Informal document No. WP.29-154-10 (154th WP.29, 21-24 June 2011, Agenda item 19) New Priorities of Japan -Future Measures for Vehicle Safety for a Society.

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Transcript Informal document No. WP.29-154-10 (154th WP.29, 21-24 June 2011, Agenda item 19) New Priorities of Japan -Future Measures for Vehicle Safety for a Society.

Informal document No. WP.29-154-10
(154th WP.29, 21-24 June 2011, Agenda item 19)
New Priorities of Japan
-Future Measures for Vehicle Safety for a
Society with No Traffic Accidents154th Session of WP.29
June 2011
1
Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism
CONTENTS
1. CURRENT STATUS
2. TARGET
3. CHANGING OF THE ENVIRONMENT
SURROUNDING MOTOR VEHICLES
4. TASKS AHEAD
(1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging
Population
(2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of
Pedestrians and Cyclists
(3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility
(4) Prevent Serious Accidents Involving LargeSized Vehicles
5. OTHERS
6. SETTING A NUMERICAL TARGET
2
1. CURRENT STATUS
Number of deaths
Number of deaths
Number of deaths within 30 days
16,000
Number of injuries
896,208
Number of deaths within 30 days
180
160
14,000
Number of accidents (in ten thousand)
140
12,000
Number of injuries (in ten thousands)
120
10,000
Number of vehicles in use (in millions)
100
8,000
80
6,000
60
4,000
2,000
0
Number of deaths
within 30 days
5,745
Number of deaths
4,863
40
20
Number of accidents (in ten thousands)
Number of injuries (in ten thousands)
Number of vehicles in use (in millions)
18,000
0
3
Evolution of traffic accidents
2.TARGET
 “We’ll reduce the number of deaths in traffic accidents to below 2,500 by
2018 and make Japan a country of highest traffic safety in the world. “
(January 2010, the Minister of State for Special Mission)
 “We’ll reduce the number of deaths within 24 hours to below 3 000 by
2015 aiming at eventually building a society with no traffic accidents. “
(March 2011, Ninth Fundamental Traffic Safety Program)
14.0
12.9
12 12
11.6
11
12.0
9.7
10.0
8.0
6.7 6.8 7.1
6.0
4.0
3.8 3.9 3.9
2.4
4.4 4.5 4.5
5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5
7.9
7.3 7.6
8.2 8.4
8.6 8.9 8.9
5.9
2.8
0.0
Japan(2018)
Japan(2015)
U.K.
Sweden
Netherlands
Norway
Japan
Switzerland
Germany
Finland
Iceland
Ireland
Denmark
Spain
Australia
France
Itary
Canada(2008)
Austria
Portugal
Hungary
Slovenia
Caech Republic
Belgium(2008)
New Zealand
Luxembourg
U.S.A.
Slovak Republic(2007)
Poland
South Korea
Greece
2.0
Traffic accident fatalities for 100,000 of population
4
3.CHANGING OF THE ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING
MOTOR VEHICLES
With the fastest aging population in the world and rapid spread
of hybrid and electric vehicles, the environment surrounding the
traffic community and motor vehicles is drastically changing.
14,000
50.0%
Number of total population
(In ten thousands)
40.0%
10,000
35.0%
8,000
30.0%
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Total population
総人口(万人)
25.0%
Rate of aging
高齢化率
20.0%
(In ten thousands)
Rate of Age 75 or
75歳以上人口割合
older
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
Rate of aging / age 75 or older
45.0%
12,000
5
Evolution of declining birthrate and aging population and future estimate
3.CHANGING OF THE ENVIRONMENT SURROUNDING
MOTOR VEHICLES
Electric vehicle
Number of vehicles in use
Number of vehicles in use
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
6
4.TASKS AHEAD
Index
(1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population
300
250
200
Male Age 24 or younger
Female Age24 or younger
Male Age 24 to 64
Female Age 24 to 64
Male Age 65 or older
Female Age 65 or older
150
100
50
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Evolution of number of license holders according to age by sex (Index)
7
4.TASKS AHEAD
(1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population
Number of accident
250,000
200,000
Age 65 or older
Age 40 to 49
Age 16 to 24
Age 60 to 64
Age 30 to 39
Age 50 to 59
Age 25 to 29
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Evolution of the number of traffic accidents by age group
(primary party, including moped drivers)
8
4.TASKS AHEAD
(1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population
 With the aging of the population, the number of elderly drivers and the
number of traffic accidents caused by this age group has been increasing.
 Develop and spread passenger
protection technologies responsive
to the needs of the elderly, etc.
 Develop and spread driver
assistance systems responsive to
the needs of elderly drivers.
9
4.TASKS AHEAD
(1) Respond to the Declining Birthrate and Aging Population
 Child restraint systems are used by 60% of vehicles, but
60% of those are used incorrectly.
(%) 100
80
36.7
36.2
36.5
60
40
20
proper use
63.3
63.8
63.5
Baby
Infant
Baby and infant
Child restraint
systems( for baby / for
infant) installation
miss use
0
 Enhance activities among automobile
users to raise their awareness of the
necessity and importance of child restraint
systems and let the secure and proper use
of child restraint systems well known.
10
4.TASKS AHEAD
(2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians
and Cyclists
 Pedestrians accounts for the majority of deaths.
With cyclists, they represent the half of all deaths
Riding cars
Death
32.9
Serious injuries
28.2
10.5 7.4 13.5
13.0
35.2
17.3
22.0
Riding
motorcycles
Riding mopeds
19.4
Riding bicycles
Walking
Slight injuries
64.5
0%
20%
40%
4.97.0 16.5 7.0
60%
80%
Deaths and injuries by situation (2010)
100%
Others
11
4.TASKS AHEAD
(2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians
and Cyclists
 The elderly age 65 or older and children of age 15 or
younger find more deaths and injuries while walking or
cycling than other age groups.
Riding cars
Age 65 or older
Riding
motorcycles
Riding mopeds
Age 16 to 64
Riding bicycles
Walking
Age 15 or younger
Others
0%
50%
100%
Ratio of deaths according to state and age
12
4.TASKS AHEAD
(2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians
and Cyclists
 In pedestrian-vehicle accidents, the rate of death significantly
increases after the hazard recognition speed exceeds 30 km/h.
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Composition rate in pedestrian-vehicle accident according to
dangerous acknowledgment speed (2008)
100% Composition rate
90%
Deaths
80%
Serious injuries
70%
Slight injuries
60%
Cumulative composition
50% rate
Deaths
40%
30%
Serious injuries
20%
Slight injuries
10%
Mortality rate
0%
13
4.TASKS AHEAD
(2) Prevent Involvements and Reduce Damage of Pedestrians
and Cyclists
Enhance pedestrian protection
regulations for motor vehicles
Study the development and promotion
of preventive safety technologies
(Advanced emergency braking
system(AEBS), intelligent speed
adaptation (ISA), etc.) to prevent
accidents and sufficiently reduce
collision speed.
14
4.TASKS AHEAD
(3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility
 With increasing environmental awareness, hybrid and electric
vehicles are rapidly spreading.
Lithium ion
storage battery
for automobile
Workshop
concerning
quietness of
hybrid vehicles
We need to establish technical
regulations on lithium-ion batteries
and quietness of these vehicles while
running.
15
4.TASKS AHEAD
(3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility
There is increasing interest in ultra-micro mobility
as response to various needs such as increasing
environmental awareness and mobility for the
elderly.
16
4.TASKS AHEAD
(3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility
 Two-seater ultra-micro mobilities cannot be provided with
the same level of collision safety as other vehicles. If they
run in the same manner as other vehicles in the general
traffic environment and meet accidents, passengers may get
severely damaged.
 However, we think that these ultra-micro
mobilities offer features, advantages, and use of
their own, just as motorcycles and currently
used micro cars (of 50 cc or less) do. We find it
appropriate to establish safety standards suited
to the size and use of these vehicles;
specifically, to study and develop standards on
safety and driving performance, such as stability,
based on the existing standards for micro cars.
 Based on the above, we need to check the
impact of their running public roads by
demonstration experiments and study desirable
17
fields of use, desired performance, etc.
4.TASKS AHEAD
(3) Respond to Needs for New Mobility
 As for mobility assistance robots, firstly we
need to check its acceptance by traffic
community. We will keep studying this
question based on the results of the
demonstration experiments to be
conducted in experimental zones starting
2011.
18
4.TASKS AHEAD
(4)Prevent Serious Accidents Involving Large-Sized Vehicles
 Accidents involving large-sized vehicles are not many, but,
once caused, they entail heavy damage.
3.0%
2.5%
2.6%
High rate of death, heavy
damage once caused
2.0%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.9%
0.5%
0.8%
1.0%
0.0%
19
Death rates by type of vehicle involved (Primary party) in 2010
4.TASKS AHEAD
(4)Prevent Serious Accidents Involving Large-Sized Vehicles
Enhance support for or make mandatory the
introduction of preventive safety
technologies (AEBS, wobble-driving warning
system, lane departure warning system
(LDWS), etc.) into commercial vehicles.
As to diseases that might suddenly strike
and disable the driver from keeping driving,
study technologies that bring the vehicles
to a stop safely even if the driver has been
attacked by such a disease, especially for
vehicles carrying many passengers such as
buses, and heavy-duty trucks and cranes,
20
etc.
5. OTHERS
(1) Enhance Accident Studies
 To develop and spread preventive safety technologies and
implement measures for the elderly, it is essential to study
traffic accidents more in detail and clarify mechanisms of injury
upon accident, driving and walking behaviors of the elderly, etc.
 Develop a system of collection and analysis of
data that enables us to make the best use of drive
recorders and event data recorders (EDR)
providing detailed information on accident.
 In coordination with medical institutions, collect
data on injury in accidents and emergency
medical care.
 Share data among parties concerned and develop
detailed vehicle safety measures based on the
21
results of analysis of such data.
5. OTHERS
(2)Study How a Driver Assistance System Should be
 Preventive safety technologies are effective in reducing
damage from traffic accidents, but drivers may depend too
much on these technologies and fail to check safety
themselves or go beyond the limits of their ability while driving.
 Hold comprehensive discussion and sort out
opinions on the level of technical regulations,
findings on drivers’ situations, design of driver
assistance systems, etc., including legal issues.
 Make aggressive efforts to let the functions and
use of preventive safety technologies well known
to automobile users.
22
6. SETTING A NUMERICAL TARGET
 Based on the governmental target for 2018, we
have set a target of reducing the number of victims
by about one third measures.
Reduce the number of traffic deaths
(within 30 days) by 1,000 by 2020
(from the 2010 level)
23
Thank you for your attention
24
Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism