Transcript Interstate Statistical Committee of the Commonwealth of Independent Sate (CIS Stat Committee) The 2010 Population Census Round in CIS countries: key results and prospects Irina A.

Interstate Statistical Committee of
the Commonwealth of Independent Sate
(CIS Stat Committee)
The 2010 Population Census Round
in CIS countries:
key results and prospects
Irina A. Zbarskaya
High-level Seminar on Population Censuses and Migration Statistics in CIS countries
Russia, Gelendzhik
16-18 October 2013
IMPORTANCE OF CENSUS FOR CIS COUNTRIES:
population number and its distribution within the country are specified for
particular moment of time;
 main (in some cases – the only) source of information on demographic,
ethno-linguistic and socio-economic characteristics of population;
 possibility to get data by smallest territorial units and by small population
groups;
 informational basis for demographic and socio-economic prognosis for
the countries and regions development;
 the general population for sample surveys is formed.
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THE 2010 CENSUSES ROUND:
METHODS OF DATA COLLECTION IN CIS COUNTRIES
TRADITIONAL
The interviews
implemented by specially hired
and trained interviewers
Using paper forms
Sampling method was not used
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DATA ENTRY
Manual entry
Scanning
ROUND 2000
ROUND 2010
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Belarus
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Kyrgyzstan
Kazakhstan
Moldova
Russia
Ukraine
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Ukraine
Moldova
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DATA CODING
Manually only
Computer only
Combined
ROUND 2000
ROUND 2010
Armenia
Belarus
Kyrgyzstan
Moldova
Tajikistan
Kazakhstan
Russia
Ukraine
Armenia
Kyrgyzstan
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Russia
Kazakhstan
Tajikistan
Ukraine
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THE COSTS OF CENSUS
The weighted average cost
per one person in CIS countries
ROUND 2000
ROUND 2010
USD 1,1
USD 3,4
(converted at the exchange rate)
(converted at the exchange rate)
USD 4,5
USD 5,3
(PPP based on the IMF data)
(PPP based on the IMF data)
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Difficulties in preparing and conducting the census
The population attitude and
the complexity of the interview
Personnel hiring and training
Funding
The processing of the census
data and getting tables
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Armenia
Tajikistan
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
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KEY ISSUES FOR THE ROUND 2020 IN THE CIS
To minimize time lag between national censuses within the
round
To harmonize of the population categories to be enumerated
The draft of CES Recommendations
on the 2020 Round of population and housing censuses:
for the purposes of
international comparison
usual resident population
for the national purposes
Additional categories, that could be used:
• present population
• registered population
• national population
• legal population
• working population
• daytime population
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THE 2010 CENSUSES ROUND
Using data from
administrative sources
Traditional method
with using interviewers,
as main method of
data collection
Replacing paper forms to
electronic questionnaires
will be kept
Using Internet
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UPCOMING ACTIVITIES
April 2014
The draft of new Recommendations will be developed by
working groups and the Management committee
June 2014
The draft of new Recommendations will be placed at
UNECE web-site
22-26 September
2014
Meeting of the experts’ group to discuss The draft of new
Recommendations
December 2014
Work on the draft of new Recommendations will be
completed
February 2015
CES Bureau will review the draft of new Recommendations
June 2015
CES will approve the new Recommendations
*
July 2015
*
*
ECOSOC Resolution on the 2020 Round of population
and housing censuses
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PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020:
Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services
JUNE 2014
MAIN TOPICS:
 The Round 2010 lessons learned and prospective for the Round 2020
(methodological and technological innovations, complete census, sample surveys,
administrative data, the problems and difficulties);
 Suggestions of the CIS countries for inclusion in the CES Recommendations on
the Population and Housing Censuses Round 2020;
 The measurement of the economically active population in the census and
sample surveys (with the advice of the 19th International Conference of Labour
Statisticians);
 Possible ways of coordination of the CIS national statistical services in
preparation of the Census Round 2020 in the Commonwealth.
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PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020:
Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services
APRIL 2015
MAIN TOPICS :
 Suggestions on organizational and methodological principles for population
censuses conduction in CIS;
 Measurement of labor migration in population censuses and sample surveys;
 Interstate programmes on exchange of national census results;
 The draft schedule for meetings of experts of the CIS national statistical services
on preparation to the Population Censuses Round 2020.
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CONCLUSIONS
The census will retain its dominant position as the main source of
information about the population;
There are serious challenges: financial issues, changing the population
mentality, the need to reduce the respondents burden, the growing
information needs and information technology development;
Countries are moving away from the traditional model of the "pure"
census, focusing on getting information from different sources;
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Thanks for your attention
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