Transcript Slide 1

AHP Out-Patient Services
Capacity and Demand
Management
Masterclass
Robert Jones
Fiona Jenkins
3rd June 2011
Objectives
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Reasons for considering new approaches to
AHP booking systems
The concepts of backlog, capacity and demand
modelling in relation to out-patient appointments
systems, using data to inform decision-making
Familiarisation with a system for managing and
reducing waiting lists and DNA
Sustainability of a new system
Impact of reduced delays on AHP pathways
Concepts of service re-design to be able to
implement and sustain change
National reporting
Before break
 Why
waiting list management ?
 Concepts of capacity and demand
 IM&T
 Managing change- taking staff with
you
Your Expectations?
Jargon Buster
Demand - what we should be doing
Activity - what we are doing
Capacity - what we could be doing
Backlog - what we should have
done but haven’t
Carve out- sub-dividing service into
specialties
Who has a Waiting List?
Physio Out patient longest waits
Specialty
Musculo-skeletal
Pain management
Paediatrics
Neurology (inc stroke)
Women's/Men's health
Occupational health
Percent
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
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10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Time (in weeks)
How do you calculate your
waits?
 When
do you count the start of
the wait?
 When do you count the end of the
wait?
 Does the way that patient access
your service influence the wait
time?
The DH waiting time definition
The time between:
the date that a referral is received
and the date the patient is treated.
What are you aiming for?
What has worked previously?
 Was it sustainable?
 Who pays for your service(s)..what difference
does this make?
 Are you needing to scrutinise costs?
 Contestability...is this coming?
 What do your patients think?
 What do your referrers think?
 What do your commissioners think?
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Consider
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Do your patients and referrers want shorter waits?
What facilities have you got
Staff specialism
Skill mix profile – is it optimal?
Staff profile, activity and service costs
Infrastructure – admin, data collection, phones
How long per appointment
How many contacts per episode
Are you ready to pass control over to patients?
Is your service ready to re-design?
Validating waiting lists – have
you tried it?
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Validation is checking to see that the patients
require appointment
Has their condition improved so they no longer
require the appointment?
Do by sending letters or telephoning
…especially if you have a long waiting list
Gives you a clearer understanding of 'real'
demand in the system.
Wasted Slots
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Don’t confuse
your DNAs and
UTAs
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How to
calculate?
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Liberate
capacity
Data and Information
What is data?
 What is information?
 What have you got?
 How do you collect it?
 How do you use it ?
 What do you need ?
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Benefits
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Information for:
Management
 clinical
 finance
 workforce
Costs of your service
Pay and Non Pay
 Overheads
 Capital charges
 Other
 Largest element for AHPs is
staff costs
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Planning staff involvement
R
A Framework for the
Management of Change
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Moving From the Current to the desired
- triggers for change
Essential Actions
Skills for Success
Evaluation
Learning Points
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Questions so far?
- Extraordinary Public Sector Debt
- Public Sector Funding Restricted (Zero Growth)
- Higher Inflation and Downward Pay Pressure
- Tariff reduced by 1.5% - 2% per annum
-Population Increase (elderly, LTC)
-Medical and Drug Advances (Technology)
- Shift from Secondary to Primary Care
- Expensive Infrastructure
- Financial Deficits in Organisations
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS
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Continuing Tariff Reduction
At least 2.5% inflation
Cost Pressures
Organisations with Recurring Deficits
Efficiency Requirement
Less Money to do More Activity or Work differently
Activity Volumes too High to be affordable
Insufficient Community and Primary Care
Infrastructure
• Variation in Length of Stay
• Too many Follow-ups and too many DNAs
• Too Many Staff and too Many Beds!
SOME SHORT AND LONG TERM
STRATEGIES
•Improved Effectiveness and Efficiency
•Organisation Development Structure
•Patient Level Costing Driving Strategy (SLR)
•Improved Productivity
•Vertical Integration, e.g (Stroke, COPD, Hospital at
Home
•Horizontal Integration (e.g Path, Backroom)
•Quality, Patient Safety Initiatives
•Reduced Activity
•Disease Management - Self Care)
•Effective, Lean ( Programme Management)
•Less Money, therefore Less Beds, Less Staff
•Less expensive Management Structures
•Tendering
•Any Willing Provider?
Have you thought of
Benchmarking?
Valuable tool to determine how your
service compares
 Requires collection and interpretation of
data
 Can be wide-ranging or very focussed
 Can speak louder than your single voice
 ….or identify where efficiencies can be
made
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Edited by Robert Jones and Fiona Jenkins
Foreword by Karen Middleton
 The Jigsaw of Reform: Pushing
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the Parameters
Money, Money, Money: Fundamentals of Finance
Commissioning for Health Improvement: Policy and Practice
Striking the Agreement: Business Case and SLAs
Thriving In the Cash Strapped Organisation
Information is Power - Measure it, Manage it
Information Management for Healthcare Professionals
Allied Health Records in the Electronic Age
Data ‘Sanity’: Reducing Variation
Outcome Measurement in Clinical Practice
Improving Access to Services: demand and capacity to
support service re-design
Benchmarking AHP Services
Management Quality and Operational Excellence
Evaluating Management Quality in the Allied Health
Professions
Evaluating Clinical Performance in Healthcare Services
Project Management for Allied Health Professionals with Real
Jobs
Marketing for AHPs
Effective Report Writing
Demonstrating Worth: Marketing and Impact Measurement
Self – Referral
Any Patients Waiting?
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Do you have a waiting
list?
What is the size of the
list?
Is it a problem?
What is your target?
Are you meeting it?
What have you tried
before to manage it?
What size what it last
year?
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..and the year before?
How many waiting lists do
you have?
Do you carve out?
How do you prioritise?
Who puts patients on the
waiting list?
Do you have referral
criteria?
Questions
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What is you waiting time?
What is your DNA rate?
Do you have carve out?
What are the causes of waits?
Does it fluctuate?
Why does it fluctuate?
How do you currently manage waiting lists?
What info systems do you have?
Do staff accurately input data?
Do you make full use of it?
Does Choose and Book impact?
How referrals are handled affects waits
Physiotherapy Out-Patients - Management of Referral for OP appointment
DRAFT ‘TO BE’ PROCESS
Patient rings
for appt
File referral in
relevant filing
drawer
Referral from
Consultant
Referral from GP
Send standard letter
(from Tiara) asking
patient to make choice
appointment (letter sent
within 1-2 days)
Physio Reception
Referral from
Horder Centre
Referral from
Esperance
Is this urgent
appointment?
Referral from out
of area
File routine
requests in waiting
No
list drawer in date
order
Send choice
appointment letters
to calculated
number of NP
assessment slots
Patient rings
for appt
No
Referral from IP
Physio (card in traty)
Referral from
Occupational
Health
Is this a respiratory
appt requested by
consultant?
Put in tray for
Senior Physio to
check
No
Register referral on
Tiara (checking
other episodes etc)
Self-referral
Self-referral
Senior Physio
Yes
Date stamp and
prioritisation stamp
referral letter/card
Pick up referrals
from tray
Complete prioritisation
stamp with type of
appointment/speciality
and prioritise as
urgent or routine
Hand back to
Reception staff
Is referral from out of
area?
Yes
Send standard letter
(from Tiara) to GP
asking for reply if
they do not agree to
referral
This is an additional step, but
does not change
management of referral –
prioritised and letter sent as
for rest of process
Why do queues form?
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Because demand
exceeds capacity?
Mismatch between
demand and
capacity?
We want queues to
keep us busy?
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Variation in
demand + variation
in capacity = queue
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Occasionally
demand > capacity
Managing Flow
NHSI No delays achiever
How to Measure Capacity
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Understand how you use time, patient and
non patient contact time
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Expertise available, staff hours in WTE and
grade, and hours the service is open for
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If equipment or facilities are an essential
element, their availability need calculating.
How to Measure Demand
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Understand your referral patterns and type
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Multiply the number of patients referred
from all sources by the time it takes to
complete a patient episode
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Measure true demand- are there some not
accessing your service that should be?
Patient Flow
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In healthcare flow is the movement of
patients, information or equipment between
departments, staff groups or organisation as
part of a patients care pathway.
Three options
1. Manage flow
2. Create flow
3. Increase responsiveness
How to Measure the Backlog
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Multiply the number of patients waiting by the
time it takes to complete the patient episode.
For example, 100 patients on the waiting list x
30 minute treatment time each = 50 hours
backlog.
 If you are working towards a 6 week wait, and
have 16 weeks on your waiting list, backlog =
10 weeks
 Need to consider the number of patients
waiting and the time that represents
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Planning to Match Capacity
and Demand
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If services are planned so that average
capacity is higher than average demand,
waiting lists rarely build up and should
decrease ;as long as the capacity is used.
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The level to aim for is to set capacity higher
than the average demand.
The famous have said:
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“You will never solve the problem
with the mindset that created it”
Albert Einstein
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“Every system is perfectly designed
to achieve the results it gets”
Don Berwick
Where do we get extra
capacity from?
New Money ££££££££££!
 Map process
 re-design process
 measure bottleneck
 demand/capacity/activity/backlog
 analyse data :- reduce variation
 continue to measure and analyse
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Activity
What do staff do with their time?
 How much of each activity
 Who does it
 Where it happens
 Methodology to ascertain accurate
picture of what staff are doing with
their time
 Ability to drill down
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Why do we need to know this?
Development of staffing profiles
 Case load management
 Skill mix management
 Evidence-based staff deployment
 Clinical issues
 Audit and R&D
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Why do we need to know this?
Clinical governance
 Effectiveness and quality
 Evidence-base for service development
 Business environment and strategy
 Service and workforce planning
 Service re-design “tool”
 Capacity and demand management
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Paediatrics and long term
disability management
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Traditionally heavy caseloads and long waits
Even more important to undertake capacity/demand
management
Do you want to see the patient?
Or do they need to see you?
Episodes of care philosophy
Patient self-referral
Caseload management tools
Regular review
Skill mix
Staff Activity
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What do staff do with
their time?
 Patient related
 Non patient related
 Leave patterns
 Maternity leave
 Seasonal variation
 Daily variations
 Carve out
 Savings
requirements
Activity Sample:
Methodology
Development and prototyping
 Snapshot of activity on a regular basis
 Data collection form
 Staff involvement
 Computer software
 Reporting methods
 Use
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Activity Sample Form
Direct Patient Contact
Face to face contact -individual
 Face to face contact – group
 Telephone contact with patient or carer
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Activity Sample Form
Patient Related
Ward rounds
 Case conferences
 Administration- patient related
 Home assessment visits
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Activity Sample Form
Non patient related
Study leave
 In-service training
 Other CPD activity
 Teaching
 Supervision
 Liaison with other
services
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Administration
 Management duties
 Travel
 Staff/team meetings
 Other
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Activity Sample Form
Other
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Date of activity sample
Site
Location
Clinician code
Band
Post name/rotation
Absence? Reason
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Your contracted working
hours today
Your actual working hours
today
Number of group sessions
you have done today
Number of home
assessment visits you have
done today
Number of patients on your
caseload today
Examples of analysis
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Percentage of time spent in different
categories by:
Whole service
 Team
 Individual band
 Individual staff member
 Location
 Profession comparison
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Therapies staff activity Analysis
2%
0%
Face contact ind
0%
Face contact group
1%
Tel contact patient / relative
3%
3%
Ward round
4%
Case conf.
4%
Liaison other services pt related
Admin. Pt related
36%
2%
Home visits
Clinics
Other pt related
5%
Liaison other services not pt related
Admin. Not pt related
Management duties
6%
Study leave
Travel
Staff team mtgs
In service training
Teach your prof group
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
Teach student
Teach others
Clin. Super.
Other non pt related
2%
18%
4%
1%
0%
Percentage Summary of All Paybands (All Activities)
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
All
BAND9
BAND8D BAND8C BAND8B BAND8A
BAND8
BAND7
BAND6
BAND5
BAND4
BAND3
Face contact ind
Face contact group
Tel contact patient / relative
Ward round
Case conf.
Liaison other services pt related
Admin. Pt related
Home visits
Clinics
Management duties
Other pt related
Study leave
Liaison other services not pt related
Travel
Admin. Not pt related
Staff team mtgs
In service training
Teach your prof group
Teach student
Teach others
Clin. Super.
Other non pt related
BAND2
Its Your Turn!
Find your data
 You
will calculate:
 Capacity
 Departmental
demand
 Backlog (waiting list)
 Time per patient episode
 Staffing resources required
What is your Capacity?
Capacity
CALCULATE :
 WTE staff by grade
 Slots: length of appointments
 Ratio 1st: Follow Up
 Total time per patient episode
 Capacity per staff member /year
 Facilities issues
 DNA time
A “Typical” Physiotherapist
1 WTE ,41 working weeks/pa = 1537.5
hours
 511 new patient pa =12.5new patients per
week Average contact 4 = 2.5 hours
 511 X 2.5 hours= 1277hours patient
activity
 260.5 hours for “other” activity (6 hours
per WTE)
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A department with 10 WTE
 Number
of staff = 10 WTE
 15375 hours/department
 5110 new patients
 12770 hours for patient
contact
 2605 hours for “other” activity
Demand
 Total referrals
 How many currently on your
waiting list
 What that equates to in patient
contact time
 Have you the right number of
staff?
 Unmet need?
 Trends over time
A Worked Capacity Example
Total referrals = 6000
 Waiting list =500
 1250 hours work (500x 2.5)
 Need 1 WTE more activity to meet
this demand
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Develop a capacity plan
Backlog
How long is your longest wait?
 Do you have a maximum waiting time
target?
 What is the match/mismatch between
your capacity and demand?
 What is you backlog?
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Its Lunch time!
What is “Choice Appointments” ?
A system of same day
outpatient appointments
for physiotherapy
patients; made by
telephone for first and
follow up appointments
 Based on capacity
planning
 In place in Eastbourne
for 4+ years and
Torquay for 2+ years
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“Choice Appointments”
Calculate department demand and capacity
 Patients referred
 Patient telephones to book an appointment on
the day that they want treatment
 Minimal pre booking
 Patient agreed goals to achieve before re
accessing further intervention
 Follow up appointment procedure
 User involvement
 Evaluation
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“Choice”
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What is “Choice”?
 For
patients
 For
referrers
 For
staff
Why did we go this way?
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Effectiveness and efficiency
To minimise DNAs
Inability to keep waiting lists down consistently
Wanting to improve clinical effectiveness
Economic and political drivers
Better use of clinical and non clinical time
Workforce
Improve throughput
Complaints about waiting time
Transferability to other services
Our starting points
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DNA
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11-17% in our areas
 Significant numbers
with 15-20%
 Up to 48% in
highest
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Too many cancelled
appointments (12%)
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Waiting times
 Up to 16 weeks for
“routine” in our areas
 Significant numbers
up to 6 months
 156 weeks “routine”
wait is known!
Waiting time complaints
Unstructured staff time
for non patient contact
What did we do?
Our Results
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Eastbourne
System in place for 6
years
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South Devon
4 years
Waiting time analysis and comparison
16
14
12
10
Trust 1
Trust 2
8
6
4
2
0
2002
2004
2006
2008
% DNA
18
16
14
12
Trust 1
10
Trust 2
8
6
4
2
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Routine Waiting time (weeks)
16
14
12
10
Trust 1
Trust 2
8
6
4
2
0
2002
2004
2006
2008
Waiting time complaints
25
20
Trust 1
Trust 2
15
10
5
0
2002
2004
2006
2008
Possible Barriers to
Implementation
Lack of willingness to take risk
 Staff comfort zones
 Data collection!
 Availability of data
 Local resistance
 Lack of demand control
 Infrastructure
 Stringent cost improvement programmes
 Commissioner views
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Other issues to consider
Look at your use of
facilities and space
Admin staff
 IM&T use and support
 Telephone systems
 What if patient doesn’t
make contact?
 Leadership capability
 Staff comfort zones
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Administration
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How non contactor referrals are handled
How receipt of referrals is handled and
processed
Staff diary sheets
Patient information
Follow up arrangements
Discharge information
Procedure for onward referral
Other information
Trust 1
 NP/ WTE, 12
15
 Follow up reduces
from 3.5 to 2.55
 New patient
appointment some 60
mins some 30 mins
 Follow up
appointment 30mins
 Rolled out to small
dept with 4.27 WTE
Trust 2
 NP/ WTE, 12
20
 Follow up reduces from
3.5 to <2
 New patient
appointment 45 mins
 Follow up appointment
30 mins
 Rolled out to Trust 3
With 2 smaller
departments
Evaluation
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PPI
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audits in both sites:
 Patient
satisfaction of
those who attended
 Feedback from those who
failed to make contact.
 Once only attenders
 GP satisfaction
 Clinical outcome
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audit of workshop
attendees
Was information provided by the service
about appointment system clear?
yes
no
no answer
Would any other information have
been useful?
yes
no
no answer
Did you find it easy to contact the
department?
yes
no
no answer
Could you make an appointment at a
time convenient to you?
yes
no
no response
Key messages
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Over 94% patients were satisfied with
access, timing and organisation of
appointment.
“Judging by previous appointment I felt
very lucky to get through so quickly
 Not a long wait on the phone
 Excellent system.”
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Patient Feedback:
Eastbourne
“ I was very impressed by the Eastbourne
DGH physio dept. Yesterday I had a letter
about their “patient choice” scheme inviting
me to phone for an assessment
appointment and at 10.00am I was being
seen. Short of sending a physiotherapist
to meet me at the ward on discharge the
serviced could not be bettered!
Thanks for your efforts on my behalf”
Extract from a patient’s letter to his OT at RNOH
Patient feedback
“the system seems efficient and responsive to
patient needs
 “totally satisfied with phone in on the same
day”
 “the service has been first class and really
excellent”
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….can choose the time which is convenient
to you”
 “I visited my GP this morning and here I am 2
hours later, fantastic!”
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Audit: attended once only
Percentage analysis - reasons for attending once
Told not necessary
7
3
Did not know to phone
Unable to make contact
4
20
Got better
Work pressures
11
2
Private treatment
Moved away
1
8
Medical reasons
1st appt not helpful
9
35
Other reasons
0
5
10
15
20
Percentage response
25
30
35
40
Audit of non contactors
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3 month period,
letter sent to all
non attenders for
1st and follow up
appointment 250
letters (15% of
referrals)
95 responded
(38%)
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Reasons for not making contact
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4 Unable to make contact
10 Did not know it was necessary to
make contact with physio
department to make appointment
24 Got better didn’t need appt
15 Unable to afford time due to
work pressures
8 Arranged own private treatment
2 Moved away
3 Previous treatment for same
problem
29 Other reasons
Comments from non attenders
Apologies but thought if I didn’t ring it
would be taken that all was well.
 As I had to make an appointment rather
than being sent one I thought it
unnecessary to phone
 Would be easier to book several advance
appointments
 10 patients claimed not to have received
a letter to ask to make an appointment.
 As I hadn't heard from you I went to a
Chiropractor who I am still seeing
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Audit: workshop attendees
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790 people attended
longest waiting time 156 weeks
 Highest DNA 48%
 Highest 1st to follow up ratio up to 1:12
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Variable implementation
Some implementing all aspects
 Some implementing parts
 Some planning implementation
 Some maintaining “traditional” methods
 Everybody scrutinising their booking system
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Choice Appointments and Self-referral
GP Feedback
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Positive, liked
reduced waiting
time
Liked reduced
administrative
burden
Liked using email
for referral and
discharge – where
used
Challenges
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Flexing capacity
Variable demand
Meeting cultural needs
How flexible can you
be?
Commissioning
arrangement
PBC, PBR
Self Referral
Organisational
Arrangements
NHS Reconfiguration
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Savings
Costing and Pricing
Contestability
Provider/purchaser
arrangements
Configuration of AHP
services
National workforce
planning agenda
Rolling out to other
disciplines
New models of service
delivery
Mandatory reporting of AHP
waiting times (England)
2011 – 12?
RTT and AHPs
Does it affect you?
 Which part of your pathways?
 Can you flag the AHP part of the wait?
 Can you calculate accurately and alert
others?
 Do you need to address your waits?
 Do your waits affect others?
 What about non consultant- led
pathways?
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To Summarise
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What “Choice Appointments” is
Why change?
Information and capacity planning
Looking at your service
Working it out
Results - what it's done for our services can it do this for you?
Framework for the Management of Change
Challenges for the future
Practical “workout"
What you are going to take away and do
Revisiting your expectations
The Challenge of Implementation
Is this for you?
 All of it, elements of it or none of it?
 Are you ready to lead this work?
 Include staff, patients, commissioners,
referrers
 Plan and prepare
 Use improvement tools and techniques

What are you going to do?
Next Steps ??
1.
Discuss with Trust
management, patients,
referrers, staff,
commissioners
2.
Project set up : project
manager, team and time
scales, base-line data
and ongoing
measurement
Any Questions
or further Discussion
Other things we do
Service redesign, management masterclasses and
workshops, presentation
www.jjconsulting.org.uk
Thank you!