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Combining Predictors for Short and Long Protein Disorder Zoran Obradovic, Slobodan Vucetic and Kang Peng Information Science and Technology Center, Temple University, PA 19122 A. Keith Dunker and Predrag Radivojac Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, Indiana University, IN 46202 NIH grant R01 LM007688-01A1 to A.K. Dunker and Z. Obradovic is gratefully acknowledged Introduction Protein Structure - under physiological condition, the amino acid sequence of a protein folds spontaneously into specific (native) three dimensional (3-D) structure or conformation hydrogen bond -strand 4 levels of protein structure hydrogen bond Importance of Protein Structure The “central dogma” – amino acid sequence determine protein structure, and protein structure determine its biological function Amino Acid Sequence > 1NLG:_ NADP-LINKED GLYCERALDEHYDE-3-PHOSPHATE EKKIRVAINGFGRIGRNFLRCWHGRQNTLLDVVAINDSGGVKQASHLLKYDSTLGTFAAD VKIVDDSHISVDGKQIKIVSSRDPLQLPWKEMNIDLVIEGTGVFIDKVGAGKHIQAGASK VLITAPAKDKDIPTFVVGVNEGDYKHEYPIISNASCTTNCLAPFVKVLEQKFGIVKGTMT TTHSYTGDQRLLDASHRDLRRARAAALNIVPTTTGAAKAVSLVLPSLKGKLNGIALRVPT PTVSVVDLVVQVEKKTFAEEVNAAFREAANGPMKGVLHVEDAPLVSIDFKCTDQSTSIDA SLTMVMGDDMVKVVAWYDNEWGYSQRVVDLAEVTAKKWVA 3-D Structure Biological Function Function: Gene Transfer Thus, it is important to know a protein’s structure to understand its function and other biological properties Protein Structure Prediction The sequence-structure gap Current experimental structure determination techniques, e.g. X-ray diffraction and NMR spectroscopy, are still slow, expensive and have their limitations As a result, there are less than 30,000 experimental protein structures, compared to more than 1.6 million known protein sequences Protein structure prediction – predicting protein structures from amino acid sequences using computational methods Aspects of protein structure prediction 1D – secondary structures, solvent accessibility, transmembrane helices, signal peptides/cleavage sites, coiled coils, disordered regions 2D – inter-residue contacts, inter-strand contacts 3D – individual atom coordinates in the tertiary structure (the ultimate goal) The CASP Experiments Critical Assessment of Techniques for Protein Structure Prediction The primary goal To obtain an in-depth and objective assessment of current methods for predicting protein structure from amino acid sequence The procedure Proteins with “soon to be solved” structures are selected as prediction targets, and their amino acid sequences are made available Prediction teams submit their prediction models before the experimental structures are released Prediction models are compared to experimental structures for detailed evaluation by independent assessors # of targets # of participating groups # of submitted models CASP6 (2004) 76 208 41283 CASP5 (2002) 67 215 28728 CASP4 (2000) 43 163 11136 CASP3 (1998) 43 98 3807 CASP2 (1996) 42 72 947 CASP1 (1994) 33 35 135 CASP Website: http://predictioncenter.llnl.gov/ Prediction Categories in CASP6 Tertiary structure (3-D coordinates for individual atoms) prediction Comparative/Homology modeling Fold recognition New fold modeling Disordered region prediction (since CASP5) Domain boundary prediction (new) Residue-residue contact prediction (new) Secondary structure prediction was excluded in CASP6 In CASP6 there were 20 groups participated in Disordered Region prediction, while only 6 groups in CASP5 Disordered Region (DR) Part of a protein or a whole protein that does NOT have stable 3D structure in its native state Perform important biological functions Have distinct sequence properties Evolve faster than ordered regions Common in nature Other definitions of disordered region Kissinger et al, 1995 Missing coordinates (used by CASP) High B-factors Random coils NOn-Regular Secondary Structure (NORS) Prediction of Disordered Regions K Q L L W C Y L A A M A H Q F G A G K L K C T S A T T W Q G Input Window of length Win Class label 0/1: disordered / ordered Amino Acid Sequence Attributes derived from the local window • 20 AA frequencies • K2-entropy (sequence complexity) • Flexibility • Hydropathy • more … One example for each sequence position (residue) Long DR Predictors on Short DR Disordered regions can be divided into 2 groups according to their lengths Our previous disorder predictors were specific to long DRs Predictors – VL-XT, VL2, VL3, VL3H, VL3P, VL3B Accuracies – 70% (VL-XT) ~ 85% (VL3P) They were less successful on short DRs, as shown in CASP5 short DRs – 30 consecutive residues or shorter long DRs – longer than 30 consecutive residues 25~66% per-residue accuracy on short DRs 75~95% per-residue accuracy on long DRs Possible reasons The window lengths for attribute construction and post-filtering were optimized for long DRs Training data did NOT include any short DRs Short DRs are different from long DRs in terms of amino acid compositions, flexibility index, hydropathy and net charge Amino Acid Compositions of Short DRs Amino acid frequency from Globular-3D difference Dataset-Globular 3D 0.05 Rigid Order Flexible Order Short Disorder Long Disorder 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 Radivojac et al., Protein Science, 2004 -0.05 W C F I Y V L H M A T R G Q S N P D E K Residues Consequence – a predictor specialized for short disordered regions is necessary Our Approach in CASP6 Idea – two specialized predictors for long and short disordered regions, and a meta predictor to estimate which specialized predictor is more suitable for current input Meta Predictor wL Input Long Disorder Predictor (>30aa) wS OL Short Disorder Predictor (30aa) Final Prediction OS In CASP5, we used only Long Disorder Predictor component The Training Dataset Dataset Number of Chains Number of long DRs Number of short DRs LONGa 153 163 24 SHORTc 511 43 630 ORDERa,b 290 0 0 XRAYd 381 24 329 TOTALe 1335 230 983 a) LONG and ORDER – training data for VL3 predictors (Z. Obradovic, K. Peng, S. Vucetic, P. Radivojac, C. J. Brown, A. K. Dunker, Proteins, 53 (S6): 566-572, 2003; K. Peng, S. Vucetic, P. Radivojac, C. J. Brown, A. K. Dunker, Z. Obradovic, Journal of Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, in press) b) ORDER – training data for a B-factor predictor and used in a study of flexibility index (P. Radivojac, Z. Obradovic, D. K. Smith, G. Zhu, S. Vucetic, C. J. Brown, J. D. Lawson, A. K. Dunker, Protein Science, 13 (1):71-80, 2004; D. K. Smith, P. Radivojac, Z. Obradovic, A. K. Dunker, G. Zhu, Protein Science, 12 (5):1060-1072, 2003) c) SHORT – training data for a short disorder predictor (Radivojac et al., Protein Science, 13 (1):71-80, 2004) d) XRAY – a non-redundant set of PDB chains released between June 2003 and May 2004 e) TOTAL - the merged sequences are non-redundant with less than 50% identity Specialized Disorder Predictors Optimized for long and short disordered regions, respectively Window Length Predictor Attributes Wina Woutb Accuracyc (%) short DR long DR order Long Disorder (>30aa) • Amino acid frequencies • K2-Entropy • Flexibility index • Hydropathy/net charge ratio 41 31 50.13.6 76.54.2 85.10.9 Short Disorder (30aa) (In addition to the attributes above) • PSI-BLAST profile • Secondary structure prediction (PSIPred) • An indicator of terminal regions 15 5 81.52.1 66.73.5 82.40.5 a) Length of input window for attribute construction b) Length of output window for post-filtering c) Out-of-sample per-chain accuracies were estimated by 1) randomly split the 1335 sequences into 75%:25%, 2) the first part for training and the second for testing, 3) repeat steps 1 and 2 for 30 times and average the accuracies The Prediction Process For each sequence position (residue) The three predictors construct attributes and output OL, OS and OG The final output is calculated as O = OL * OG + OS * (1 – OG) If O > 0.5, predict disorder Otherwise, predict order Meta Predictor OG Input Long Disorder Predictor (>30aa) 1-OG OL OS Short Disorder Predictor (30aa) The final output O = OL* OG + OS * (1 - OG) Training the Meta Predictor The meta predictor was then trained as a 2-class classifier (short disorder vs. long disorder) Constructing labeled dataset for training of meta predictor Used same attributes as for the short disorder predictor Residues from long DRs and their flanking regions were labeled as class 1 Residues from short DRs (3aa) and their flanking regions were labeled as class 0 The remaining residues were discarded (u) Example: Ordered Region A Short Disordered Region (8aa) Ordered Region Sequence: GKKGAVAEDGDELRTEPEAKKSKTAAKKNDKEAAGEGPALYEDPPDHKTS Disorder labels: ooooooooooooooooooooDDDDDDDDoooooooooooooooooooooo Class labels: uuuuuuuuuuuuuu00000000000000000000uuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu Input Window (Length Win) Current Residue The input window (of length Win =61) centered at current residue must overlap with more than half of a disordered region CASP6 Targets 63 targets with 3-D coordinates information available, with 90 disordered regions and 90 ordered regions Length range Disordered regions Ordered regions Number of regions Number of residues 1-3 35 58 4-15 41 304 16-30 9 201 31-100 4 266 >100 1 102 Total 90 931 90 12,520 Prediction Accuracy VL2 VL3E NEW NEW/short NEW/long 100 100 80 80 60 Accuracy (%) Accuracy (%) VL2 VL3E NEW NEW/short NEW/long 40 20 60 40 20 0 0 1-3 4-15 16-30 31-100 >100 order 1-3 4-15 16-30 31-100 >100 Length range Length range (a) per-region accuracy (b) per-residue accuracy order • VL2 (CASP6 model-3) – a previously developed long disorder predictor (S. Vucetic, C.J. Brown, A.K. Dunker and Z. Obradovic, Proteins: Structure, Function and Genetics, 52:573-584, 2003) • VL3E(CASP6 model-2) – a previously developed long disorder predictor (Z. Obradovic, K. Peng, S. Vucetic, P. Radivojac, C. J. Brown, A. K. Dunker, Proteins, 53 (S6): 566-572, 2003; K. Peng, S. Vucetic, P. Radivojac, C. J. Brown, A. K. Dunker, Z. Obradovic, Journal of Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, in press ) • NEW (CASP6 model-1) – the combined predictor • NEW/short – the specialized predictor for short disordered regions (30aa) • NEW/long – the specialized predictor for long disordered regions (>30aa) Prediction on Long Disordered Regions T0206 (1-78) T0206 (1-78) 1 0.9 long (OL) 0.8 meta (OG) short (OS) 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 1 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 residue (a) Prediction by component predictors VL3E VL2 0.8 0.7 0.5 NEW 0.9 prediction prediction 1 0 1 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 residue (b) Comparison to previous predictors Notes: (1) red segments indicate disordered regions (of missing coordinates), (2) The threshold for predicting disorder is 0.5 Prediction on Short Disordered Regions Notes: (1) red segments indicate disordered regions (of missing coordinates), (2) The threshold for predicting disorder is 0.5 In both targets, all short DRs were identified, but with considerable amount of false positives. More detailed analysis shows that the new predictor tend to over-predict at N- and C- termini Correlation with High B-factor Regions T0203 (1-4, 105-111, 377-382) T0233 (1-13, 81-92, 106-108, 137-138) 1 1 0 50 100 150 200 residue 250 300 350 0 0.5 50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 residue Notes: (1) red segments indicate disordered regions (of missing coordinates), (2) The threshold for predicting disorder is 0.5, (3) no B-factor data for disordered regions B-factor 0.5 disorder predictions B-factor disorder predictions 50 Conclusion by CASP6 Assessor “Group 193 is best on all measures, on both no-density segments and B-factors, and is significantly better than next 3 groups, 096, 003, 347 on no-density segments, who are about the same as each other. Groups 3, 347, and 472 are good at B-factors” Group IDs: 193 ISTZORAN (Zoran Obradovic, Temple University) 096 CaspIta (Tosatto et al., Univ. of Padova) 003 Jones UCL (David Jones, University College London) 347 DRIP PRED (server from Bob MacCallum, Stockholm) 472 Softberry (good at B-factor correlation) Assessor’s report is available at CASP6 website: http://predictioncenter.llnl.gov/casp6/meeting/presentations/DR_assessment_RD.pdf Future Directions The length threshold 30 for dividing DRs into long and short is artificial and may not be the best choice The new predictor produced considerable amount of false positives, especially at the N- and C- terminals. A better method for partitioning the DRs into more homogenous length groups (maybe more than 2) Build predictors specific to terminal and internal regions, and combine them (a similar approach to VL-XT) The dataset contains noises, i.e. mislabeling, since not all missing coordinate regions may not necessarily be due to disorder The End Thank You!!