Transcript Elderly Population as a Percent of the Total Population in

Baltimore Washington Corridor
Chamber of Commerce
BRAC Presentation
Michael Paone
December 14, 2005
Maryland Department of Planning
Military Impact on Maryland’s Economy
● $18 billion annually...and growing
● Approximately100,000 DoD personnel
● Largest employer in state is NSA, Anne
Arundel County
● Significant growth expected: Ft. Meade, Ft.
Detrick, APG, National Naval Medical
Center
● Growth will bring high-paying jobs
Major Military Installations in MD
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
Andrews AFB
Ft Meade
Army Research Lab, Adelphi
Fort Detrick
Aberdeen Proving Ground
NSWC, Carderock
NSWC, Indian Head
Patuxent River NAS
US Naval Academy
National Naval Medical Center
Where Are We in the Process?
• Nine-member Commission voted on
recommendations Aug 24-27
• President received final report on Sept. 8
• President forwarded the report to Congress by
September 23
• Congress had 45 legislative days to pass a joint
resolution rejecting the BRAC list; time lapsed
without any Congressional action
• Therefore, the BRAC recommendations became
law
BRAC 2005: Maryland Fared
Well
● Gained upwards of 13,000 DoD civilian and
military personnel
● Contractor trail is significant for APG,
Meade
● Gaining the most:
● Ft. Meade [5,191]
● APG [5,224]
● Bethesda Navy Medical Center [3,500]
Growth at Ft. Meade
DoD Establishes Joint Facilities
● DoD Media and Publications
● DoD Adjudication, Hearings & Appeals
● Joint C4ISR (Development and Acquisition)
DOD Establishes Joint Medical Facility
● Walter Reed National Military Medical
Center Growth at Bethesda
● Creates a world class Center of Medical
Excellence
● Elements of Walter Reed Hospital move to
Bethesda
Growth at APG
DoD Establishes Land C4ISR
● Land Command, Control Communication and
Computers Intelligence Surveillance and
Reconnaissance (C4ISR)
● Research, Development, Acquisition, Test
&Evaluation (RDAT&E)
● Joint Program Executive Office for Chemical
Biological Defense
Ongoing Activities
● DLLR & DOL & OED grants
● Seven military alliances: Ft. Meade; Ft. Detrick;
Maritime; APG; Andrews AFB; Navy-Pax River;
Indian Head continue to work issues at local level
● Maryland Military Installation Strategic Planning
Council continues to coordinate state and county
interaction with BRAC process
Follow-up Items
● Coordinate infrastructure priorities to
accommodate identified needs
● Coordinate additional DOL/DoD Grants
● Ensure appropriate legislation is in place
● Brief various local, state and federal
lawmakers
Future Activities
● Regional meetings with state/local/county
officials and Ft. Meade & APG base commanders
● Summarize county concerns for state and federal
lawmakers, state officials and surrounding
communities
● Hire consultants using DOL grant to utilize
BRAC emergency grant (coordinate with DLLR
and local WIBs)
DBED Office of Military Affairs POCs
● BGen Mike Hayes USMC (Ret.)
[email protected]
410.767.2988
● Patt Parker
[email protected]
443.624.3116
● Catherine Barrett
[email protected] 410.767.0684
Consultants:
● Tim Wittig
[email protected]
202.841.0655
● Clark Tyler
[email protected]
703.893.3336
Demographics:
An Aging Population
Elderly Population as a Percent of the Total
Population in Anne Arundel County
20%
19.2%
18%
17.3%
15.6%
16%
13.9%
14%
12%
10%
12.0%
10.0%
10.6%
2000
2005
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
2030
Elderly Population as a Percent of the Total
Population in Howard County
20%
19.4%
18%
16.9%
16%
14.7%
14%
12%
12.6%
10.3%
10%
8%
7.5%
8.5%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
2030
Elderly Population as a Percent of the Total
Population in Montgomery County
22%
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
20.5%
18.9%
16.8%
14.5%
11.2%
11.6%
2000
2005
12.6%
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
2030
Elderly Population as a Percent of the Total
Population in Prince George’s County
20%
17.6%
18%
15.8%
16%
13.9%
14%
12%
11.9%
9.9%
10%
8%
7.7%
8.6%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
2030
Elderly Population as a Percent of the Total
Population in Corridor Counties
20%
19.2%
18%
17.4%
16%
15.4%
14%
12%
10%
13.4%
11.3%
9.4%
10.1%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
2030
Growth in Elderly Corridor Population Over
the 2000 to 2030 Time Period
400,000
356,000
350,000
300,000
269,300
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
< 65
65 and Over
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
Worker Commutation for the
Corridor Counties
Net Commutation (In – Out) for the
Corridor Counties, 2000
0
-14,999
-20,000
-30,743
-34,456
-40,000
-60,000
-80,000
-100,000
-102,117
-120,000
Ann Arundel
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Howard
Montgomery
Prince
George's
Commuters Into Anne Arundel from
Other Jurisdictions
Commuters From Anne Arundel To
Other Jurisdictions
Commuters Into Howard from Other
Jurisdictions
Commuters From Howard To Other
Jurisdictions
Commuters Into Montgomery from
Other Jurisdictions
Commuters From Montgomery To
Other Jurisdictions
Commuters Into Prince George’s from
Other Jurisdictions
Commuters From Prince George’s To
Other Jurisdictions
Cause for Concern
Labor Force vs. Job Growth
Growth in Total Jobs and Labor Force,
Anne Arundel County, 2000-2005
50,000
41,300
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,500
10,000
0
Jobs
Source: Maryland Department of Planning
Labor Force
Growth in Jobs and Labor Force,
Howard County, 2000-2005
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
17,000
10,800
10,000
0
Jobs
Source: Maryland Department of Planning
Labor Force
Growth in Jobs and Labor Force,
Montgomery County, 2000-2005
50,000
40,000
30,000
27,450
22,900
20,000
10,000
0
Jobs
Source: Maryland Department of Planning
Labor Force
Growth in Jobs and Labor Force,
Prince George’s County, 2000-2005
50,000
40,000
30,000
24,600
23,300
20,000
10,000
0
Jobs
Source: Maryland Department of Planning
Labor Force
Growth in Jobs and Labor Force,
Corridor Counties, 2000-2005
120,000
105,800
100,000
72,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
Jobs
Source: Maryland Department of Planning
Labor Force
Multi-Family Housing
Multi Unit Housing in Corridor Counties
Units Existing in 2000 and Post 2000 Additions
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2000-2004
2000
Anne Arundel
Howard
Montgomery
Prince
George's
2,852
31,074
1,779
21,664
9,715
102,779
558
103,551
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
Multi Units as a Pct of Total Units 2000
& Pct Multi Unit Permits Issued, 2000 - 2004
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2000
2000-2004
Anne
Arundel
Howard
Mont
Prince
George's
Rest of
Maryland
16.6%
21.5%
23.3%
21.2%
30.7%
41.4%
34.2%
4.0%
24.0%
15.3%
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and the Maryland Department of Planning
Ft. Meade Study Area
Place of Residence Characteristics
Ft. Meade Study Area: Labor Force in 2000
72,140 persons ages 16 and over
43,862 Employed
5,111 Armed Forces
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
1,766 Unemployed
21,401Not in LF
Ft. Meade Study Area:
Class of Worker in 2000
Private W&S
workers
31,007
Government
workers
11,131
Self-employed
workers
1,677
Unpaid family
workers
47
0
5,000
10,000
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Fort Meade Study Area: Employment by
Industry in 2000
Education, health, & social services
7,248
Public administration
6,618
Professional, mgmt & other services
5,665
Retail trade
5,497
Manufacturing
3,157
Construction
2,882
Finance, insur, real estate, & rental & leasing
2,616
Arts, entertainment & other services
2,443
Transp & warehousing, & utilities
2,302
Other services (ex public adm)
2,061
Information
1,666
Wholesale trade
1,634
Ag., forestry, fishing, etc.
73
0
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
Fort Meade Study Area: Occupation in 2000
Mgmt, profesl, & related
occup
17,980
Sales & office
occupations
12,547
Service occupations
5,401
Prod, transp, & material
moving
4,308
Const, extraction, &
maintenance
3,597
Farming, fishing, &
forestry
29
0
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
Ft. Meade Study Area: Household
Income Distribution, 2000
9,000
8,225
8,000
7,000
Median HH Income - $63,580
6,000
5,555
5,000
4,524
4,546
4,000
3,000
2,792
1,811
2,000
1,000
0
1,045
594
1,026
350
L.T. $10,000- $15,000- $25,000- $35,000- $50,000- $75,000- $100,000-$150,000-$200,000+
$10,000 $14,999 $24,999 $34,999 $49,999 $74,999 $99,999 $149,999 $199,999
State Rated Capacity and Projected P.S.
Enrollment for Ft. Meade Study Area
(2004/2005)
7,000
6,000
6,606
5,948
5,000
4,012 3,894
3,909
4,000
2,977
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Elementary
Middle
SRC
Source: Anne Arundel County Board of Education
PE
High
Ft. Meade Study Area
Place of Work Characteristics
Time Arriving to Work in Ft. Meade Study
Area: 2000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
am 4 am 4 am 4 am 4 am 4 am 9 am 9 pm 9 pm 9 pm
4
:5
:5
:1
:1
:1
:1
:1
:5
:1
:5
3
7
1
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
o1
to
to
to
to
to
o 1 to 1 m to m to
t
t
m
am 0 am 0 am 0 am 0 am am
p
m 0p
p
a
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
:0
:0
0
0
0
:
5:
6:
7:
8:
9:
3
7
:
:
11
10
11
Means of Transportation to Work in Ft. Meade
Study Area - 2000
Drove alone
2-person carpool
Walked
Worked at home
Bus or trolley bus
Other means
Bicycle
Taxicab
Motorcycle
Subway or rail
59,269
8,900
1,585
1,206
380
316
92
79
63
34
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Class of Worker in Ft. Meade Study Area, 2000
Private for-profit
38,267
Federal government workers
23,234
Self-employed workers
3,588
State government workers
2,784
Local government workers
2,534
Private not-for-profit workers
1,490
Unpaid family workers
67
0
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000