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Review and Evaluation of Studies on the Use of E15 in Light-Duty Vehicles Iowa RFA Summit Matthew Ratcliff, Robert L. McCormick, Janet Yanowitz, Bradley T. Zigler January 28, 2014 NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC. E15 Waiver • EPA has granted a waiver for the use of E15 in 2001 and newer light-duty cars o October 2010 waiver for 2007 and newer o January 2011 waiver for 2001-2006 2 What’s so special about 2001? – More sophisticated emission control systems – CAP2000 requires actual in-use vehicle testing over full useful life NOx Emission Standard, g/mi • National low emission vehicle (NLEV) standards (2001) and Tier 2 emission standards (2004) 1.2 1.0 Tier 0 1981-1993 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Tier 1 1994-2000 NLEV 2001-2003 Tier 2 2004-Present 0.0 • Improved compensation for fuel oxygen content – Prevents high temperature excursions at full load operation – Protects engine and catalyst from higher levels of oxygen in fuel λ (lambda) 3 Scope of Review • Objective: Review and evaluate research on the effects of E15 on 2001 and newer vehicles o Draw robust conclusions based on the entire available dataset o • Reviewed 43 studies o o o 33 unique research studies 10 studies of methodology, reviews, or same data as other studies More studies on E20 than E15, E20 studies included • Primarily conducted by: o USDOE – Oak Ridge National Laboratory – National Renewable Energy Laboratory o o Minnesota Center for Automotive Research Coordinating Research Council – Auto and oil company consortium 4 Limitations of the Data • Studies are not large enough to make quantitative predictions of potential equipment failure rates o o Including CRC engine durability study Largest studies of whole vehicles (U. of Minnesota and USDOE) found no fuel-related issues • Wide variety of control fluids and unique test protocols o Difficult to combine studies into a single analysis • Test fuels versus test fluids o o Test fuels use commercial ethanol and hydrocarbon, typically meet ASTM D4814 Test fluids – Contain “aggressive” components – Do not meet fuel quality standards – Not intended for comparison of effects of different fuels because effects of aggressive test fluids relative to real world fuels are unknown 5 Overall Conclusions • 2001 and newer cars compensate adequately for higher ethanol content o o No difference in emissions or catalyst durability for E10 compared to E15 Combustion and exhaust temperatures not significantly changed • Materials studies show little difference in effects of E10 and E15 o Effect of going from E0 to E10 is much larger • Fuel system, engine, and whole-vehicle durability studies, taken together, confirm expectations from emissions and materials studies • The use of E15 is likely to have little impact on 2001 and newer model year vehicles 6 Emissions and Catalyst Durability Studies • Sophisticated air/fuel ratio control produces little or no change in NOx or NMOG • Fuel oxygen lowers unburned hydrocarbons and CO (mostly during open loop operation) • Full useful life catalyst durability tests showed no difference in catalyst degradation for E15 vs. E0 o Strongly implies that engine and exhaust temperatures are not significantly changed • These results (and other studies) show that engines compensate for fuel ethanol content 7 Materials Compatibility Summary o o Corrosion Rate in Ethanol Fuel Blends with 1% Water 1.00E+00 1.00E-01 Corrosion Rate (mm/year) • Studies used aggressive test fluids – not intended for comparison to fuel effects • Metal corrosion rates very low • Minimal differences in elastomer swell between E10 and E17 0.03 mm/yr = "low rate of corrosion" in Kass et al., 2011 1.00E-02 Stainless steel 304 0.0025 mm/yr = "insignificant loss of materials over a 20-year time span" in Jones, et al., 2008 1.00E-03 Low carbon steel Medium carbon steel 1.00E-04 Al 6061 Copper 1.00E-05 Brazing Alloy 1.00E-06 1.00E-07 0 5 10 15 20 Ethanol (Vol%) Significantly larger differences between E0 and E10 Differences between materials much larger than differences between fuels 8 CRC Fuel System Component Testing 2 Fuel Dampers 10 Fuel Pumps 7 Entire Fuel System Rigs 10 Level Senders 3 Fuel Injectors Soak Soak & Endurance Aging Hot Soak 49 Weeks Soak and Full Sweep Aging 600 million cycles AVFL 15 Using Aggressive E20 Test Fluid Choose Most Fluid Sensitive Parts 3 Level Senders 4 Fuel Pumps Soak and Full Sweep Soak & Endurance Aging AVFL 15a Using Aggressive and non Aggressive Test Fluids Find Parts Which Fail on E15 but not on E10 1 Fuel Pump But, this pump did not fail on longer testing with Aggressive E20 Test Fluid in AVFL15 9 CRC Engine Durability Study • CRC Study of 8 engine models (2001-2009) • Engines removed from vehicles Tested for 500 hr on drive cycle intended to simulate 100,000 mi o Tested on E20, if failing, tested on E15, if failing tested on E0 o Statistical analysis assumed passing result for engines not tested o • Failure criteria: o o o o o E = Emissions during EOT FTP75 testing D = Diagnostic Trouble Code detected at EOT V = Valve clearance measurement on at least one valve out of OEM specification at EOT C = Compression measurement on at least one cylinder out of OEM specification at EOT L = Leakage measurement on at least one cylinder above 10% at EOT Drive cycle engine speeds are too low to rotate valves (<3500 rpm) No E10 control testing Use of dummy data in statistical analysis biases results and makes error bars artificially smaller Older vehicles well beyond full useful life at EOT Inappropriate use of leakdown, typical shop manual criterion is 20-25% 10 CRC Engine Durability Results Failure on emissions Leakdown failures Concluded that two popular engines used in 2001-2009 model year vehicles potentially beyond inconsistent with industry experienced mechanical failure when operated on E15 full useful life practice and shop manuals E20 Vehicle 1 Vehicle 2 Vehicle 3 Vehicle 4 Vehicle 5 Vehicle 6 Vehicle 7 Vehicle 8 Sample A Waived** Fail (L) Pass Waived* (L) Waived* (E,D) Waived* (L) Pass Fail (E,C,L) Sample B Pass Fail (L) Fail (V,L) Pass Pass Waived* (L) Pass Fail (C,L) Sample C E15 Sample D Sample E E0 Sample F Fail (E) Fail (L) Fail (L) Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Fail (E,L) Fail (C, L) Fail (E,C,L) Fail (E,C,L) *Waived = Vehicle did not pass specified criteria, but after OEM teardown decision was made not to retest vehicle on E15 or E0 ** According to the study text, Vehicle 1, Sample A “The Engine dynamometer based EOT emission test was waived after technical challenges prevented comparison of the SOT [start of test] and EOT [emission data].” If all actual test results (i.e. including Vehicle 8 and excluding dummy data) are used for the analysis, there is a 32% chance that E15 and E20 failures are completely unrelated to ethanol content, as opposed to the 7% chance that is asserted in CRC’s report. One vehicle failed leakdown and compression on all fuels, suggesting that engine speeds were too low 11 MnCAR Fuel System Study • Tested fuel pumps and fuel level senders using Reference Fuel C, Aggressive TF10 and Aggressive TF20 Targeted a “broad sample of high volume vehicles on the road” o 4000 hr soak and endurance tests o • All modern vehicle fuel pumps showed minimal effect of E20 • All level sending units failed over the course of the study – on all fuels 12 University of Minnesota Fleet Study • In use vehicle study • 40 pairs (80 total) of similar 2000 to 2006 model year vehicles with matched usage patterns • One fueled with commercially available E0, the second fueled with E20 • Over the 13 month test period no additional fuel related maintenance problems emerged in the E20 fueled vehicles 13 Overall Conclusions • 2001 and newer cars compensate adequately for higher ethanol content o o No difference in emissions or catalyst durability effect for E10 and E15 Combustion and exhaust temperatures not significantly changed • Materials studies show little difference in effects of E10 and E15 o Effect of going from E0 to E10 is much larger • Fuel system, engine, and whole-vehicle durability studies, taken together, confirm expectations from emissions and materials studies • The use of E15 is likely to have little impact on 2001 and newer model year vehicles 14 The authors thank RFA for sponsoring this study: ethanolrfa.org [email protected] USDOE Catalyst Durability Study Acquire 2-4 “matched” vehicles for each model, 1 matched vehicle dedicated to each fuel (E0, E10, E15, or E20) for aging Baseline Emissions (E0) Intermediate Emissions (E0) Age on dedicated fuel Baseline Emissions (E0) Baseline Emissions (E10) using MAD or Intermediate Emissions (E10) Intermediate Emissions (E0) Intermediate Emissions (E15) Intermediate Emissions (E0) Intermediate Emissions (E20) Intermediate Emissions (E0) Test Track Baseline Emissions (E0) Baseline Emissions (E15) 25,000 to 50,000 miles Baseline Emissions (E0) Baseline Emissions (E20) Full-Life Emissions (E0) Age on dedicated fuel Full-Life Emissions (E0) Full-Life Emissions (E10) using MAD or Test Track Full-Life Emissions (E0) Full-Life Emissions (E15) 25,000 to 50,000 miles Full-Life Emissions (E0) Full-Life Emissions (E20) 16 USDOE Catalyst Durability Study Vehicle Aging: 82 Vehicles Tested at 3 Sites Totals 58 Tier 2 (19 models), 24 non-Tier 2 (8 models) Year 2006 2007 2008 2008 2007 2006 2007 2000 2002 2002 Non-Tier 2 Vehicles Vehicle number Fuels Chevrolet Silverado 4 E0 E10 E15 E20 Honda Accord 4 E0 E10 E15 E20 Nissan Altima 4 E0 E10 E15 E20 Ford Taurus 4 E0 E10 E15 E20 Chrysler Caravan 4 E0 E10 E15 E20 Chevrolet Cobalt 3 E0 E15 E20 Dodge Caliber 3 E0 E15 E20 Chevrolet Silverado 3 E0 E15 E20 Nissan Frontier 3 E0 E15 E20 Dodge Durango 3 E0 E15 E20 Transportation Research Center (Ohio), test track aging Year Vehicle number Fuels 2009 Jeep Liberty 3 E0 E15 E20 2009 Ford Explorer 3 E0 E15 E20 2009 Honda Civic 3 E0 E15 E20 2009 Toyota Corolla 3 E0 E15 E20 2005 Toyota Tundra 3 E0 E15 E20 2006 Chevrolet Impala 3 E0 E15 E20 2005 Ford F150 3 E0 E15 E20 2006 Nissan Quest 3 E0 E15 E20 2003 Toyota Camry 3 E0 E15 E20 2003 Ford Taurus 3 E0 E15 E20 2003 Chevrolet Cavalier 3 E0 E15 E20 Environmental Testing Corp (Colorado), mileage accumulation dynamometers Year Vehicle number Fuels 2009 Saturn Outlook 2 E0 E15 2009 Toyota Camry 2 E0 E15 2009 Ford Focus 2 E0 E15 2009 Honda Odyssey 2 E0 E15 2000 Honda Accord 3 E0 E15 E20 2000 Ford Focus 3 E0 E15 E20 35 Vehicles 33 Vehicles 14 Vehicles 17 17 Catalyst Durability Overview and Conclusions • 82 vehicles aged for at least 50,000 miles (many >100,000 miles) o o EPA’s Standard Road Cycle Demonstrate if a new fuel will cause or contribute to the degradation of a vehicle’s emission controls • Several had over 90,000 miles at beginning of test and greatly exceeded 120,000 mile full useful life at end of test • Of twenty-five 2001 and newer vehicle models, only five were tested on E10 • No discernible differences in the rates of catalyst performance degradation between E0 and the ethanol blended fuels 18 Vehicles for Engine Durability Vehicle 2001 Honda CRV, 2.0L I4 2002 Volkswagen Jetta, 2.0L I4 2004 Scion xA, 1.5L I4 2005 Chevrolet Colorado, 3.5L I5 Emissions Valve Train Design Tier 1 NLEV Rocker arm, threaded adjuster Tier 1 NLEV Direct acting, hydraulic Tier 2 Bin 9 Direct acting, mechanical Tier 2 Bin 9 Roller finger follower, hydraulic 2007 Ford Edge, Tier 2 Bin 5 3.5L V6 2007 Dodge Ram, Tier 2 Bin 5 5.7L V8 Direct acting, mechanical 2009 Dodge Caliber, 2.4L I4 Tier 2 Bin 4 Direct acting, mechanical 2009 Chevrolet Aveo, 1.6L I4 Tier 2 Bin 5/4 Pushrod, hydraulic Direct acting, mechanical (but service literature references 2nd running change design to hydraulic lash adjuster; type is not documented by CRC) * CRC did not report initial mileage for vehicles tested on E15 or E0. 1 Mileage for E20 OEM specified acceptable * vehicles leakdown rate 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 71,412/110,681 No leakdown specification provided 77,891/106,761 No leakdown specification provided 61,351/56,671 No leakdown specification provided 48,109/33,972 “Cylinder leakage that exceeds 25% is considered excessive and may require component service.” 17,906/14,450 “Leakage exceeding 20% is excessive.” 28,597/26,078 “All gauge pressure indications should be equal, with no more than 25% leakage.” 11,941/12,494 “All gauge pressure indications should be equal, with no more than 25% leakage.” 8,327/3,758 No leakdown specification is provided, and leakdown is not even referenced as a diagnostic tool / method. Honda Motor Co., Ltd., Service Manual 1997-2001 CR-V, First Edition, October 2000. 19