Transcript Wood— the only renewable material ! by Ed Pepke Forest Products Marketing Specialist UNECE & FAO, Geneva F A O Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001

Wood—
the only renewable material !
by Ed Pepke
Forest Products Marketing Specialist
UNECE & FAO, Geneva
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Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Topics of presentation
• Demand: European wood consumption trends
and analysis
• Supply: Do we have enough wood to support
growing consumption?
• Vision for increasing consumption
• Discussion
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Purpose of presentation
• To provide foundation for our conference
• To stimulate thinking and ideas
• To generate discussion
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My challenge to you...
Although I will be presenting historical trends,
do not let the past limit your vision of the
future.
In the words of Mr. Thomas Watson, Chairman
of IBM in 1943, and a man of vision:
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“I think there is a world
market for maybe five
computers.”
--Mr. Thomas Watson,
Chairman of IBM, 1943
(at that time IBM was making
punch-card calculators)
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Forest products market segments
•
•
•
•
Sawnwood
Panels
Roundwood
Not included: pulp, paper or value-added
products
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UN Economic Commission for
Europe region
• Europe (focus of this presentation)
• North America
• Commonwealth of Independent States
(CIS)
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Coniferous sawnwood
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O
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
1964
1000 m3
Sawnwood consumption in Europe
Non-Coniferous sawnwood
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Sawnwood production & consumption--Europe
120000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
73
19
76
19
79
19
82
19
85
19
88
19
91
19
94
19
97
1000 m3
100000
Consumption
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O
Production
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160000
140000
120000
100000
Coniferous sawnwood
F
A
O
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
1964
1000 m3
Sawnwood production in N. America
Non-Coniferous sawnwood
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Sawnwood production in CIS
120000
80000
60000
40000
20000
Coniferous
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O
1997
1995
1993
1991
1989
1987
1985
1983
1981
1979
1977
1975
1973
1971
1969
0
1967
1000 m3
100000
Non-coniferous
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Coniferous sawnwood
F
A
O
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
1964
1000 m3
Sawnwood exports -- Europe
Non-Coniferous sawnwood
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Sawnwood exports -- N. America
60000
40000
30000
20000
10000
Coniferous
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O
34
31
28
25
22
19
16
13
10
7
4
0
1
1000 m3
50000
Non-coniferous
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Sawnwood exports -- CIS
9000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
Coniferous sawnwood
F
A
O
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
0
1964
1000 m3
8000
Non-Coniferous sawnwood
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Sawnwood imports -- Europe
35000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
Coniferous sawnwood
F
A
O
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
0
1964
1000 m3
30000
Non-Coniferous sawnwood
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Sawnwood trade -- Europe
50000
30000
20000
10000
0
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
73
19
76
19
79
19
82
19
85
19
88
19
91
19
94
19
97
1000 m3
40000
Exports
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Imports
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Panels consumption in Europe
40000
35000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
Particle board
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Plywood
Fibreboard
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1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
1968
1966
0
1964
1000 m3
30000
Panels production in N. America
30000
20000
15000
10000
5000
Particle board
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Plywood
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
0
1964
1000 m3
25000
Fibreboard
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Panels production in CIS
9000
8000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
Particle board
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Plywood
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
0
1964
1000 m3
7000
Fibreboard
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
350000
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
73
19
76
19
79
19
82
19
85
19
88
19
91
19
94
19
97
1000 m3
Roundwood consumption in Europe
Industrial roundwood (wood in the rough)
Fuelwood, including wood for charcoal
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Industrial roundwood consumption in Europe
150000
100000
50000
Pulpwood (round & split)
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
0
1964
1000 m3
200000
Other industrial roundwood
Sawlogs and veneer logs
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Wood pulp
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Saw nw ood
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
450000
400000
350000
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
1964
1000 m3 equivalent
Utilization of roundwood in Europe
Wood-based panels
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Wood pulp
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Sawnwood
1997
1994
1991
1988
1985
1982
1979
1976
1973
1970
1967
900000
800000
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1964
1000 m3 equivalent
Utilization of roundwood in N. America
Wood-based panels
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Utilization of roundwood in CIS
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
Wood pulp
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Sawnwood
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
1968
1966
0
1964
1000 m3 equivalent
300000
Wood-based panels
Wood Visions, Berlin, 2001
Forest resources in Europe
• Only 70% of the wood which grows is
harvested
• Forests increase daily 1 million m3
• Forestland increases by 500,000 ha/year
Sources: State of the World’s Forests 2001;
Global Forest Resources Assessment 2000;
Temperate and Boreal Forest Resources Assessment 2000.
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Forest resources: growing stock
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
Growing Stock
Net Annual
Increment
Fellings
Europe North
(41) America
CIS
Source: TBFRA 2000.
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Forest resources: NAI vs. fellings
1000
500
0
Europe (41) N. America
Net Annual Increment
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CIS
Fellings
Source: TBFRA 2000.
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Forest resources: NAI vs. fellings
Europe-41
EU-15
Fellings as % of NAI
59
64
Nordic countries
Baltic countries
Central & eastern Europe
Russia
72
50
56
16
North America
79
Source: TBFRA 2000.
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Forest resources: NAI vs. fellings
Russia
Poland
Germany
Austria
Sweden, Finland, United States
Portugal
Canada
Fellings as % of NAI
16
53
55
67
74-75
85
94
Source: TBFRA 2000.
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Forest resources summary
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Removals considerably below growth
Wide variance in utilisation rates of NAI
Growing stock increasing in Europe
Oversupply compared to demand for
wood
• Increasing alternative demands on forests
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Growing too much wood?
Not enough wood products demand?
What are the solutions?
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Grow the wood markets.
• Guarantee that today’s wood products meet
consumers’ needs
• Develop new products to meet evolving
needs
• Develop new markets for wood products
(substitute for non-renewable materials)
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How can we grow the wood markets?
• Through coordinated, international promotion programs
• For example, the FAO-ECE Forest Communicators
Network creates a positive image of the forest and
forest industries sector by:
– networking among members
– identifying key common messages and concepts, and
– promoting the building of PR capacity.
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How can we grow the wood markets?
• Current network of 120 forest communicators
from 29 countries of the UNECE region,
representing both governments and the private
sector.
• Participation open to all sharing common
objectives.
• More information about activities at:
http://www.unece.org/trade/timber/pr/pr.htm
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My Wood Visions
• Increasing development of a wood culture
in Europe, like that in the Nordic Countries,
North America and Japan
• Internationally coordinated promotional
programmes
• Forest and forest industry sector working
together
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Questions?
Discussion
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