Institutional diversity: some trends and some hypotheses Richard Yelland OECD Directorate for Education OECD/France International Conference CNAM, 8-9 December 2008
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Institutional diversity: some trends and some hypotheses Richard Yelland OECD Directorate for Education OECD/France International Conference CNAM, 8-9 December 2008 Tertiary education has been growing for 50 years… but in some places much faster than others Greece Turkey Mexico Italy Korea Slovak Republic 1960-69 Czech Republic EAG, 2007 A1.3a Poland Austria Spain Hungary France 1950-59 Ireland Luxembourg Iceland New Zealand Japan Belgium Switzerland 1940-49 Germany United Kingdom Australia Norway Netherlands Sweden Finland Denmark Canada United States Growth in all tertiary qualifications The percentage of persons with a minimum of 2 years of tertiary education born in the period shown below (2005) 1970-79 50 40 30 20 10 0 Tertiary education is expensive to provide…but in some places more so than in others Expenditure on educational core services, R&D and ancillary services in higher education institutions as a percentage of GDP (2004) % of GDP 3.0 Total expenditure on educational institutions Research & development (R&D) Ancillary services (transport, meals, housing provided by institutions) Educational core services 2.5 The US spends more than 2.0 twice as much per higher education 1.5 student as the European 1.0 Union. 0.5 Russian Federation2 Turkey4 Portugal2 Iceland1,2 Japan1,2 Chile2,3 Brazil1 Estonia Italy Hungary Czech Republic Some levels of education are included with others. Total expenditure at tertiary level including R&D expenditure Year of reference 2005. Total expenditure at tertiary level excluding R&D expenditure Slovak Republic1 Germany Greece Ireland Spain Austria Belgium Netherlands Mexico France Slovenia Switzerland New Zealand Norway Poland Australia Sweden Finland Israel Denmark1 1. 2. 3. 4. United Kingdom B6.2 Korea United States 0.0 Higher education is becoming an increasingly international concern … especially in the Englishspeaking countries Student mobility in tertiary education (2005) Percentage of international students enrolled in tertiary education International students % 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 C3.1 Note: The data on the mobility of international students presented are not comparable with data on foreign students in tertiary education (defined on the basis of citizenship) presented in pre-2006 editions of Education at a Glance . Brazil 1 Greece Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Estonia Norway Hungary 1 Japan United States Finland Denmark Sweden Netherlands Belgium Ireland France Austria Switzerland 1 United Kingdom New Zealand Australia 0 There are big differences in what students are expected to pay, although fees are not the only cost factor for students and their families Average annual tuition fees charged by public colleges and universities for full-time national students in US Dollars converted using PPPs (school year 2004/2005) USD 5000 4000 United States (64%) Australia (82%), Japan (41%), Korea (51%) This chart does not take into account grants, subsidies or loans that partially or fully offset the students’ tuition fees. Canada (m) 3000 2000 1000 500 0 B5.1 Israel1 (55%) United Kingdom1 (52%) New Zealand (79%), Netherland1s (59%) Italy (56%) Austria (37%), Spain (43%), Belgium (Fr. and Fl.) (33%) Turkey (27%), France (m) Czech Republic (41%), Denmark (57%), Finland (73%), Ireland (45%), Iceland (45%), Norway (76%), Poland (76%), Sweden (76%) 1. Public institutions do not exist at this level of education and most of the students are enrolled in government dependent institutions. Although institutions have grown in size, the number of higher education institutions has grown ,from about 1000 in 1955, and about 5000 in 1970 to maybe 17000 today This growth in numbers has been accompanied by a diversification of institutional type Growth in the number of higher education institutions 1955-2004 What do we know about the future? • Wealthy, ageing and diverse Societies • The global knowledge economy • The expanding web • Social and cultural change • Economic crisis Trends shaping education, OECD 2008 A11.1 Chile New Zealand Sweden Norway United States United Kingdom Australia Luxembourg Netherlands Denmark Israel Canada Switzerland Mexico Germany Iceland Austria Turkey Belgium Finland Brazil France Korea Ireland Russian Federation Italy Slovak republic Hungary Poland Czech Republic Portugal Japan Greece Spain Expected demographic changes within the population aged 20-29 (2005-2015) 2005= 100 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 A11.1 Mexico Turkey Brazil Israel Ireland Chile Australia Korea Iceland Luxembourg Canada Slovak republic New Zealand Poland Spain United States Portugal Greece Czech Republic Finland France Norway Austria Hungary Japan Netherlands United Kingdom Belgium Sweden Switzerland Denmark Italy Germany Russian Expected demographic changes within the population aged 30 and over (2005-2015) 2005= 100 140 135 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 Policy futures: a focus on quality • OECD Education Ministers’ meeting Athens June 2006 • OECD/UNESCO guidelines on cross-border tertiary education • Proposed international assessment of higher education outcomes – Experts’ meetings – Feasibility study • IMHE Conference Paris 8-10 September 2008 – Outcomes of higher education: quality, relevance and impact The challenge for higher education • Improving access while maintaining and improving quality – addressing the needs of the twenty-first century for human capital and innovation – securing adequate funding – Improving efficiency What are the implications for institutional differentiation? • Factors that foster diversity – – – – – – History Location Growth Competition Demand Autonomy • Factors that foster homogeneity – – – – Rankings Internationalisation Regulation Accountability The problem we have to resolve • Finding reliable and practical ways to value the various outputs of higher education so that diversity of institutional mission can be achieved without reinforcing hierarchies between institutions. – Can we do this without creating an excessive administrative burden or causing new distortions? 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