL 41 Institutes in NIH claim diagnosis and treatment of sleep apnea is crucial to their mission. Sleep disordered breathing is associated with health conditions across ALL organ systems. Changing definitions and documentation are changing who is an inpatient, outpatient, or observation patients; and will be making it even more difficult to track patients across hospitalizations by using different coding systems. Schneider Trucking with comprehensive diagnosis and treatment had 74% reduction in accidents and 91% reduction in hospitalizations (Lazar 2007). 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Sleep Apnea Risk Groups 2. Dx-Nonadherent 1. Dx-Adherent 3. No Dx-Probable Sleep Apnea 4. No Dx-Unlikely to have Sleep Apnea 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Methods 1) Inclusion: Genesis Medical Center first inpatient admission screened for sleep apnea status since November 4, 2012. [We do screen others on admission as well, but not for these analyses.] 2) Classification: Each inpatient is classified relative to their sleep apnea status at each admission (details soon). If already screened, status is carried forward until there is evidence of change. 3) Duration of Stay: Censored if patient expires, goes AMA, or is transferred to another acute care facility. 4) Duration of Follow-up: Censored if patient expires, goes AMA, is transferred to another acute care facility other than a GMC facility or until November 3, 2014. 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Nonelective 6.44 times the Opportunities than Elective Major Diagnostic Category Adherent Nonadherent Probable Unlikely Cases Elective 803 477 409 3,892 5,581 Nonelective 2,250 2,430 3,279 14,015 21,974 All Encounters 3,053 2,907 3,688 17,907 27,555 Odds Ratios SA Dx or Probable vs. Unlikely 0.76 Less Likely to Have (0.70 , 0.83) Sleep Apnea 2.19 (1.87 , 2.57) SA Dx vs. Probable Adherent vs. Nonadherent 6/18/2015 1.82 (1.54 , 2.15) More Likely to Have a Diagnosis of Sleep Apnea More Likely to be Adherent Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Sleep Apnea Status by Major Diagnostic Categories with at least 24 Cases and 3 Cases per Status 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Sleep Apnea Status by Major Diagnostic Categories with at least 24 Cases and 3 Cases per Status 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Endocrine, Nutritional & Metabolic: 225 Opportunities for Improvement Major Diagnostic Category Adherent Nonadherent Probable Unlikely Cases Endocrine, Nutritional & Metabolic 179 98 127 605 1,009 Else 2,874 2,809 3,561 17,302 26,546 All Encounters 3,053 2,907 3,688 17,907 27,555 Odds Ratios SA Dx or Probable vs. Unlikely 1.25 More Likely to Have (1.05 , 1.48) Sleep Apnea SA Dx vs. Probable Adherent vs. Nonadherent 6/18/2015 1.37 (1.03 , 1.83) 1.79 (1.28 , 2.51) More Likely to Have a Diagnosis of Sleep Apnea More Likely to be Adherent Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Sleep of Apnea Status by those Major Diagnostic Categories Percent Probables among with Some Indication of Sleepwith Apnea at least 24 Cases and 3 Cases per Status 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Musculoskeletal System: 772 Opportunities for Improvement Major Diagnostic Category Adherent Nonadherent Probable Unlikely Cases Musculoskeletal System 534 386 386 3042 4,348 Else 2519 2521 3302 14865 2519 All Encounters 3053 2907 3688 17,907 27,555 Odds Ratios SA Dx or Probable vs. Unlikely 0.81 Less Likely to Have (0.70 , 0.84) Sleep Apnea SA Dx vs. Probable Adherent vs. Nonadherent 6/18/2015 1.56 (1.32 , 1.85) 1.38 (1.14 , 1.67) More Likely to Have a Diagnosis of Sleep Apnea More Likely to be Adherent Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Syndromes with Sleep Apnea Syndrome Z Sleep Apnea + Metabolic Syndrome After 3 months of CPAP-treatment the patients had a reduction in blood pressure, glycated hemoglobin, triglycerides, LDL, total cholesterol and BMI (Soneja et. al. 2012) Overlapping Syndrome Sleep Apnea + COPD 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Severity of Illness Prior (P) and With (W) the Two Midnight Rule 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 6/18/2015 Extreme Major Moderate Mild Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Severity of Illness Comparative Analysis under Sleep Apnea Status with Two Midnight Rule Severity of Illness PRIOR Adherent MILD MODERATE MAJOR EXTREME Total 206 (14.1%) 480 (32.8%) 540 (36.9%) 237 (16.2%) 1463 0.81 CI (0.68 , 1.18) 0.87 CI (0.86 , 1.26) 1.04 CI (0.80 , 1.32) P-VALUE 0.9055 WITH Adherent 202 (12.8%) 555 (35.3%) 566 (36.9%) 249 (15.8%) 1572 PRIOR Nonadherent & Probable 450 (16.1%) 939 (33.6%) 939 (33.6%) 468 (16.7%) 2796 1.14 CI (1.02 , 1.46) WITH Nonadherent & Probable 507 (13.6%) 1.31 CI (1.10 , 1.43) 1139 (30.5%) 1368 (36.6%) 1.18 CI (1.01 , 1.41) 722 (19.3%) P-VALUE 0.00006 3736 Risk of Mortality Prior (P) and With (W) the Two Midnight Rule 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 6/18/2015 Extreme Major Moderate Mild Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center Risk of Mortality Comparative Analysis under Sleep Apnea Status with Two Midnight Rule Risk of Mortality PRIOR Adherent MILD MODERATE MAJOR EXTREME Total 581 (39.7%) 366 (25.0%) 329 (22.5%) 187 (12.8%) 1463 0.97 CI (0.83 , 1.22) 1.04 CI (0.89 , 1.21) 1.02 CI (0.75 , 1.29) P-VALUE 0.8572 WITH Adherent 630 (40.1%) 375 (23.9%) 362 (23.0%) 205 (13.0%) 1572 PRIOR Nonadherent & Probable 1041 (37.2%) 715 (25.6%) 660 (23.6%) 380 (13.6%) 2796 1.27 CI (1.03, 1.35) WITH Nonadherent & Probable 1246 (33.6%) 1.29 CI (1.05, 1.37) 936 (25.1%) 909 (24.3%) 1.42 CI (1.10 , 1.59) 643 (17.3%) P-VALUE 0.00001 3734 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center 6/18/2015 Lemke, GHS Business Intelligence Center