Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’s PRESENTATION Wu Jie Department of Population and Employment National Bureau of Statistics of China 27 – 30 June 2011 New.
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Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’s PRESENTATION
Wu Jie Department of Population and Employment National Bureau of Statistics of China 27 – 30 June 2011 New York
Comments for Hungarian
1. Outline 2. Correlation 3. Compare 4. Question
1. Outline
Vital statistics data and indicators based on census data Sample surveys as complementary information for vital statistics
2. Correlation(
Ⅰ
)
Consistent with Principles and Recommendations, including:
Fertility
Projection of the female population
Healthy life expectancy
2. Correlation(
Ⅱ
)
Correlated but inconsistent:
Information on migration
Unmet need for contraception
Voluntary and involuntary childlessness
Childbearing intention and realization
3. Compare
Countries Census Survey Administrative records Hungary √ √ China √ √ SES Household registration and etc.
Difference (
Ⅰ
)
The source of total population and other major demographic indicators between two censuses
Projected in Hungary
Estimated through surveys in China
Difference (
Ⅱ
)
The purpose and content of surveys
More detailed data and further researches in Hungary
Estimate total population and major population data in China
Questions
What’s the situation on administrative statistics ?
Comments for South Africa
1. Outline 2. Correlation 3. Compare 4. Questions
1. Outline
Introduction on censuses and surveys Use for vital statistics meet requirement Complement register-based statistics
2. Correlation
The specific indicators changes from 1996 to 2011
Births
Deaths
Marriages
Divorces
3. Compare with China
Countries South Africa China Census Survey Administrative records √ √ √ √ The civil registration system Household registration system
The similar with China
Some birth, death and marital status items
Number of children surviving, etc
Not meet requirement
Seasonal, monthly, quarterly or annul information
Cause of death
The difference
Some census items different Three surveys have different items in South Africa The population sample survey items maintain consistency on vital statistics in the past years in China, developing other information
Question
How to utilize information from the civil registration system to provide official vital statistics next step?
Conclusion
Census and sample survey are important source of vital statistics Census is the base of vital statistics
，
providing independent estimates demographic parameters Administrative records are necessary to vital statistics Different data source, different purpose, different use, complementary each other Not balanced between countries
Suggestion
Evaluation native vital statistics system (Thailand meeting last year, ESCAP, Rapid
Assessment Form )
Country report on vital statistics system organized by UN Build up a project and an evaluation form of different countries to enhance the system