Transcript A post-professional, postphysical, post-institutional future? Blaise Cronin SLIS-IUPUI, October 1, 2010 ‘Doomsday scenario’ Dennis Lewis, 1981 ‘In the year 2000 … the information scientist and the librarian will.

A post-professional, postphysical, post-institutional
future?
Blaise Cronin
SLIS-IUPUI, October 1, 2010
‘Doomsday scenario’
Dennis Lewis, 1981
‘In the year 2000 …
the information
scientist and the
librarian will have
gone the way of the
brontosaurus.’
‘The Panda Syndrome II’
Sutton, 1998
‘Without a rapid
response and
fundamental change
the LIS profession is
likely to go the way
of the pandas.’
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
‘A hipper crowd of
shushers’
‘Today’s librarians? Think
high-tech party people’
‘It’s Dewey Decimal meets
Generation X’
-- 2007
QuickTime™ and a
TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickT i me™ and a
T IFF (Uncompressed) decom pressor
are needed to see this picture.
‘The people entrusted to find
a place for this wealth of
information are known as
digital asset managers, or
sometimes as digital
archivists and digital
preservation officers.
Whatever they are called,
demand for them is
expanding.’ -- 2009
SLIS Grad Working in Change
Management
Diamond Consultants, a
Chicago-based technology
management consulting firm
LJ, 10/15/2009
QuickT i me™ and a
decom pressor
are needed to see this picture.
‘Panda Syndrome’
Van House & Sutton, 1996
‘Without a rapid
response and
fundamental
change, LIS
education is likely to
go the way of the
pandas: cute, well
loved, coddled, and
nearing extinction.’
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
i-Schools Project
The iSchools are
interested in the
relationship between
information, people and
technology... [They]
take it as given that
expertise in all forms of
information is required
for progress in science,
business, education,
and culture.
Inevitable tension?
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
‘A mutually damaging
gap exists between the
library educators and
the working profession.’
Ralf W. Conant, 1980
‘…there is a crisis in
library education.’
Michael Gorman, 2006
Post-professionalism -Ostriches & Opportunists
‘We can expect to see
the uncoupling of
academic programs
from the yoke of
accreditation…’
Quic kT ime™ and a
T IFF (Uncompres sed) decompres sor
are needed to s ee this pict ure.
Outsourcing
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
A private company in
Maryland has taken over
public libraries in ailing
cities in California, Oregon,
Tennessee and Texas,
growing into the country’s
fifth-largest library system.
NYT, September 26, 2010
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see t his picture.
QuickT i me™ and a
decom pressor
are needed to see this picture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompress or
are needed to s ee this picture.
Quick Time™ an d a
d eco mp res sor
ar e n eed ed to s ee this pic tur e.
QuickTime™anda
decompressor
are needed toseethis pi cture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompress or
are needed to s ee this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTi me™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this pi cture.
The Question
A (hermetic)
profession or a
(vibrant)
occupational
ecosystem?
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Major Disciplinary Areas
ASIS&T study 2008
The Professions
Apprenticeship
& Qualifications
Exclusionary, Elite &
Autonomous
Control
A Post-institutional World?
Social networking
Wikipedia
Folksonomies
Open source
Open access
Open peer review
Creative Commons
Self-publishing
Wisdom of the crowds
Quic kT ime™ and a
T IFF (Uncompres sed) decompres sor
are needed to s ee this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
T IFF (Uncompres sed) decompres sor
are needed to s ee this picture.
QuickT i me™ and a
T IFF (Uncompressed) decom pressor
are needed to see this picture.
Digital Indicators
Wikipedia articles = 10 million
YouTube videos = 700 million
Tweets per day = 3,000,000
Active Facebook users = 500 million
Blogs posted per hour = 900,000
Daily Google searches = 2 billion
PublishingTrends
• Democratization & domestication
• Filter bypassing
• Removal of tolls
• Persistence of peer review
• Re-conceptualization of authorship
• Value adding & interaction
Vanity/Indie Publishing
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Nearly 100,000 Titles from
more than 70,000 Authors
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lT6ynw614G0
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickT ime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see t his picture.
QuickT ime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see t his picture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompress or
are needed to s ee this pi cture.
A Family Tradition
Qui ckTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this pictur e.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompres s or
are needed to s ee this pi cture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompres s or
are needed to s ee this pi cture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompres s or
are needed to s ee this pi cture.
Keitai Shosetsu
(cell phone novels)
Magic Island
1 million titles
3 billion monthly visits
6 million reg. users
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Heart of the University?
 Re-conceptualized space
 Starbucks/Borders/speed dating center
 The new Third Place
 Core + off-site stores + consortia
 Massively scaled-up collaborations?
 Trans-sectoral strategic partnerships
Trans-sectoral Long-tailing
QuickTime™
are
decompressor
needed toand
seeathis picture.
are
QuickTime™
decompressor
needed toand
seeathis pictu
QuickTime™
are
decompressor
needed toand
seeathis picture.
Minnesota Archive
Editions:
Amazon, Google &
BookMobile
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Quic kT ime™ and a
dec ompress or
are needed to s ee this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Disruptive Technology … or
Next New Failure?
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Amazon: E-books
Will Overtake
Paperbacks by the
End of 2011
U.S. E-book
Reader Market to
Hit $2.5 Billion in
2013 -- Yankee
Group
Storage
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Portability
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Cost
Berkeley, Oxford,
Princeton and Yale
University presses
producing e-textbooks for Kindle
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Reference Service Decline
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Reference Queries / Fulltime Students
J. McDonagh, 2007
QuickTime™ and a
TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Total Circulation / Fulltime Students
J. McDonagh, 2007
QuickTime™ and a
TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Library Trends
• In the last four years, the number of adults visiting public
libraries in the U.K. has dropped by nearly 20 percent, from 48.2
percent in 2005-06 to 39.4 percent in 2009-10.
-- UK Gov. Report
• The stereotypical library is dying -- and it's taking its shushing
ladies, dank smell and endless shelves of books with it.
-- CNN
Library of the Future
While many forms of information can be digitized
and reside in “the cloud,” and various devices will give
us access to information anytime and anyplace, there
are a variety of documents and artifacts that are
necessarily local. I’ve suggested libraries install “time
capsule rooms” as a way to help archive their
communities. …
Thomas Frey (Futurist) July 2010
Est Modus in Rebus
ChaCha’s Mission:
Providing the easiest
way to access
information while on
the go.
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Combines machine-based
searches with input from live
human guides in real-time.
http://www.chacha.com/
Mega Bucks
ARL expenditures
Materials
E-resources
Monographs
Salaries & wages
Source: Kenney, ARL, 2009
(N=124)
= $3,914,758,950
= $1,219,796,179
= $536,033,744
= $315,757,710
= $1,709,969,994
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Libraries in the Age
of Mobiquitous Computing
Virtualization & Personalization
Persistent service
Distributed content
Cyberinfrastructure management
Branding & attention economy
Growth of e-metrics
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
The Here & Now
British Library:
150 million items
Library of Congress:
142 million items
QuickTime™ and a
decompressor
are needed to see this picture.