Transcript CCIM Education - Colin Fox & Associates
Slide 1
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 2
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 3
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 4
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 5
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 6
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 7
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 8
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 9
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 10
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 11
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 12
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 13
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 14
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 15
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 16
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 17
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 18
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 19
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 20
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 21
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 22
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 23
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 24
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 25
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 26
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 27
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 28
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 29
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 30
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 31
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 32
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 33
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 34
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 35
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 36
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 37
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 38
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 39
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 40
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 41
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 42
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 43
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 44
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 45
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 46
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 47
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 48
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 49
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 50
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 51
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 52
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 53
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 54
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 55
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 56
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 57
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 58
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 59
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 60
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 61
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 62
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 63
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 64
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 65
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 66
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 67
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 68
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 69
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 70
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 71
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 72
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 73
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 74
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 75
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 76
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 77
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 78
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 79
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 80
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 81
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 82
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 83
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 84
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 85
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 86
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 87
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 88
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 2
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 3
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 4
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 5
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 6
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 7
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 8
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 9
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 10
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 11
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 12
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 13
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 14
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 15
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 16
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 17
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 18
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 19
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 20
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 21
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 22
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 23
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 24
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 25
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 26
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 27
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 28
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 29
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 30
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 31
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 32
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 33
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 34
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 35
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 36
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 37
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 38
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 39
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 40
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 41
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 42
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 43
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 44
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 45
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 46
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 47
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 48
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 49
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 50
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 51
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 52
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 53
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 54
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 55
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 56
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 57
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 58
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 59
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 60
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 61
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 62
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 63
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 64
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 65
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 66
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 67
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 68
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 69
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 70
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 71
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 72
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 73
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 74
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 75
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 76
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 77
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 78
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 79
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 80
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 81
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 82
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 83
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 84
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 85
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 86
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 87
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
•
•
•
•
•
•
Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
•
•
•
•
Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
•
•
•
•
Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM
Slide 88
From Dirt to Disposition
Transaction Power Tools
Colin Fox, CCIM
www.colinfox.com
Transaction Objective
Analyze and Sell a 115,297 SqFt Class A
Office Building located in the NASA Clear
Lake submarket of Houston, TX
Power Tools
Part 1
CCIM Education
Part 2
Site Analysis
Part 3
Financial Analysis
Part 4
Marketing
Part 1 – CCIM Education
CCIM Designation -
• The CCIM Professional
A Certified Commercial Investment Member
(CCIM) is a recognized expert in the
disciplines of commercial and investment
real estate.
The CCIM Institute is an affiliate of NAR, the
largest trade association in the world.
Part 1 - CCIM Education
• The
CCIM
Professional
The CCIM
Professional
“Until I went through CCIM
training, I didn’t know what I didn’t
know.”
Investment Real Estate Education
• Introduction to Commercial
Investment Real state Analysis
• Financial Analysis 101
• Market Analysis 102
• User Decision Analysis 103
• Investment Analysis 104
Global Influence of CCIM Education
•
•
•
•
•
•
Over 180 Course Offerings Annually
Primary and Secondary Markets
7,000 Students
30 Countries
Three Continents
20% of New Designees are International
The Fortunate 1000
The Making of a CCIM
•
•
•
•
200 Classroom Hours
Portfolio of Transactions $$$$
Elective Credits
8-hour Comprehensive Exam
CCIM – The Green Factor
CCIM members
conduct more than
$400 billion
in transactions
annually.
CCIM Profile
Broker
Property Manager
Asset Manager
Corporate Real Estate
Developer/Investor
$400 Billion
annually
Appraiser
Other
Knowledge is Power – Francis Bacon
Coming Soon Knowledge Management System
•
•
•
•
•
Updated Course Material
Publications and Articles
Specialty Chat Rooms
Financing Rate Sheets and Resourses
Google like Search Engine
Part 2 – Site Analysis
The real estate industry has always known
geography matters—after all, real estate
practitioners coined the phrase "location,
location, location."
Introducing CCIM’s STDB (Site To Do
Business) Power Tools
These tools provide an integrated system
offering:
• Mapping Tools
• Demographics
• Property Residual Demand Analysis
• Business Lists
Mapping Tools – The Power of GIS
A Geographic Information System (GIS) is a
set of computerized tools (including both
hardware and software) for collecting,
storing, retrieving, transforming, and
displaying spatial data.
GIS is essentially a marriage between
computerized mapping and database
management systems.
Better Business Decisions
GIS intelligence systems bring marketing
analysis tools and demographic data
products together to offer powerful ways to
compete in today's business strategies.
GIS provides essential marketing and
customer intelligence solutions that lead to
better business decisions.
Understanding the Data with GIS
One of the most important methods of
evaluating the present and future value of real
estate requires analyzing underlying population
and economic factors.
To help clients easily visualize demographic
and economic data, we can now use a GIS
format that provides demographic thematically
colored maps that may include additional
information such as retail consumer spending
and traffic counts.
Site specific areas can be studied using circles,
polygons or drive-times.
Getting the Picture with GIS
Simply stated:
Think of GIS as a powerful presentation tool. A
GIS creates high quality maps that communicate
considerable amounts of information in an
efficient and attention-getting manner.
"A picture is worth a thousand words."
Aerial Photographs provided by
Google (Orthorectified & Geocoded)
High Impact Value of GIS
Example of the high impact value of GIS
involving a landfill environmental problem
using ESRI ArcScene and ArcGIS 3D
Analyst
Please pause for the video to start
CCIMNet – Property Flyover
Please pause for video to start
Development Planning with GIS
Interactive solution for office and retail selection
Demographics
These tools allow an analyst to easily:
• Compare market areas
• Analyze competition
• Provide sophisticated exhibits for use in
appraisal and consulting assignments.
Where does the data come from?
• Applied Geographic Solutions provides the
majority of data from the 2000 Census and retains
a core variable set from the 1990, 1980 and 1970
Census.
Getting Started – Selecting Geography
The next several slides depict screen shots from
the STDB.
The selecting of geography is the first step in
obtaining demographics.
STDB Web Site
Types of Geographies – MSAs
Types of Geographies – States
Types of Geographies – Counties/Boroughs
Juneau, Alaska
Types of Geographies – US Cities
Woonsocket, RI
Types of Geographies – Zip Codes
Types of Geographies – Census Tracts
1,000 – 8,000 people
(4,000 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Block Groups
300 – 3,000 people
(1,500 people ideal)
Types of Geographies – Radii
Data from 0 to 1
mile from center
Data from 0 to 5
miles from
center
Data from 1-3 miles
around center
Types of Geographies – Drive times
Types of Geographies – Polygons
Demographics Reports
• Comprehensive Demographics (±9500 variables)
• Numerous Geographical Areas
• Summary, Comparison, and Ranking Reports
(Customizable)
Demographic Express Packages
To make life easier STDB has created site
analysis express package templates for the
following property types:
• Office
• Industrial
• Multi-Family
• Senior Housing / Single Family
• Self-Storage
• Retail
• Hotel / Motel
Note: Templates are customizable
Office Express Package
This package contains 13 reports, including 7 maps:
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Executive Demographic
Business Summary
Demographic Snapshot
Household Detail
Income
Population & Education
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
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Maps Reports:
2004 Employee Density Map
2004 Median Household Income Map
2004 Owner Occupied Units Map
2004 Population Density Map
2009 Average Household Income Map
2009 Population Density Map
Office Express Package
Executive Demographic Report
The current year population in this selected geography
is 135,349. The 2000 Census revealed a population of
123,659, and in 1990 it was 88,807 representing a
39.24% change. It is estimated that the population in
this area will be 149,251 in 2009, representing a
change of 10.27% from 2004.
The current population is 50.46% male and 49.54%
female. In 2004, the median age of the population in
this area was 35.4, compared to the MSA_3360
median age which was 32.8. The population density in
your area is 1,723.3 people per square mile.
Office Express Package
Business Summary Report
Office Express Package
Population and Education Report
Office Express Package
MOSAIC Summary with Chart
Sample Maps – 2004 Employee Density
Sample Maps – Avg Household Networth
Office Residual Demand Analysis
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Look at supply side information from local office market.
Determine demand.
Examine interaction between supply and demand.
Project what net over or under supply will be five years from now.
Note: Residual Demand Reports also available for:
•
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Multi-family
Retail
Industrial
Subdivision (Coming Soon)
Single Family (Coming Soon)
Supply Factors Data Source
Data based on 1st Quarter 2005 market survey
by Colliers International and could vary if another
source was used such as CoStar, Cushman and
Wakefield, CBRE or Property & Portfolio
Research.
Supply Factors Data Source
Sample of Property & Portfolio Research Report
Supply Factors Report
Net office space leased in Houston
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket
Supply Factors Report
Vacancy factor for submarket by Class
Demand Analysis
What Creates Demand?
Population
Households
Housing
Income
Buying Power
Retail SF
Jobs
% Use Office
Office SF
Jobs
% Use Industrial
Industrial SF
Office Residual Demand Template
The Site to Do Business has built-in templates so
that the *pertinent demographic information on the
demand side self-populates. Saves time and input
errors.
*Pertinent information relates to jobs and is
included in the Business Summary Report.
Office Residual Demand Report Input Screen
Office Residual Demand Report
O ffic e R e s id u a l D e m a n d A n a ly s is
C u rre n t Y e a r
+ 5 Y e a rs
2 ,1 0 4 ,9 1 6
2 ,3 4 5 ,4 9 4
T o ta l E m p lo y m e n t
P e rc e n t O c c u p y in g O ffic e S p a c e
34%
34%
T o ta l E m p lo y e d in O ffic e S p a c e
7 1 5 ,6 7 1
7 9 7 ,4 6 8
A v e ra g e S q u a re F e e t p e r E m p lo y e e
245
245
T o ta l O ffic e D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t
1 7 5 ,3 3 9 ,5 0 3
1 9 5 ,3 7 9 ,6 5 0
3 .1 3 %
3 .1 3 %
5 ,4 8 8 ,1 2 6
6 ,1 1 5 ,3 8 3
1 7 .4 %
1 7 .4 %
9 5 4 ,9 3 4
1 ,0 6 4 ,0 7 7
5%
5%
T o ta l D e m a n d b y B u ild in g T y p e
1 ,0 0 5 ,1 9 4
1 ,1 2 0 ,0 8 1
C u rre n t C o m p e titiv e S q u a re F e e t
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
1 ,0 8 1 ,0 0 0
E s tim a te d N e w C o n s tru c tio n
0
0
S u p p ly to b e R e m o v e d ( D e m o litio n )
0
0
( 7 5 ,8 0 6 )
3 9 ,0 8 1
E s tim a te d P e rc e n t C a p tu re N A S A / C le a r L a k e
T o ta l D e m a n d in S q u a re F e e t F ro m E m p lo y e e s in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
E s tim a te d P e rc e n ta g e D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g s
E s tim a te d T o ta l D e m a n d fo r C la s s A B u ild in g in N A S A / C le a r L a k e A re a
F ric tio n a l V a c a n c y
N e t ( E x c e s s ) S h o rta g e
C u rre n t y e a r d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 4 , 5 y e a r p ro je cte d d a ta is fo r th e y e a r 2 0 0 9 .
D e m o g ra p h ic d a ta © 2 0 0 4 b y E x p e ria n /A p p lie d G e o g ra p h ic S o lu tio n s.
Office Residual Demand Report
Conclusion:
Residual demand analysis shows currently an
oversupply in the market equal to about a 7%
vacancy rate.
Projection over next 5 years: as long as no
new supply is brought into area market there
will be about a 39,000 square foot shortage.
Occupancies will be high and rents will be
increasing.
This data serves as the basis of the financial
analysis.
Business List – Grocery Store
Map Showing Grocery Stores
Des Moines, Iowa
Part 3- Financial Analysis
ARGUS
Build Fortunes, Not Spreadsheets
Consistency. Transparency. Efficiency
ARGUS will increase productivity within your
organization by providing consistent standards for the
critical processes that drive real estate transactions.
With that consistency, you will achieve the asset and
market transparency necessary to be competitive in
today’s real estate industry, which ultimately provides
more efficient access to investors and lenders
worldwide.
ARGUS
• Quickly and accurately analyze commercial real estate
assets and transactions
• Understand market realities and risks
• Develop leasing strategies, business and marketing plans
• Forecast property and portfolio cash flows
• Calculate investment values and returns
• Share asset and transactional data with clients, partners
and colleagues
• Navigate complex international deal structures
Benefits of using ARGUS
Global standard
ARGUS is the recognized standard for national and
international developers, lenders, asset managers,
pension advisors, and investors. Using ARGUS will
provide more efficient access to these players.
- Don’t leave home without it!
Benefits of using ARGUS
Understandable and audit worthy
ARGUS documents your assumptions and supports
your financial conclusions with its standard reporting
of all input data, property and portfolio level summary
reports and detailed tenant by tenant supporting
schedules.
• ARGUS is the only financial analysis program that is
called valuation software and is the number 1 choice
for appraisers
Dashboard – key Performance Indicators
Property Summary
Rent Roll
Rent Roll
Lease Expiry Report
Market Leasing Assumptions
Presentation Rent Roll
Individual Loan & Debt Summary
Schedule of Cash Flow
Schedule of Cash Flow (Continued)
Part 4 – Marketing
Online Marketing Packages that include:
• More than 200 fields of information, tailored to each property type
• Multiple photos with captions
• Audio/video files, 360-degree tours and flyover movies
• Site maps, blueprints, floor plans, site plans, plat maps, topo maps and aerials
• Password-protected documents
• Suite availability and tenant profiles
• Geo-coded street maps
CCIMNet
One Click. Maximum Exposure. Enter your
property listings one time and market them on
multiple Web sites:
• CCIMNet
• More than fifty CCIM Chapter Web sites
• Local Commercial Information Exchanges (CIEs)
• Your Web site (SiteLink)
CCIMNet
Fastest CIE Solution in the Country
The Cityfeet Network
CCIMNet Listing
CCIMNet (SiteLink)
Transaction Management System
Provides a totally integrated solution for all parties
involved in the real estate transaction to
collaborate and coordinate, not only with each
other, but most importantly, with your client.
CCIM Transaction Management System
Network of Industry Leaders Collaboration Solution
Conclusion
“As this momentum continues, the localities,
currencies, and time constraints of buyers and
sellers will continue to diversify and even the most
old fashioned commercial real estate professional
will have to lie down at the altar of technology.”
Colin Fox, CCIM