Working Group Reference models for waste disposal Its difficult to make prediction, especially about the future Mark Twain 15 Participants Gerhard Pröhl (Group leader) Tobias Lindborg Alan Tkaczyk Shulan Xu Yves.

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Transcript Working Group Reference models for waste disposal Its difficult to make prediction, especially about the future Mark Twain 15 Participants Gerhard Pröhl (Group leader) Tobias Lindborg Alan Tkaczyk Shulan Xu Yves.

Working Group
Reference models for waste
disposal
Its difficult to make prediction,
especially about the future
Mark Twain
15 Participants
Gerhard Pröhl (Group leader)
Tobias Lindborg
Alan Tkaczyk
Shulan Xu
Yves Thiry
Marang Lama
Geert Olyslaegers
Laura Limer
Gerald Kirchner
Haiyong Jung
Jozef Pritrsky
Kai Hamalainen
Philippe Calmon
Angelica Lorentzon
Vaclav Hanusik
Germany
Sweden
Estonia
Sweden
France
France
Belgium
UK
Germany
Korea
Slovakia
Finland
France
Sweden
Slovakia
Aims
• Develop reference modelling approaches and
reference cases for biosphere in the future on
the basis of the BIOMASS approach
• Include environmental change in biosphere
modelling
– Climate, society, land use
• Set of models/cases that cover a wide range of
environmental situations
Relevant combinations
Ecosystem
(Receptor)
Agricultural
Forest
Grassland
Wetland
Lake
River
Sea
Geosphere Biosphere Interface
(Source)
Well
Soil
Surface
water
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
Sediment
Sea
x
x
x
x
Processes involved in environmental transport and
exposure to man
• Drinking water (human, cattle)
• Contamination of soils
– Uptake by plants
– Accumulation / speciation / migration / sorption / desorption
– Erosion / resuspension / bioturbation
• Foliar contamination
– Interception, weathering, translocation
• Transfer to meat and milk
• Processes in sediments
– Sorption / desorption /speciation / bioturbation / resuspension column
• Processes in water
– Speciation, uptake by fish etc.
• Ingestion, Inhalation, ext. exposure
Work for the next meeting:
Process analysis
• Identify impact of climatic factors on processes
that may have a major influence on dose to man
(all members)
– Soils
– Lakes
– Landscape
• Are these processes/features of more universal
nature or are they specific to a site?
• In how far have models to be modified – developed
for temperate climate – to address the specific
conditions of the changed climate
Work until the next meeting:
Model calculation (3-5 group members)
•
Assessment of exposures for GBI-Ecosystem
combinations
–
Apply present day temperate climate conditions
• Assumptions, conceptual model, processes, parameters
•
Modification and application of model for other
climates
–
–
•
To give modifications for
Assumptions, conceptual model, processes, parameters
Justify modification
Compare results
–
–
Exposure, concentration in media
First conclusion
GBI-Ecosystem combinations to be considered
Ecosystem
GBI
Agriculture
Well, soil,
Grassland, Wetland
soil
Agriculture
Well, soil
Semi-natural
Soil
Agriculture
River, sediment
Others to be specified
Radionuclides to be considered
Cl-36, Ni-59, Se-79, Tc-99, I-129, Ra-226, Np-237, Pu-239
Next meeting
• Madrid
• 3 days in the week of 4-8 May
• Common sessions with BIOPROTA