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B S R and Associates

Infrastructure – Growth and Opportunities

Jayesh Kariya

17 January 2015

The Institute of Cost and Management Accountants

Infrastructure a Necessity or Fantasy ?

Global Outlook

The global story around infrastructure… Economic Booster Ever Evolving Needs Global Market Trade Enabler

Infrastructure development is a must for economic development of the country Infrastructure is a part of Social Conscience – its needs are always evolving and ever changing Infrastructure market is a truly global market It is a MUST for enabling global trade and connectivity

Joint Responsibili ty

Its is joint responsibility of the Government and Private Players

Increased Focus Funding Challenge Sustainabl e and Green

Increased government focus and investment in infrastructure Financing of infrastructure requires innovative solution and global funding Sustainable and Green development is the need of the day Developing Specialist Skills and Talent is Imperative – Continuous Skill Development Holds the Key

…the global status of investment in Infrastructure ….

“Developing countries need new infrastructure, developed countries need rebuilt infrastructure and almost every country is struggling to finance the infrastructure it needs.” -Prime Minister Tony Abbott, World Economic Forum, Davos, January 2014

    Infrastructure is critical for modern economies. Businesses rely on roads and ports to access markets, on power stations for energy to operate, and on telecommunications to engage with their customers and remain competitive.

Accelerating urbanization in developing countries, particularly China, India, and Indonesia will require spending growth in water, power, telecommunications, and transportation infrastructure.

The OECD estimates that global air passenger traffic could double in 15 years, air freight could triple in 20 years, and port handling of maritime containers could quadruple by 2030.

For well-planned and delivered public infrastructure projects, the World Economic Forum estimates that every dollar invested will generate an economic return of between 5 and 25 per cent.

THE NEED FOR MORE INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE BY 2030 The World Bank indicates that the private sector accounts for less than 15% The OECD estimates US$70 trillion is needed to address the growing infrastructure gap and build the, ports, powerand communications infrastructure necessary in the coming decades.

ROADS POWER PORTS COMMUNICATION $1-1.5

trillion The World Bank estimates that an additional US$1-1.5

trillion each year will be required through 2020 to meet growthtargets in emerging and developing economies.

of total infrastructure investment inemerging market economies, putting signiicant pressure on already constrained government budgets.This is partly due to commercial banks withdrawing their investment in an effort to repair their own balance sheets since the global fiinancial crisis.

Sources: OECD, World Bank Group The World Bank also indicate thatinadvanced economies, total investmentfromboth public andprivate sources as a share of GDP is the lowestin 50 years.

…the Pillars of Infrastructure development recognized globally

Government and Private Partnership Political System and Strong Leadership Availability of Natural Resources Pillars for Development Liberalized Policies and Regulatory Framework Availability of funds at lower cost and access to global capital market Specialized Talent and Skilled work force Development and maintaining of infrastructure is a continues process – so as the innovation around these Pillars is a Key to Success in developing quality and sustainable infrastructure

Indian Infrastructu re sector

The 12th Five Year Plan envisages doubling up of investment as compared to investment planned during the 11th Five Year Plan…

… this is what is expected to happen in upcoming years

$1.

1 90 mn

Trillion worth of investment will be attracted in India in next five years Jobs will be created across different sectors in next one decade

202 0

Indian Railway Vision projected by Government of India

5 mn 9

Billion sq. mtrs. of roads will have to be paved, 20 times the capacity added in past decade Square feet of office space will be required to correspond the increased employment generated Different road projects approved by Indian government worth $ 2 bn to be implemented under PPP model

…however the sector has gone through many challenges until recently

The vision and rigour of new government is set to address all of the above at earliest and the much required boost to the sector

…Government initiatives for boosting infra sector

100% FDI permitted under auto route in the power sector Set up of Indian Cabinet Committee to ease bottlenecks of Infra sector Affordable Housing – Infrastructure Status and ECB Viability gap funding allowed to sectors like telecom, oil, gas storage and irrigation Government Initiatives 100% FDI permitted under auto route in setting up new industrial park SEZ Regime relaxations 100% FDI permitted under auto route in petro products, natural gas pipeline and petro refining REIT and InvIT Regime rolled out

Recent Initiatives:

 Increased focus on infrastructure spending and allocation  Ra-hauling existing policies and announcing new policies  Announcing mega project in partnership with other counties  Focus on Innovation, Make in India, connectivity and urbanization  Focus on foreign investment and global participation  Public- Private Partnership 11

Energy sector (1/2)

•

India is the fifth largest producer and consumer of electricity in the world after US, China, Japan and Russia with a production of 1,006 terawatt hours (TWh).*

•

In FY14, electricity production stood at 967 TWh. Over FY07 –14, electricity production expanded at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.6%

•

The Planning Commission’s 12th Plan projects that total domestic energy production would reach 669.6 million tonnes of oil equivalent (MTOE) by 2016 –17 and 844 MTOE by 2021–22.

•

The industry has attracted FDI worth US$ 9,269.45 million during the period April 2000 to August 2014.

•

100% FDI permitted under automatic route in petroleum products, natural gas pipeline and petroleum refining

•

The new government is working a number of initiatives to increase the supply of domestic coal, promoting renewables in much larger scale to put them at the center of the fuel basket and undertaking distribution reforms.

•

Plans to invest Rs 2 trillion (US$ 32.61 billion) in solar and wind power projects in the deserts to compensate for India’s depleting fossil fuel reserves.

*Source – Indian Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) sectorial report October 2014 12

Energy sector (2/2)

•

Plans to accelerate wind energy generation by adding an ambitious 10,000 MW every year, or five times the total new capacity that came up in the last fiscal, in order to reduce India's dependence on costly energy imports

•

The Ministry of Power has sent its proposal for the addition of 76,000 MW of power capacity in the 12th Five Year plan (2012-17), to the Planning Commission. The Ministry has set a target of adding 93,000 MW in the 13th Five Year Plan (2017 2022).

•

It is also revisiting the Electricity Act, which needs changes to get private sector interest back into this key sector.

•

Neyveli Lignite Corporation (NLC), as part of its entry into green energy generation, has lined up renewable energy projects worth Rs 500 crore (US$ 81.51 million) to set up wind and solar energy projects of 80 MW in India.

*Source – Indian Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) sectorial report October 2014 © 2014 B S R and Associates, a firm of Chartered Accountants, duly registered under the Indian Partnership Act, 1932. All rights reserved.

Civil Aviation sector

•

India has a vision of becoming the third largest aviation market by 2020 and is expected to be the largest by 2030.*

•

The Indian civil aviation industry is among the top 10 in the world with the an estimated value of USD 16 billion.

•

The next generation of aviation growth in India will be triggered by regional airports

•

The Government of India has approved the construction of five budget airports to improve regional connectivity and work on them will start from FY 2015 -16.

•

Plans to start development of the five no-frills airports and award management contracts of four airports to private operators in FY 2015.

•

Plans to upgrade the Jaipur and Jodhpur airports. It plans to extend the runway of Jaipur airport with Cat-II approach lighting system and allocate land to the Jodhpur airport for the upgradation.

•

There are going to be interesting PPP opportunities for investors in the new greenfield airports at Navi Mumbai and Goa (MOPA) that are going to come to the market shortly.

*Source – Indian Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) sectorial report October 2014 14

Railway sector

•

Monopolistic sector with the least private sector participation

•

The new Government considers railways as the of the country.* ‘growth engine’

•

Process of transformation of railway sector with increased private sector participation and more liberal FDI in railway projects started

•

Upto 100% FDI allowed under automatic route in some railway operations like freight corridor, high speed train, port and mining connectivity projects.

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Upto 100% FDI allowed under automatic route in most of the rail projects like gauge conversion, construction and doubling of new lines and maintenance under PPP project.

•

Recently, it signed MoUs with Japan and China, for obtaining technical know-how, designs, components for high speed railway lines and bullet trains.

•

Indian Railways is currently working on a target to attract Rs 6,050 crore in rail PPP projects in the FY 2014-15.#

•

Ambitious rail projects include – High speed rail lines between Mumbai and Ahmedabad and from Delhi to Patna

* KPMG Infrastructure 100 – World Markets Report # Source – Indian Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) sectorial report October 2014 15

Roads and highway sector

•

The budget has set aside US$ 7 billion for building 8,000 kilometers of new roads.

•

NHAI plans to award road project on an EPC basis to start with and at the same time address issues to kick start the stalled projects.

•

As part of India –Japan Strategic and Global Partnership, the two sides launched a Special Economic Partnership Initiative (SEPI), including the Delhi –Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) project.

•

Plans to set up a finance corporation with an amount of Rs 1 trillion (US$ 16.34 billion), in collaboration with Japanese investors, to fund projects in the roads segment. The Japanese partners are expected to have a 26 per cent stake with assured returns of nine per cent, according to an official source.

•

Government approved road projects worth about Rs 40K crore (US$ 6.53 billion), including Rs 20K crore (US$ 3.26 billion) highway projects in J&K

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Plans to develop a total of 66,117 km of roads under different programmes

Social Infrastructure sector

•

Health It has become India's one of the largest sector with significant investment in recent years

•

Largely dominated by private sector and its share to grow from 66% in 2005 to 81% by 2015

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Major investments witnessed form overseas private equity and sovereign funds

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FDI in Insurance sector increased – poised to provide more boost to private health insurance industry

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National Health Assurance Mission - Provide all citizens with free drugs and diagnostic treatment, as well as insurance cover to treat serious ailments Education

•

Identified as the MOST critical area for development

•

Education is a “Sun Rise” sector and will witness major growth by 2020

•

Government introduces new education system of transfer scheme” “credit

•

International collaboration for higher education and setting up new technology institutes

Smart cities…….

Several definitions of smart cities exist which include:

“Instrumented, interconnected and intelligent cities”

• o

Cities using smart computing technologies to make the critical infrastructure components and services which include city administration, real estate, education,

Ministry of Urban Development recently met the World Bank and the National Institute of Urban Affairs to discuss the proposal regarding development of 100 new towns and smart cities • • 3 smart cities already being developed as model cities through private sector participation - Kochi Smart City, Gujarat International Finance Tec-City and Lavasa in Maharashtra 7 smart cities are under development by states with foreign aid as part of the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC). Work on two of these is expected to start in soon • • 24 new cities to be developed under the DMIC till 2040 3 new smart cities to be developed in the Chennai-Bengaluru Industrial Corridor region, viz., Ponneri in Tamil Nadu, Krishnapatnam in Andhra Pradesh and Tumkur in Karnataka proposed to be completed (FM’s budget speech) • Government keen to seek support from other countries (Singapore, France etc) to achieve this. © 2014 B S R and Associates, a firm of Chartered Accountants, duly registered under the Indian Partnership Act, 1932. All rights reserved.

Affordable housing……..

• • Affordable housing as defined by (i) Ministry of Housing and Urban Poverty Alleviation, (ii) National Housing Bank (‘NHB’) and under (iii) Income-Tax Act is mainly dependent on a) income of dwellers being Economically Weaker Sections (EWS) and Low Income Group (LIG) and b) carpet area of dwelling unit (upto 300 sq ft for EWS and upto 600 sq ft for LIG).

Shift of focus on Affordable Housing sector:

43.67 million units (2012 2017) 90 per cent affecting Below Poverty Line categories

URBAN HOUS shortage

18.78 million units 95.6 per cent affecting EWS and LIG 1) Lack of availability of affordable houses 2) Lower affordability of the poor • The Finance Bill with the objective of ‘Housing For All by 2022’ has taken several measures to promote affordable housing: - Relaxations in FDI conditions for investment in projects catering to affordable housing - Allocations towards Rural Housing Fund INR 8,000 crore administered by NHB - Mission on Low Cost Affordable Housing to be set-up under anchorage of NHB with an allocation of INR 4,000 crore.

Industrial corridors…….

• • • • Government to set up National Industrial Corridor Authority (NICA) in Pune, Maharashtra with an allocations of INR 100 crore Amongst others, the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor has been the focus of government since long with its approval being granted in 2007 Industrial Corridors will pave way for industrial cities viz “smart cities” Expected to create employment for majority of local population directly or indirectly.

Delhi Mumbai Smart cities Multiple states co ordinate d Industrial Corridors Industri al set ups Transp ort system s Amritsar Kolkata Vizag Chennai Chennai Bangaluru

Industrial Corridors in India

Bangaluru -Mumbai

Objectives of Industrial Corridors IMPACT OF INDUSTRIAL CORRIDORS

Various factors such as new smart cities, growing commercial complexes, employment, and migration and infrastructure development around these industrial corridors will result into improved standard of living.

Indian REIT/InvIT – a game changer for commercial /Infra assets….

Sponsor units Investors Trustee Sponsor Contribution REIT Investment Management agreement Investment Manager SPV Real Estate Assets Real Estate Assets Principal Valuer Property valuation

• • • • • • • • • • •

Broad Framework: Sponsor to set-up a Trust and appoint Trustee co-sponsors permissible – 3 Trust to be registered as REIT/InvIT with SEBI Trustee to appoint Manager Manager to appoint Principal Valuer REIT/InvIT to hold assets worth INR 500 crore REIT to undertake IPO within 18 months of registration with SEBI, and list all its units REIT/InvIT to make investment in real estate assets/infra assets to the extent of 80% investment in minimum 2 projects – 60% cap per project Governance, Audit, valuation, disclosures, etc. prescribed REIT/InvIT to generate and distribute 90% net distributable cash flow to its unit holders Unit holders can transfer units of REIT/InvIT Provisions relating to delisting of REIT/InvIT

…..with the initiatives of new Government, positive environment set for Infra sector…..

…the landscape of opportunities has expanded beyond imagination….

Overall Impact on the economy

     

Increased global activities and trade Inclusive wide spread growth of the economy Increased infrastructure development Increase in job opportunities and purchasing power Increased urbanisation Impact on social and economic environment New Business Opportunities for Consulting professionals

• • • • •

Increased employment opportunities Increased certification opportunities Consulting opportunities for newer projects Consultancy Services Opportunities

•

Inputs on Project viability

•

Engagement during feasibility

• •

Engagement in valuation assignments Engagement in process efficiency assignments

•

Cost optimisation assignments Involvement in increased M & A activities

…the landscape of opportunities has expanded beyond imagination….

New Business Opportunities for Consulting professionals

• Governance, Risk and Compliances • Sustainability Advisory • Involvement in Project monitoring • Governance and • Increased involvement at Bidding Stage • Independent Directors Role • Involvement in Contractual Litigation and Arbitration • Become a global player • Tie-ups, networking and outsourcing arrangement © 2014 B S R and Associates, a firm of Chartered Accountants, duly registered under the Indian Partnership Act, 1932. All rights reserved.

Time to rejuvenate and act with fresh energy

0 Gauge new opportunities and areas requiring services 5 Expand the practice by offerings multiple services under one roof 10 Developing Fresh Vision Rejuvenating the Practice Design the Path Ahead

Become a trusted and reputed brand name in consulting profession Contin uing the journey Implement action plans Act with fresh thinking and energy

Continuo us Evolution

Continuously evolve strategies Challenge yourself Innovate and improve

Jayesh Kariya Partner - Global International Corporate Tax Tel: +91 22 3090 2080 e-Mail: [email protected]

Ahmedabad Safal Profitaire B4 3 rd Floor, Corporate Road, Opp. Auda Garden

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Document

Transcript Document

B S R and Associates

Infrastructure – Growth and Opportunities

Jayesh Kariya

The Institute of Cost and Management Accountants

Infrastructure a Necessity or Fantasy ?

Global Outlook

The global story around infrastructure… Economic Booster Ever Evolving Needs Global Market Trade Enabler

Joint Responsibili ty

Increased Focus Funding Challenge Sustainabl e and Green

…the global status of investment in Infrastructure ….

…the Pillars of Infrastructure development recognized globally

Indian Infrastructu re sector

The 12th Five Year Plan envisages doubling up of investment as compared to investment planned during the 11th Five Year Plan…

… this is what is expected to happen in upcoming years

Trillion worth of investment will be attracted in India in next five years Jobs will be created across different sectors in next one decade

Indian Railway Vision projected by Government of India

Billion sq. mtrs. of roads will have to be paved, 20 times the capacity added in past decade Square feet of office space will be required to correspond the increased employment generated Different road projects approved by Indian government worth $ 2 bn to be implemented under PPP model

…however the sector has gone through many challenges until recently

…Government initiatives for boosting infra sector

Energy sector (1/2)

Energy sector (2/2)

Civil Aviation sector

Railway sector

Roads and highway sector

Social Infrastructure sector

Smart cities…….

Affordable housing……..

Industrial corridors…….

Indian REIT/InvIT – a game changer for commercial /Infra assets….

…..with the initiatives of new Government, positive environment set for Infra sector…..

…the landscape of opportunities has expanded beyond imagination….

…the landscape of opportunities has expanded beyond imagination….

Time to rejuvenate and act with fresh energy

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