Transcript National Strategies for Development of Official Statistics Mustafa Dinc The World Bank Prepared for the 7th SPECA Project Working Group on Statistics (PWGS) August 28-29, 2012,

National Strategies for
Development of Official Statistics
Mustafa Dinc
The World Bank
Prepared for the 7th SPECA Project Working Group on Statistics
(PWGS)
August 28-29, 2012, Issyk-Kul, Kyrgyzstan
New Approach to Statistical Capacity
Improvement
• Coordinate support for statistics through a “system wide approach”
• Increase funding for statistics
• Coordinate technical assistance to countries
• Build on existing mechanisms and programs, with improved
monitoring and feedback
• Focus on implementation of country-owned strategies
• Pool donor funding to support country-led programs
• Target countries with weak statistical systems and with a
commitment to change
The first step is to design an NSDS that could provide a country with a
vision of the development of statistics and a detailed, costed action plan
over a period of 5 to 10 years that covers the production of all official
statistics.
2004 Marrakech Action Plan for
Statistics (MAPS)
Mainstream strategic planning for statistical systems and
prepare national statistical development strategies for all
low-income countries by 2006. A well designed plan
should:
• Provide detailed analysis of current strengths and weaknesses
• Address national, regional and international needs for data
• Be aligned with the country’s development program and poverty
reduction strategy
• Include all the main data producers and users
• Build upon and increase the value of existing data processes
• Promote data quality improvements in line with international standards
and good practice
• Serve as a coordinating framework for international and bilateral
assistance
Progress after MAPS
Countries
Countries with
Countries
without a
Countries currently strategy expired or
currently
strategy or with
designing a strategy without strategy,
TOTAL
implementing a
expired strategy
or awaiting adoption
but currently
strategy
and not planning
planning an NSDS
one
No
%
No
%
No
%
No
%
Low income
countries
Lower-middle
income Countries
TOTAL
49
62%
6
8.9%
23
27.8%
1
1.3%
79
20
50%
6
15%
12
30%
2
5%
40
69
12
35
Source: Paris21, http://www.paris21.org/nsds-status
3
119
2011 Busan Action Plan for Statistics
(BAPS)
Strengthen and re-focus national statistical strategies with particular
emphasis on improving statistical systems that address country-level
development priorities to increase in-country capacity to respond to
emerging and unforeseen data needs.
•
Update strategies to reflect new challenges and opportunities and integrate
international and domestic data collection activities.
•
Prioritize implementation to ensure that crucial domestic policy priorities are
addressed first
•
Establish partnerships among data users and producers
•
Improve existing data collection approaches and develop new ones that are
implemented on a regular basis
•
Address weaknesses in vital registration systems, gender statistics and data for
monitoring and evaluation of progress
•
Ensure that the development of sectoral data is fully integrated into and
synchronized with national statistical strategies
NSDS and Statistical Capacity Building Today
• Include other stakeholders in
statistical production and
dialogue
• Promote improved
coordination and partnerships
between statistics users and
producers
• Promote a system-wide
approach in statistics at
country level
Assist setting
up results
oriented
measurement
frameworks
Provide
support in a
harmonized
and well
coordinated
manner
Support
nationallyagreed
statistics
priorities
Respect
country
leadership
and leave
sustainable
capacity
• Deliver more efficient and
effective aid and TA for
strengthening statistical
systems and results
measurement
New NSDS Guidelines
• A PARIS21 Task Team is working to update the existing
NSDS guidelines
• New guidelines will take account of recent initiatives,
share good practices in key areas, address specific
needs (sectoral, fragile states, small states, subnational and regional approaches), and emphasize the
implementation
• Lessons learned from previous NSDSs on preparation
and implementation will be reflected
• It is expected to be completed later this year
WB Programs for Supporting Statistical
Capacity Development
• Trust Fund for Statistical Capacity Building (TFSCB)
• Statistics for Results Facility Catalytic Fund (SRF)
• ECASTAT Trust Fund
• Lending operations, including the STATCAP program
• International Household Survey Network (IHSN) and
Accelerated Data Program (ADP)
• Virtual Statistical System (VSS)
• Bulletin Board on Statistical Capacity
• E-learning
WB Support to SPECA Countries
TFSCB
Project
Afghanistan
Azarbaijan
SCB (Proposed)
NSDS, NSDS
Kazakhstan
update
SCB+NSDS,
Kyrgyzstan
SCB, NSDS
SCB+NSDS,
Tajikistan
NSDS
Turkmenistan SCB+NSDS
Uzbekistan
TOTAL
9
Amount
(thousand
USD)
STATCAP
Amount
(thousand
USD)
SRF
ECASTAT
Amount
Amount
(thousand
(thousand
USD)
USD)
14,000
250
170
22,813
663
433.4
In planning
5,900
In planning
387.5
1,904
28,713
14,000
Challenges Ahead
• The budgets, human resources and IT infrastructures of
statistical institutions could not keep up with the growing
demand statistics.
• This widening gap could be bridged by effective and
efficient use of resources
• Using new and innovative approaches would be needed
• Greater use of administrative data
• Use of new survey techniques that rely on different approaches and
technologies based on various population segments
• Better planning and management methods should be introduced
• Existing NSDSs need to be reviewed to make them
more realistic and conducive to implementation