Transcript EAP Task Force FEASIBLE tool: prospects for further developments Alexander Martoussevitch Paris, 23 February, 2007

EAP Task Force
FEASIBLE tool:
prospects for further developments
Alexander Martoussevitch
Paris, 23 February, 2007
Outline of the presentation
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Objective of the presentation
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FEASIBLE in progress
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Ways forward
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Objective of the presentation
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Update you about the latest
developments of FEASIBLE tool
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Present the remaining difficulties with the
tool with regards to:
– Data requirements
– Functionalities
– Dissemination
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Discuss ways forward
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FEASIBLE in progress:
Why a decision-support tool
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Provide robust calculations to support
policy dialogue
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Organise data collection and treatment
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Simulate alternative scenarios for
sectoral policies
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Targets
Time frames
Tariffs and subsidies, loans and grants
«what-if» simulations quick and easy
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FEASIBLE in progress:
Key aspects of the tool
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A tool: the FEASIBLE model, to
– Assess the costs of alternative scenarios on the level
of service
– Measure available financial resources
– Calculate a financial gap
– Simulate the impact of various policy packages to
close the financial gap
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The model
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– uses generic cost functions, adjusted for local
conditions and prices
– uses aggregated figures for territory under
consideration, i.e. regional or national, but not local
– calculates cash flow gap as key output
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FEASIBLE in progress:
Recent developments
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2000: FEASIBLE-1
– EXCEL-based
– Urban WSS
– Financing
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2002: Stand alone Module on MW
– ACCESS-based
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2004: FEASIBLE-2
– Delphi-based
– Integrate Modules on MW and WSS
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2006: new Module on Rural WSS
– is being pilot tested in Armenia and Moldova,
in co-operation with the EUWI
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FEASIBLE in progress:
Current structure of the tool
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Ways forward:
Adaptation of the tool
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FEASIBLE
– better ensure integrity of data
– Refine the finance module (the module
presents aggregated data, assuming crosssubsidisation between service providers)
– generate additional output charts
– improve scenario management (e.g. capacity
to model non-regular water supply)
– consider integrating marginal cost functions
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Documentation
– the User manual (three years old)
– the Guidelines on methodology
– alternative methods to collect data
in rural areas
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Ways forward:
Further dissemination
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Working with consultancies:
– COWI AS (Denmark, developer), JACOBS
(UK), TME (Netherlands), the Institute for
Urban Economics (Russia), other candidates
(PWC, etc.)
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Requests for the tool from 66 individuals
Working in other regions may require
adaptation of the tool to the local context
Comparison with similar tools
– e.g. SWIFT for WSS
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Lower the “entry barrier”
– Still remains relatively high: require 1-2 day
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training + a hotline