ROBERT WEISSBOURD, RW VENTURES, LLC The Legacy of Dr. King “The time has come for us to civilize ourselves by the total, direct.
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ROBERT WEISSBOURD, RW VENTURES, LLC The Legacy of Dr. King “The time has come for us to civilize ourselves by the total, direct and immediate abolition of poverty.” “ At no time has a total, coordinated and fully adequate program [for eradicating poverty] been conceived. As a consequence, fragmentary and spasmodic reforms have failed to reach down to the profoundest needs of the poor.” Photo from the Associated Press Origins: From “Equity” to … “Equity” Civil Rights Empowerment Economic Development: Assets Economic Development: Markets Putting the Economics in Economic Development Poverty and Economic Development “… poverty has no causes. Only prosperity has causes. Analogically, heat is a result of active processes; it has causes. But cold is not the result of any processes; it is only the absence of heat. Just so, the great cold of poverty and economic stagnation is merely the absence of economic development. It can be overcome only if the relevant economic processes are in motion.” -- Jane Jacobs Photo from Shelf-Basin Interactions Market Failure in Lower Income Communities Connectedness Poverty • Undervalued, underutilized assets • Employment networks • Entrepreneurial opportunities • Business, real estate investment • Expanded products and services • Competitive, healthy communities Productivity Isolation .4 .2 0 -.2 Wage Growth (1990-2000) .6 Equity and Opportunity are Good for Business 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 Poverty Rate (1990) Inequality has a negative effect on income growth. “I N C L U S I V E G R O W T H” Economics & Markets Asset Development Productivity Innovation Inclusiveness Constructive Government Sustainability 7 Amartya Sen: “… human beings are not merely the means of production, but also the ends of the exercise.” Political Social Economic Top 100 Metros Share of U.S. Total 92% Service Exports Graduate Degrees Wind + Solar Energy Employment Population 79% Venture Capital Funding Gross Product 66% 78% Airline Boardings 76% U.S. Air Cargo Weight 75% Patents 73% 75% 94% Sources: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, BLS, NIH, NSF, and BEA data; Brookings, ExportNation, 2010 (2008 data); Forthcoming research from Brookings and Battelle Source: Brookings Institution Why Metros? Economic Geography and Place-Based Development The Goal is Economic Growth Economic Growth Flows from Market Activity Major Market Systems Operate at the Metro Level Improving Metro Economic Performance Entails Customized Analysis and Deliberate Activity Cities Are the Critical Core of Metros Hub Functions of Cities Air Transportation Communication Insurance Carriers Depository institutions Health Services Legal Services Educational services Museums, botanical,… 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Suburban % of total MSA employment City % of total MSA employment Wages Move in Tandem 60,000 Correlation = 0.77, significant 50,000 Suburbs 0% 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 City 40,000 50,000 60,000 Neighborhoods are Nested in Larger Systems Which Drive the Flows of People and Capital Neighborhoods arise from the interaction of regional economic, social and political systems with characteristics of place. What Drives Inclusive and Sustainable Economic Growth? Local (Regional) Enabling Environment (Government regulation, taxation and public goods, including particularly infrastructure and education; civic institutions; qualities of place, including the natural environment; etc.) Inputs to Production (Human capital; real estate; capital; natural and knowledge resources; etc.) Transformative Systems (Market processes – housing, labor, business; production dynamics – clusters, value chains, etc.; innovation dynamics - knowledge creation, networks, commercialization, entrepreneurship, etc.) Macro/Global Context & Trends Economic Outputs (Businesses – gross regional product, profits; households – wages, other income, etc.) Local (Regional) Enabling Environment (Government regulation, taxation and public goods, including particularly infrastructure and education; civic institutions; qualities of place, including the natural environment; etc.) Inputs to Production (Human capital; real estate; capital; natural and knowledge resources; etc.) Transformative Systems (Market processes – housing, labor, business; production dynamics – clusters, value chains, etc.; innovation dynamics - knowledge creation, networks, commercialization, entrepreneurship, etc.) Economic Outputs (Businesses – gross regional product, profits; households – wages, other income, etc.) The Knowledge Economy Gross Domestic Product % Growth over last 50 years Increased Value of Knowledge Factors… •High skilled labor force % Change •Intellectual property •Product innovation; flexible customization •Customer networks Lead to New Drivers of Productivity which Favor Cities •Dense knowledge networks •Functional specialization •Innovative capacity Source: Brookings Institution Portland Exports 2002-2008 make ranks GMP 3rdupinGrowth 25% exports of = Portland’s (as 144.5% % of GMP) GMP Global GDP 2010 21.4% BIC Countries 20.2% US Global GDP 2015 25.8% BIC Countries 18.3% US Source: Brookings Institution Demand for clean energy generation Demand for products that reduce energy consumption Demand for products that reduce pollution Source: Brookings Institution Portland is the 11.3% of Portland ranks th 24 least th Portlanders live 17 in income segregated inequality poverty metro Source: Brookings Institution These Five Key Leverage Points Take Us from Theory to Practice Increase Spatial Efficiency Enhance Regional Concentrations Deploy Human Capital Aligned with Job Pools Leverage Points Develop InnovationEnabling Infrastructure Create Effective Public & Civic Culture & Institutions Portland Plan Clusters Athletic and Outdoor Industry Cleantech Software Advanced Manufacturing Cluster Map Source: Bo Heiden, Strategic Uses of the Global Patent System Enhance Regional Concentrations: Industries, Occupations and Functions Portland has the 19th most educated population, 1/3 have at least a bachelor’s degree Deploy High Human Capital Aligned with Job Pools Develop InnovationEnabling Infrastructure 19th most 56th inhigh 24.1% impact firms – business 16.7 patents establishment 7.5 mid-size churn; 22.3% per 10,000 births andper firm births firm births and employees deaths as % of 10,000 deaths as % of total employees total Image based on material from Land O’ Lakes Inc. Research Partners R&D Finance Market Research Innovation Ecosystem Marketing Manufacturing Housing Costs as Percent of Income Housing + Transportation Costs as Percent of Income Increase Spatial Efficiency Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology rd in travel Portland 6.4% 24% of ofjobs ranks Portlanders are 63within average 3 miles; to travel work 29%using time of jobs to public work are th 82%Portland of Portlanders ranks 24 livein within trafficurbanized congestion areas th more transit, thanputting 10atmiles 25.3 Portland away minutes from in 11cityplace. center Create Effective Public & Civic Culture & Institutions Portland Portlandranks has th in 37 .77 special most governments, district governments with 0.3 governments per 10,000 people, per 10,000 putting it inpeople 63rd place A Dynamic Economy Source: Newsweek, Manyika, Lund and Auguste, “From the Ashes,” 8.16.2010 The economy is changing rapidly. A Dynamic Economy Success depends on open, adaptive, networked governance. Summary: Implications for Practice Cities are the Solution High Road Development Intentionality New Governance Metropolitan Business Plans Metropolitan Business Plans: A New Way of Doing Business Grounded in Economics and Business: comprehensive, integrated growth strategies based on unique regional strengths Gets the Job Done: not just a plan; cross-sector institutional capacity critical to regional performance Continuous implementation, monitoring, adaptation and further strategy development Demonstrate better ways to invest in metros to strengthen national economy; develop new federal policies and programs. Source: Brookings Institution Why “Metropolitan Business Planning”? ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PLANNING TRADITIONAL BUSINESS PLANNING Vision for the Regional Economy Business Mission & Vision Status of Economy: Assets, Opportunities, Challenges Market Analysis Goal-Setting & Strategy Identification Analysis of Strategic Alternatives & Risks Identification of Policies, Programs, Products & Interventions Development of Products & Services Operational Planning for Implementation Operational & Management Planning Identification of Funding Needs and Sources Forecasting & Financial Planning Definition of Outcome Measures & Targets Target-Setting & Performance Tracking The steps to analyzing and improving a regional economy lend themselves to the proven discipline of business planning. Source: Brookings Institution Northeast Ohio Puget Sound Source: Brookings Institution Minneapolis-St. Paul A New Economic Federalism HUD Section 8 Dept. of Labor Workforce Inv. Act Develop and Deploy Information Resources Affordable Housing Increase Spatial Efficiency Small Business Admin. Loans Dept of Commerce Int’l. Trade Admin. Dept. of Transpo. SAFETEA-LU Programs Enhance Regional Concentrations Deploy Human Capital Aligned with Job Pools Develop Create Effective Small InnovationPublic & CivicExport Workforce Enabling Culture & TrainingInfrastructure Business Institutions Strategy Assistance Comprehensive Metropolitan Strategy Upgrading Roads and Rail A New Economic Federalism Integrated Federal Investment HUD Section 8 Dept. of Labor Workforce Act8 HUDInv. Section Department of Commerce Small International Trade Business Administration Admin. Loans White House Office of Urban Affairs Develop and Deploy Information Resources Dept of Commerce Int’l. Tradeof Department Transportation Admin. SAFETEA-LU Dept. of Transpo. SAFETEA-LU Programs Programs Cross-Agency Regional Teams Dept. of Labor Small Business Pooled and Flexible Funding Administration Loans Workforce Inv. Act Increase Enhance Support for Regional Capacity Building Spatial Regional Efficiency Concentrations “New Federalism” Partnership Deploy Human Capital Aligned with Job Pools Develop InnovationEnabling Infrastructure Create Effective Public & Civic Culture & Institutions Comprehensive Metropolitan Strategy WE’RE ALL IN THIS TOGETHER “We are tied together in the single garment of destiny, caught in an inescapable network of mutuality.“ Photo from the Seattle Times ROBERT WEISSBOURD, RW VENTURES, LLC