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Long Term Investment Portfolio Annual Review – FY 2011 September 8, 2011 Overview/Executive Summary • Fiscal 2011 was fraught with multiple macroeconomic risks – – – – • U.S. Debt Ceiling Perpetual European Debt Issues with threat of ECB disintegrating Japanese Earthquakes and subsequent global business disruptions Arab Spring Maintained Risk-Controlled stance throughout Year to protect portfolio – – • Took Equity exposure down to lowest level in recent history Continued process of building illiquid portfolio including active secondary efforts Fiscal Year Investment Results of 16.8%, net of fees and expenses – – • Returns for the fiscal year may trail many equity-heavy peers by approximately 2% OSU Portfolio carried 1/3 market equity risk and volatility of fixed income market Markets of July and August (Month to Date) saw Risk and Volatility spike – – – 1 Equity Markets declined (14-16%) in 40 days to August 15 OSU holding up well through this period with manager performance beating markets July performance was down (0.42%) vs. major equity market indices being down (1.6-3.6%) Long Term Investment Pool – June 30, 2011 University Endowment Foundation Endowment Long Term Operating Fund Maintenance & Renewal Funds Total Long Term Investment Pool 2 $921,219,450 484,426,575 696,675,812 18,392,410 $2,120,714,246 Asset Allocation as of June 30, 2011 3 Global Equities Long/Short Equities 18.1% 18.9% Market Exposure 37.0% (Range 10 – 50%) Fixed Income Absolute Return 10.9% 20.6% Risk Reducers 31.5% (Range 25 – 50%) Private Equity Distressed Debt Opportunistic 7.9% 6.2% 3.5% Return Enhancers 17.6% (Range 10 – 25%) Real Estate Natural Resources Commodities Infrastructure 4.2% 3.8% 2.9% 3.0% Inflation Hedges 13.9% (Range 10 – 25%) Investment Performance – Fiscal Year 2011 FY 2011 Returns Benchmark Returns Long-Only Equity 32.2% 24.4% 18.7% $ 383.8 MM Long/Short Equity 11.7% 24.4% 10.3% $ 399.7 MM Fixed Income 5.7% 4.2% 6.5% $ 231.3 MM Absolute Return Hedge Funds 7.9% 4.2% 13.0% $ 436.5 MM Buyouts 17.7% 21.3% 17.7% $ 101.8 MM Venture Capital 14.3% 21.3% 10.8% $ 15.5 MM Distressed Debt 13.7% 21.3% 25.2% $ 131.9 MM Opportunistic 14.5% 21.3% 31.2% $ 74.2 MM Natural Resources 59.6% 9.3% 27.1% $80.7 MM Real Estate 26.5% 9.3% (2.9%) $90.3MM Commodities 2.5% 9.3% 1.1% $62.2 MM Infrastructure 30.5% 9.3% 13.7% $63.4 MM Other (FoFs; Sec. Funds; EM P/E) 16.7% 21.3% 13.5% $49.4 MM 4 2 Year Annualized Returns Dollars Deployed Comparison of Returns vs. Benchmarks - FY 2011 FY 2011 Actual FY 2011 Benchmarks One Year Bench Comp Two Year Returns Two Year Bench Comp Market Exposure (37.0%) 22.9% 24.4% (1.5%) 18.7% 1.3% Risk Reducers (31.5%) 7.3% 4.2% 3.1% 10.2% 6.0% Return Enhancers (17.6%) 14.8% 21.3% (6.5%) 25.2% 4.2% Inflation Hedges (13.9%) 28.3% 9.3% 19.1% 11.3% 5.3% Totals 16.8% 13.7% 3.1% 16.2% 4.9% 5 Liquidity Measures (@ June 30, 2011) - 30 Day Liquidity - - Estimated at $661MM (31.2% of Portfolio) 5.5X Coverage for Annual Distribution to the University 3.1X Coverage for Annual Distribution + Estimated Annual Capital Calls 2.2X Coverage for Above assuming a 30% Decline in Liquid Asset Values 1.2X Coverage for Annual Distribution + Total Potential Capital Calls 365 Day Liquidity - Estimated at $1.29 Billion (61.2% of Portfolio) - 10.8X Coverage for Annual Distribution to the University - 6.2X Coverage for Annual Distribution + Estimated Annual Capital Calls - 4.3X Coverage for Above assuming a 30% Decline in Liquid Asset Values - 2.0X Coverage for Annual Distribution + Total Potential Capital Calls 6 - Does not include redemptions in process ($11.0 MM) - Unfunded Capital Commitments = 23.5% of LTIP Totals (@ 7/31/2011) Assumes No Distributions to University from Illiquid Investments; No New Gift Inflow Upside/Downside Capture – Last Two Years One Year Two Years Upside Downside Upside Downside Vs. S & P 500 44.2% 22.7% 47.8% 26.4% Vs. ACWI 36.5% 3.5% 45.9% 19.3% The Portfolio was designed and changed in 2008/2009 with implementation from 2009 through today. That was a period of exceptionally high risk and, in the estimation of some, remains a period of high risk today. The primary job of the Investment Office is to act as a fiduciary for the University, preserving capital, and funding the University to the extent required by policy. 7 Metrics – Fiscal Year 2011 8 Metrics – Two Years (FY2010 & 2011) Annualized 9 Private Capital Diversification Over Time (MV as of 06/30/2011) 100% Venture Capital 90% Secondary 80% Real Estate 70% Opportunistic 60% Natural Resources Mezzanine 50% Infrastructure 40% Fund of Funds 30% Emerging Markets 20% Distressed 10% Buyout 0% Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 Jun-06 Jun-05 Jun-04 Jun-03 Jun-02 Jun-01 Jun-00 Jun-99 10 Illiquid Portfolio Analysis (@7/31/2011) Net Asset Value (NAV): All Privates Unfunded Commitments • • $520 Million or 24.7% of LTIP $494 Million or 23.5% of LTIP Return Enhancers Inflation Hedges $337 Million $157 Million Cash Flows: Capital Funding Distributions Net Cash Outflow FY 2009 FY 2010 ($174MM) ($125MM) $17MM $62MM $72MM $150MM ($157MM) ($63MM) ($69MM) ($40MM) Wtd. Avg. Age of Portfolio: 11 FY 2011 FY 2012 E ($141MM) ($190MM) Commitments Unfunded 2.9 Years 2.0 Years The Ohio State University Office of Investments investments.osu.edu 12