STEM workforce needs of the U.S. Department of Defense: Background data Rolf Lehming NAE/NRC August 1, 2011 National Science Foundation National Center for Science and Engineering.

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Transcript STEM workforce needs of the U.S. Department of Defense: Background data Rolf Lehming NAE/NRC August 1, 2011 National Science Foundation National Center for Science and Engineering.

STEM workforce needs of the U.S.
Department of Defense: Background data
Rolf Lehming
NAE/NRC
August 1, 2011
National Science Foundation
National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
www.nsf.gov/statistics/
STEM employment by the federal government: 1999-2009
250,000
Total
DoD
NASA
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
1999
2001
2003
STEM=science, technology, engineering, mathematics
SOURCE: NSF tabulations of data from OPM and DMDC.
2005
2007
2009
Ratios of DoD STEM employment to total, military, and
civilian employment: 1999-2009
16%
14%
12%
STEM/total
10%
STEM/military
8%
STEM/civilian
6%
4%
2%
0%
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
STEM = science, technology, engineering, mathematics
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, tabulations of data from Office of Personnel Management and Defense Manpower Data Center.
STEM employment in DoD: 1999-2009
120,000
STEM
100,000
NS&E
80,000
Engineering
60,000
40,000
Electrical
Engineering
20,000
Computer
science
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
STEM=science, technology, engineering, mathematics; NS&E= natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF tabulations of data from OPM and DMDC.
2009
DoD STEM employment by major job title: 1999-2009
Computer and
mathematical
scientists
25,000
Electrical, electronics,
and computer
engineers
20,000
Physical scientists
Social scientists
15,000
Life scientists
10,000
Mechanical engineers
5,000
Civil engineers
Aerospace engineers
0
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Other engineers
STEM = science, technology, engineering, mathematics
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, tabulations of data from Office of Personnel Management and Defense Manpower Data Center.
DoD STEM employment as percentage of federal STEM employment,
by major job category: 2009
Mechanical engineers
Electrical, electronics, and computer engineers
Industrial engineers
Chemical engineers
Civil engineers
Other engineers
Aerospace engineers
All engineers
Computer and mathematical scientists
Physical scientists
Social scientists
Life scientists
All scientists
0%
STEM = science, technology, engineering, mathematics
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, tabulations of data from OPM.
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Federal and DOD minority STEM employment: 2000-2009
12%
Asian
10%
8%
Black
6%
Hispanic
4%
American Indian/Alaskan Native
2%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
NOTE: Solid line is DOD
STEM = science, technology, engineering, mathematics
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, tabulation of OPM and DMDC data.
2006
2007
2008
2009
Major work activities of DoD STEM workforce: 2009
Research:
7%
Development:
22%
All other
jobs: 55%
Design: 8%
Testing and evaluation:
8%
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, tabulation of data from Office of Personnel Management.
DOD STEM employees by retirement eligibility: March
2011
Physical sciences
Engineering
IT
50/20
55/20
Biological sciences +
Math/Statistics
Social sciences/psychology
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
50/20 and 55/20 = 50 (55) or more years old with 20 or more years of service
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, tabulation from Office of Personnel Management data.
30%
35%
Number of NS&E bachelor’s degrees
awarded, by broad field: 1991-2009
250,000
200,000
Life sciences
150,000
Physical
sciences
100,000
Math/computer
science
50,000
Engineering
0
1991
1993
1995
1997
1,999
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
NS&E bachelor's degrees per 1,000 20-24-year olds: 19912009
20
NS&E
18
Life sciences
Physical sciences+
Engineering
16
14
Ratio
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
NS&E=natural sciences & engineering; physical sciences+ includes mathematics and computer science
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES Webcaspar and Census Bureau, Population Estimates.
2005
2007
2009
NS&E bachelor's degrees per 1,000 20-24-year olds, selected
fields: 1991-2009
5.0
Engineering
Physical sciences+
Computer science
Mathematics
4.0
Ratio
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
NS&E=natural sciences & engineering; physical sciences+ includes mathematics and computer science
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES Webcaspar and Census Bureau, Population Estimates.
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of NS&E bachelor's degrees awarded to
underrepresented minorities: 2000-2009
25%
20%
15%
10%
NSE
Computer science
Engineering
5%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering; underrepresented minorities = Black, Hispanic, American Indian/Alaska native
SOURCE: NSF?NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
Percent of NS&E bachelor's degrees to women: 2000-2009
50%
40%
30%
20%
NS&E
Computer science
NS&E net computer science
10%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Percentage of NS&E bachelor's degrees awarded to
Asians: 2000 - 2009
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
NSE
Computer science
Engineering
4%
2%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering; Asian = Asian/Pacific Islander/Alaskan Native
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2008
2009
Percentage of NS&E bachelor's degrees awarded to
temporary visa holders: 2000-2009
10%
8%
6%
4%
NSE
Computer science
Engineering
2%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
NSE = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Population shares and NS&E degree shares by
race/ethnicity: 2009
80%
70%
20-24-year olds
60%
NS&E
50%
Engineering
40%
Computer sciences
30%
20%
10%
0%
White
Hispanic
Black
Asian
White = non-Hispanic White; Native = American Indian/Alaska Native
SOURCE: Census Bureau Population Estimates; NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
Native
NS&E master's degrees by citizenship status: 1995-2009
140000
120000
100000
Temporary visa holders
80000
U.S. citizens/permanent visa holders
60000
40000
20000
0
1995
1997
1999
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of NS&E master's degrees earned by Whites:
1995-2009
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
NS&E
Life sciences
Math/computer sci
Engineering
Physical sciences
20%
10%
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
NOTE: U.S. citizens and permanent residents only
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of NS&E master's degrees earned by temporary visa holders:
1995-2009
50%
NS&E
45%
40%
Life sciences
35%
30%
Physical sciences
25%
20%
Math/computer
science
15%
10%
Engineering
5%
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2003
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of NS&E master's degrees earned by Blacks:
1995-2009
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
NS&E
Life sciences
Math/computer sci
Engineering
Physical sciences
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
NOTE: U.S. citizens and permanent residents only
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of NS&E master's degrees earned by Hispanics:
1995-2009
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
NS&E
Life sciences
Physical sciences
Math/computer sci
Engineering
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
NOTE: U.S. citizens and permanent residents only
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, Webcaspar data system.
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of U.S. NS&E master's degrees earned by
temporary visa holders: 1995-2009
80%
70%
60%
50%
Engineering
Math/computer
sciences
40%
30%
Physical sciences
20%
NS&E
10%
Life sciences
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
NS&E= natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2003
2005
2007
2009
Percentage of U.S. master's degrees in computer science and
electrical engineering to temporary visa holders: 1995-2009
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
Computer science
Electrical engineering
20%
10%
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2005
2007
2009
Engineering master's degrees by race/ethnicity and visa status:
2009
Hispanic
4%
Black
3%
White
36%
Asian
11%
Temporary visa
46%
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, WebCaspar data system
Mathematics and computer science master's degrees by
race/ethnicity and citizenship status: 2009
Black
5%
White
34%
Hispanic
3%
Asian
9%
Temporary visa
49%
SOURCE: National Science Foundation, NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
Percentage of NS&E doctorates to temporary visa holders:
2000-2009
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
Life sciences
Physical sciences
Math/computer sciences
Engineering
10%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Other
6%
U.S. NS&E doctorates by race/ethnicity and citizenship status:
2009
Black Hispanic
3%
3%
Asian
6%
Temporary visa
35%
White
47%
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
Engineering doctorates by citizenship and race/ethnicity:
2009
Hispanic
Black
1%
2%
Other
3%
Asian
7%
Temporary
51%
White
36%
Percentage of electrical engineering/computer science doctorates
to temporary visa holders: 2000-2009
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
Electrical engineering
Computer science
20%
10%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
NS&E=natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, WebCaspar data system.
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Percentage of NS&E doctorates to U.S. underrepresented
minorities: 2000-2009
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
NS&E
Physical sciences
Engineering
1%
Life sciences
Math/computer sciences
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
NOTE: US citizens/permanent visa holders only
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, Webcaspar data system.
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Temporary visa NS&E doctorate recipients planning to leave the
U.S.: 1998-2009
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
NS&E
Life sciences
Physical sciences
Math/computer science
5%
Engineering
0%
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, Survey of Earned Doctorates.
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Temporary visa NS&E doctorate recipients with commitment
to stay in the U.S.: 1998-2009
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
NS&E
Life sciences
Physical sciences
Math/computer science
Engineering
20%
10%
0%
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
NS&E = natural sciences and engineering
SOURCE: NSF/NCSES, Survey of Earned Doctorates.
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
DOD STEM employment
• DOD: major employer of STEM workers,
especially IT both hard- and software
• DOD civilian workforce is getting more NS&E
intensive
• Between 15% and 30% of physical scientists and
IT specialists are retirement eligible
NS&E bachelor’s degrees
• Modest increases in engineering and physical
sciences degrees over 15 years, big increases in life
sciences, computer science degrees slipping broadly
after “Y2K” peak
• Physical sciences and engineering bachelor’s
degrees closely mirror college-age cohort size
• Blacks and Hispanics earn NS&E bachelor’s
degree percentages well below their population share.
Asians exceed it, as do Whites to a lesser extent
NS&E master’s degrees
• A quarter of U.S. NS&E master’s degrees are
earned by temporary visa holders
• Nearly half in engineering, half in math/computer
science, 60% in electrical/electronic engineering
• U.S. majority whites earn sharply lower shares of
NS&E master’s degrees, 10 percentage points or
more below 1995 levels
• Exception is physical sciences—stable share
NS&E doctorates
• More than one-third of U.S. NS&E doctorates are
earned by temporary visa holders
• 57% of those in engineering and well above half in
electrical engineering and computer science
• Recently the percentage of NS&E doctorates
earned by temporary visa holders has declined
• More than half of temporary visa holders earning
a U.S. doctorate choose to stay in the U.S., and many
of them eventually remain here
Questions?
Rolf Lehming
[email protected]
703-292-7810
Nirmala Kannankutty
[email protected]
703-292-7797
Jaquelina Falkenheim
[email protected]
703-292-7798
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