Presentation to Montana Transmission Advisory Group (MTAG) September 8, 2004 Chaos… • The Chicken or the Egg conundrum Transmission and generation historically has been.
Download ReportTranscript Presentation to Montana Transmission Advisory Group (MTAG) September 8, 2004 Chaos… • The Chicken or the Egg conundrum Transmission and generation historically has been.
Slide 1
Presentation to
Montana Transmission
Advisory Group (MTAG)
September 8, 2004
Slide 2
Chaos…
• The Chicken or the Egg conundrum
Transmission and generation historically has been built concurrently
• RTO development
An uncertain future
• Constraints/path ratings
The transmission grid was not designed for the type of interstate
commerce we experience today
• August 14, 2003 Eastern U.S. outage — a call for action
Increased pressure on reliability by NERC and FERC — May further
reduce path ratings
• Stranded generation
New projects on the drawing board are seeking markets
• Regional politics
Regional system studies: RMATS, SSG-WI, NCAT
State governors involvement
2
Slide 3
Opportunities
Potential
generation
development
in the West
3
Slide 4
Potential Generation Capacity in Montana
3500
3000
3000
Capacity (MW)
2500
2162
2000
1309
1500
1000
511
330
500
13
0
Wind
Coal
Natural Gas
4
Other
Total
MT Existing
Generation
Slide 5
NorthWestern’s Unique Position
• Located between suppliers and markets
• Not a generation owner
Not seen as a competitor by proposed project
developers
5
Slide 6
Opportunities
Path
development
opportunities
6
Slide 7
Low Hanging Fruit?
RMATS Study
• Recommendation #1
Phase shifter in the AMPS line
Increase the capacity of the 500 kV system from Montana
to the Northwest through additional 500 kV substations,
additional series compensation and a 500/230 kV
transformer at Colstrip
• Recommendation #2
Either a new 500 kV line from Broadview to the Mid-C or
a new 500 kV line from Broadview to Borah, Idaho
7
Slide 8
Montana to Idaho Path
• The Montana to the Southwest path (WECC Path 18)
includes the 230 kV “AMPS” line and the 161 kV “Jefferson”
• Owned by NorthWestern Energy, Idaho Power Company
and PacifiCorp
• Path capacity to be reduced from 337 MW to 324 MW
southbound during the summer of 2004 when BPA removes
65 MVAR caps at Anaconda
• NorthWestern Energy Southbound AMPS line capacity fully
utilized long term
• NorthWestern Energy Southbound Jefferson line capacity
fully utilized long term
8
Slide 9
Montana to Idaho – Some Options
9
Slide 10
Load Growth South of Montana –
One Example
• Idaho IRP process –
2004 - 2013 add 800 MW and 940 MW capacity
Expected Portfolio to include 500 MW coal, 350 MW wind
10
Slide 11
NorthWestern’s Open Season Process
• Phase 1 – Expression of Interest (EOI)
• Opportunity for generators/suppliers/load serving
entities to come together to help NorthWestern
define the market for transmission capacity
• NorthWestern will use EOI to determine if sufficient
interest to continue with Open Season
11
Slide 12
Phase 1 –
Expression of Interest (EOI)
• Interested parties to respond with:
Capacity requested – 25 MW blocks
Direction of capacity request
Start date for capacity needs
Term of agreement for capacity (minimum term
requirement)
Expression of interest dates: October 1 – 31, 2004
NorthWestern Energy EOI forms posted on OASIS
12
Slide 13
Phase Two –
Capacity Open Season “Preview” Period
• NorthWestern evaluates expressions of interest
to determine most likely capacity addition(s)
• Mid-November 2004 – NorthWestern will post
on OASIS the start and end dates to accept
transmission service requests that will qualify
for the open season process (likely Dec. 1 - 31,
2004)
13
Slide 14
Open Season Elements
• Open Season is for Transmission Service Requests
with MT-SW (AMPS) as POR or POD ONLY and for NEW
(not existing) capacity
• Same process for making Transmission Service Request
(TSR) as described in Section 17 of NorthWestern’s Open
Access Transmission Tariff with these important
modifications:
1. Completed Application for Transmission Service will
temporarily be considered complete without the deposit of
approximately one month’s transmission service (OATT
section 17.3); the deposit will be DELAYED
2. System Impact Study and associated study fee will be waived
(NorthWestern will absorb cost of System Impact Studies)
As always, date/time stamped OASIS Transmission Service
Request will determine customer’s position in Transmission
Service QUEUE
14
Slide 15
Open Season – Current Customers
• Current transmission customers with completed
applications for new capacity requests for
transmission service on MT-SW path will be
deemed to be part of Open Season (with QUEUE
positions already established with reservation on
OASIS)
• NorthWestern will work with these current
customers on treatment of deposits and study
fees
15
Slide 16
Open Season Elements –
System Impact Study Results
• Upon Open Season capacity request date closing,
NorthWestern will require approximately a 60-day
period to evaluate total transmission requests and
physical options to serve such requests
• Results of study work will be provided to each
Open Season Participant and posted on
NorthWestern’s OASIS
• Participants will be given 30 days to review results
of studies and then will be provided a Facilities
Study Agreement by NorthWestern to execute in
order to continue
16
Slide 17
Phase 3 –
Facilities Study
• Facilities Study Agreement must be executed and
returned to NorthWestern within 15 business days
together with Facilities Study Fee AND Deposit
approximating one month’s Transmission Service
(at this point, each Open Season Participant has
returned to normal Transmission Service Request
Procedures)
• Failure to comply with above will result in OASIS
reservation deemed withdrawn
17
Slide 18
Open Season Benefits
• Brings generators/suppliers/load serving
entities together
• Allows “preview” of system impacts prior to
significant financial commitment
• Potentially eliminates “lumpiness” in transmission
planning and construction (Ex. 200 MW expansion
that no single party can commit to)
• All parties cooperate, including the transmission
provider, to solve regionwide problem of “what
comes first, transmission or generation”
18
Slide 19
Potential Funding Options
• More to come…
• Dependent upon capacity requested and market
participation
• Funding options:
NorthWestern Energy
Current path owners
Subscribers
Project financing if adequate subscription
Others
19
Slide 20
Questions
and
Comments
20
Presentation to
Montana Transmission
Advisory Group (MTAG)
September 8, 2004
Slide 2
Chaos…
• The Chicken or the Egg conundrum
Transmission and generation historically has been built concurrently
• RTO development
An uncertain future
• Constraints/path ratings
The transmission grid was not designed for the type of interstate
commerce we experience today
• August 14, 2003 Eastern U.S. outage — a call for action
Increased pressure on reliability by NERC and FERC — May further
reduce path ratings
• Stranded generation
New projects on the drawing board are seeking markets
• Regional politics
Regional system studies: RMATS, SSG-WI, NCAT
State governors involvement
2
Slide 3
Opportunities
Potential
generation
development
in the West
3
Slide 4
Potential Generation Capacity in Montana
3500
3000
3000
Capacity (MW)
2500
2162
2000
1309
1500
1000
511
330
500
13
0
Wind
Coal
Natural Gas
4
Other
Total
MT Existing
Generation
Slide 5
NorthWestern’s Unique Position
• Located between suppliers and markets
• Not a generation owner
Not seen as a competitor by proposed project
developers
5
Slide 6
Opportunities
Path
development
opportunities
6
Slide 7
Low Hanging Fruit?
RMATS Study
• Recommendation #1
Phase shifter in the AMPS line
Increase the capacity of the 500 kV system from Montana
to the Northwest through additional 500 kV substations,
additional series compensation and a 500/230 kV
transformer at Colstrip
• Recommendation #2
Either a new 500 kV line from Broadview to the Mid-C or
a new 500 kV line from Broadview to Borah, Idaho
7
Slide 8
Montana to Idaho Path
• The Montana to the Southwest path (WECC Path 18)
includes the 230 kV “AMPS” line and the 161 kV “Jefferson”
• Owned by NorthWestern Energy, Idaho Power Company
and PacifiCorp
• Path capacity to be reduced from 337 MW to 324 MW
southbound during the summer of 2004 when BPA removes
65 MVAR caps at Anaconda
• NorthWestern Energy Southbound AMPS line capacity fully
utilized long term
• NorthWestern Energy Southbound Jefferson line capacity
fully utilized long term
8
Slide 9
Montana to Idaho – Some Options
9
Slide 10
Load Growth South of Montana –
One Example
• Idaho IRP process –
2004 - 2013 add 800 MW and 940 MW capacity
Expected Portfolio to include 500 MW coal, 350 MW wind
10
Slide 11
NorthWestern’s Open Season Process
• Phase 1 – Expression of Interest (EOI)
• Opportunity for generators/suppliers/load serving
entities to come together to help NorthWestern
define the market for transmission capacity
• NorthWestern will use EOI to determine if sufficient
interest to continue with Open Season
11
Slide 12
Phase 1 –
Expression of Interest (EOI)
• Interested parties to respond with:
Capacity requested – 25 MW blocks
Direction of capacity request
Start date for capacity needs
Term of agreement for capacity (minimum term
requirement)
Expression of interest dates: October 1 – 31, 2004
NorthWestern Energy EOI forms posted on OASIS
12
Slide 13
Phase Two –
Capacity Open Season “Preview” Period
• NorthWestern evaluates expressions of interest
to determine most likely capacity addition(s)
• Mid-November 2004 – NorthWestern will post
on OASIS the start and end dates to accept
transmission service requests that will qualify
for the open season process (likely Dec. 1 - 31,
2004)
13
Slide 14
Open Season Elements
• Open Season is for Transmission Service Requests
with MT-SW (AMPS) as POR or POD ONLY and for NEW
(not existing) capacity
• Same process for making Transmission Service Request
(TSR) as described in Section 17 of NorthWestern’s Open
Access Transmission Tariff with these important
modifications:
1. Completed Application for Transmission Service will
temporarily be considered complete without the deposit of
approximately one month’s transmission service (OATT
section 17.3); the deposit will be DELAYED
2. System Impact Study and associated study fee will be waived
(NorthWestern will absorb cost of System Impact Studies)
As always, date/time stamped OASIS Transmission Service
Request will determine customer’s position in Transmission
Service QUEUE
14
Slide 15
Open Season – Current Customers
• Current transmission customers with completed
applications for new capacity requests for
transmission service on MT-SW path will be
deemed to be part of Open Season (with QUEUE
positions already established with reservation on
OASIS)
• NorthWestern will work with these current
customers on treatment of deposits and study
fees
15
Slide 16
Open Season Elements –
System Impact Study Results
• Upon Open Season capacity request date closing,
NorthWestern will require approximately a 60-day
period to evaluate total transmission requests and
physical options to serve such requests
• Results of study work will be provided to each
Open Season Participant and posted on
NorthWestern’s OASIS
• Participants will be given 30 days to review results
of studies and then will be provided a Facilities
Study Agreement by NorthWestern to execute in
order to continue
16
Slide 17
Phase 3 –
Facilities Study
• Facilities Study Agreement must be executed and
returned to NorthWestern within 15 business days
together with Facilities Study Fee AND Deposit
approximating one month’s Transmission Service
(at this point, each Open Season Participant has
returned to normal Transmission Service Request
Procedures)
• Failure to comply with above will result in OASIS
reservation deemed withdrawn
17
Slide 18
Open Season Benefits
• Brings generators/suppliers/load serving
entities together
• Allows “preview” of system impacts prior to
significant financial commitment
• Potentially eliminates “lumpiness” in transmission
planning and construction (Ex. 200 MW expansion
that no single party can commit to)
• All parties cooperate, including the transmission
provider, to solve regionwide problem of “what
comes first, transmission or generation”
18
Slide 19
Potential Funding Options
• More to come…
• Dependent upon capacity requested and market
participation
• Funding options:
NorthWestern Energy
Current path owners
Subscribers
Project financing if adequate subscription
Others
19
Slide 20
Questions
and
Comments
20