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Economies of Scale, Imperfect Competition, and International Trade Chapter 6 ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 1/35 1 Introduction we will examine The effect of relaxing the assumptions on which the H-O theory rests. Int’l trade based on economies of scale Int’l trade based on imperfect competition Int’l trade based on differences in dynamic changes in technology among nations The effects of transportation costs External economies and their importance for international trade ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 2/35 Key Terms • • • • • • • • • • • Differentiated products Externatal economies of scale Footloose industry Increasing returns to scale Intr-iindustry trade Monopoly Nontraded goods and services Oligopoly Product cycle model Resource-oriented industry Technological gap model ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 3/35 2 Limitations of H-O Model Some of the assumptions are not valid. Some of the international trade can not be explained by the H-O theory. H-O ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 4/35 2.1 Relaxation of the Assumptions in H-O Model 2x2x2 Model Both nations use the same technologies X is L-intensive and Y is K-intensive Constant returns to scale Incomplete specialization Equal tastes Perfect competition Internal factor mobility No transportation costs. All resources are fully utilized Exports equal imports ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 5/35 2.2 Summary of the Relaxation Which assumptions Which assumptions are are invalid when we still good or basically valid when we relax them? relax them? Constant returns to scale Perfect competition No differences in technological change among nations 2x2x2 model X is L-intensive and Y is K-intensive Incomplete specialization Internal factor mobility Equal tastes No transportation costs All resources are fully utilized Exports equal imports ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 6/35 3 Increasing Returns to Scale They mean that the output grows proportionally more than the increase in inputs or factor of production, e.g. a 10% increase in input leads to more than 10% increase in output. It occurs because at a large scale of production a greater division of labor and specialization becomes possible. Large scale of operation may permit the introduction of more specialized and productive machinery than would be feasible at a smaller scale of operation. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 7/35 3.1 Trade Based on Economies of Scale Two nations are identical in every respect. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 8/35 3.2 Important Conditions for Economies of Scale It is a matter of complete indifference which nation specializes in the production of X or Y. Specialization may result from historical accident. It should be clear that the two nations need not be identical in every respect for mutually beneficial trade to result from increasing returns to scale. If economies of scale exist for a long time on the basis of a large amount of output, one or few firms in the nation will capture the entire market for a given product, leading to monopoly or oligopoly. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 9/35 3.3 Internal and External Economies of Scale Internal economies of scale: As the firm expands its output, the average cost of production goes down. Increasing returns to scale are internal to the firm. External economies of scale: It refers to the reduction in each firm's average costs of production as the entire industry output expands. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 10/35 3.4 Preference Similarity Trade in manufactures is likely to take place among countries that have similar tastes and income levels. If their incomes and tastes are similar, they would consume the same kind of commodities. So there would be some trade between them. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 11/35 3.4 Preference Similarity Product Quality Pw b Overlapping Demand a Similar Income O Nation 1 Nation 2 ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS Income 12/35 4 Intra-industry Trade International trade can be classified into two groups: Inter-industry trade and Intra-industry trade; The former means the international trade takes place between industries and the latter means the trade in the same industry. Intra-industry trade involves the exchange of differentiated products. They are produced in the same industry but with different designs and brands. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 13/35 4.1 Reasons for IIT Reasons for Intra-industry trade • To make use of economies of scale; • To produce few varieties of the same products to reduce the costs. With few varieties, more specialized and faster machinery can be developed for a continuous operation and a longer production run. Who will benefits from the trade? • The producers will benefit because they can produce at lower costs. The consumers will have wider range of choices and will buy at lower prices. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 14/35 4.2 Comparisons between H-O Model & IIT The basis for trade Prediction of trade patterns Gains from trade Trade contents ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 15/35 4.3 Summary of the Comparison Comparative advantage seems to determine the pattern of inter-industry trade, while economies of scale in differentiated products give rise to intra-industry trade. The more dissimilar are factor endowments, the more important are comparative advantage and inter-industry trade. On the other hand, intraindustry trade is likely to be dominant the more similar are factor endowments. Lancaster (1980): Inter-industry trade reflects natural comparative advantage while intraindustry trade reflects acquired comparative advantage. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 16/35 4.4 Measurement of IIT X M T 1 X M What is the trend of intra-industry trade? ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 17/35 4.5 Shares of IIT in Some Nations ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 18/35 4.7 Production and Pricing Under Monopolistic Competition What is AC, MC and MR? Why do they look like that? ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 19/35 4.8 Monopolistic Competition & IIT ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 20/35 4.9 Relationship between Interand Intra-industry Trade Nation 1 is labor abundant and X is Lintensive, nation 2 has a relative abundance of capital and Y is K intensive. If X and Y are homogeneous, nation 1 will export X and import Y, while nation 2 will export Y and import X as postulated by the H-O theory. If X and Y are differentiated, nation 1 will still be net exporter of X (inter-industry trade and based on comparative advantage), but it will also import some varieties of X and export some varieties of Y (IIT and base on economies of scale). ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 21/35 4.10 Conclusion When products are homogeneous, we have only inter-industry trade. But when products are differentiated, we have both inter- and intraindustry trade.The more alike nations are in factor endowments and technology, the smaller is the importance of inter-industry trade relative to intra-industry trade. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 22/35 5 The Product Cycle Model When a new product is introduced, it requires highly skilled labor. As the product matures and acquires highly mass acceptance, it becomes standardized, it then can be produced by mass production techniques and less skilled labor. The comparative advantage in the product shifts from the advanced nation that originally introduced it to less advanced nations, where labor is relatively cheaper. It is accompanied by FDI from the innovating nation to nations with cheaper labor. Skill-intensive Capital-intensive Labor-intensive product. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 23/35 5 The Product Cycle Model High-income and L-saving products are to be introduced. The opportunities to make new products are greatest in rich nations. The new products need to be close to markets so as to get feedback from consumers and modify the products. It is easier to provide services ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 24/35 5 The Product Cycle Model ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 25/35 5.1 The Technological Gap Model A great deal of international trade is based on the introduction of new products and production process. As the most technologically advanced nation, the United States exports a large number of new products. However, as foreign producers acquire the new technology, they eventually are able to conquer markets abroad, and even the U.S. market for the product, because of their lower costs. This model was sketched by Posner in 1961. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 26/35 5.1 The Technological Gap Model Nation A’s Production and Consumption Nation A’s Production To T1 T2 Nation B’s Productio n Nation B’s Production and Consumption T3 T4 Nation B’s Export Time Nation A’s Imports To---T1: Demand lag; To---T2: Response lag; T2---T3: Control lag in technology; To---T3: Imitation lag; T1---T3:Trade period ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 27/35 5.2 Difference between Technological Gap Model and Product Cycle Model Technological gap model emphasizes the time lag in the imitation process. The product cycle model stresses the standardization process. According to these models, the most highly industrialized nations are expected to export nonstandardized products embodying new and more advanced technologies and import products embodying old and less advanced technologies. On the other hand, developing nations import non-standardized products and export standardized products. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 28/35 5.3 Conclusions of Trade Theories The more different countries are in factor endowments, the more likely it is that they may have inter-industry trade. The more alike countries are in factor endowments, the more likely they may have intra-industry trade. So H-O model is most appropriate to explain trade in raw materials, agricultural products and labor intensive manufactured products, while the new trade theories based on economies of scale and differentiated products are most appropriate to explain intra-industry trade. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 29/35 6 Transportation Costs They refer to all the costs of transferring goods from one location to another, such as freight charges, costs for loading and unloading and insurance premiums while goods in transit. A homogeneous good will be trade internationally only if the pretrade price difference in the two nations exceeds the costs of transporting the goods from one nation to the other. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 30/35 6.1 Nontraded Goods Nontraded goods and services refer to the goods and services that can not be traded because the transportation costs exceed price differences across nations, such as haircut. ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 31/35 6.2 Illustration of Transportation Costs ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 32/35 6.3 Transportation Costs & Location of Industry Transportation costs also affect international trade by influencing the location of production and industry. Industries can be classified as resource oriented, market oriented and footloose industries. Resource-oriented industries Market-oriented industries Footloose industries ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 33/35 7 Questions for Discussion • What is meant by economies of scale? How can they be the basis for international trade? • What is product differenciation? How can international trade be based on product differenciation? • How can intra-industry trade be measured? What are the shortcomings of such a measure? • What do we mean by monopolistic competition? Why do we use this to examine intra-industry trade? ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 34/35 THANK YOU! ANHUI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS 35/35