Transcript Tom Peters’ Re-Imagine! Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age KPMG/New York/02.11.2004 Slides at … tompeters.com.

Tom Peters’
Re-Imagine!
Business Excellence
in a Disruptive Age
KPMG/New York/02.11.2004
Slides at …
tompeters.com
It is the foremost task—
and responsibility—
of our generation to
re-imagine our
enterprises, private
and public. —from the
Foreword, Re-imagine
1. All Bets
Are Off.
“Uncertainty is the only
thing to be sure of.” —Anthony Muh,
head of investment in Asia, Citigroup Asset Management
“If you don’t like change,
you’re going to like
irrelevance even less.” —General Eric
Shinseki, Chief of Staff,
U. S. Army
“September 11 amounts to
World War III—the third
great totalitarian challenge
to open societies in the last
100 years.” —Thomas
Friedman/NYT/01.08.2004
“The World Must
Learn to Live with
a Wide-awake
China”
—Headline/FT/11.03
“14 MILLION
service jobs are in
danger of being
shipped overseas” —
The Dobbs Report/USN&WR/11.03/re new UCB
study
“There is no job
that is America’s
God-given right
anymore.”
—Carly Fiorina/ HP/
01.08.2004
“There will be more
confusion in the
business world in the next
decade than in any decade in
history. And the current pace of
change will only accelerate.”
Steve Case
“We have no future because
our present is too volatile.
We have only risk
management. The spinning
of the given moment’s
scenarios. Pattern
recognition.” —from William Gibson,
Pattern Recognition
“What is it that distinguishes the thousands of years
of history from what we think of as modern times?
The answer goes way beyond the progress of science,
technology, capitalism and democracy. … The
revolutionary idea that defines the boundary between
modern times and the past is the mastery of risk: the
notion that the future is more than a whim of the gods
and that men and women are not passive before
nature. [ Thinkers like Luca Paccioli, Jacob Bernoulli
and Abraham de Moivre] converted risk-taking into
one of the prime catalysts that drives modern Western
society and in the process converted the future from
an enemy into an opportunity.” —Peter Bernstein, Against the
Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
2. The
Destruction
Imperative.
Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39
members of the Class of ’17 were alive
in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100
“survivors” underperformed the market
by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak,
outperformed the market 1917 to 1987.
S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were
alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957
to 1997.
Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why
Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market
Rate of Leaving F500
1970-1990:
Source: The Company, John Micklethwait & Adrian
Wooldridge (1974-200: One-half biggest 100 disappear)
“The corporation as we know it,
which is now 120 years old, is
not likely to survive the
next 25 years. Legally and
financially, yes, but not
structurally and economically.”
Peter Drucker, Business 2.0
Survivors
underperform.”
“It’s just a fact:
—Dick Foster
“Good management was the
most powerful reason [leading
firms] failed to stay atop their
industries. Precisely because these firms
listened to their customers, invested aggressively in
technologies that would provide their customers more
and better products of the sort they wanted, and
because they carefully studied market trends and
systematically allocated investment capital to
innovations that promised the best returns, they lost
their positions of leadership.”
Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Forget>“Learn”
“The problem is never how
to get new, innovative
thoughts into your mind,
but how to get the old
ones out.”
Dee Hock
No Wiggle Room!
“Incrementalism
is innovation’s
worst enemy.”
Nicholas Negroponte
Just Say No …
“I don’t intend to be
known as the ‘King of
the Tinkerers.’ ”
CEO, large financial services company
3. The White
Collar Revolution
& the Death of
Bureaucracy.
Steel: 75 million tons in ’82 to
102 million tons in ’02.
289,000 steelworkers in ’82 to
74,000 steelworkers in ’02.
Source: Fortune/11.24.03
E.g. …
Jeff Immelt: 75% of “admin, back
room, finance” “digitalized” in
years.
Source: BW (01.28.02)
“Don’t own nothin’
if you can help it.
If you can, rent
your shoes.”
F.G.
“Organizations will still be
critically important in the world,
but as ‘organizers,’ not
‘employers’!” — Charles Handy
Ford: “Vehicle
brand
owner” (“design, engineer, and
market, but not actually make”)
Source: The Company, John Micklethwait & Adrian Wooldridge
4. IS/ IT/
Web … “On the
Bus” or “Off the
Bus.”
square feet
“Our entire facility is digital. No paper, no film, no
medical records. Nothing. And it’s all integrated—from the lab to
X-ray to records to physician order entry. Patients don’t have to
wait for anything. The information from the physician’s office is
in registration and vice versa. The referring physician is
immediately sent an email telling him his patient has shown up.
… It’s wireless in-house. We have 800 notebook computers that
are wireless. Physicians can walk around with a computer that’s
pre-programmed. If the physician wants, we’ll go out and wire
their house so they can sit on the couch and connect to the
network. They can review a chart from 100 miles away.” —David
Veillette, CEO, Indiana Heart Hospital (HealthLeaders/12.2002)
“Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Information Systems Agency, made
one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office
quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The
implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the
years ahead.
“The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an
ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether
to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to
give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used
satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based
targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective.
“In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen
(much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the
real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures
to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly together.
Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure
network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business 2.0/
OCT2002
“Ebusiness is about rebuilding
the organization from the
ground up. Most companies today
are not built to exploit the Internet.
Their business processes, their
approvals, their hierarchies, the
number of people they employ … all of
that is wrong for running an
ebusiness.”
Ray Lane, Kleiner Perkins
5. The “PSF
Solution”:
The Professional
Service Firm Model.
“ Daddy,
what do you do?”
Sarah:
“I’m a ‘cost
center.’ ”
Daddy:
Answer: PSF!
[Professional Service Firm]
Department Head
to …
Managing Partner,
HR [IS, etc.] Inc.
TP to HRMAC:
You are the …
Rock Stars
of the Age of
Talent!
DD$21M
6. The Heart of the Value
Added Revolution:
PSFs Unbound/ The
“Solutions
Imperative.”
“The ‘surplus society’ has a surplus of
similar companies, employing
similar people, with similar
educational backgrounds, coming up
with similar ideas, producing
similar things, with similar prices
and similar quality.”
Kjell Nordström and Jonas Ridderstråle, Funky Business
“We make over three new
product announcements a
day. Can you remember
them? Our
customers
can’t!”
Carly Fiorina
09.11.2000: HP bids
$18,000,000,000
for
PricewaterhouseCoopers
consulting business!
“These days, building
the best server isn’t
enough. That’s the
price of entry.”
Ann Livermore, Hewlett-Packard
Systems
Integrator of
choice. Global Services:
Gerstner’s IBM:
$35B. Pledge/’99: Business
Partner Charter. 72 strategic partners,
aim for 200. Drop many in-house
programs/products. (BW/12.01).
“UPS wants to take over the
sweet spot in the endless loop
of goods, information and
capital that all the packages
[it moves] represent.”
ecompany.com/06.01 (E.g., UPS Logistics
manages the logistics of 4.5M Ford vehicles,
from 21 mfg. sites to 6,000 NA dealers)
7. A World of
Scintillating
“Experiences.”
“Experiences are as
distinct from services
as services are from
goods.”
Joseph Pine & James Gilmore, The Experience Economy:
Work Is Theatre & Every Business a Stage
“Club Med
is more
than just a ‘resort’; it’s a
means of rediscovering
oneself, of inventing an
entirely new ‘me.’ ”
Source: Jean-Marie Dru, Disruption
“The [Starbucks] Fix” Is on …
“We have identified a ‘third
place.’ And I really believe that
sets us apart. The third place is
that place that’s not work or
home. It’s the place our
customers come for refuge.”
Nancy Orsolini, District Manager
Experience: “Rebel Lifestyle!”
“What we sell is the ability for
a 43-year-old accountant to
dress in black leather, ride
through small towns and have
people be afraid of him.”
Harley exec, quoted in Results-Based Leadership
WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU?
Duet … Whirlpool … “washing machine” to
“fabric care system” … white goods: “a sea of
undifferentiated boxes” … $400 to $1,300 …
“the Ferrari of washing machines” …
consumer: “They are our little mechanical
buddies. They have personality. When they are
running efficiently, our lives are running
efficiently. They are part of my family.” …
“machine as aesthetic showpiece” … “laundry
room” to “family studio” / “designer laundry
room” (complements Sub-Zero refrigerator and
home-theater center)
Source: New York Times Magazine/01.11.2004
8. “It” all adds up
to … THE
BRAND.
“WHO ARE
WE?”
“WHAT’S
OUR
STORY?”
“We are in the twilight of a society based on data. As
information and intelligence become the domain of
computers, society will place more value on the one
human ability that cannot be automated: emotion.
Imagination, myth, ritual - the language of emotion will affect everything from our purchasing decisions
Companies will
thrive on the basis of their stories
and myths. Companies will need to understand
to how we work with others.
that their products are less important than
their stories.”
Rolf Jensen, Copenhagen Institute for Future Studies
9. Boss Job One:
The Talent
Obsession.
Brand =
Talent.
“When land was the scarce
resource, nations battled
over it. The same is
happening now for
talented people.”
Stan Davis & Christopher Meyer, futureWEALTH
“The Creative Class derives its
identity from its members’ roles as
purveyors of creativity. Because
creativity is the driving force of
economic growth, in terms of
influence the Creative Class has
become the dominant class in
society.” —Richard Florida, The Rise of the Creative
Class (38M, 30%)
Age of Agriculture
Industrial Age
Age of Information Intensification
Age of Creation Intensification
Source: Murikami Teruyasu, Nomura Research Institute
Talent!
Tina Brown: “The
first thing
to do is to hire enough
talent that a critical mass
of excitement starts to
grow.”
Source: Business2.0/12.2002-01.2003
Model
25/8/53
Sports Franchise GM*
*48 = $500M
“The leaders of Great
Groups love talent and know
where to find it. They revel in
the talent of others.”
Warren Bennis & Patricia Ward Biederman,
Organizing Genius
PARC’s Bob Taylor:
“Connoisseur
of Talent”
From “1, 2 or you’re out” [JW]
to …
“Best Talent in each
industry segment to build
best proprietary
intangibles” [EM]
Source: Ed Michaels, War for Talent
“Where do good new ideas come
from? That’s simple! From
differences. Creativity comes
from unlikely juxtapositions.
The best way to maximize differences
is to mix ages, cultures and
disciplines.”
Nicholas Negroponte
“Diversity defines the health
and wealth of nations in a new
century. Mighty is the mongrel. The hybrid is hip.
The impure, the mélange, the adulterated, the
blemished, the rough, the black-and-blue, the mixand-match – these people are inheriting the earth.
Mixing is the new norm. Mixing trumps isolation. It
spawns creativity, nourishes the human spirit, spurs
economic growth and empowers nations.”
G. Pascal Zachary, The Global Me:
New Cosmopolitans and the Competitive Edge
The Cracked Ones Let in the Light
“Our business needs a massive
transfusion of talent, and talent, I
believe, is most likely to be found
among non-conformists,
dissenters and rebels.”
David Ogilvy
“AS LEADERS, WOMEN
RULE: New Studies find
that female managers
outshine their male
counterparts in almost
every measure”
Title, Special Report, BusinessWeek, 11.20.00
Women’s Strengths Match New Economy
Imperatives: Link [rather than rank] workers;
favor interactive-collaborative leadership style
[empowerment beats top-down decision making];
sustain fruitful collaborations; comfortable with
sharing information; see redistribution of power
as victory, not surrender; favor multi-dimensional
feedback; value technical & interpersonal skills,
individual & group contributions equally; readily
accept ambiguity; honor intuition as well as pure
“rationality”; inherently flexible; appreciate
cultural diversity.
Source: Judy B. Rosener, America’s Competitive Secret: Women Managers
“Risk Work”
Job 1: TALENT
ACQUISITION!
10. THINK
WEIRD … the HVA/
High Value Added
Bedrock.
The
High Standard
Deviation
Enterprise.
THINK WEIRD:
Saviors-in-Waiting
Disgruntled Customers
Off-the-Scope Competitors
Rogue Employees
Fringe Suppliers
Wayne Burkan, Wide Angle Vision: Beat the Competition by Focusing on
Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees
CUSTOMERS: “Futuredefining customers may
account for only 2% to 3%
of your total, but they
represent a crucial
window on the future.”
Adrian Slywotzky, Mercer Consultants
COMPETITORS: “The
best swordsman
in the world doesn’t need to fear
the second best swordsman in the
world; no, the person for him to be afraid of is
some ignorant antagonist who has never had a
sword in his hand before; he doesn’t do the
thing he ought to do, and so the expert isn’t
prepared for him; he does the thing he ought not
to do and often it catches the expert out and
ends him on the spot.”
Mark Twain
Employees: “Are there
enough weird
people in the lab these
days?”
V. Chmn., pharmaceutical house, to a lab director (06.01)
Kevin Roberts’ Credo
1. Ready. Fire! Aim.
2. If it ain’t broke ... Break it!
3. Hire crazies.
4. Ask dumb questions.
5. Pursue failure.
6. Lead, follow ... or get out of the way!
7. Spread confusion.
8. Ditch your office.
9. Read odd stuff.
10. Avoid moderation!
Innovation Index: How
many of your Top 5
Strategic Initiatives score
7 or higher (out of 10) on
a “Weirdness/Profundity
Scale”?
11. Leading in Totally
Screwed Up Times: The
Passion Imperative.
“Ninety percent of what
we call ‘management’
consists of making it
difficult for people to get
things done.” – P.D.
Quests!
Organizing Genius / Warren Bennis and Patricia
Ward Biederman
“Groups become great only when
everyone in them, leaders and
members alike, is free to do his or her
absolute best.”
“The best thing a leader can do for a
Great Group is to allow its members to
discover their greatness.”
“I’m not comfortable
unless
I’m uncomfortable.”
—Jay
Chiat
“If things seem
under control,
you’re just not
going
fast enough.”
Mario Andretti
“I’m looking for
insane
commitment.”
—Twyla
Tharp, The Creative Habit
“Management has a lot to do
with answers. Leadership is a
function of questions. And the
first question for a leader
always is: ‘Who do we intend
to be?’ Not ‘What are we going
to do?’ but ‘Who do we intend to
be?’” —Max DePree, Herman Miller
Hackneyed but none the less
LEADERS SEE
CUPS AS “HALF
FULL.”
true:
“[Ronald
Reagan] radiated an
almost transcendent
happiness.”
Half-full Cups:
Lou Cannon, George (08.2000)
“Create a
‘cause,’ not a
‘business.’ ”
G.H.:
CEO Assignment2002 (Bermuda):
“Please leap forward to 2007, 2012, or
2022, and write a business history of
What will have
been said about your
company during your
tenure?”
Bermuda.
Ah, kids: “What is your vision for
the future?” “What have you
accomplished since your first
book?” “Close your eyes and
imagine me immediately doing
something about what you’ve
just said. What would it be?”
“Do you feel you have an
obligation to ‘Make the world a
better place’?”
“You must be
the change you
wish to see in the
world.”
Gandhi