“The Danish Model of ‘Flexicurity’ – An Active Labour Market Strategy for Older Workers” International Seminar for Experts organised in the series.
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“The Danish Model of ‘Flexicurity’ – An Active Labour Market Strategy for Older Workers” International Seminar for Experts organised in the series Great Debates by the Cicero Foundation Paris 10 and 11 March 2005 Thomas Qvortrup Christensen Outline • • • • The Danish labour market Flexicurity Special cases for older workers Summary The Danish situation on the labour market • Low unemployment in relation to other EU Member States and a significant fall in unemployment in the 90s. • Among the countries with the highest participation and employment rates. • But, at the same time, we are the country with the biggest number of people on public support. • Demographic challenge: More people in the high age groups - fewer in the work force. 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 Total 10 8 8 50-66-year olds 6 6 4 4 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Pct. Pct. Unemployment in Denmark, 1991-2003 Persons on transfer payments, 1970-2003 35 25 20 Unemployment benefits Cash benefits Activation and rehabilitation Leave, maternity/parental leave Sickness benefits Voluntary early retirement pay Anticipatory pension 30 25 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 86 0 84 0 82 5 80 5 78 10 76 10 74 15 72 15 70 Per cent of the 15-66 year old 30 35 Inside and outside labour market 1000 persons 1000 persons 3400 3400 3200 3200 3000 3000 2800 2800 2600 2600 2400 2400 2200 2200 2000 2000 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Labour force Outside labour force Characteristics of the Danish employment policy • The active labour market policy in Denmark has traditionally been built on a broad political consensus. • A high degree of regionalisation of the administration 14 independent regions/counties in Denmark. • Close involvement of the social partners: • In connection with labour marker reforms, the social partners have supported the active line. • Involvement of the social partners in the regional management and implementation of the measures. The Danish flexicurity model High flexibility Flexible Labour market Many job openings: • 800.000 job shifts per year • 300.000 new jobs per year • 300.000 jobs disappear each year Qualification effect ALMP Generous Active labour benefitsystem market policy (ALMP) Benefits High compensation for low-wage groups: 90 pct. Duration: 4 years Motivation effect Emphasis on upgrading of skills Test of availability Latest labour market reform “More people at employment” 2002 • • • • The vision of the one string system More direct ways into employment External stakeholders It should pay to work • Away from the flexicurity model Older workers in a flexicurity context • Rules for older workers – Early retirement benefit – Longer UI for unemployed older than 55 years – Forced early retirement for 60 + if unemployed more than 2½ years – Activation from 6 months for 60+ ye a 51 r ye a 52 r ye a 53 r ye a 54 r ye a 55 r ye a 56 r ye a 57 r ye a 58 r ye a 59 r ye a 60 r ye a 61 r ye a 62 r ye a 63 r ye a 64 r ye a 65 r ye ar 50 Per cent 60 50 40 20 10 48 50 43 42 50 50 39 30 30 19 17 13 15 15 16 0 20 9 7 10 0 Per cent Activation 50 years+ 60 50 42 40 65 ar 15 ye ar 10 ye ar ye ar 7 64 63 4 ye ar ye ar 5 62 61 30 25 19 13 15 8 9 3 0 10 6 5 0 Per cent 26 ye ar ye ar ye ar ye ar 25 60 59 58 57 20 ye ar 6 ye ar ye ar 8 56 55 54 7 ye ar ye ar ye ar ye 7 53 52 51 50 Per cent Share of long-term unemployed 50 years + 30 27 25 25 20 Unemployment and activation 50 years+ 10.000 20 9170 9.000 18 8120 16 7320 7.000 14 6370 6.000 12 5150 5.000 4.000 10 4330 3830 3760 3750 4000 8 3.000 6 2520 1810 2.000 4 990 1.000 550 390 280 ar ye ar 65 ye ar 64 ye ar 63 ye ar 62 ye ar 61 ye ar Unemployed and activated (l-axis) 60 ye ar 59 ye ar 58 ye ar 57 ye ar 56 ye ar 55 ye ar 54 ye ar 53 ye 52 ye 51 ye 50 ar 0 ar 0 2 Per cent (r-axis) Per cent 8.000 Unemployment in Sweden and Denmark 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 Sweden 2 2 0 0 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 Age 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 Percent Percent Denmark Summary • Can the Danish model be adopted ? • Challenges for the Danish flexicurity model • The older workers Labour force and employed 3 KOR Gns. beskæftigelsesvækst i pct. 2,5 LUX CAN ISL 2 NLD IRE USA AUS NZL 1,5 TUR NOR DEU PRT 1 CHE AUT GRC ESP JPN FRA 0,5 SWE UKDK FIN ITA BEL 0 0 0,5 1 1,5 Gns. vækst i arbejdsstyrken i pct. 2 2,5 3 The Danish flexicurity model The labour market employed 2,8 mill. Unemployment insurance 180,000 persons recieving unemployment benefits Active labour market policy