Transcript Slide 1
Selected New Data for Rhode Island Higher Education Presented on March 4, 2004 National Collaborative on Postsecondary Education Population Growth from 1990 to 2000 50,000 44,855 45,068 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 -5,000 Total Population Source: US Census Bureau, Brookings Institute Hispanic -213 Non-Hispanic Percent of Population Foreign Born Foreign Born Other 100% 80% 60% 86.5% 80.4% 74.7% 40% 20% 13.5% 19.6% 25.3% 0% 1980 Source: US Census Bureau, Brookings Institute 1990 2000 0 Hawaii Wyoming New Mexico California Alaska Idaho Washington Utah Texas Florida Oregon Montana Arizona Georgia Colorado Virginia Tennessee Alabama Nation Maryland New Hampshire Oklahoma North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Kansas Nevada Arkansas Louisiana North Dakota Nebraska Vermont Minnesota New Jersey Missouri Maine Mississippi Delaware Wisconsin Indiana Connecticut Massachusetts Kentucky Illinois Rhode Island Iowa Ohio Pennsylvania West Virginia New York Michigan Projected Change in the Population 2000 to 2020 40% 38.4 30 20 14.7 10 5.4 0.6 Source: US Census Bureau Projected Rhode Island Population Growth Number Change from 2000 to 2010 – By Race White Black Hispanic Other 46,868 50,000 13,873 10,941 5,265 2,309 0 0 to 17 7,207 5,858 1,409 2,898 1,760 18 to 24 8,453 2,992 3,417 3,244 328 82 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 and Older -7,680 -21,233 -50,000 Source: US Census Bureau -48,438 1,070 Projected Rhode Island Population Growth Number Change from 2000 to 2020 – By Race White Black Hispanic Other 50,000 35,347 24,274 22,021 17,754 10,044 5,303 9,656 9,001 5,256 1,909 3,525 16,888 6,114 1,806 4,273 6,251 1,637 3,113 0 0 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 44 -26,577 -50,000 Source: US Census Bureau -50,059 45 to 64 65 and Older Total African-American Population, 2000 523 to 1,698 147 to 523 38 to 147 16 to 38 1 to 16 Rhode Island = 46,908 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census Total Hispanic Population, 2000 1,073 to 4,039 172 to 1,073 65 to 172 33 to 65 5 to 33 Rhode Island = 90,820 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census Educational Attainment Rhode Island Attainment and US Rank - 2000 18 to 24 Year Olds with a HS Diploma 81.3% 25 to 64 Year Olds with a HS Diploma 83.8% 24 to 64 Year Olds with an Associates Degree 33 15 8.4% 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Bachelor's Degree or Higher 28.9% 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Graduate or Professional Degree 10.8% 50 Source: US Census Bureau 6 13 9 40 30 20 State Ranking 10 0 Educational Attainment by Race White Asian African American Hispanic Other 100% 84.5% 80% 86.8% 82.8% 74.1% 73.5% 71.3% 56.5% 57.2% 60% 52.2% 50.3% 37.6% 40% 30.8% 17.6% 20% 8.7% 7.3% 0% 18 to 24 Year Olds with a HS Diploma Source: US Census Bureau 25 to 64 Year Olds with a HS Diploma 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Bachelor's Degree or Higher Projections of High School Graduates by Race/Ethnicity from 2000-01 to 2017-18 15,000 AI/ AK Native (33 to 120) Asian/PI (273 to 335) Black (547 to 1,240) 12,000 Hispanic (771 to 2,713) White (6,988 to 5,828) 9,000 6,000 3,000 2017-18 2016-17 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10 2008-09 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2004-05 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 0 Selected Data by School District Number of 18-24 Year Olds with No High School Diploma, 2000 Burrillville 7 to 44 44 to 137 137 to 397 397 to 1,035 1,035 to 6,195 Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 19,886 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census Newport Population Under 18 Years of Age Living in Poverty, 1999 Burrillville 0 to 40 40 to 118 118 to 527 527 to 1,496 1,496 to 18,045 Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 41,162 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census Newport Per Capita Personal Income, 1999 Burrillville $29,188 to $38,664 $25,642 to $29,188 $22,447 to $25,642 $20,250 to $22,447 $10,824 to $20,250 Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = $21,688 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census Newport Percent of 10th Graders Meeting or Exceeding the Rhode Island English Language Arts Assessment Standard, 2003 Burrillville 61.1% to 76.7% 56.8% to 61.1% 45.9% to 56.8% 28.7% to 45.9% 22.8% to 28.7% Not Reported Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 42.7% Source: Rhode Island Department of Elementary & Secondary Education Newport Percent of 10th Graders Meeting or Exceeding the Rhode Island Mathematics Assessment Standard, 2003 Burrillville 61.1% to 70.1% 50.8% to 61.1% 38.0% to 50.8% 20.8% to 38.0% 9.2% to 20.8% Not Reported Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 34.1% Source: Rhode Island Department of Elementary & Secondary Education Newport High School Graduation Rates – 2002 Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders 4 Years Earlier Burrillville 88.1% to 94.5% 79.4% to 88.1% 69.9% to 79.4% 56.8% to 69.9% 49.7% to 56.8% Not Reported Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 68.8% Source: NCES, Common Core Data. Newport Number of First-Time First Year Degree-Seeking Students Attending In-State & Out-of-State Institutions, Fall 2002 6000 5000 4,871 81% of Students Staying In-State Attend Public Institutions 4000 2,947 3000 2000 1,151 1000 0 In-State Public Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency & Migration File. In-State Private Out-of-State Colleges that More than 30 RI Residents Attended (as First-Time Freshmen) in Fall 2002 Institution Total Headcount of Freshmen COMMUNITY COLLEGE OF RHODE ISLAND UNIVERSITY OF RHODE ISLAND RHODE ISLAND COLLEGE NEW ENGLAND INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY JOHNSON & WALES UNIVERSITY PROVIDENCE COLLEGE BRISTOL COMMUNITY COLLEGE BRYANT COLLEGE NORTHEASTERN UNIVERSITY ROGER WILLIAMS UNIVERSITY BROWN UNIVERSITY UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE-MAIN CAMPUS BOSTON UNIVERSITY SALVE REGINA UNIVERSITY UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT ASSUMPTION COLLEGE BOSTON COLLEGE DEAN COLLEGE QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY KEENE STATE COLLEGE PLYMOUTH STATE COLLEGE WORCESTER POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE WENTWORTH INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY SYRACUSE UNIVERSITY STONEHILL COLLEGE UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT AND STATE AGRICULTURAL COLL Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency & Migration File. 2871 1173 827 329 290 153 144 118 114 97 73 72 62 57 51 46 44 43 40 37 37 37 35 35 34 33 State RI RI RI RI RI RI MA RI MA RI RI NH MA RI CT MA MA MA CT NH NH MA MA NY MA VT Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Institution, Fall 2001 Burrillville Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence 49.1% to 64.7% 46.3% to 49.1% 35.4% to 46.3% 21.7% to 35.4% 7.6% to 21.7% Not Available Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 39.1% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education. Newport Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Public 4-Year Institution, Fall 2001 Burrillville 21.8% to 28.1% 19.1% to 21.8% 12.0% to 19.1% 4.6% to 12.0% 0.0% to 4.6% Not Available Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 13.7% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education. Newport Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Public 2-Year Institution, Fall 2001 Burrillville Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence 19.0% to 27.2% 13.9% to 19.0% 9.2% to 13.9% 4.0% to 9.2% 0.0% to 4.0% Not Available Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 11.9% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education. Newport Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Private Institution, Fall 2001 Burrillville 17.9% to 21.8% 14.0% to 17.9% 10.8% to 14.0% 7.6% to 10.8% 2.1% to 7.6% Not Available Woonsocket Cumberland North Smithfield Smithfield Lincoln Glocester Central Falls Pawtucket North Providence Scituate Johnston Providence East Providence Foster Cranston Barrington Warren West Warwick Warwick Coventry Bristol West Greenwich East Greenwich T iverton Portsmouth Exeter North Kingstown Jamestown Middletown Little Compton Hopkinton Richmond South Kingstown Narragansett Charlestown Westerly Rhode Island = 13.5% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education. Newport Imported First-Time Freshmen as a Percent of All First-Time Freshmen Vermont Rhode Island New Hampshire Wyoming Delaware Massachusetts North Dakota Connecticut Hawaii West Virginia South Dakota Maryland Idaho Maine Virginia Pennsylvania Arizona Iowa Tennessee Utah Oregon Colorado Indiana Montana New York 62.9% 59.2% 51.4% 47.5% 40.9% 37.7% 35.4% 33.4% 32.8% 27.6% 27.3% 26.2% 26.0% 25.7% 25.0% 23.9% 23.2% 22.9% 22.8% 22.7% 21.8% 21.7% 21.7% 21.6% 19.8% Source: NCES-IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey Florida North Carolina Missouri Alabama South Carolina Kentucky Kansas Georgia Nebraska New Mexico Oklahoma Minnesota Arkansas Wisconsin Washington Mississippi Nevada Ohio Louisiana Illinois Michigan Texas Alaska New Jersey California 19.3% 19.2% 18.7% 18.3% 17.6% 17.0% 16.9% 16.2% 15.8% 15.6% 15.5% 15.4% 14.9% 14.8% 14.6% 14.5% 14.1% 12.7% 12.6% 10.4% 9.6% 8.9% 8.4% 8.4% 8.3% Measures for Affordability from the 2000 to 2002 Measuring Up Report Cards (Grade – F) MEASURE FAMILY ABILITY TO PAY (50%) Percent of income needed to pay for college expenses minus financial aid: at community colleges at public 4-year colleges/universities at private 4-year colleges/universities STRATEGIES FOR AFFORDABILITY (40%) State grant aid targeted to low-income families as a percent of federal Pell Grant aid to low-income families Share of income that poorest families need to pay for tuition at lowest priced colleges RELIANCE ON LOANS (10%) Average loan amount that undergraduate students borrow each year $ 2000 2002 US Average Top States 27% 37% 86% 28% 35% 81% 20% 24% 62% 16% 18% 32% 20% 19% 44% 108% 19% 18% 12% 8% 4,081 $ 4,000 $ 3,333 $ 2,928 Trends in Affordability (2001-02 to 2002-03) • Tuition at public two-year institutions increased 9% (from $1,854 to $2,014) • Tuition at public four-year institutions increased 7% (from $3,521 to $3,671). • Per capita income increased 4% (from $30,071 to $31,361). • Total state appropriations decreased 3% ($174 million to $169 million) • Total state grant for students decreased 20% (from $6.1 million to $4.9 million) Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, College Affordability in Jeopardy, Winter 2003 Rhode Island Public Graduation Rates Within 150% of Program Time, 2002 UNIVERSITY OF RHODE ISLAND 57.6 RHODE ISLAND COLLEGE 44.2 COMMUNITY COLLEGE OF RHODE ISLAND 12.1 0 Source: NCES, IPEDS 2002 Graduation Rate File. 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Rhode Island Private 4-Year Graduation Rates Within 150% of Normal Time, 2002 100.0 RHODE ISLAND SCHOOL OF DESIGN 94.6 BROWN UNIVERSITY 85.1 PROVIDENCE COLLEGE BRYANT COLLEGE 64.3 NEW ENGLAND INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 63.8 59.0 SALVE REGINA UNIVERSITY 56.8 JOHNSON & WALES UNIVERSITY ZION BIBLE INSTITUTE 48.7 ROGER WILLIAMS UNIVERSITY 48.5 0 Source: NCES, IPEDS 2002 Graduation Rate File. 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent of African-Americans and Hispanics at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline African-American 11.6% 12% 9% 6% Hispanic 8.4% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 4.7% 4.8% 3.9% 3% 0% 18 Year Olds High School Graduates First-Time College Freshmen All Other Undergraduates Credentials and Degrees Awarded Sources: US Census Bureau, NCES-Common Core Data, NCES-IPEDS Enrollment and Completions Surveys RI Change in Gross State Product and Comparison to the US 1990 30% 2000 30% Nation in 2000 22% 21% 20% 20% 19% 20% 20% 16% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 1% 1% 5% 9% 9% 5% 5% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Agriculture, forest., fish Mining Construction Manufacturing Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Transportation & utilities Wholesale trade Retail trade F.I.R.E. Services Government Employment by Job Type (1998-2001) 45% Rhode Island US 38.3% 38.5% 30% 21.7% 21.1% 16.6% 15.0% 15% 11.0% 10.1% 7.4% 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0% Natural Resources Factory Low-Skilled Service Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS) Healthcare Education, Public Service Office High Tech Earnings by Job Type (1998-2001) $60,000 Rhode Island US $51,201 $49,689 $50,000 $41,097 $40,807 $39,705 $39,701 $40,000 $33,630 $33,221 $33,015 $31,153 $30,000 $27,709 $28,853 $20,765 $20,000 $17,802 $17,517 $17,177 $10,000 $0 Natural Resources Factory Low-Skilled Service Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS) Healthcare Education, Public Service Office High Tech All Jobs Annual Degree Production in Selected Fields vs. Average Annual Job Openings Degrees Awarded Annually (2001-02) Average Annual Openings (2000 to 2010) 700 662 637 600 527 500 439 428 381 400 318 300 314 314 250 248 200 172 101 100 90 0 Engineering Engineering Tech Nursing Health Tech Comp. Sci Bachelors Sources: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey (2001-02) and the Rhode Island Department of Labor and Training Comp. Sci Associates Education Rhode Island Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group (1995 to 2000) 22-29 Year Olds 30-64 Year Olds Less Than High School 2,812 Less Than High School 4,565 High School 1,551 High School 228 Some College 2,141 Some College 433 Associates 600 Associates 366 Bachelor's -2,804 Bachelor's 746 Grad/Prof -706 Grad/Prof 727 Total 3,594 -4,000 -3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000 Total 7,065 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 22 to 29 Year Olds Postsecondary Teachers 701 Material Moving Workers 640 Food and Beverage Serving Workers 459 Other Personal Care and Service Workers 426 Assemblers and Fabricators 371 Other Production Occupations 311 Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health Aides 308 Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 271 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers 217 Building Cleaning and Pest Control Workers 215 -151 Other Sales and Related Workers -227 Financial Specialists -236 Sales Representatives, Services -266 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners -273 Media and Communication Workers -342 Computer Specialists -356 Engineers -425 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -432 Supervisors, Sales Workers -445 -600 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers -400 -200 Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000 0 200 400 600 800 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 22 to 29 Year Olds with a College Degree Postsecondary Teachers 419 Food and Beverage Serving Workers 168 Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health Aides 136 Construction Trades Workers 129 Other Teachers and Instructors 121 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers 119 Law Enforcement Workers 107 Other Military Occupations 105 Vehicle and Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 99 Water Transportation Workers 71 -206 Financial Specialists -241 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners -253 Computer Specialists -296 Sales Representatives, Services -309 Engineers -315 Business Operations Specialists -321 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -336 Information and Record Clerks -343 Media and Communication Workers -384 -500 -400 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers -300 -200 -100 Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000 0 100 200 300 400 500 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 30 to 64 Year Olds Other Production Occupations 534 Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 523 Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 511 Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, and Distributing Workers 349 Health Technologists and Technicians 345 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers 236 Engineers 236 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 234 Media and Communication Workers 222 Material Moving Workers 222 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing 221 -161 Top Executives -167 Information and Record Clerks -171 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers -242 Business Operations Specialists -270 Personal Appearance Workers -284 Financial Specialists -300 Other Management Occupations -333 Financial Clerks -362 -500 -400 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -300 -200 -100 Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 30 to 64 Year Olds with a College Degree Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers 272 Operations Specialties Managers 269 Engineers 215 Media and Communication Workers 208 Military Officer Special and Tactical Operations Leaders/Managers 204 Drafters, Engineering, and Mapping Technicians 159 Postsecondary Teachers 159 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners 143 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 138 Other Personal Care and Service Workers 138 -92 First-Line Supervisors/Managers, Protective Service Workers -103 Information and Record Clerks -106 Computer Specialists -107 Architects, Surveyors, and Cartographers -115 Personal Appearance Workers -151 Business Operations Specialists -201 Financial Specialists -210 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers -234 Other Management Occupations -282 -400 -300 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -200 Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000 -100 0 100 200 300 Federal Research and Development Expenditures Per Capita (2000) $210 $205.9 140 $84.4 70 $62.0 $18.1 MD MA CO NM CT UT RI PA HI AK NY NH WA OR NC IA CA VT MO WI US AL MT MI IL TX DE GA AZ MN ND VA OH TN MS KS NE LA IN WY SC NJ NV OK FL KY ID AR ME WV SD 0 Source: National Science Foundation, US Census Bureau