Coping with the Emerging Energy Demand for Charging Plug-in Electric Vehicles background lecture.
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Coping with the Emerging Energy Demand for Charging Plug-in Electric Vehicles background lecture 1 Electric Vehicles (EVs) over the next few years… 64-86% U.S. sales of new light vehicles by 2030 Why? 2 electric vehicles benefits (1) • Economic saving in fueling 40% saving of primary energy with respect to the ICE but there is another benefit of paramount importance for society.. 3 have you heard about Global Warming? • increasing temperatures in various regions • increasing extremities in weather patterns • almost 100% is due to the increase in the atmosphere of … 4 greenhouse gases • greenhouse gases are those gases that contribute to the greenhouse effect… 5 the largest contributing source of greenhouse gases is the burning of fossil fuels leading to the emission of carbon dioxide 6 conventional vehicles emissions • when a combustion vehicle operates carbon dioxide is produced 7 some data… • an average passenger vehicle produces 5.2 metric tons of carbon dioxide per year • considering 800 million of cars circulating worldwide, this means 4 billion 160 million (4,160,000,000) Metric Tons per year! it is more than 15 percent of total CO2 emissions!! 8 Electric Vehicles benefits (2) • electric vehicles may contribute to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions: no combustion= no pollutants Indeed if electric energy they require comes from RENEWABLE SOURCES (wind, solar, geothermal, hydropower, wave/tidal etc…) Zero emissions!!! 9 EV anatomy Electronic control Electrical engine Battery pack Dashboard the engine is an electric motor energy is supplied by a battery pack an electronic system controls the motor operation and the state of charge of the battery pack 10 main advantages • • • • • • Clean (low or zero emissions) Higher driving comfort More convenient in terms of cost per mile Reduced engine maintenance Higher Safety in case of car accidents Reduced dependence on Oil 11 main disadvantages • • • • • Expensive Limited autonomy Battery maintenance “Refueling” time (battery charging) The risk of a new dependence on rare metals the major concerns are just about batteries.. 12 the battery is the vehicle “tank” ! • the tank capacity is now the ENERGY that can the battery can store for the propulsion. • it is expressed in Wh (Watt hour) • typical range in commercial EVs: 5-50kWh (for a range autonomy of 100-200 miles) 13 how much fast we “fill” our battery: The “speed” of the battery charging process is related to the charging rate. It is a measure of ELECTRICAL POWER, expressed in Watts! energy required charge time chargingrate a 15kWh battery charged at 15kW, 10 and 5kW… 1 hour 1,5 hours 3 hours 14 the energy stored in the battery and used for propulsion is supplied by the electric grid.. 15 the problem we have to cope with: when a vehicle is connected for battery recharging, it is an electric load for the grid to understand the problem, let’s consider the load trend during a 16 typical day… typical load trends during the day* The energy request is low during the night It starts to increase as people wake up.. Slowly decreases during the evening… quite stable during the day Increases when people come back home can you imagine the effect of a diffusion of electric vehicles? When people will charge their electric vehicles? just when they’ll come back at home!! * based on the daily winter weekday maximum demand on the GB transmission system in 2005/06 from http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/sys_06/print.asp?chap=2 17 effect of the EVs contemporary load on the grid higher energy request during peak hours overload!! 18 existing grids are not able to manage this overload, because.. the charging process starts just when the vehicle is plugged in, provided that the available power on the grid is enough the charging process is performed at a fixed rate (usually the maximum charging rate allowed by the battery) if the power request exceeds the available power at the time of plugin, the charging request is rejected and the user cannot charge its battery this is the so-called “superdumb” approach: • no communication between users and service supplier • no supply/demand adjustments 19 a practical example Available power 30kW Ms. Gray 20kWh Arrival 18:00 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW at 18.00 Ms. Gray arrives her charging begins, at a rate of 20kW 10kW are still available at the node at 18.15 Mr. White arrives Mr. White 20kWh Arrival 18:15 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW the available power at the node does not suffice his charging is not possible! 20 a practical example Available power 30kW Ms. Gray 20kWh Arrival 18:00 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW at 18.00 Ms. Gray arrives her charging begins, at a rate of 20kW 10kW are still available at the node at 18.30 Mr. Red arrives Mr. Red 20kWh Arrival 18:30 Depart 20:00 Max Rate 20kW the available power at the node does not suffice his charging is not possible! 21 at 22.00… Ms. Gray Mr. White State of charge 100% State of charge 0% Mr. Red State of charge 0% average satisfaction degree= (100%+0%+0%) / (3 users) = 33.3% 22 a first possible development… we could “schedule” the energy demand of the users 23 how time scheduling works… if the available power on the grid suffices, the charging process starts just when the vehicle is plugged in if it not possible to satisfy the user request, the user is queued in a queue containing the users still to be charged, sorted in accord with their arrival time as soon as enough power becomes available, the users of the queue are served clearly users must communicate to a control entity their expected departure times, as well as the instant at which they are fully charged 24 in the same case now.. at 18.00 Ms. Gray arrives Ms. Gray 20kWh Arrival 18:00 Depart 22:00 her charging begins, at a rate of 20kW 10kW are still available at the node Max Rate 20kW at 18.15 Mr. White arrives the available power at the node is not enough Mr. White 20kWh Arrival 18:15 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW his charging is not possible! however he is queued at 18.30 Mr. Red arrives the available power at the node is not enough Mr. Red 20kWh Arrival 18:30 Depart 20:00 Max Rate 20kW his charging is not possible! however he is queued 25 at 19.00… at 19.00 Ms. Gray is fully charged Ms. Gray 20kWh her charging ends Arrival 18:00 Depart 22:00 30 kW are now available at the node Max Rate 20kW so, at 19.00 Mr. White can be served his charging begins, at a rate of 20kW Mr. White 20kWh Arrival 18:15 10 kW are now available at the node Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW however, at 19.00 the available power at the node does not suffice also for Mr. Red Mr. Red 20kWh Arrival 18:30 Depart 20:00 Max Rate 20kW his charging is not possible! he is still queued 26 at 20.00… Ms. Gray 20kWh Ms. Gray is fully charged Arrival 18:00 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW Mr. White is fully charged his charging ends Mr. White 20kWh Arrival 18:15 30 kW are now available at the node Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW the charging of Mr. Red could start Mr. Red 20kWh Arrival 18:30 however, he departs Depart 20:00 so, Mr. Red is not satisfied Max Rate 20kW 27 at 22.00 Ms. Gray Mr. White State of charge 100% State of charge 100% Mr. Red State of charge 0% Average satisfaction degree= (100%+100%+0%) / (3 users) = 66.7% It’s better than the “superdumb” approach, but… 28 it is still a “dumb” approach Ms. Gray 20kWh Arrival 18:00 Mr. White 20kWh Arrival 18:15 Depart 22:00 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW Max Rate 20kW Mr. Red 20kWh Arrival 18:30 Depart 20:00 Max Rate 20kW Mr. Red has less time at disposal. His charging is more urgent… using a fixed charging rate of 20 kW with a maximum available power of 30 kW does not allow performing more than one charging process at the same time 29 summarizing the “dumb” approach : the users are arranged in the queue solely on the basis of their arrival time this scheduling process does not take into account that some users could have less time at disposal to complete the charging process the charging process is performed at a fixed charging rate, without any adapting mechanism to the grid load conditions 30 what if… Ms. Gray 20kWh Arrival 18:00 Mr. White 20kWh Arrival 18:15 Depart 22:00 Depart 22:00 Max Rate 20kW Max Rate 20kW Mr. Red 20kWh Arrival 18:30 Depart 20:00 Max Rate 20kW can you imagine what happens if you could sort the charging processes by assigning to Mr. Red a higher priority? can you imagine what happens if you could adjust the charging rate of each user during the charging process to fully exploit the 30 kW available from the grid? 31 a “smart” approach the charging process of each PEV can be scheduled on the basis of a priority criterion rather than just considering the arrival times of the users the charging rate of each PEV can be adapted to the grid load condition during the charging process users must communicate to a control entity their arrival and departure times, as well as their current state of charge 32 how to assign the priority? you can consider how much energy an user requires and how much time is still available for its charging process before the user drive-off power required priority= maximum grid available power do you think there should be something else to be taken into account? 33 ..and the utility profit? in a realistic scenario, it is presumable that users will have different electricity rates this can be an important parameter for the utility profit utility would like to give a higher priority to users which are disposed to pay higher electricity rates 34 a more complete priority function we can also account for the electricity rate of the user priority= a power required electricity rate +b maximum grid available power maximum electricity rate the influence of the power required and the electricity rate on determining the user priority can be adjusted by tuning the weighting coefficients a and b (it is convenient to set always a+b=1) 35 how to decide the charging rate? you can “spread” the required energy over the entire remaining time period before the user drive-off charging rate= energy required time before expected user departure 36 updating priority and charging rate priority= a power required electricity rate +b maximum grid available power maximum electricity rate charging rate= energy required time before expected user departure for each user, both the energy required and the time still available change during the charging process. Therefore, priority and charging rate must be updated at regular intervals (time resolution). How do you choose the time resolution? 37 what about the grid structure? smart grid manager two-way communication devices system users, operators and automated devices need to exchange information about grid operating conditions, so to dynamically respond to changes in grid condition and user requests the grid becomes “smart” 38 also the vehicle.. Electronic control Electrical engine Battery pack Dashboard Smart charging manager/grid interface on-board control system needs to be developed to support both data exchange with the grid and advanced charging strategies in your experiments… you’ll simulate the charging processes of Electric Vehicles by using different charging strategies measure of the effectiveness: • users satisfaction degree (it is a measure of the success the system has to satisfy the requests) • utility profit (it is a measure of how effective is for the system owner its resource management policies) you’ll also evaluate the impact of each charging strategy on the system complexity … 40 how to “measure” the system complexity? you can measure: 1) simulation time 2) number of communication events the larger the simulation time, the more complex (and then costly) the system the larger the number of communication events, the more complex (and then costly) the system 41 the tool you will use a very intuitive Graphical User Interface (GUI) implemented in Matlab environment the main Graphical User Interface (GUI) will allow you to navigate easily through all the tasks to be performed 42 you will create different scenarios… in the different tasks you will analyze different situations by fixing the grid available power, the number of users, the user parameters (battery capacity, 43 max. charging rate, electricity rate, etc.), the energy dispatching strategy… … and you will see the system evolution The tool allows to visualize the satisfaction degree and the communication events for each user of the system, as well as the utility profit and the simulation time 44 summarizing your tasks Task 1: you will be familiarized with the basic concepts about battery charging parameters: available power from the grid, battery charging rate and capacity, state of charge Task 2-5: you will compare the superdumb, the dumb, and your different smart approaches in a small-scale scenario (a local node of the grid with 6 vehicles at most) 45 Part 2 (optional) 46 Task 6: extension to a large scale system • real grids consists of hundreds of local nodes • experiment the impact of different strategies in a large scale scenario rather than focusing solely on a local node • in this case thousands of users will be involved in your experiments.. 47 statistical analysis thousands of users will have a random behavior: •random arrival and departure times •random electricity rates the simulation tool provides you the possibility to carry out a statistical analysis of a large scale scenario 48 statistics distribution to perform large-scale analyses, you will decide statistical user profiles. you can choose uniform or gaussian statistical distributions for the user arrival and departure times, as well as for their electricity rate uniform the probability that a user arrives in a given time instant x is the same within the time interval [a, b] gaussian the probability that a user arrives in a given time instant x is higher around the instant m (mean). However, about 68% of users will arrive in the time interval [m-s, m+s]. s is the “standard deviation” 49 for further details please refer to the project assignment document and the GUI manual 50 useful references • [1] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xKg7EYThJ0c • [2] R. Pratt et al., “The Smart Grid: An Estimation of the Energy and CO2 Benefits”, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Report, 2010. • [3] Emission Facts: Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle http://www.epa.gov/oms/greenhousegases.htm • (http://timeforchange.org/cause-and-effect-for-global-warming) • [4] http://energycenter.org/index.php/technical-assistance/climate-change • [5] Bureau of Transportation, number of vehicles and vehicle classification http://www.bts.gov/publications/national_transportation_statistics/html/table_01 _11.html. 51 Images credits • • • • • • • • • • • Slide 2. Left: Image by Joe Ross, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-2254098564. Right: Image by saebaryo, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-3455146732 Slide 3. Image by tobym, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-466229969 Slide 4. Image by Martha de Jong-Lantink , http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-2889561921 Slide 6. Image by net_efekt, http://www.flickr.com/photos/wheatfields/4688140998/ Slide 7. Image by wwf_france, http://www.flickr.com/photos/wwf-france_footage/2916082821/ Slide 9. Image by United Nations Photo, http://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/5410822714/ Slide 15. Power plant image by Bruno D Rodrigues, http://www.flickr.com/photos/davipt/164341428/ . Transmission substsation image by ykanazawa1999, http://www.flickr.com/photos/27889738@N07/4860145679. High voltage transmission lines image by Henrik Johansson, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-5515505114. Power substation image by Iris Shreve Garrott, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-2310447664. Transformer image by Paul Chernikhowsky, http://www.flickr.com/photos/pchernik/4099436471/. Low voltage line image by Paul Joseph, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-3110129640. Home image by James Thompson, http://www.flickr.com/photos/jwthompson2/139445633/sizes/l/in/photostream/. Slide 20. Ms. Gray car image by Gioxx, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-3095669284. Mr. White car image by harry_nl, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-3444637211. Slide 21. Mr. Red car image by Nadir Hashmi, http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-2227623451. Slide 38. Two-way communication devices image by HEA Engineering Subject Centre, http://www.flickr.com/photos/22760956@N08/. Smart grid manager image by npslibrarian, http://www.flickr.com/photos/npslibrarian/2104253867/. Slide 49. Uniform distribution, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Uniform_distribution_PDF.png . Gaussian distribution, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Normal_Distribution_PDF.svg. 52