Consequences for land use and water Plant/KeGr Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch Climate Change Impacts GHG emissions Vulnerability Mitigation Adaptation Context          No regret measures Precautionary principle CAP, WTO International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD,

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Transcript Consequences for land use and water Plant/KeGr Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch Climate Change Impacts GHG emissions Vulnerability Mitigation Adaptation Context          No regret measures Precautionary principle CAP, WTO International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD,

Slide 1

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 2

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 3

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 4

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 5

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 6

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 7

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 8

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 9

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 10

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use


Slide 11

Consequences for land use and water

Plant/KeGr
Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change

Impacts

GHG emissions

Vulnerability

Mitigation

Adaptation

Context












No regret measures
Precautionary principle
CAP, WTO
International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR)
Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W
Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6
Sustainable development and global change
Global change and ecosystems
Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies





Mitigation: emission reduction and C
sequestration
Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable
development
Variability & extremes: risk management & flip
over effects

Research questions


What are the combined effects of global change on
functions and services of land and water?



What can land and water management contribute to
mitigate climate change?



What is the interaction with current land and water
use and what are the social and economic
consequences?



What are barriers and opportunities to increase the
adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?



Impacts





Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO2, rainfall
Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion

Vulnerability



Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid,
peatlands.
Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with
economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors
(agr./forestry)

The role of Land use



Mitigation





carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture
emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry

Adaptation



changes in farm and forest management
changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water


Mitigation




ground water management in peat lands

Adaptation




Water resource conservation
“ruimte voor water”
Risk management

Wageningen/CCB


The Carbon Challenge





conservation of existing C pools
sequestration by increasing the size of C pools
(forest, agriculture, land use change)

Adaptation (sustainable development)





Crop level (selection, stress tolerance)
Farm/forest level (management)
Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB



Water resources (co-operation with IVM and
CKO)







Acceleration of hydrological cycle
Floods and droughts
Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation
Ecosystems
Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB


Hotspots in the developing world





Densely populated (coastal) areas
Marginal areas

Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages)





Integrated natural resource management
Integrated water management
Multifunctional land use