Transcript IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

IIASA and
Pakistan
Highlights
March 2015
CONTENTS
1. Summary
2. National Member Organization
3. Leading Pakistani Personalities Associated with
IIASA
4. Research Partners
5. Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights
6. Capacity Building
7. Further Information
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Pakistan Academy of Sciences
Membership start date
2007
Research partners
12 institutes in Pakistan
Areas of research
collaborations
Increasing Pakistan’s resilience to natural disasters
Improving food security in Pakistan
Projecting demographic change in Pakistan
Rethinking water management and use for households,
agriculture and energy
Smart ways to clean up Pakistan’s air
Assessing the environmental impact of energy use
Capacity Building
13 doctoral students from or studying in Pakistan have taken
part in the Young Scientists Summer Program or its
Southern African version
Publication output
12 publications
Other interactions
Researchers, advisors, and diplomats have either visited
IIASA from Pakistan or visited Pakistan from IIASA over 15
times
NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION
• Pakistan Academy of Sciences
• Pakistan-IIASA National Committee
– Professor Ahsan Iqbal; Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Reforms
– Professor Ishfaq Ahmed; Chairman Board of Governors, National Center for Physics; former
Advisor to the Prime Minister; former President of the Pakistan Academy of Sciences
– Professor Kausar Abdulla Malik; Distinguished National Professor, Forman Christian College
University (IIASA Council Member for Pakistan)
– Dr Syed Javaid Khurshid; Director, Planning & Projects Coordination, Pakistan Atomic
Energy Commission
– Mr Ali Hassan Habib; Executive Director, WWF-Pakistan
– Dr Shaukat Hameed Khan; former Member, Planning Commission of Pakistan
– Dr Arshad Mohammad Khan; Executive Director, Global Change Impact Studies Centre
– Dr Saeed Shafqat; Director, Center of Public Policy and Governance, Forman Christian
College University
– Mr Naseer Gilani; Chief, Water Section, Planning Commission of Pakistan
– Dr Abubakr Muhammad; School of Science and Engineering, Lahore University of
Management Sciences (IIASA NMO Secretary for Pakistan)
SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN PAKISTAN AND
ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA
Ahsan Iqbal
Rashid Amjad
Ishfaq Ahmed
Adil Najam
Zeba Sathar
RESEARCH PARTNERS
• 12 institutions in Pakistan:
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CARE International, Pakistan
Global Change Impact Studies Centre (GCISC)
Institute for Social and Environmental Transitions – Pakistan (ISET Pakistan)
Karachi Institute of Technology and Entrepreneurship (KITE)
Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS)
Pakistan Academy of Sciences (PAS)
Pakistan Institute for Environment-Development Action Research (PIEDAR)
Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE)
Pakistan Institute of Engineering and Applied Sciences (PIEAS)
Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)
Population Council (Pakistan office)
University of the Punjab
RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS
Selected Highlights:
• Projecting Pakistan’s future population
• Pakistan’s energy future
– Environmental impact of energy use
– Tackling air pollution in Pakistan
• Increasing Pakistan’s resilience to natural disasters
PAKISTAN’S GOALS
“Putting People First - Developing Human and Social Capital”
“1. Increase Primary school enrolment and completion rate to 100% & literacy rate to 90%.
2. Increase Higher Education coverage from 7% to 12%, and increase number of PhD’s from
7,000 to 15,000.
3. Improve Primary and Secondary Gender Parity Index to 1, and increase female workforce
participation rate from 24% to 45%.”
Pakistan 2025: One Nation - One Vision
PROJECTING PAKISTAN’S FUTURE POPULATION
Age (in Years)
Pakistan - Base Year 2010
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
173.6 Million
Males
20
15
Females
10
5
0
Population in Millions
5
10
15
20
PROJECTING PAKISTAN’S FUTURE POPULATION
RAPID DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Pakistan - Projections 2030 - SSP1
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
223.8 Million
Males
20
15
Females
10
5
0
Population in Millions
5
10
15
20
PROJECTING PAKISTAN’S FUTURE POPULATION
RAPID DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Pakistan - Projections 2060 - SSP1
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
250.8 Million
Males
20
15
Females
10
5
0
Population in Millions
5
10
15
20
PROJECTING PAKISTAN’S FUTURE POPULATION
Age (in Years)
Pakistan - Base Year 2010
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
173.6 Million
Males
20
15
Females
10
5
0
Population in Millions
5
10
15
20
PROJECTING PAKISTAN’S FUTURE POPULATION
STALLED DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Pakistan - Projections 2030 - SSP3
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
255.2 Million
Males
20
15
Females
10
5
0
Population in Millions
5
10
15
20
PROJECTING PAKISTAN’S FUTURE POPULATION
STALLED DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Pakistan - Projections 2060 - SSP3
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
388.3 Million
Males
20
15
Females
10
5
0
Population in Millions
5
10
15
20
INVESTING IN EDUCATION ACHIEVES
MULTIPLE GOALS
Economic growth
Adaptation to Movement toward
climate change
democracy
DOI: 10.1111/j.17284457.2010.00329.x
10.1126/science.1151753
10.1126/science.1257975
PAKISTAN’S GOALS
Energy
“Pakistan Vision 2025 aims at ensuring uninterrupted
access to affordable and clean energy for all sections of
the population”
Pakistan 2025: One Nation - One Vision
EARTH OBSERVATION FOR MONITORING AND
ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
OF ENERGY USE
EnerGEO developed products and
methodologies that provide energy
companies, consultants and policy makers
(local, regional, global) with the tools to
evaluate the environmental impact of changes
in energy use in terms of the complete life cycle
including exploration, development,
exploitation, maintenance and
decommissioning.
Four year project (2009-13) with 12 partners
from 6 countries including IIASA and
SUPARCO with €6million EU funding
AMBIENT CONCENTRATIONS OF PM2.5
IN PAKISTAN FOR 2030
Pakistan
Pakistan
India
India
Business as Usual
Advanced control technology
DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2013.782877
LOSS IN STATISTICAL LIFE EXPECTANCY
DUE TO PM2.5 IN PAKISTAN FOR 2030
Pakistan
Pakistan
India
India
Business as Usual
Advanced control technology
DOI: 10.1080/1943815X.2013.782877
INCREASING PAKISTAN’S RESILIENCE
CAPACITY BUILDING
12 Pakistani nationals won places on IIASA’s Young
Scientists Summer Program between 2008 and 2014
CAPACITY BUILDING
Southern-African Young
Scientist Summer
Program: (SA-YSSP)
•
Noor Jamal (SA-YSSP ‘13/’14 &
University of Flensburg), a Pakistani
national, conducted a technological,
economic, and environmental analysis
of electrification options in remote and
rural areas of South Africa.
IIASA WORKING WITH BUSINESS
• Global energy assessment
• Flood resilience and community based
disaster risk reduction
• Biofuel potential from marginal and
degraded lands in India and Brazil
• Measures to reduce ozone emissions in
Asia
• Land suitability of key agricultural crops
under a changing climate
THANK YOU
Further Information
IIASA and Pakistan
www.iiasa.ac.at/pakistan
Pakistan Academy of Sciences
http://paspk.org/