Slide 1

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 2

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 3

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 4

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 5

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 6

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 7

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 8

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 9

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 10

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 11

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 12

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 13

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14


Slide 14

How Statistics Shows
the Crisis?
Prof. Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President
of Central Statistical Office

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INDIVIDUAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (corresponding period of previous year = 100)

124,0

individual consumption expenditure
gross fixed capital formation

121,0
GDP

118,0
115,0
112,0
109,0
106,0
103,0
100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Gross Domestic Product
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)

109,0

GDP

GDP 2000

106,0

103,0

100,0
I

II

III
2006

IV

I

II

III
2007

IV

I

II

III
2008

IV

I
2009

Inflation
PRICE INDICES OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
106,0
105,0
104,0
103,0
102,0
101,0
100,0
99,0
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006

2007

2008

2009

Foreign Trade
FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER AND EURO EXCHANGE RATE

mln EUR

in PLN

14000
13000

520
exports

imports

100 EUR

480

12000

440

11000

400

10000

360

9000

320

8000

280

7000

240

6000

200

5000

160

4000
3000

120

2000

80

1000

40

0

0
I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VIIVIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V
2006
2007
2008
2009

Production
SOLD PRODUCTION OF INDUSTRY
(corresponding period of previous year = 100)
120,0
118,0
116,0
114,0
112,0
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
96,0
94,0
92,0
90,0
88,0
86,0
84,0
82,0

114,4

107,3

seasonally adjusted data
seasonally unadjusted data

92,0
87,6

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II

III IV

2009

Labour
RELATION OF THE NUMBER OF THE PERSONS WHO DID NOT WORK (unemployed and economically
inactive persons) TO EMPLOYED PERSONS (per 1000 persons, LFS)
1300
1225

1200

1169
1120
1103

1105

1100

1068
1033

1021

1025
998

997

1000
961

961

Q. III

Q. IV

900
Q. I
2006

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2007

Q. II

Q. III

Q. IV

Q. I
2008

Q. II

Q. I
2009

Wages
AVERAGE MONTHLY GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
114,0
nominal
112,0
real
110,0
108,0
106,0
104,0
102,0
100,0
98,0
I

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2006

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2008

II III IV
2009

Loans
CONSUMPTION LOANS
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)

136,0

134,5

132,0

128,0

128,0
124,0
120,0
116,0
112,0
108,0
104,0
100,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I
2007

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Sales
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS
AND AVERAGE GROSS WAGES AND SALARIES IN ENTERPRISE SECTOR
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
124,0
retail sales

120,0
wages and salaries

116,0
114,6
112,0
108,8
108,0

104,0

101,1

100,0
99,3
96,0
I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2006

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2007

I

II

III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2008

I

II

III IV

2009

Enterprises

number of units

NEWLY REGISTERED ENTITIES OF NATIONAL ECONOMY
BY SELECTED SECTION (NACE Rev. 1.1)

40 000
35 000

I-V 2008

30 000

I-V 2009

NEW REGISTERED:
I-V 2008 – 129 169
I-V 2009 – 120 409

25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
manufacturing construction

trade and
repair

hotels and
restaurants

transport,
financial
real estate,
storage and intermediation renting and
communication
business
activities

education

health and
social work

other
community,
social and
personal
service
activities

Fuels and Vehicles
RETAIL SALES OF GOODS BY TYPE OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITY
(corresponding period of the previous year = 100)
146,0
142,0
138,0
134,0
130,0
126,0
122,0
118,0
114,0
110,0
106,0
102,0
98,0
94,0
90,0
86,0
82,0
78,0
74,0

motor vehicles,
motorcycles, parts
solid, liquid and gaseous
fuels

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII
2008

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

I

II

III
2009

IV

V

Economic Sentiment Index
Do we face
recession?
Wskaźnik syntetyczny
koniunktury
gospodarczej
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75

05-09

01-09

09-08

05-08

01-08

09-07

05-07

01-07

09-06

05-06

01-06

09-05

05-05

01-05

09-04

05-04

01-04

70

Prof. Zofia Barbara Liberda
Adviser to the President of Central Statistical Office

Contact:
T: (22) 608 31 40
F: (22) 825 82 83
M: (48) 606 288 160
E: [email protected]

14