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NuFact02, July 2002, London Takaaki Kajita ( ICRR, Univ. of Tokyo ) • Present status of oscillation studies by atmospheric neutrino experiments νμ→ντ 2 flavor oscillations 3 flavor analysis Non-standard explanations Search for CC ντ events • Future prospects Possible detectors Physics • Summary Present status of oscillation studies by atmospheric neutrino experiments Soudan-2 Super-Kamiokande MACRO Present status of atmospheric neutrino experiments Plastic container Soudan-2 : stopped data taking. Top Side Super-Kamiokande MACRO New (almost final) data from Soudan-2 • • • • 5.9 kton・yr exposure Partially contained events included. L/E analysis with a “high resolution” sample Total number of events: 403.6 (high resolution sample: 245.5 events, PC: 39.0) Zenith angle L/E distribution e μ Up-going Down-going (Final) MACRO data νμ→ντ Δm2 = 2.5×10-3 Consistent with oscillation. or L/E analysis with momentum measurement is also consistent with osc. Super-Kamiokande data 1489day data have + 1678day upward going muon data • WholeFC+PC SK-1 data been analyzed. 1-ring e-like 1-ring μ-like multi-ring μ-like up-going μ stopping < 1.3GeV No osc. Osc. > 1.3GeV Up-going Down-going Through going νμ→ντ oscillation results Kamiokande Soudan-2 MACRO Super-K sin22θ> 0.92 Δm2=(1.6 – 3.9)×10-3eV2 3 flavor analysis ●Assumption / Approximation mν3 mν2 mν1 2 Δm12=0 2 2 Δm13 = Δm23 = Δm Δm2 , θ13, θ23 2 Allowed parameter region (3 flavor, 1 mass scale dominance, normal mass hierarchy) Super-K 99%CL Pure, maximal νμ→ντ 90%CL No evidence for non-zero θ13. Consistent with reactor exp. Oscillation to sterile neutrinos? Pure νμ→νs oscillation: (1) NC deficit & (2) Matter effect (1) NC deficit High E. PC NC enriched multi-ring events Super-K (2) Matter effect Vertical / Horizontal ratio (through going μ) Super-K 79ktyr MACRO Through going μ νμ→ντ νμ→νs νμ→νs is disfavored > 99%. Oscillation to sterile neutrinos? • Use all the SK data (including NC, up-through-going-muons and High-E PC). • .nm g cosxnt + sinxn s pure nm g nt sin2x pure nm g ns Neutrino decay ? ★Scenario (V.Barger et al., PLB 462 (1999) 109): νμ=cosθν2 +sinθν3 decay Δm2→0; sin2θe-αL/2E)2 X decay For P(ν→ν) = (cos2θ+ Oscillation α=m/τ Log10[L/E(km/GeV)] Decay scenario can explain the CC data well. c2min=141.5/152 dof @sin2q = 0.33 m3/t3=1.0x10-2GeV/km Neutrino decay vs. NC data • NC data should also decrease due to decay into sterile state. FC multi-ring NC enriched sample Allowed and excluded parameter regions Excluded (by NC data) Allowed (by CC data) Use Up/Down to test decay scenario The 99%CL allowed region by FC 1-ring+PC+up-m samples is almost excluded at 99%CL by the NC enriched sample. Search for CC ντ events CC ντ events Only ~ 1.0 CC ντ FC events/kton・yr ντ τ ντ hadrons ● Many hadrons .... difference with other events .) BAD (But no big τ- likelihood analysis ● Upward going only GOOD (BG (other ν events) ~ 130 ev./kton・yr) Zenith angle Tau likelihood analysis Selection Criteria multi-GeV, multi-ring most energetic ring is e-like log(likelihood) > 0 (multi-ring) > 1 (single-ring) Multi-ring Down-ward τ-like total energy number of rings number of decay electrons max(Ei)/ΣEi distance between n interaction point and decay-e point max(Pm) 3/4 Pt/Evis PID likelihood of most energetic ring Multi-ring Up-ward τ-like BG MC t+BG MC Tau analysis results Max. likelihood analysis Independent analysis by Neural Network t+BG B.G. Nτ= 145±44+11/-16 Nτ= 99±39+13/-21 Nτexpected=86 Consistent with νμ→ντ. Future atmospheric neutrino experiments Topics ★ Really “oscillation”? 2 2 ★ How accurate can sin 2θ23 and Δm23 be determined ? ★ Is θ13 measurable ? ★ Sign of Δm2 ? Possible future atmospheric neutrino detectors Magnetized large tracking detector (MONOLITH, ….) Very large water Cherenkov detector (UNO, Hyper-Kamiokande, …..) Really oscillation ? Use up-going events ⇒ L = 2Rcosθz Large L ⇒ Need to measure highenergy events Very large detector Magnetized detector 0.14 Mton・yr (MONOLITH) 2.8 Mton・yr (UNO) Assume; Δm2=2×10-3eV2 Super-K may not be too small….. Use only high L/E resolution events 70 year MC (1.6Mtonyr) First osc. mim. Accuracy of sin22θ measurement Standard SK analysis with the present SK systematics 90%C.L. 0.11 Mton・yr 0.23 0.9 sin22θ =1+ε Down 2 Up Systematic error related to Up/Down is small (2% @SK) Precise determination of sin22θ (sin22θ) = δ 90% 3% Exposre(Mtonyr) Accuracy of Δm2 measurement L/E analysis Magnetized tracking detector 0.14 Mton・yr (MONOLITH) First minimum Δm2 0.14 Mton・yr δ(Δm2) = 6% Measurement of θ13 ? Measurement of θ13 ? Large water Ch. detector (e-like)osc (e-like)no-osc 2 CosΘ Down Water Ch. 0.9 Mton・yr Up 2 sin θ13=0.026 cosΘ < -0.2 (up going) 1 1 10 Reconstructed momentum (GeV/c) 1 10 Reconstructed momentum (GeV/c) ~4σ effect in 0.9 Mton・yr Measurement of θ13 and sign of Δm ? 2 Matter effect Δm2=2.5×10-3 sin2θ 13=0.02 Charge identification (Magnetized tracking detector needed) Determination of sign of Δm2 at 90%CL. Summary Present status • All the data are consistent with pure νμ→ντ oscillations. sin22θ > 0.92 Δm2(SK, 90%CL) = (1.6 – 3.9)×10-3 eV2 • No evidence for θ13. • No evidence for physics beyond standard neutrino osci. • Hint of τ appearance. Future prospects • If much larger detectors and/or magnetized tracking detectors are constructed, our understanding of neutrino masses and mixing will be improved significantly: L/E, determination of oscillation parameters (23), θ13, sign of Δm , …. 2