La révolution numérique … un remède digital? Bruno Schroder BeLux Technology Officer Microsoft [email protected] @bruno_schroder • Qui parmi vous est un utilisateur de services internet ou cloud? •

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Transcript La révolution numérique … un remède digital? Bruno Schroder BeLux Technology Officer Microsoft [email protected] @bruno_schroder • Qui parmi vous est un utilisateur de services internet ou cloud? •

Slide 1

La révolution numérique … un
remède digital?

Bruno Schroder
BeLux Technology Officer
Microsoft

[email protected]
@bruno_schroder


Slide 2

• Qui parmi vous est un utilisateur de services
internet ou cloud?
• - oui
• - non


Slide 3

Qui parmi vous est un utilisateur de
services internet ou cloud?
86%

1 - oui
2-

non

14%


Slide 4

• Qui parmi vous utilise un smartphone?
• - oui
• - non


Slide 5

Qui parmi vous utilise un smartphone?
90%

1 - OUI
2 - NON

10%


Slide 6

• Qui parmi vous a un profil Facebook?
• - oui
• - non


Slide 7

Qui parmi vous a un profil Facebook?

1 - oui
2 - non

43%

57%


Slide 8

• Quelle sera l’augmentation de la puissance de
calcul des ordinateurs dans les 10 années à
venir?
• - de 1 à 10 fois plus puissants
• - de 10 à 100
• - de 100 à 1000
• - de 1000 à 10.000


Slide 9

Quelle sera l’augmentation de la
puissance de calcul des ordinateurs
dans les 10 années à venir?
1 - de 1 à 10 x + puissant
0%

2 - de 10 à 100
3 - de 100 à 1000
4 - de 1000 à 10.000

10%

17%
72%


Slide 10

Image of CPU


Slide 11

Top computer in 1999
Intel ASCI RED
•1 TeraFlops
•12TB de données
•9298 processeurs
•114 racks
•230M²
•Active till September 2005


Slide 12

10 Years Later …

512 GFLOPS
peak


Slide 13

June 2011: 10.5 petaflops
12 years of Moore’s law: 256
Real life: > 10.000
~ 3.000.000 in 25 years

• Asia has come out swinging
at the top of June 2011’s
Top500 list, which rates the
world’s fastest computers
based on the LINPACK
benchmark. Leading the list
is the K Computer, which
achieved 10.5 quadrillion
floating-point operations
per second (petaflops)
(Source: Communications
of the ACM, Copyright
2011)


Slide 14

+

A worldwide infrastructure
• Hotmail
• 1.3 billion mailboxes
• 155PB storage, growing 2PB per month (70.000 LTE)
• Windows Live Messenger
• 300 million users
• 76 countries, 48 languages
• ~40 million people simultaneous connections
• 9.9 billion messages a day via Windows Live Messenger





600 million unique users every month on Windows Live & MSN
1M Business Productivity Online Suite users in 36 countries & regions
5 petabytes of content served by Xbox Live during Christmas week
1 Petabyte+ of updates served every month by Windows Update to
millions of servers and hundreds of millions of PCs worldwide


Slide 15



http://www.petap
ixel.com/2011/07/
27/turning-theeye-into-acamera-sensor/


Slide 16

+

World changes:


Slide 17


Slide 18

• Indian entrepreneurs apply mass-production
techniques to sophisticated services. Aravind, the
world's biggest eye-hospital chain, performs 200,000
operations a year. Four operating tables are laid side by
side as two doctors operate on adjacent tables. When
the first operation is done, the second patient is
already in place. (Economist, April 2010) (link)
• Dr Shetty is only one of many Indians who are applying
Henry Ford’s principles to health care. LifeSpring has
reduced the cost of giving birth in a private hospital to
$40 by looking after many more mothers.


Slide 19

• Quel pourcentage de la population mondiale
dispose d’un GSM?
• 27%
• 47%
• 67%
• 87%


Slide 20

Quel pourcentage de la population
mondiale dispose d’un GSM?

1 - 27%
2 - 47%

10%

21%

45%

3 - 67%
4 - 87%

24%


Slide 21

Associated behavior, here

The power of anonymity and IT as social breaker


Slide 22

… and there.


Slide 23

• Quel pourcentage d’internautes a obtenu des
informations médicales en ligne?
• - 35%
• - 55%
• - 75%
• - 95%


Slide 24

Quel pourcentage d’internautes a
obtenu des informations médicales en
ligne?

1 - 35%
2 - 55%
3 - 75%
4 - 95%

11%

11%

46%

32%


Slide 25

• 75% of internet users have obtained health or
medical info online, more than those who
have checked news (71%), watched video
online (48%), and paid for digital content
(28%). (Pew, 2009)


Slide 26

The Social Proof



http://techcrunch.com/2011
/11/27/social-proof-whypeople-like-to-follow-thecrowd/


Slide 27

The Knowledge Paradox. Cooperation

The task is not so much
to see what no one yet has seen, but
to think what nobody has yet thought
about that which everyone sees
– Schopenhauer


Slide 28


Slide 29

• Twitter comme indexeur


Slide 30

• Facebook deviendra-t-il:
• - un centre de formation médicale continuée?
• - le lieu sécurisé des interactions avec les
patients
• - l’annuaire médical?


Slide 31

Facebook deviendra-t-il:
1 - un centre de formation médicale
continuée?

38%

2 - le lieu sécurisé des interactions avec les
patients

38%

3 - l’annuaire médical?

23%


Slide 32


Slide 33

CareMore





CareMore started over 15 years caring
for seniors as a Medical Group.
Years later, CareMore began serving
seniors as a Health Plan and continues to
do so today through our Provider
partners and as a Medical Group.
CareMore is dedicated to the senior
market in 3 states and we have plans for
future expansion.
http://www.caremore.com/About.aspx
http://www.facebook.com/CareMoreHea
lth


Slide 34

Healthcare Spending
• With technology and preventive measures,
CareMore - with its 26 care centers - has a
hospitalization rate that's 24% below average,
hospital stays that are 38% shorter, and am
amputation rate among diabetics that's 60%
lower than average. The overall member costs
are also 18% below the industry average
(CareMore, January 2011).
• The United States spends $2.1 trillion on health
care, $650 billion above expectations. (MGI,
November 2008) (link)


Slide 35


Slide 36

Doximity and Sermo
• Professional Networks
for Physicians
• Launched a little more
than a year ago, Doximity
now has 9% of all U.S.
physicians as members.
• Sermo has over 125,000+
physicians in 68
specialities
• https://www.doximity.co
m/
• http://www.sermo.com/

Recent Articles
Complex Disease Management: What’s
next for mHealth
LinkedIn Co-Founder Konstantin Guericke
Joins Doximity’s Board of Directors
Doximity Partners with Stanford on Alumni
App
Why Social Media is Just What the Doctor
Ordered
Now on Our Site: Doximity Product Videos
Why Online Social Networking Should
Change What We Know about Health Care
Social Media and Health Care: The Power
of Networked Physicians
The Rebirth of Primary Care
Doximity Notes from the Road: SXSW
Recap
Getting to a Better Patient Handoff


Slide 37

Que peut faire un smartphone?
• téléphoner
• diagnostiquer la malaria
• dépister le mélanome
• prise de tension
• ecg
• Stéthoscope


Slide 38

Que peut faire un Smartphone?
75%

1 - téléphoner
2 - diagnostiquer la malaria

59%
66%

3 - dépister le mélanome

4 - prendre la tension

56%

5 - un ecg

56%

6 - diagnostiquer une pneumonie
7 - un stéthoscope

47%
63%


Slide 39

Silver Edison Award

• http://eyenetra.com/netra-g.html


Slide 40

Anatomy Of A Handheld Hospital
1 Processor that can power a pacemaker
Smartphones run superfast (in excess of 1 GHz) without consuming much power, much like top-notch
pacemakers and cardiac defibrillators.
2 Display that can assess an ultrasound
The iPhone 4S's resolution (300 pixels per inch) is on par with most hospital-grade ultrasound monitors,
and small screen size won't matter once projection tech takes off.
3 Camera that can capture cells
The HD video camera, which shoots 30 frames per second, is more advanced than some of the ones in
colonoscopes, which doctors use to seek out potentially cancerous tissue.
4 Accelerometer that can guide physical therapy
The three-axis accelerometer captures the same subtle movements--tilts, shocks, rotations--as APDM
motion sensors, which are used to monitor patients' Parkinson's disease and help them through
physical therapy.
5 Microphone that can hear your heart
Because of its flat-frequency response rate--which drastically reduces noise distortion--a smartphone
mic (with help from an amplifying attachment) can detect a heartbeat almost as well as a $500
electronic stethoscope.



http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/162/health-industry-smartphones-tablets


Slide 41

Mobile Health
• In 2011, 14% of all adult Americans (approximately 31 million), up from
9%, will use a mobile health application to manage their health, wellness,
and chronic conditions. (IDC, December 2010) (link)
• 14% of adult Americans will use a mobile health application to manage
their health, wellness, and chronic conditions in 2011. (IDC, December
2010) (link)
• There are 17,000 mHealth applications in major app stores, 74% of them
adhering to the paid business model. (research2guidance, November
2010) (link)
• Ford researchers demonstrate a series of possible in-car health and
wellness connectivity services and apps aimed at helping people with
chronic illnesses or medical disorders such as diabetes, asthma or allergies
manage their condition while on the go. (Ford, May 2011)
• 500 million of 1.4 billion smartphone users in 2015 will be running some
kind of mobile healthcare application. (research2guidance, November
2010) (link)


Slide 42


Slide 43

• Shimba Technologies plans a Yelp-like feature for
mobile health app MedAfrica so that users can
comment on doctors in order to provide context
for who is better out of a "laundry list" of
providers (Technology Review, December 2011).
• Of ther 25,000 people who have downloaded
mobile health app MedAfrica between late
November and mid-December 2011, 60% are
"active users" (Shimba Technologies, December
2011).


Slide 44

Medical Records and Research


One vision of digital technologies bringing about true prevention includes telemonitoring moves
from mobile apps to nanosensors to measure BP, respiration, blood glucose, cholesterol, and other
physiological indicators (National Heart, Lung & Blood Institutde, December 2011).



A review of randomized studies of mobile apps for smoking cessation found that they helped in the
short term, but that there is insufficient research to determine long-term benefits (National Heart,
Lung & Blood Institute, December 2011).



By preemptively identifying who's in which half of the population that are helped by certain drugs,
genomics might keep patients, private insurers, and Medicare from wasting tens of billions of
dollars a year (Technology Review, December 2011).



Every minute of the most commonly used high-resolution video in surgeries generate 25 times the
data volume (per minute) of even the highest resolution still images such as CT scans, and each of
those still images already requires thousands of times more bytes than a single page of text or
numerical data. (McKinsey Global Institute, 2011)



More than 95% of the clinical data generated in health care is now video. Multimedia data already
accounts for more than half of Internet backbone traffic (i.e., the traffic carried on the largest
connections between major Internet networks), and this share is expected to grow to 70% by 2013.
(McKinsey Global Institute, 2011)


Slide 45

• 1,900 physicians in Ghana have logged 1M+
calls to patients since 2008 thanks to MDNet;
a system that allows users in Ghana and
Liberia to call or text doctors for free
(AfricaAid, December 2011).


Slide 46

• QuantifyMe
• HealthVault >< GoogleHealth


Slide 47

Big Data
• If the US health industry would use big data
creatively and effectively to drive efficiency
and quality, the potential value could be $300
billion every year, two-thirds of which would
be in the form of reducing national health care
expenditures by about 8%. (McKinsey Global
Institute, 2011)


Slide 48

Big Data/ Data analysis saves life
Uncovering New Ways the Human Immune
System Fights HIV
http://research.microsoft.com/enus/collaboration/stories/hiv_research_za.aspx

Adjusting Pneumonia Vaccination to Save Lives
http://research.microsoft.com/enus/collaboration/stories/pneumoniavaccination.aspx


Slide 49

A database that could save Healthcare:


On May 22 a new nonprofit called the Health
Care Cost Institute will roll out a database of 5
billion health insurance claims (all stripped of
the individual health plan’s identity, to address
privacy concerns).



http://mobile.washingtonpost.com/rss.jsp?rssid=615&item=http://www
.washingtonpost.com/Fragment/SysConfig/WebPortal/twpweb/feeds/Bl
ogsMobileIndividual/mobileblogs.jpp%3Fid%3D1000.4.1601919935%26wprss%3D&cid=-1&spf=1


Slide 50

• En 2016, quel dispositif permettra de suivre sa
glucomètrie en temps réel:
• - un GSM
• - des lentilles de contact
• - un T-Shirt?


Slide 51

En 2016, quel dispositif permettra de
suivre sa glucomètrie en temps réel:
52%

1 - un GSM
2 - des lentilles de contact
3 - un T-Shirt?

17%

31%


Slide 52

Functional Contact Lens Monitors
Blood Sugar Without Needles
• Researchers from the University of Washington
(UW) and Microsoft Research Connections (MRC)
are working together to develop a non-invasive,
technological solution that promises to improve
both the health and overall quality of life for
diabetics: a contact lens that monitors blood
glucose levels. This innovative solution represents
a trend in technology, the Natural User Interface
(NUI).
– http://research.microsoft.com/apps/video/default.as
px?id=150832


Slide 53



Surgeons at a Toronto hospital are using Microsoft’s Xbox 360 motion sensor
Kinect to call up images during operations, saving around 20 minutes each time.
(Winnipeg Free Press, March 2011)



http://www.bright.nl/chirurgen-gebruiken-kinect-voor-fotos-deoperatiekamer?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Fee
d:+brightmagazine+(B+R+I+G+H+T+-+innovative+lifestyle)


Slide 54

• Quelle est la distance maximum possible entre
un ophtalmologue et son patient?
• - 1 mètre
• - 5 mètres
• - 20.000 kilomètres


Slide 55


Slide 56


Slide 57


Slide 58

• Connexion par la pensée?
• Le singe à 3 bras


Slide 59

• Combien de professionnels de la médecine
faudrait-il en 2050 pour assurer une
couverture correcte en soins de santé à la
totalité de la population de notre planète?
• - pas plus
• -2 fois plus
• -3 fois plus
• -10 fois plus


Slide 60

Combien de professionnels de la médecine
faudrait-il en 2050 pour assurer une couverture
correcte en soins de santé à la totalité de la
population de notre planète?
62%

1 - pas plus
28%

2 - 2 fois plus
3 - 3 fois plus
4 - 10 fois plus

3%

7%


Slide 61

Global Health Workforce Service Providers
Current:
Ideal Today:
Ideal in 2050:
Missing till 2050:

39 470 000
84 138 046
110 220 046 (x2.8)
70 740 046

40 years to x2.8

Source: www.who.int/whr/2006/overview fig6
en.pdf


Slide 62

Quelles sont les données médicales qui
devraient être libre d’accès?
- aucune
- toutes
- celles que le patient accepte de partager
- celles que le médecin accepte de partager
- toutes mais anonymisées


Slide 63

Quelles sont les données médicales qui
devraient être libres d’accès?

1 - aucune

0%

2 - toutes

4%

43%

3 - celles que le patient accepte de partager
4 - celles que le médecin accepte de partager

5 - toutes mais anonymisées

7%

46%


Slide 64

À qui appartiennent les données médicales d’un
patient?
• - à son médecin
• - au patient
• - à la sécurité sociale?
• - à la communauté médicale
• - autre


Slide 65

À qui appartiennent les données
médicales d’un patient?
14%

1 - à son médecin

62%

2 - au patient
3 - à la sécurité sociale?

10%

4 - à la communauté médicale
5 - autre

3%

31%


Slide 66

Transformation par la technologie

Abstraction

Réduit la
complexité

Transcription

Formalise la
connaissance

Connexion

Crée les effets
réseaux

Les généralistes
remplacent les
spécialistes
Rend explicites les
compétences
tacites et implicites
Induit des
économies d’échelle

Les technologies permettent la capture, la distribution et
l’utilisation répétitive de la compétence créatrice de valeur


Slide 67

Dans 10 ans:
la transformation algorithmique*
Calcul
illimité

Stockage
illimité

Bande passante
illimitée

Abstraction

Réalité augmentée
simple, naturelle
et adaptative

Transcription

Formalisation et
transcription de
modèles abstraits
massifs

Connexion

Réseaux
autonomes ad-hoc
omniprésents

Loi de Clark: “Toute technologie suffisamment avancée
est assimilée à de la magie…”
*Prof. John Zysman, BRIE – UC. Berkeley


Slide 68

La révolution technologique …

… est surtout une révolution des données et
passe par un changement de mentalité.


Slide 69

À quand un docteur électronique?
- jamais
- dans 5 ans
- dans 20 ans
- Il est déjà là


Slide 70

À quand un docteur électronique?
59%

1 - jamais
2 - dans 5 ans
3 - dans 20 ans
4 - Il est déjà là

4%

11%

26%


Slide 71

Future is the only way forward!
Anonymous techno freak – Internet 2010