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BICS, September 2007 Inversion imaging of the Sun-Earth System Damien Allain, Cathryn Mitchell, Dimitriy Pokhotelov, Manuchehr Soleimani, Paul Spencer, Jenna Tong, Ping Yin, Bettina Zapfe Invert, Dept of E & E Engineering, University of Bath, UK Plan Tomography and the ionosphere • Outline the basic problem GPS imaging of electron density • large-scale slow moving (mid/low latitude) • medium-scale fast moving (high latitude) • high-resolution imaging • small-scale structure System applications Next steps The ionosphere Tenuous atmosphere above 100 km – ionised by EUV Tomography applied to imaging the ionosphere Along each continuous arc measurements of timeevolving, biased TEC Produce the time-evolving 3D distribution of electron density Tomography applied to imaging the ionosphere Measure – integral of electron density Solve for spatial field of electron density Ground-receiver tomography Problems • Incomplete data coverage • Variability of the measurement biases • Temporal changes in the ionosphere Problem 1 - incomplete data coverage ? ? 10 ? ? 10 10 10 If each of the measurements (integrated quantities) are equal to 10, find the density in each pixel … Problem 1 - incomplete data coverage ? ? 10 ? ? 10 If each of the measurements (integrated quantities) are equal to 10, find the density in each pixel … 10 10 Four equations, four unknowns … but there are many possible answers because the equations are not all independent 5 5 8 2 7 3 5 5 2 8 3 7 … etc but if vertical ratio is known to be 4:1 8 2 2 8 … then the solution is unique See for example Fremouw et al, 1992 Problem 1 - incomplete data coverage Satellite-to-ground measurements are biased in the vertical direction … this means that the inversion is better determined in the horizontal distribution of electron density Problem 1 - incomplete data coverage High peak height large scale height Low peak height small scale height h Example of basis set constraints of MIDAS EOF2 EOF1 EOF3 Problem 2 – variable measurement biases 5+c 15+c ? ? ? ? Each set of satellite to receiver paths is assumed to have a ‘constant’ measurement bias, c … In terms of a mathematical solution, this just results in a slightly more underdetermined problem, because need to solve for c for each satellite-receiver pair See for example Kunitsyn et al., 1994 Height (km) Problem 2 – variable measurement biases Large differences in the profile still result in small TEC changes … 20 TECu TECu TECu NmF2 from ground based data? … so we need to use the differential phase not the calibrated code observations Problem 3 – temporal changes 5 15 ? ? ? ? Now, we had a static solution, but what if the ionosphere changes during the time we collect the measurements? time1 TEC =5 ; time2 TEC=15 Problem 3 – temporal changes 5 15 ? ? ? ? Now, we had a static solution, but what if the ionosphere changes during the time we collect the measurements? time1 TEC =5 ; time2 TEC=15 This gives a time-evolving solution of electron density, where (applying for example a linear time evolution) the solution is 4 1 1 4 Time 1 8 2 12 3 2 8 3 12 Time 2 Problem 4 – uneven data coverage Some form of regularisation e.g. spherical harmonics MIDAS – time-dependent inversion A relatively short period is chosen for the time-dependent inversion, for example one hour, and data collected at typically 30 second intervals are considered. The change in the ray path geometry, defined in the D matrix, multiplied by the unknown change in electron concentration (y) is equal to the change in TEC, Tc. Dy Tc The mapping matrix, X, is used to transform the problem to one for which the unknowns are the linear (or other) changes in coefficients (G) D(XG) Tc Spherical harmonics and EOFs (X) MIDAS – time-dependent inversion The matrices can be re-written such that the ray path geometry is multiplied directly by the mapping matrix to create the basis set DX(G) Tc . and the change in the unknown contributions of each of these line integrations of electron concentration is solved for Solve for G G (DX)1 Tc The time-dependent solution to the inverse problem is then given by y XG [electron density change] = [model electron density] [coefficients] MIDAS – high latitude Problems • Grid geometry • Limited ground-based data • Severe gradients, localized features • Fast moving structures Solutions • Rotated grid • Convected background ionosphere Convected ionosphere formulated in Kalman filter H is the path-pixel geometry defined by the satellite orbits and receivers Hxr z measurements x Axt 1 State transition to project prior into the future P APt 1AT Q K PHT (HPHT R) 1 New density is formed from projected previous state and new measurements Pt (I KH)P xt x K(z Hx) Variance in observations (IFB) MIDAS – high latitude E-field from Weimer MIDAS – high latitude Magnetic field from IGRF MIDAS – high latitude Velocity used to convect ‘background’ ionosphere MIDAS – high latitude MIDAS – high latitude MIDAS – high latitude MIDAS – high latitude MIDAS – comparison to EISCAT Electron density as a function of height and universal time 30th October 2003 EISCAT radar MIDAS tomography Acknowledgement: EISCAT Scientific Association, in particular Ian McCrea at CCLRC, UK Extension of imaging to Antarctica GPS data-sharing collaboration through International Polar Year 2007-2008 Arctic Antarctic Conjugate plasma controlled by electric field High-resolution imaging In collaboration with J-P Luntama, FMI High-resolution imaging In collaboration with J-P Luntama, FMI Equatorial imaging and GPS Scintillation – South America and Europe In collaboration with Cornell University, USA Ionosphere multi-scale problems – system effects GPS • Perturbs the signal propagation speed proportional to total electron content – tens of metres error at solar maximum Credit: ESA Ionosphere multi-scale problems – system effects Space-based P-band radar (SAR) • forest biomass estimation • ice sheet thickness determination Ionospheric impacts • Faraday rotations from several degrees to several cycles in high sun-spot periods • defocusing by ionospheric irregularities Summary and Further Work Tomography and the ionosphere GPS imaging of electron density System applications Next steps … NASA movie - CME Sun-Earth connections Next steps Goal – to nowcast and forecast the Sun-Earth System Models – • Do we know all of the physics of the Sun-Earth System? • Can we simplify it into a useful Sun-Earth model? • Computational – how can we minimise the computational costs? Multi-scale data assimilation (temporal and spatial) will be essential Credit to ESA