Informal document No. WP.29-154-10 (154th WP.29, 21-24 June 2011, Agenda item 19) New Priorities of Japan -Future Measures for Vehicle Safety for a Society.
Download ReportTranscript Informal document No. WP.29-154-10 (154th WP.29, 21-24 June 2011, Agenda item 19) New Priorities of Japan -Future Measures for Vehicle Safety for a Society.
Informal document No. WP.29-154-10 (154th WP.29, 21-24 June 2011, Agenda item 19) New Priorities of Japan -Future Measures for Vehicle Safety for a Society with No Traffic Accidents154th Session of WP.29 June 2011 1 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism CONTENTS 1. CURRENT STATUS 2. TARGET 3. CHANGING OF THE ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING MOTOR VEHICLES 4. TASKS AHEAD (1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population (2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians and Cyclists (3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility (4) Prevent Serious Accidents Involving LargeSized Vehicles 5. OTHERS 6. SETTING A NUMERICAL TARGET 2 1. CURRENT STATUS Number of deaths Number of deaths Number of deaths within 30 days 16,000 Number of injuries 896,208 Number of deaths within 30 days 180 160 14,000 Number of accidents (in ten thousand) 140 12,000 Number of injuries (in ten thousands) 120 10,000 Number of vehicles in use (in millions) 100 8,000 80 6,000 60 4,000 2,000 0 Number of deaths within 30 days 5,745 Number of deaths 4,863 40 20 Number of accidents (in ten thousands) Number of injuries (in ten thousands) Number of vehicles in use (in millions) 18,000 0 3 Evolution of traffic accidents 2.TARGET “We’ll reduce the number of deaths in traffic accidents to below 2,500 by 2018 and make Japan a country of highest traffic safety in the world. “ (January 2010, the Minister of State for Special Mission) “We’ll reduce the number of deaths within 24 hours to below 3 000 by 2015 aiming at eventually building a society with no traffic accidents. “ (March 2011, Ninth Fundamental Traffic Safety Program) 14.0 12.9 12 12 11.6 11 12.0 9.7 10.0 8.0 6.7 6.8 7.1 6.0 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.9 2.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 7.9 7.3 7.6 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.9 8.9 5.9 2.8 0.0 Japan(2018) Japan(2015) U.K. Sweden Netherlands Norway Japan Switzerland Germany Finland Iceland Ireland Denmark Spain Australia France Itary Canada(2008) Austria Portugal Hungary Slovenia Caech Republic Belgium(2008) New Zealand Luxembourg U.S.A. Slovak Republic(2007) Poland South Korea Greece 2.0 Traffic accident fatalities for 100,000 of population 4 3.CHANGING OF THE ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING MOTOR VEHICLES With the fastest aging population in the world and rapid spread of hybrid and electric vehicles, the environment surrounding the traffic community and motor vehicles is drastically changing. 14,000 50.0% Number of total population (In ten thousands) 40.0% 10,000 35.0% 8,000 30.0% 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Total population 総人口(万人) 25.0% Rate of aging 高齢化率 20.0% (In ten thousands) Rate of Age 75 or 75歳以上人口割合 older 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Rate of aging / age 75 or older 45.0% 12,000 5 Evolution of declining birthrate and aging population and future estimate 3.CHANGING OF THE ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING MOTOR VEHICLES Electric vehicle Number of vehicles in use Number of vehicles in use 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 6 4.TASKS AHEAD Index (1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population 300 250 200 Male Age 24 or younger Female Age24 or younger Male Age 24 to 64 Female Age 24 to 64 Male Age 65 or older Female Age 65 or older 150 100 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Evolution of number of license holders according to age by sex (Index) 7 4.TASKS AHEAD (1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population Number of accident 250,000 200,000 Age 65 or older Age 40 to 49 Age 16 to 24 Age 60 to 64 Age 30 to 39 Age 50 to 59 Age 25 to 29 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Evolution of the number of traffic accidents by age group (primary party, including moped drivers) 8 4.TASKS AHEAD (1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population With the aging of the population, the number of elderly drivers and the number of traffic accidents caused by this age group has been increasing. Develop and spread passenger protection technologies responsive to the needs of the elderly, etc. Develop and spread driver assistance systems responsive to the needs of elderly drivers. 9 4.TASKS AHEAD (1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population Child restraint systems are used by 60% of vehicles, but 60% of those are used incorrectly. (%) 100 80 36.7 36.2 36.5 60 40 20 proper use 63.3 63.8 63.5 Baby Infant Baby and infant Child restraint systems( for baby / for infant) installation miss use 0 Enhance activities among automobile users to raise their awareness of the necessity and importance of child restraint systems and let the secure and proper use of child restraint systems well known. 10 4.TASKS AHEAD (2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians and Cyclists Pedestrians accounts for the majority of deaths. With cyclists, they represent the half of all deaths Riding cars Death 32.9 Serious injuries 28.2 10.5 7.4 13.5 13.0 35.2 17.3 22.0 Riding motorcycles Riding mopeds 19.4 Riding bicycles Walking Slight injuries 64.5 0% 20% 40% 4.97.0 16.5 7.0 60% 80% Deaths and injuries by situation (2010) 100% Others 11 4.TASKS AHEAD (2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians and Cyclists The elderly age 65 or older and children of age 15 or younger find more deaths and injuries while walking or cycling than other age groups. Riding cars Age 65 or older Riding motorcycles Riding mopeds Age 16 to 64 Riding bicycles Walking Age 15 or younger Others 0% 50% 100% Ratio of deaths according to state and age 12 4.TASKS AHEAD (2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians and Cyclists In pedestrian-vehicle accidents, the rate of death significantly increases after the hazard recognition speed exceeds 30 km/h. 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Composition rate in pedestrian-vehicle accident according to dangerous acknowledgment speed (2008) 100% Composition rate 90% Deaths 80% Serious injuries 70% Slight injuries 60% Cumulative composition 50% rate Deaths 40% 30% Serious injuries 20% Slight injuries 10% Mortality rate 0% 13 4.TASKS AHEAD (2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians and Cyclists Enhance pedestrian protection regulations for motor vehicles Study the development and promotion of preventive safety technologies (Advanced emergency braking system(AEBS), intelligent speed adaptation (ISA), etc.) to prevent accidents and sufficiently reduce collision speed. 14 4.TASKS AHEAD (3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility With increasing environmental awareness, hybrid and electric vehicles are rapidly spreading. Lithium ion storage battery for automobile Workshop concerning quietness of hybrid vehicles We need to establish technical regulations on lithium-ion batteries and quietness of these vehicles while running. 15 4.TASKS AHEAD (3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility There is increasing interest in ultra-micro mobility as response to various needs such as increasing environmental awareness and mobility for the elderly. 16 4.TASKS AHEAD (3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility Two-seater ultra-micro mobilities cannot be provided with the same level of collision safety as other vehicles. If they run in the same manner as other vehicles in the general traffic environment and meet accidents, passengers may get severely damaged. However, we think that these ultra-micro mobilities offer features, advantages, and use of their own, just as motorcycles and currently used micro cars (of 50 cc or less) do. We find it appropriate to establish safety standards suited to the size and use of these vehicles; specifically, to study and develop standards on safety and driving performance, such as stability, based on the existing standards for micro cars. Based on the above, we need to check the impact of their running public roads by demonstration experiments and study desirable 17 fields of use, desired performance, etc. 4.TASKS AHEAD (3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility As for mobility assistance robots, firstly we need to check its acceptance by traffic community. We will keep studying this question based on the results of the demonstration experiments to be conducted in experimental zones starting 2011. 18 4.TASKS AHEAD (4)Prevent Serious Accidents Involving Large-Sized Vehicles Accidents involving large-sized vehicles are not many, but, once caused, they entail heavy damage. 3.0% 2.5% 2.6% High rate of death, heavy damage once caused 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 19 Death rates by type of vehicle involved (Primary party) in 2010 4.TASKS AHEAD (4)Prevent Serious Accidents Involving Large-Sized Vehicles Enhance support for or make mandatory the introduction of preventive safety technologies (AEBS, wobble-driving warning system, lane departure warning system (LDWS), etc.) into commercial vehicles. As to diseases that might suddenly strike and disable the driver from keeping driving, study technologies that bring the vehicles to a stop safely even if the driver has been attacked by such a disease, especially for vehicles carrying many passengers such as buses, and heavy-duty trucks and cranes, 20 etc. 5. OTHERS (1) Enhance Accident Studies To develop and spread preventive safety technologies and implement measures for the elderly, it is essential to study traffic accidents more in detail and clarify mechanisms of injury upon accident, driving and walking behaviors of the elderly, etc. Develop a system of collection and analysis of data that enables us to make the best use of drive recorders and event data recorders (EDR) providing detailed information on accident. In coordination with medical institutions, collect data on injury in accidents and emergency medical care. Share data among parties concerned and develop detailed vehicle safety measures based on the 21 results of analysis of such data. 5. OTHERS (2)Study How a Driver Assistance System Should be Preventive safety technologies are effective in reducing damage from traffic accidents, but drivers may depend too much on these technologies and fail to check safety themselves or go beyond the limits of their ability while driving. Hold comprehensive discussion and sort out opinions on the level of technical regulations, findings on drivers’ situations, design of driver assistance systems, etc., including legal issues. Make aggressive efforts to let the functions and use of preventive safety technologies well known to automobile users. 22 6. SETTING A NUMERICAL TARGET Based on the governmental target for 2018, we have set a target of reducing the number of victims by about one third measures. Reduce the number of traffic deaths (within 30 days) by 1,000 by 2020 (from the 2010 level) 23 Thank you for your attention 24 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism