Transcript MP-SOFI-SD: The Big Picture

Presentation to the AC/UNU Millennium Project Planning Committee
MP-SOFI-SD Project
The Big Picture
A Full Scale Implementation of SOFI
17-Jul-2003 – San Francisco, CA., USA.
Peter P. Yim <[email protected]>
(v 2.04)
Outline
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The Mission
Core Concepts and Values
A Look at the Software
Who are the users
What can one do with it
Looking at the Big Picture
Mission
• To build on the previous research of the
Millennium Project, including the spreadsheet
model, algorithm and collection of data, and
progressively develop it into an Internet based
futures study and analysis tool supported over
an open knowledge system.
MP-SOFI-SD Project Phases
• Phase 0: Strategizing, planning, staging &
requirements gathering.
• Phase 1: Initial software tool implementation and
the launch of a community of practice around
SOFI.
• Subsequent Phases: Continuous development and
improvement of the SOFI system, content and
knowledge through the collaboration of open
communities that are augmented by the Internet
and other technologies.
Core Concepts & Values
driving this work
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The SOFI Methodology
The "Bootstrap" Paradigm
Serving a wide variety of applications
Collaboration among participants and
stakeholders in the form of virtual
communities.
• The notion of "Openness"
The System
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(1/3)
– Design Criteria
Interoperability
Openness
Standards Compliance
Enterprise-class Robustness
• Scalability
• Reliability
• Security
Architecture
The User Interface
The Users – SOFI Developers
(1)
• Global, national, regional, NGO and
corporate policymakers
• Professionals, scholars, academics
• Economists, political scientists, social
scientists, etc., and
• The Millennium Project and its Nodes
The Classes of Users
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(2)
General public
Researchers, journalists, trend watchers
Policy makers (government, NGO, corporate, …)
SOFI developers, modelers, futures researchers
Data owners (those who own and maintain databases
whose data is used to construct the SOFIs)
• System developers (those who will contribute to the
software)
• System Administrators (those who administer the
SOFI system)
What can we do on the System?
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Viewing/reading up
Comparisons
Drill-downs and searches on related information
Asking what-if questions by “tweaking” the SOFI parameters, or exercising alternate Scenarios
Developing new SOFI's
o SOFI’s for different Countries, Regions, Municipalities, … etc. (e.g. a USA-SOFI, FranceSOFI, Russia-SOFI, China-SOFI; or a EU-SOFI, Middle-East SOFI, Greater-China SOFI,
Latin-America SOFI; … etc.)
o SOFIs for different government or industrial sectors (e.g. E-Government SOFI; Petroleum
and Oil industry SOFI; Automotive Industry SOFI; Aerospace industry SOFI; Science &
Technology SOFI; Nanotechnology SOFI; Tertiary Education SOFI; … etc.)
o SOFI for Corporations; individual Organizations; Programs, Initiatives or Product Lines;
…etc.
Collaboration and Collaborative Development
Interaction and accessing data, information and knowledge
o Human-to-machine
o Human-to-human
o Machine-to-machine
Building up the system’s database and knowledgebase
The Big Picture (1)
• this was not simply a software to calculate an index,
• but a framework for people to systematically think
together
o about what is important to the future,
o how to measure it,
o what is the best bang for the buck to get the whole index up,
• alternatives to the approaches systematically vetted,
• generation of an improvement community to make
better SOFIs,
• method to keep all this organized,
• allowing for group and private use,
• on the web and stand alone, … etc.
The Big Picture (2)
• it's not just software, but rather, it is about the coevolution of tool systems and human systems
• this is not another software project, but something that
is of strategic importance to our MP type work
• this is not even about technology, but about how
people can handle change and ever increasing
complexities in the world we live in – improving our
ability to systematically measure, analyze, manage, be
ready, be responsiveness, and
• be able to make informed decisions and cope with the
ever more urgent and complex “challenges”
The Big Picture (3)
• We are creating the environment for collaborative
development and innovation
• We have an opportunity in putting world-class futures
researchers side-by-side with world class technologists
• expecting emergent patterns and behaviors
• A strategic initiative of the Millennium Project
• One that integrates and leverages our unique strengths in
people, tools & methodology
• potentially another differentiator of MP as a futures
think-tank
References
• The Chapters on SOFI and its Full Implementation on “Futures
Research Methodology v2.0”
• Copies of this and our last presentation are available at:
http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/presentation/mp-sofi-sd-P2.htm
http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/presentation/mp-sofi-sd-P1.htm
• The 3 page concept letter that you will need to introduce this project
to a potential sponsor/ collaborator/user/contributor is available at:
http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/proposal/SOFIConcept_letter_template.doc
• [MP-SOFI-SD] Project Documents are accessible from:
http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/home.html
Q&A
and
Discussion