Raising capital in a changing global environment Michael Ullmer Group Executive, Institutional and Business Services Commonwealth Bank of Australia 20 March 2003
Download ReportTranscript Raising capital in a changing global environment Michael Ullmer Group Executive, Institutional and Business Services Commonwealth Bank of Australia 20 March 2003
Raising capital in a changing global environment Michael Ullmer Group Executive, Institutional and Business Services Commonwealth Bank of Australia 20 March 2003 Disclaimer The material that follows is a presentation of general background information about the Bank’s activities current at the date of the presentation, 20 March 2003. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate. Institutional & Business Services -2- Speaker’s Notes Speaker’s notes for this presentation are attached below each slide. To access them, you may need to save the slides in PowerPoint and view/print in “notes view.” Institutional & Business Services -3- Growth of the domestic corporate bond market Total non government Australian debt issuance by year 1998 to 2003 45000 40000 35000 A$m 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 YTD Source: Commonwealth Bank Institutional & Business Services -4- Australian corporate bond issuance by sector Australian non government bond issuance in 2002 by sector Total A$37.5bn 11% 15% 7% 49% 2% 7% 1% 5% 1% 2% Bank Corporate Finance GIC Insurance Property Supranational Transport & Infrastructure Asset Backed Credit Wrapped Source: Commonwealth Bank Institutional & Business Services -5- Major developments in the Australian bond market Special Purpose Vehicles Public Private Partnerships Growing retail demand for hybrid products Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities ‘CMBS’ US Traditional Private Placements Institutional & Business Services -6- CMBS - an emerging asset class CMBS Issuance by rating category 2002 CM BS Issuance Volumes 3,500 6,000 3,000 5,000 2,500 A 14% Outstandings (RHS) Volum e (A$'M) 4,000 A1% BBB+ 2% BBB 2% Unrated 3% 2,000 3,000 1,500 2,000 1,000 1,000 500 - AA 15% AAA 63% 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: Commonwealth Bank Institutional & Business Services -7- US Traditional Private Placements Lower rated and unrated Australian and New Zealand borrowers can now raise longer term capital via the US private placement market. Capital not available domestically is now available in large volumes for 10 to 15 year maturities. This further restricts supply from Australian investors. Domestic banks are forming alliances with US investment banks to achieve this - CBA and Merrill Lynch is an example. More than US$2.5bn has been raised since the start of 2002 and there is a substantial pipeline for new deals. Issuers include: Amcor, Boral, PBL, Santos, CSL, Caltex Australia and Origin Energy, Network Ten and Contact Energy (NZ). Institutional & Business Services -8- Australian borrowers benefit in global shift from equities to bonds US mutual fund flows shift from equities to government and corporate bonds Ten week average US equity and government bond mutual fund flows Ten week average US equity and corporate bond mutual fund flows $b $b $b $b 2.0 1.5 inflows 8 10 6 8 equities (RHS) 1.0 4 1.2 1 inflows 0.8 6 0.6 4 0.5 2 0.0 -0.5 bonds (LHS) outflows -1.0 0.4 2 0.2 0 0 -2 -2 0 -0.2 -4 -0.4 -4 -0.6 -6 -1.5 -6 -2.0 -8 Jul-96 Jul-97 Jul-98 Jul-99 Jul-00 Jul-01 Jul-02 -0.8 -8 -10 Mar-97 -1 -1.2 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Source: MFMF, Commonwealth Bank Institutional & Business Services -9- Increasing demand for Australian credit is creating offshore borrowing opportunities Australian borrowers issuing offshore and domestic bonds since 2002 in A$ terms Offshore A$61bn Domestic A$43.46bn A$m 35,000 30,000 25,000 Non A$ Corporate 20,000 A$ Euros/Uridashi Non A$ ABS 15,000 Dom estic ABS Dom estic Corporate 10,000 5,000 - Institutional & Business Services Source: Bloomberg - 10 - Commonwealth Bank achieving volume and cost benefits by accessing offshore demand CBA Wholesale Funding as at 31 December 2002 Syndicated 4% NonSyndicated 16% A$ MTN 1% USCP 18% ECP 5% Tier 2 10% Tier 1 1% Eurobonds TCD 2% 9% Yen Loans 2% Secn 15% NCD 17% Total A$48.9bn Institutional & Business Services - 11 - Commonwealth Bank accessing offshore markets: issuing highlights USD500m 5yr FRN issued June 2002: 25% placement into China 4 Japanese ‘Uridashi’ issues for almost A$2 billion Structured EMTN issues: 420 completed Global Securitisation ‘Medallion’ issues: A$11billion raised Institutional & Business Services - 12 - client solutions