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New Opportunities for Public Alerting Michael Gerber National Weather Service Silver Spring, MD

Overview

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NWS CAP feeds IPAWS and PLAN/CMAS

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CAP as an enabler for decision support and alert technologies

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New collaborative venue for NWS CAP users

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NWS CAP roadmap

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Improving alert origination tools for better communicating impact

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NWS Alerts in IPAWS and PLAN/CMAS

Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) National Weather Service and other alerting authorities IPAWS Alert Aggregators Television Radio Cell Phone (PLAN/CMAS) Computer Home Phone Public Signage

Collaboration with FEMA on IPAWS/PLAN

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Bi-weekly meetings

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Jointly working to address challenges

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Minimize desensitization and avoid opt-outs

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Coordination on what constitutes an “imminent threat”

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Maximizing effectiveness of the 90 character PLAN message (i.e., Does the message drive the recipient to take life saving action?)

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Others

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CAP Opens the Door for New Public Alert Technologies

XML-based information standard for public alerting

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Benefits developers, re-packagers, broadcasters

Low cost of entry Programmer friendly - easy to parse and reuse Derive many products from single message Flash Flood Warning Immediate Severe Likely 2010-06-03T14:00:00-05:002010-06-03T17:00:00 05:00 NWS Memphis (Western Tennessee, Eastern Arkansas and Northern Mississippi) Flash Flood Warning issued June 03 at 2:00PM CDT expiring June 03 at 5:00PM CDT by NWS Memphis DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR… MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY…TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN +36.20,-88.93 +36.18,-88.91 +36.05,-88.84 +35.99,-89.17 +35.99,-89.19 +35.98,-89.21 +35.94,-89.30 +36.17,-89.31 +36.21,-89.04 +36.20,-88.96 +36.22, 88.95 +36.20,-88.93 Consumer Navigation Smart phones Cell phones Decision Support Tools 5

Using CAP for Decision Support

• Alert information at its most granular levels Flash Flood Warning

Immediate

Severe

• Enabler • Personalize threat/improve warning response • Apps and decision support tools at low COE

Likely

2010-06-03T14:00:00-05:002010-06-03T17:00:00 05:00 NWS Memphis (Western Tennessee, Eastern Arkansas and Northern Mississippi) Flash Flood Warning issued June 03 at 2:00PM CDT expiring June 03 at 5:00PM CDT by NWS Memphis DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR… MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY…TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

> 36.20,-88.93 36.18,-88.91 36.05,-88.84 35.99,-89.17 35.99,-89.19 35.98,-89.21 35.94,-89.30 36.17,-89.31 36.21,-89.04 36.20,-88.96 36.22,-88.95 36.20,-88.93

CAP is Future Friendly

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Examples of Possible Future CAP Parameters

Nimble: Can add parameters without breaking third party apps Can include additional parameters for Decision Support

NWSStormMotionDescription

2010-11-10T12:46:00-06:00...164DEG...20KT...+29.45 -98.63

Can include real-time info substantiating the alert

StormReport

+39.33,-76.82:Woodstock, MD:Trees down on I-70

Snow

12 or more inches

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Increase Warning Effectiveness by Personalizing the Threat

• • Works across multiple alerting systems • Simplifies task of activating a warning –

“Write once, distribute many times”

Improves response

Example of Possible Future CAP Content Link to photo/video demonstrating the call to action

“Just in time” training on your TV or cell phone Works across languages Warning effectiveness 8

CAP Wiki to Encourage 3

rd

Party Development

https://wiki.citizen.apps.gov/nws_developers

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NWS CAP usage guide

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Defines each CAP compliant message element

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Collaborative discussion encouraged

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Monitored by NWS

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Receive email notification of page changes

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NWS Today

CAP Message

NWS CAP feeds available at http://alerts.weather.gov/cap

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NWS with Next Generation Warning Tool (2013)

Information Database CAP Message

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Future: Better Tools for Communicating Impact

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value

Immediate Expected Future Past

Today:

Pre-assigned from table of NWS alert types

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

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value

Extreme Severe Moderate Minor Immediate Severe Likely • • • •

value

Observed Likely Possible Unlikely

2013+:

Assigned by forecaster using next generation warning tool

Crippling 1/2” snow squall

Immediate Severe Likely 12

NWS CAP Roadmap

Milestone/Goal

CAP v1.2 Adopted by FEMA for IPAWS CAP v1.1 Operational in NWS at alerts.weather.gov/cap March 2011 NWS CAP guide on public collaborative wiki in preparation for CAP v1.2 June 2011 CAP v1.2 (IPAWS Compliant) Experimental in NWS NWS CAP push to FEMA IPAWS Aggregator in time for CMAS

Date

September 2010 August 2011 November 2011 CAP v1.2 Initial Operating Capability Native production of NWS CAP messages using NWS next generation warning tool gives forecasters enhanced control over CAP content) December 2011 2013 13

NWS seeking comments on dissemination re-architecture

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NWS conducting multi-phased assessment of its dissemination architecture

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Goal: Create a forward looking dissemination architecture utilizing emerging technology

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Requesting your input with regard to data services:

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Types of data sets required (traditional, XML, etc) Dissemination methods (e.g. SOAP, API, etc.) Share best practices of existing dissemination systems Required operational levels of availability, timeliness, and prioritization Service levels including expansion of fee-for-service dissemination

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Make comments/suggestions at http://NWSrearch.ideascale.com

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Have questions or would like to provide comments via email? Contact:

Robert Bunge Chief, Telecommunication Software Branch Telecommunication Operations Center Phone: 301-713-0882 x 114 Email: [email protected]

Questions?

Contact Information: Mike Gerber [email protected]

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