Transcript Slide 1

A Portrait of Latino Students
Mark Hugo Lopez
Director of Hispanic Research
Hispanic Trends Project
September 4, 2014
Latino School Enrollments
Hispanic Student Enrollments
In 2012, 13 million young Latinos were enrolled in
nursery school to high school public institutions
That is up 58% from 2000 when 8.2 million Latinos
were enrolled
Among 18-24 year olds, 2.4 million Latinos were
enrolled in college full time, up 175% since 2000
when there were 873,000 Latino students in college
full time.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Historical School Enrollment time series
http://www.census.gov/hhes/school/data/cps/historical/index.html
Racial and Ethnic Composition of
Public Schools by Grade, 2012
(%)
White
All
51
Hispanic
Black
25
Nursery school
45
29
Kindergarten
46
27
Other
16
8
19
8
16
10
Elementary
school
52
25
15
8
High school
53
23
16
8
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October 2012 Current Population Survey (CPS)
Growing Hispanic Representation in
Public Schools and Colleges
Hispanic share of enrollment
25 %
20
Pre-K through 12th-grade public
school enrollment, ages 3 and older
25
19
15
10
5
College enrollment, ages18-24
0
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)
Hispanic Children Are a Growing Share
of Public Kindergarten Classes
States where 20% or more of kindergartners are Hispanic
Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of the 2012 American Community Survey and the 2000 decennial census (1% IPUMS)
Latino College Enrollment Gains
More than Demography
High School Dropout Rates
among 18- to 24-Year-Olds
(%)
45%
40
35
Hispanic
30
25
Black
20
15
10
5
15
9
White
5
Asian
10
5
4
0
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)
Hispanic High School Completion
is at a Record Level
(% of 18- to 24-year-old Hispanics)
80
76.3
75
70
65
60
55
50
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2011
Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)
College Enrollment Rates
Among High School Completers
(% of 18- to 24-year-old high school completers)
80
Asian
70
60
50
40
30
66
61
White
Black
49
47
45
Hispanic
20
10
0
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
2012
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)
Hispanics Now Largest Minority
Group at Colleges and Universities
(millions of 18- to 24-year-old students)
White
Hisp
6
Black
Asian
5.3
5
4
3
2
1
1.8
0.9
1.3
0.5
0.2
1.0
0.8
0
2-year college (community)
4-year college or university
Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)
Hispanic Undergraduates are More Likely to Enroll
at 2-year Institutions than Other Groups
4-year college or university
2-year college (community)
77%
74%
69%
58%
42%
26%
Hisp
White
31%
23%
Black
Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)
Asian
Latino Youth are Optimistic…
Percent of Latino 16 to 25 year olds
Very Satisfied
Most are
satisfied with
their lives
and most
expect to be
better off
fiancially than
parents
Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos
50%
Better off
72%
Mostly Satisfied
45%
About
the same
Less
well
off
22% 4%
…And They Say
A College Education Is Important
In order to get ahead in life these days, it’s necessary to get a college education.
Percent who agree
All Latinos ages 16
and older
General population
ages 16 and older
Latinos ages 16 to
25
General population
ages 16 to 25
Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample; 2009 SDT
America’s Changing Workforce Survey for general U.S. population
88%
74%
89%
82%
…Yet Educational Expectations Lag
How much further in school do you plan to go?
Among 18- to 25-year-olds
Latinos
48%
Bachelor's degree or
higher
Some college/2 years
Technical or trade
school
Finish high school
No further
General population
60%
12%
9%
6%
4%
4%
5%
22%
18%
Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample;
2007 Generation Next Survey for all youth sample
What's at Stake?
Hispanics Projected to be the Largest
School-age Population by 2050
58%
% of School-age
Population
38%
39%
NH white
Hispanic
NH black
NH asian
20%
15%
11%
6%
20
07
20
10
20
13
20
16
20
19
20
22
20
25
20
28
20
31
20
34
20
37
20
40
20
43
20
46
20
49
4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, National Population Projections, Released 2008
Hispanic Educational Attainment,
1990 to 2013
(% of 25 to 29 year olds with bachelor’s degree or higher)
15.7
13.5
11.2
8.1
1990
8.9
1995
9.7
2000
2005
All Hispanics
2010
Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of October Current Population Surveys (CPS)
2013
Hispanic Educational Attainment,
1990 to 2013
(% of 25- to- 29-year olds with bachelor’s degree or higher)
18.6
16.8
Hispanic
Women
12.4
10.1
11
13.1
9.1
10.2
8.3
7.3
7.8
1990
1995
2000
2005
10.8
Hispanic
Men
2010
Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of October Current Population Surveys (CPS)
2013
Educational Attainment
of 25- to 29-year-olds, 2013
(% with bachelor’s degree or higher)
59
39
20
16
Hispanic
NH White
NH Black
NH Asian
Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)
Why Not Continue Your Education?
Which of the following are reasons you have not continued your education?
Percent of Latino youth ages 16 to 25 with a high school diploma or less,
who are not enrolled and have no plans to return to school saying “Yes”
74%
Need to support family
49%
English skills are limited
42%
Didn't like school
Can't afford to go on in school
40%
Don't need more education
39%
Grades not high enough
Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos
21%
Civilian Labor Force,
2011 and Projected 2050
(in thousands)
2011
2050
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Total
Hispanic
NH White
Black
Asian
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Force Characteristics by Race and Ethnicity, 2011 and A
New Look at Long-term Labor Force Projections to 2050
40-year Work-life Earnings by Education
for Hispanic Full-time, Full-year Workers
In millions of $
Male
Female
9 - 12th grade
1.1
0.8
High School completer
1.3
1.0
Some college
1.7
1.3
Associate's degree
1.8
1.4
Bachelor's degree
2.1
1.7
Master's degree
2.8
2.3
Professional degree
3.1
2.3
Doctorate degree
3.1
2.6
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Education and Synthetic Work-Life Earnings Estimates, September 2011
Contact Information
Mark Hugo Lopez
Director of Hispanic Research
[email protected]
Hispanic Trends Project
About the Hispanic Trends Project
Pew Hispanic Center established in 2001; rebranded
in 2013
Funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts
A part of the Pew Research Center
Purpose is to improve understanding of the diverse
Hispanic population in the U.S. and to chronicle the
growing impact of this population on the U.S.
“Fact tank,” not a think tank