Transcript Trends and Conditions General Performance

Regional Visions: 50-Year
Transportation Demand Modeling
Florida Model Task Force Meeting
December 13, 2006
2025 Florida Transportation Plan

Long range goals and objectives for the State
Transportation System

FTP Objectives:
 Enhance regional coordination -- Develop regional
visions and action plans that integrate transportation,
land use, economic, community and environmental
systems to guide transportation investments. Focus
attention on meeting mobility needs within regions that
transcend traditional jurisdictional boundaries, and
ensuring connectivity between SIS, regional, and local
facilities.
 Set criteria for new hubs & corridors “Future
Corridors” -- Establish statewide criteria for identifying
and developing new SIS facilities where such facilities
are needed to connect the economic regions of the
state, especially economically distressed areas,
coordinated with regional and community visions
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2025 FTP: Guidance

Regional Coordination excerpts:
 “Regional visions should be developed for relatively large
geographic areas throughout the state through a bottom up
process in which all jurisdictions join one or more regions.”
 “Regional visions and action plans should be the result of
close coordination and harmonization among currently
separate planning processes related to transportation, land
use, economic development, community development, and
environmental stewardship.”
 “The regional planning process should result in key
outcomes, including priorities for investments in a regional
transportation network that includes multimodal options
and reflects the balance between efficient regional travel
and community and environmental resources with each
region.”
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Florida Regional Visioning Initiatives

Projects complete, ongoing or planned:
 Central Florida: “How Shall We Grow”
 Southwest Florida Regional Stewardship Alliance
 Tampa Bay Vision 21
 Committee for a Sustainable Emerald Coast
 Northeast Florida Regional Vision for the Future
 Southeast Florida 2050: Regional Vision for a New
Century
 Committee for a Sustainable Treasure Coast
- Completed, policy plan
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Central Florida: “How Shall We Grow”

Vision: accommodating growth of 4 million
residents by 2050

Community input:
 Areas for residential growth (density, character)
 Lands for preservation
 Transportation improvements (roadway, transit)

Five scenarios for future growth
 Performance indicators
 FDOT District 5 conducting travel demand modeling,
other analyses – transportation impacts
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Central Florida: “How Shall We Grow”

Transportation indicators
 # and % of system miles in each network (roads,
transit, bike/ped)
 # and % of trips by mode, miles traveled by mode
 % of pop/employment within ¼ mile of transit
 Total daily, per capita & per household vehicle miles
and hours of travel
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Total daily, per capita & per household hours of delay
Average speed
Total and daily cost of delay
Auto crashes and fatalities
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Future Corridor Planning Process
Feasibility
Concept
High-Level
Screening
Proposed
Study
Area
Identified
GO
STOP
?
27a
ETDM/PD&E
Corridor
Feasibility
Potential Study
Corridors
Identified
for
Feasibility
Study
GO
STOP
?
ETDM/
PD&E
Specific
Alternative
s Identified
for Detailed
Analysis
GO
Implementation
STOP
?
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Screening Criteria for Statewide Corridors

Mobility/Connectivity
 System connectivity
- Gaps in existing system
- Intermodal connectivity
- Connectivity to SIS
- Connectivity to regional systems
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40a
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Community Livability
 Land use and development
 Comprehensive planning and
visioning
 Multi-use facilities
 Historic and
archaeological resources
 Noise and aesthetics
 Degree of community support
Congestion/delay/reliability
Freight and visitor flows
Emergency evacuation and response
Military needs
 Environmental Stewardship
Safety
 Conservation lands
 Surface waters
Economic Competitiveness
 Wetlands
 Access to statewide industry clusters
 Coastal and marine
 Access to fast-growing areas
 Threatened/endangered
 Access to economically distressed
habitat
areas
 Air quality
 Economic development benefits
 Energy consumption
 Economic disruptions
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Initial Study Areas for Potential New
Statewide Corridors
56a
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Potential
Multimodal
Re-Use
of Statewide
Corridors
Alabama state line to Duval County
(I-10/multimodal)
Collier County to Georgia state line
(I-75/multimodal)
Miami-Dade County to Georgia state line
(I-95/multimodal)
Hillsborough County to Volusia County
(I-4/multimodal)
Miami-Dade County to Lake County
(US 27/multimodal)
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Considerations: Forecasting Travel
Demands for 50 Year Horizons

Capture travel behavior changes?
 Use of computer/internet for telecommuting,
shopping, education
 Impact of increases in fuel cost
 Increased population, density, congestion
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Other Vision Initiatives in US

Contacts: Portland Metro, Envision Utah, LA Compass
Blueprint, Fregonese Calthorpe, Smart Mobility
(Vermont)

Discussion about possible model adjustments
(what and how parameters might change)
 However, no agreement on any actual changes
 Model used to ID differences between scenarios, not
absolute impacts as in MPO plans
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Potential Model Considerations in FL

Changing household profiles

Increasing incomes
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Downtown residential development trends
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Suburban and ex-urban development
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Vehicle availability
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Transit ridership changing

Interaction of transportation and land use
decisions
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Feedback Needed

Develop potential guidelines/approaches for 50
year modeling?

Future research to support guidelines, model
development needs?

Linkage of regional vision/land use plans to
FSUTMS?
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