Transcript Slide 1

Regional Leadership Institute
September 19, 2012
1
Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
2
Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates
3
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
4
What Can We Do?
Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
Academic Achievement Milestones
School Readiness
Literacy by 3rd Grade
Numeracy by 8th Grade
High School Graduation
Workforce and/or College Ready
New Jersey
Connecticut
Massachusetts
New York
Hawaii
Puerto Rico
Delaware
Illinois
Louisiana
Maryland
Georgia
New Hampshire
Arkansas
Florida
California
Mississippi
Nebraska
South Carolina
Colorado
Iowa
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Kansas
Michigan
United States
Maine
Minnesota
Oklahoma
Vermont
Wisconsin
Texas
Alabama
Missouri
North Carolina
Ohio
Idaho
Kentucky
Tennessee
Utah
Indiana
Montana
Oregon
Washington
South Dakota
Alaska
New Mexico
North Dakota
West Virginia
Arizona
Nevada
Nevada
Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in
Early Education, 2010
100%
80%
Georgia
64%
20th State
61% United
States
60%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.
100
0
Massachusetts
New Jersey
New Ham pshire
Maryland
North Dakota
Pennsylvania
Montana
Verm ont
Connecticut
Delaware
Virginia
Kentucky
Ohio
Wyom ing
Florida
Colorado
Kansas
Rhode Island
Minnesota
Nebraska
Maine
Idaho
Iowa
South Dakota
New York
Utah
North Carolina
Indiana
Wisconsin
Alabam a
Washington
Missouri
Georgia
Michigan
Illinois
Texas
Oklahom a
Arkansas
Oregon
South Carolina
West Virginia
Tennessee
Hawaii
Arizona
Nevada
California
Alaska
Louisiana
Mississippi
New Mexico
DC
NAEP 2011 4th Grade Reading
At or Above Basic
20th State
70%
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
Georgia &
US Average
66%
80
60
40
20
100
0
Massach usetts
No rth Dakota
Min n esota
Mo n tan a
New Jersey
So uth Dako ta
Vermo n t
New Hamp sh ire
Texas
Wyo ming
Co lo rado
Kan sas
Oh io
Wisconsin
Main e
Virg inia
Id ah o
In d iana
Wash ington
Io wa
Co n necticut
No rth Carolina
Nebraska
Alaska
Marylan d
Pen n sylvania
Delaware
Rh o de Island
Utah
Illin ois
Misso uri
Oreg o n
Oklah oma
Ken tucky
Natio n al Average
Mich igan
New Yo rk
So uth Caro lina
Arkan sas
Geo rg ia
Arizo n a
Flo rida
Hawaii
Nevad a
West Virg inia
Ten n essee
New Mexico
Lo uisiana
Califo rnia
Alabama
Mississippi
DC
NAEP 2011 8th Grade Math
At or Above Basic
20th State
77%
80
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
United States
72% Georgia
68%
60
40
20
0.0
Utah
Source: NCES (2012). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2008-09.
Florida
Nevada
Mississippi
District of Columbia
New Mexico
South Carolina
Louisiana
Georgia
United States
75.5%
Alabama
California
Arizona
Alaska
New York
Delaware
Washington
Arkansas
North Carolina
Wyoming
Indiana
Hawaii
Rhode Island
Michigan
Connecticut
Texas
United States
Oregon
West Virginia
20th State
79%
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Colorado
Kentucky
Illinois
Virginia
90.0
Ohio
100.0
Maine
Maryland
Kansas
Pennsylvania
Idaho
South Dakota
Montana
Nebraska
Missouri
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New Jersey
Iowa
Minnesota
North Dakota
Vermont
Wisconsin
High School Graduation Rates:
State-by-State Rankings
Georgia
67.8%
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
Georgia High School Graduation Rates
Year
High School
Graduation Rate
Number of High
School Non-Grads
2009
58.6%*
62,172
2010
64.0%*
51,503
2011
67.4%
44,661
Total
* Approximations from Georgia Department of Education
Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards.
158,337
Economic Impact of
Georgia Non-Graduates
Education Pays
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT
Unemployment Rate*
15%
10%
5%
Median Wkly Earnings**
(& approx. annual)
July 2012
0%
0
200
600
4.1
Bachelor’s Degree
& Higher
$1,164
7.1
Some college/
Associate Degree
$754 ($39,376)
8.7
HS Graduates, No
College
$659
($34,268)
Less than a High
School Diploma
$483
($25,116)
12.7
1000
($60,528)
Source: *U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table A-4. Employment status of the civilian population 25 years and over by educational
attainment.
**U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 5. Quartiles of usual weekly earnings of full-time wage and salary workers.
Unemployment Rates by Education Level
16.0%
14.0%
13.1%
12.0%
10.0%
8.4%
8.0%
6.9%
7.2%
6.0%
4.2%
4.0%
4.2%
3.8%
2.0%
2.1%
0.0%
1/07
1/08
1/09
High School Dropout
High School Graduate
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2012.
1/10
1/11
1/12
Some College or Associate’s Degree
Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
Unemployment Rates by County: June 2012
Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 9.6%
State Service Delivery Regions
Economic Impact of High School
Non-Completion
Region 1
$2.2 billion
Region 2
$1.2 billion
Region 3
$4.2 billion
Region 4
$1.1 billion
Region 5
$1.1 billion
Region 6
$1.0 billion
Region 7
$1.1 billion
Region 8
$0.9 billion
Region 9
$0.9 billion
Region 10
$2.0 billion
Region 11
$1.0 billion
Region 12
$1.1 billion
TOTAL
$18 billion*
How much could
YOUR region benefit
from this additional
income currently
being foregone?
Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia
Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.
Compounded Impacts of
High School Non-Completion
INDIVIDUALS
THE COMMUNITY
Lower Lifetime Earnings
Reduced buying power & tax
revenues; less economic growth
Decreased health status; Higher
mortality rates; More criminal
activity
Higher health care & criminal
justice costs
Higher teen pregnancy rates;
Single motherhood
Higher public services costs
Less voting; Less volunteering
Low rate of community
involvement
Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY
ISSUE
#1
Early Life Experiences
KEY
ISSUE
#2
Academic Achievement K-12
KEY
ISSUE
#3
Transitions to Work or College
Disparities in Early Vocabulary Growth
Professional
Families
1,116 words
1200
Vocabulary Size
1000
Working Class
Families
749 words
800
600
Welfare
Families
525 words
400
200
0
9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
33
36
Age of child in months
Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”
Economic Benefits of Early Education:
Perry Preschool Study
No-Program group
Program group
7%
Earn $2,000+ monthly
29%
45%
Graduated HS on time
66%
20%
Never on welfare as adult
41%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY
ISSUE
#1
Early Life Experiences
KEY
ISSUE
#2
Academic Achievement K-12
KEY
ISSUE
#3
Transitions to Work or College
9th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to
Graduate High School
Percent of Students Who Drop Out
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Attended <85%
Suspended two or more times
Failed Math Course
Characteristic
Source: Balfanz, Robert. (2010) Early Warning Indicator Analysis: Tennessee.
Failed 2 or more courses
Essential Building Blocks of High
Performing States
 Higher Standards
 Rigorous Curriculum
 Clear Accountability System
 Statewide Student Information System
 Leadership Training
3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:
Closing the Gaps
% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
75%
All Students
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
Black
Hispanic
White
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
70%
8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:
Closing the Gaps
% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
2007
2008
All Students
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
2009
Black
2010
Hispanic
White
2011
High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:
Closing the Gaps
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
2005
2006
2007
All Students
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
2008
Black
2009
Hispanic
2010
White
2011
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY
ISSUE
#1
Early Life Experiences
KEY
ISSUE
#2
Academic Achievement K-12
KEY
ISSUE
#3
Transitions to Work or College
Demand for postsecondary education has increased, and
will continue to increase during and after the recovery.
7%
90%
9%
80%
12%
70%
By educational level
Percentage of Workforce
100%
10%
19%
10%
21%
23%
Master's Degree or Better
8%
10%
60%
50%
11%
40%
12%
Associate's Degree
19%
17%
17%
Some College, No Degree
High School Graduates
40%
High School Dropouts
30%
20%
Bachelor's Degree
34%
30%
10%
11%
10%
1992
2007
2018
28%
32%
10%
0%
1973
Source: Anthony Carnevale’s analysis of March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce
forecast of educational demand to 2018, presented in The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.
Structural Changes Through 2018 and Beyond
Job Losers
Job Gainers
Source: : Anthony Carneval’s presentation: The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.
What Can We Do?
Aligning Educational Strategies
Random Acts of Improvement
GOALS
Aligned Acts of Improvement
GOALS
How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work
Pipeline?
ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES
Transportation
Early
Childhood
Childcare
Providers
Health
Housing
K – 12 System
Afterschool
Civic
Programs Opportunities
Financial
Post
Secondary
Academic
Supports
LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS
Source: The Forum for Youth Investment
Work &
Career
Job
Training
Help Insulate the Pipeline
Read to children everyday
Early
Childhood
Quality Rated: Encourage participation of your
early learning centers
Read and mentor students
K – 12 System
Volunteer with Junior Achievement
Participate in Friday Night /College Lights
and/ or Apply to College Month
Support joint enrollment programs
Post
Secondary
Provide internships
Offer financial planning