Transcript Document
Chapter 2: In This Chapter • Development trends • Legal systems • Economic trends • Commercial trends • Interconnected economies • Residential trends • Government policies • What you need to know • Environmental issues • Network building Page 22 Development Trends • • • • • • Page 22 Attention on energy use and production Large exports of natural resources Trade agreements Remittances FDI Emphasis on sustainability Other Development Trends • • • • Coming of age Baby Boomer retirements Land banking Information technology Page 23-24 Economic Trends • Opportunity and competition from global marketplace • Commodities-based economies • Service and hospitality • Potential challenges Page 25-30 Major Commodity Exports Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Mexico Panama Paraguay Peru Uruguay Venezuela Page 27 Soybeans and derivatives, corn, wheat, beef, crude oil, petroleum products Natural gas, crude oil, petroleum products, iron ore, coffee Copper, fish, fruit, wood Crude oil, petroleum products, coffee, iron and steel Fruit (bananas), coffee Crude oil, petroleum products, iron and steel, silver, fruit Fish, fruit (bananas), live animals, meat, coffee Soybeans, cereals, meat Copper, gold, zinc, crude oil, petroleum products Meat, leather, dairy, cereals Crude oil, petroleum products, iron and steel, aluminum Interconnected Economies • Interregional trade agreements – CARICOM, NAFTA, MERCOSUR • Intraregional trade agreements – Between organizations and countries • Chile-EU – Between two countries • USA-Israel Page 31-33 Government Policies • Tremendous strides in political and economic freedoms, including property rights • Challenges continue – Income inequality – Funding of social programs as populations age • Building codes • New construction Page 33-36 Dollarization and Monetary Policy • Dollarization occurs due to currency instability and hyperinflation – By choice – By circumstance • Currency volatility affects real estate market • During counseling session, discuss with buyer: – Currency of transaction – Importance of transferring and converting funds – Risk of losing property if funds unavailable Page 36-37 The Americas Currencies Argentina Argentine peso ARS $ Brazil Canada Chile Colombia Costa Rica Dominican Republic Brazilian real Canadian dollar Chilean peso Colombian peso Costa Rican colón Dominican peso BRL CAD CLP COP CRC DOP R$ $ or C$ $ $ ₡ RD$ Mexico Panama Paraguay Mexican peso USA dollar Paraguayan guaraní MXN USD PYG $ or Mex$ $ Gs Peru Peruvian nuevo sol PEN S/. USA Uruguay Venezuela USA dollar Uruguayan peso Venezuelan bolívar fuerte USD UYU VEF $ $ Bs Page 38 Environmental Issues • • • • • Pressure on ecosystems from population growth Clearing of ecosystems for agriculture Deforestation Runoff from deforestation and agriculture Pollution resulting from urbanization and industrialization • Threats to coral reefs, marine life, and coastal lands from development • Overfishing Page 38-39 Curitiba, Brazil • Green city – Recycling program – Public transportation – Green space Page 39 Source: Wikipedia Legal Systems • Common law – USA and Canada, generally • Civil law – Latin America and Caribbean, generally • Notarios Page 40-42 Law and Real Estate Issues • Evictions • Property rights and land use regulations • Information about title, liens – Work with competent, local attorney – International title insurance • Comparables, other market data • Mortgage terms and buyer’s age • Formal legal codes but cumbersome transactions Page 42-43 Ease of Doing Business Rankings Pg 45 Registering Property Getting Credit Protecting Investors Enforcing Contracts 4 8 37 Dealing with Construction Permits 25 29 32 12 35 51 4 30 61 5 5 5 8 58 152 Chile Mexico Peru Panama 49 51 56 77 67 37 117 68 42 99 28 65 71 61 15 30 41 41 20 109 69 81 114 119 Dominican Republic 86 92 112 71 57 86 Uruguay 114 140 165 43 93 96 Argentina 118 168 115 61 109 46 Costa Rica 121 128 49 61 165 132 Paraguay 124 106 79 71 57 104 Brazil Venezuela 129 177 113 94 120 97 87 177 73 178 100 74 Country Overall USA Canada Colombia Source: Doing Business 2013, The World Bank Group Commercial Real Estate Trends • USA and Canada – Downward trends but overall stability – Supply high in USA and Canada • Latin America and Caribbean – Supply of Class A space low so demand is high, stimulating development – Development often financed through equity rather than credit – Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Peru, and Panama particularly active Page 46-48 Market Drivers • Land banking • Global corporate expansion • Resorts and hotels • Medical facilities Sources: Wikipedia, Authority of Tourism Panama, Consejo de Promoción Turística de México, Hospital Punta Pacifica Page 49 Residential Real Estate Trends • Home prices generally on upward trends • Second-home market Transaction Costs Source: Global Property Guide Page 52-54 What You Need to Know • “Coming of age” • Diverse, emerging economies – Good for real estate markets • Competition and opportunity in global economy • Environmental issues • Role of government in sustaining growth • Regulatory policies impact transactions • Common law and civil law impact transactions differently • Real estate drivers Page 55 Network Building • Make contacts and nurture relationships to: Pg 58 – Gain access to targeted markets – Maintain current market awareness – Reach prospective clients and referral partners – Inform others about local investment opportunities – Publicize services and capabilities Who You Need to Meet • • • • Page 58 Potential clients Colleagues Owners and sellers Representatives of any of the above Making Contacts • Bilateral partners • NAR Global on Facebook • CIPS on Facebook – For CIPS Designees • Market-to-Market Program • Sister Cities International • Global real estate expos and events Page 60-62