Transcript Slide 1
Utilizing CBMS in Monitoring and Targeting the Poor: The case of Barangay Kemdeng, San Vicente, Palawan A CBMS Philippines Research Paper prepared for the PEP Network Meeting June 18, 2004 Outline of presentation • Part 1: – Objectives – Physical Characteristic of Kemdeng – Results of the 2000 and 2002 CBMS Survey • Part 2: – Use of Scores in Ranking Households – Uses of CBMS at the local level – Conclusions and Recommendations General Objectives • Monitor the welfare conditions of local people particularly the poor – Examine the changes over time of CBMS core indicators using the survey result in 2000 and 2002 • Provide an aggregate measure of poverty to be able to target the poor - Use of composite index Barangay Kemdeng: Physical Characteristic Ugnayan Mahayahay Maunlad Viscua Maningning Nagkakaisa Barangay Kemdeng: Demography • In 2000, there were 135 hhlds with a population of 713 persons and hhld size of 5.3 • These figures declined in 2002 with 127 hhlds, 612 persons and hhld size of 4.8 • The main reason for the decline in population count is migration – due to closure of small-scale silica mining operation in Purok Maunlad in 2000 – other family members who study or work in other locations in Puerto Princesa city or in Manila Barangay Kemdeng: Demography • The number of IP households or Tagbanuas increased from 6 hhlds or 24 persons in 2000 to 10 hhlds or 44 persons in 2002. All IP hhlds in the barangay live in Purok Ugnayan • There are more males than females with sex ratio of 110.9 in 2000 and 114.7 in 2002. Barangay Kemdeng: Health and Nutrition • In 2000, no infant deaths were reported in the survey • There were 3 infant deaths according to the 2002 survey – Due to poor health conditions of infants when born – Due to lack of access to safe water and poor sanitation Barangay Kemdeng: Health and Nutrition • In 2000, 7 ( or 2 males and 5 females) severely malnourished children were recorded among 137 children • No malnourished children were found among the IP hhlds. Due to the conduct of feeding programs by barangay officials, only one child remained severely malnourished in 2002 from among the 7 children who were reported malnourished in 2000 Barangay Kemdeng: Health and Nutrition • In 2002, 6 ( 2 males and 4 females) case of severely malnourished children were recorded. Two out of the five new cases are member of IP hhlds. • The explanation for the malnutrition prevalence are: – Busyness of some mothers in their work – Poor health status of some of the mothers – Lack of money of some households to be able to complete the six month nutrition regime – Due to the poor access to safe water and sanitation in the barangay Barangay Kemdeng: Access to Basic Services • In 2000, only 44 hhlds or 32.6% have access to safe drinking water. • 2002 survey results show a drastic decline with only 22 hhlds or 17.3% have access to safe water. • In both surveys reveal that all IP households do not have access to safe water – The decline was due to the fact that 3 existing deep wells have been damaged and now inoperative, affecting at least 20 hhlds. Barangay Kemdeng: Access to Basic Services • Most of these hhlds now tap unsafe water sources such as dug wells, rivers and undeveloped springs for their water needs. Barangay Kemdeng: Access to Basic Services • In 2000, 80 hhlds or 59.3% have access to sanitary toilet facility • The 2002 survey reveal a drastic decline with only 31 hhlds or 24.4% of hhlds with access • The reason for these are: – Toilet bowls distributed in previous sanitation program were not durable – Decline in access to safe water supply, particularly deep wells. Some hhlds opted to build and use closed or open pits which do not need water to clean and maintain. Barangay Kemdeng: Access to Basic Services – The number of hhlds with access to safe water and sanitary toilet drastically declined from 77.3% in 2000 to only 27.3% in 2002. • In both survey years, IP hhlds do not have access to water-sealed toilets. Some use closed/open pits while others do not have any kind of sanitation facility. Barangay Kemdeng: Access to Basic Services • Only 8 households (5.9%) have access to electricity in 2000 while only 11 hhlds or 8.7% have or avail of these services in 2002. – Due to limited coverage and cost of electric power Barangay Kemdeng: Education Elementary school participation rates among 6-11 years old children 90 80 80.8 81.8 80 76.6 75 78.7 Proportion 70 60 50 2000 40 2002 40 28.6 30 20 10 0 Elementary IP Male Female Barangay Kemdeng: Education • Teachers provide free lunch for students, especially to IP students • Reasons for decline: – School has only 3 classrooms – Families have difficulty in meeting other school expenses – Some students are already working in the fields, especially IP children Barangay Kemdeng: Education Secondary school participation rates among 12-15 year old children 40 35 Proportion 30 35.5 30.6 30 27.3 25 25 24 2000 20 2002 15 10 5 0 0 0 Secondary IP Male Female Barangay Kemdeng: Education • Reasons for low participation in secondary school: – Distant location of the nearest secondary school in Poblacion (by boat or 12 km walk) – Some students are already working to help earn income for their households Barangay Kemdeng: Education School participation rates among 6-16 year old children 100 90 82 87.3 82.4 87.5 81.6 87 80 Proportion 70 60 2000 45.5 50 2002 40 33.3 30 20 10 0 Total IP Male Female Barangay Kemdeng: Education • There are children 6-11 years old who are still attending daycare, kindergarten or preparatory level • There are children 12-15 who are still at the elementary level Barangay Kemdeng: Employment Employment Rate 100 100 100 89.7 92.3 96.1 94.9 88.2 90 78.2 80 Proportion 70 60 2000 50 2002 40 30 20 10 0 Total IP Male Female Barangay Kemdeng: Employment • Agriculture employs 72.6% of the employed in the barangay. • Fishing and forestry are also among the common occupations of those employed • Share of the employed in the industry sector declined from 7.5% in 2000 to 3.8% in 2002 • Most male workers are in the agriculture sector while females are in the services sector • Most employed IP are in the agriculture sector, undertaking farming activities in the upland and clearing of timberland Barangay Kemdeng: Enabling Incidence of Poverty 100 90 83.3 80 Proportion 70 64.4 60 2000 45.9 50 40 40 40 30 33.3 27.6 15.7 20 10 0 Total IP Poverty Total Subsistence IP 2002 Barangay Kemdeng: Enabling – More accurate income estimates were taken from the 2002 CBMS survey – In 2000 CBMS, only income from wages/salaries and entrepreneurial activities were considered. – To get a more accurate information on income, other income from other sources and other receipts were included in the 2002 questionnaire Barangay Kemdeng: Summary of results • Based on the CBMS results, the barangay has not been performing well. • Areas to prioritize: – – – – – – Access to safe water Access to sanitary toilet Access to electricity Health and nutrition Employment Elementary and secondary participation Barangay Kemdeng: Summary of results • Gender concerns: – Males are more vulnerable in the areas of health while females are not performing well in nutrition – Females slightly performs better when it comes to elementary participation while males are performing well in secondary school participation rate – Males are dominantly employed in agriculture while females are more employed in the services sector Barangay Kemdeng: Summary of results • IPs are more marginalized in areas of education, literacy and access to basic services • The indicators are interrelated and explains some of the trends Barangay Kemdeng: Benefit Incidence Analysis Proportion and distribution of households with children 6-16 years old who are attending public school, by per capita income decile Per Capita Income Decile Total Househol ds with childre 611 years old Households with children attending elementary school Magnitude Proportion (row) Proportion (column) Kemdeng 70 64 91.4 100 1st 7 6 85.7 9.4 2nd 7 6 85.7 9.4 3rd 7 6 85.7 9.4 4th 7 7 100 10.9 5th 7 7 100 10.9 6th 7 7 100 10.9 7th 7 6 85.7 9.4 8th 7 6 85.7 9.4 9th 7 6 85.7 9.4 10th 7 7 100 10.9 Barangay Kemdeng: Benefit Incidence Analysis Proportion in each decile of households with children attending public school 100.0 Proportion 95.0 90.0 85.0 80.0 75.0 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th Per Capita Income Decile 8th 9th 10th Barangay Kemdeng: Benefit Incidence Analysis Proportion of households with children attending public school across deciles 11.5 Proportion 11.0 10.5 10.0 9.5 9.0 8.5 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th Per Capita Income Decile 8th 9th 10th Barangay Kemdeng: Benefit Incidence Analysis • The heads of these households have low educational attainment, only reaching at least the elementary level • No access to basic services • Two out of the six households are IP households • Proximity of the household to the location of the school Barangay Kemdeng: Benefit Incidence Analysis Use of Scores in Ranking the Households Comparison between Simple and Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator Rationale of Composite Indicator • Richer concept of multidimensional poverty • Identifying the poorest households • Discriminating between geopolitical and sub-geopolitical units • Resource allocation • Impact assessment Composite Indicator: Brief Description • Ideally, must summarize the characteristics of a particular household drawn from a set of indicators • A function of the set of indicators • Categories could be equally or differentially weighted • Eventually, must draw household ranking and poverty rates Definition/Denotation of Terms • Target or Population Units – 127 households of Brgy. Kemdeng, San Vicente, Palawan • Poverty Attributes – CBMS core socio-economic indicators • Poverty Measure – quantifier or criterion in classifying a population unit • Poverty Indicator – transformation or realization of the poverty measure • Poverty Rate – relative magnitude of poor households using the poverty indicator • Composite Poverty Measure, Poverty Indicator and Poverty Rate – multidimensional function of the set of univariate Poverty Indicators. Methods Utilized: At a Glance • Simple Scoring - Function of binary scores of the welfare indicators - Intuitively, the interest is the number of welfare indicators successfully attained - Poverty attributes are weighted equally - Poverty attributes and population units are treated independently • Categorical Weighting - Function of varying weights of categories within welfare indicators - Does not imply that the concern is the number of indicators successfully attained - Poverty thresholds are derived - Relative weights are used, therefore, poverty attributes and population units are not treated independently The CBMS Core Household Indicators • Health - With child death - With malnourished children 0-5 years old • Education and literacy - With members 6-16 years old not attending school - With illiterate members • Housing - Tenure status of house and lot - Construction of the house The CBMS Core Household Indicators • Access to basic services - Source of drinking water - Toilet facility - Electricity • Enabling - Subsistence status - Poverty status - With at least one employed member - With underemployed member • Peace and order - With victims of crime Composite Indicator using Simple Scoring Construction, Ranking and Poverty Rates Simple Scoring: Construction • Poverty indicators are transformed with a uniform direction • One (1) is assigned to the positive category and zero (0) to the negative ones to form the profiles of the households • Percent of scores in each household is derived Simple Scoring: Poorest Households Bottom households that attained less than 50 percent of the indicators Rank ID Purok 1 74 Nagkakaisa 2 122 3 63 4 107 5 117 6 32 7 119 Simple Household Composite Head Poverty Measure Yayen, Nelson Binggon, Ugnayan Manuel Abanes, Mahayahay Ronie Yayen, Ugnayan Romeo jr. Padilla, Ugnayan Ricardo Badenas, Maunlad Luorbar Padilla, Ugnayan Baltazar 33.3 33.3 35.7 35.7 41.7 42.9 45.5 Simple Scoring: Well-off Households Top households that attained more than 80 percent of the indicators Rank ID Purok Household Head Simple Composite Poverty Measure 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 72 21 34 93 100 78 86 95 54 55 56 68 38 30 101 80 26 Mahayahay Maningning Maunlad Nagkakaisa Ugnayan Nagkakaisa Nagkakaisa Nagkakaisa Viscua Viscua Viscua Mahayahay Maunlad Maunlad Ugnayan Nagkakaisa Maningning De Gusman, Noli Refianco, Mamento Almoguerra, Eger Zabanal, Begesdes llavan, agustin Bacul, Senecio Caranza, Joseph Vicente, Danilo Abique, Jesus Magahis, Dominador Abique, Remy legaspi, eddie Estoce, Avelio Dulgeme, Pedro yayen, francisco Labrador, Rodencion Dejosco, Kenny 81.8 81.8 81.8 81.8 81.8 83.3 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 85.7 85.7 90.9 90.9 92.3 100 Simple Scoring: Poverty Rates Brackets of Simple Scores Simple Composite Poverty measure >=30 to <40 percent >=40 to <50 percent >=50 to <60 percent >=60 to <70 percent >=70 to <80 percent >=80 to <90 percent >=90 to <100 percent 100 percent Frequency Proportion Cumulative 4 3 34 38 31 13 3 1 3.2 2.4 26.8 29.9 24.4 10.2 2.4 0.8 3.2 5.5 32.3 62.2 86.6 96.9 99.2 100 Simple Scoring: Summary of Characteristics • Relatively easy and apparently doable • Weights are equally and arbitrarily set • Profile and composite poverty measure of each household remains the same even when population units are increased/decreased • Weights remain the same no matter how many indicators are included/excluded • Composite poverty rate may vary greatly depending on the number of indicators that must be attained Simple Scoring: Validation • Bottom Households - Nelson Yayen, although in the bottom, has considerably adequate income - Manuel Binggon, Ricardo Padilla and Baltazar Padilla are heads of IP households • Top Households - Kenny Dejosco is the barangay Captain - Pedro Dulgeme is a tourist caretaker - Rodencion Labrador is formerly a Municipal Council candidate Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator Construction, Ranking and Poverty Rates Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Construction • Poverty indicators are transformed or retained in raw (as is) categories possessing some ordinal characteristics • A dimension reduction technique (Multiple Correspondence Analysis) is applied on the set of population units and their poverty attributes • Elimination of poverty attributes is done during the dimension reduction process • A set of category weights within indicators is derived to form the profiles and composite poverty measures • Poverty thresholds are defined to compute poverty rates Introduction to Multiple Correspondence Analysis (MCA) • An exploratory technique designed to analyze multi-way tables containing some measure of correspondence between the rows and columns • The goal is to depict the characteristics of a set of variables in a low dimensional way • Variables must be either in categorical or ordinal scale • Dimensions extracted are arranged in terms of amount of variation explained Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: First MCA Measure of Dispersion of each Indicator, Preliminary Indicators Dim 1 Dim 2 Discrimination Measures Overall (Eigenvalue) 0.1895 0.1572 TOILF2 WATSRC4 W1NTLIT POVSUB WELEC W1UNDEMP NTSCH WMALN2 TENURE4 WVICT W1JOB WCHILDD2 0.5823 0.384 0.3812 0.2994 0.2963 0.2013 0.1395 0.0894 0.063 0.0178 0.0045 0.0043 0.5287 0.1703 0.2585 0.1394 0.0011 0.3006 0.2782 0.0626 0.0346 0.0585 0.1808 0.0096 .6 T O ILF 2 .5 .4 W 1UNDEMP NT SCH .3 W 1JO B .2 .1 W 1NT LIT W AT SRC4 PO VSUB W MALN2 W VICT T ENURE4 WNMSH CHILDD2 W ELEC 0.0 -.1 -.1 0.0 .1 Dimension 1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: First MCA W 1JOB Category Quantifications of two of the least dispersed indicators 1.00 2.00 Missing NMSH 1.00 2.00 Missing Marginal Frequency 126 1 0 Category Quantifications Dimension 1 2 .023 -.032 .278 1.574 Marginal Frequency 125 2 0 Category Quantifications Dimension 1 2 .017 .034 .516 -3.377 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: First MCA • The first set of indicators drew a very low measure of information of 0.1895 in the first axis and 0.1572 in the second axis • Toilet facility is the most dispersed indicator given the first MCA • ‘Child death,’ ‘at least one employed member’ and ‘makeshift housing’ are the indicators that have the lowest discriminations • All of the indicators follow ordering consistency with respect to the first axis except the two of the least dispersed indicators Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Final MCA Indicators Measure of Dispersion of each Indicator, Final Discrimination Measures .5 TOILF2 W1UNDEMP .4 NTSCH W1NTLIT .3 WATSRC4 .2 POVSUB .1 WVICTWMALN2 TENURE4 0.0 WELEC -.1 0.0 .1 Dimension 1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 Dim 1 Dim 2 Overall (Eigenvalue) 0.2432 0.1955 TOILF2 WATSRC4 W1NTLIT WELEC POVSUB W1UNDEMP NTSCH WMALN2 TENURE4 WVICT 0.584 0.3785 0.363 0.3007 0.2919 0.1994 0.1367 0.0974 0.0635 0.0168 0.4721 0.2272 0.326 0.0047 0.1043 0.3805 0.3254 0.0537 0.0126 0.0482 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Final MCA • The measure of information has increased given the final set of indicators • Toilet facility is still the most dispersed indicator given the final MCA • Now, all of the indicators follow ordering consistency with respect to the first axis and ordinal direction of poverty Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Final MCA Category Quantifications, Final • Note that quantifications to the right of the first axis are categories attributed to welloff characteristics Dimension 2 • The first axis can be called the poverty axis also because the first axis explains the most variation Quantifications 2 T ENURE4 1.00 Non subsiste 2.00 3.00 2.00 2.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 Dug/shallow 2.00 1.00 Deep/artesia Non-poor 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 Poor 1.00 1 0 T O ILF 2 W AT SRC4 W ELEC 1.00 1.00 4.00 -1 W MALN2 W VICT 2.00 -2 W 1NT LIT W 1UNDEMP -3 NT SCH Comm water s -4 PO VSUB -2 -1 Dimension 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Poverty Weights and Thresholds • The category quantifications in the first axis are adjusted in scale preserving the nature of ordering and distances to reflect a set of positive weights • Household profiles are based on the category weights • Composite poverty measure in each household is the averaged profile • Poverty thresholds in each indicator is defined • Overall poverty threshold is the average of the individual poverty thresholds Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Poorest Households Bottom ten households according to the Weighted Composite Poverty Measure Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ID Purok 122 117 63 74 107 118 115 120 90 62 Household Head Ugnayan binggon, manuel Ugnayan padilla, ricardo Mahayahayabanes, ronie Nagkakaisa Yayen, Nelson Ugnayan yayen, romeo jr. Ugnayan trepit, prodencio Ugnayan delos reyes, jaime Ugnayan sabenacio, antero Nagkakaisa Pefrianco, Domingo MahayahayLlavan, Baltazar Weighted Composite Poverty Measure 226.4 324.2 485.1 492.8 492.8 537.1 630.3 649.1 649.5 688.9 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Well-off Households Top ten households according to the Weighted Composite Poverty Measure Rank ID 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 78 38 95 56 86 55 101 80 30 26 Purok Household Head Nagkakaisa Bacul, Senecio Maunlad Estoce, Avelio Nagkakaisa Vicente, Danilo Viscua Abique, Remy Nagkakaisa Caranza, Joseph Viscua Magahis, Dominador Ugnayan yayen, francisco Nagkakaisa Labrador, Rodencion Maunlad Dulgeme, Pedro ManingningDejosco, Kenny Weighted Composite Poverty Measure 2121.6 2201.1 2233.5 2233.5 2234 2234 2313.3 2411.3 3209.5 3564.2 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Validation Exercise • Bottom Households - Two bottom households of Manuel Binggon and Ricardo Padilla are IP households - Prodencio Trepit and Jaime Delos Reyes are also heads of IP households - Nelson Yayen has considerably adequate income - Romeo Yayen Jr. only gets their livelihood from fishing • Top Households - Kenny Dejosco is the barangay Captain - Pedro Dulgeme is a tourist property caretaker - Rodencion Labrador is formerly a Municipal Council Candidate Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Poverty Rate and Correlations Variable Per capita income Total household income Household size Educational attainment Composite Poverty Significance Measure 0.4192 0.3506 -0.1774 0.4285 • Composite poverty measure increases as per capita income or educational attainment increases • Composite poverty measure decreases as household size decreases 0.000 0.000 0.046 0.000 Purok Composite Poverty Threshold=2284.94 Total Poverty rate Household Magnitude Proportion Kemdeng 127 123 96.9 Mahayahay Maningning Maunlad Nagkakaisa Ugnayan Viscua 15 27 19 25 30 11 15 26 18 24 29 11 100 96.3 94.7 96 96.7 100 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: gender Group Statistics COMPINDE Sex Male Female N 116 11 Mean 1304.6647 1589.7727 Std. Deviation 510.26036 617.80953 Std. Error Mean 47.37649 186.27658 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F COMPINDE Equal variances assumed Equal variances not assumed Sig . .001 .982 t-test for Eq uality of Means t df Sig . (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -1.739 125 .085 -285.1081 163.95168 -609.589 39.37267 -1.483 11.331 .165 -285.1081 192.20691 -706.648 136.43171 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Sector Group Statistics SECGRP2 Agri Non-ag ri COMPINDE N 98 24 Mean 1258.2786 1600.7167 Std. Deviation 453.22754 703.53006 Std. Error Mean 45.78290 143.60747 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F COMPINDE Equal variances assumed Equal variances not assumed 3.776 Sig . .054 t-test for Eq uality of Means t df Sig . (2-tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -2.944 120 .004 -342.4381 116.33404 -572.771 -112.105 -2.272 27.845 .031 -342.4381 150.72883 -651.270 -33.60647 Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Meaning of the Second Axis Purok • The second axis could be viewed as a grouping scale of the puroks of the barangay Ugnayan Maningning Nagkakaisa Viscua Mahayahay Maunlad • The northwestern barangays cluster together, as well as southwestern barangays Mean Scores, by Purok 0.6000 0.4000 0.2000 Second Axis • Ugnayan, the IP community separates from the rest of the puroks Mean Scores Poverty Axis Second Axis -0.4576 -0.7534 0.0176 0.0650 0.1900 0.1811 0.7076 0.3231 0.0375 0.3564 0.1779 0.3626 0.0000 -0.6000 -0.4000 -0.2000 0.0000 0.2000 0.4000 0.6000 0.8000 -0.2000 -0.4000 -0.6000 -0.8000 -1.0000 Poverty Axis Categorically Weighted Composite Indicator: Meaning of the Second Axis Comparison between the Two Methods Advantages, Disadvantages and Utilization Simple Scoring and Categorical Weighting: Comparison • Simple Scoring - Simple scoring is easier to adopt than the categorically weighted composite indicator as far as LGU’s are concerned - However, simple scoring does not utilize underlying discriminating nature of the indicators - Simple scoring has an arbitrary set of weights and, hence, poverty rates - Simple weights do not change no matter how many indicators or population units are used - Ties are among households are more probable • Categorically Weighted - Categorically weighted composite indicator using MCA utilizes the discriminating nature and associations of the indicators - Has a constructive way of deriving weights and poverty thresholds - Ties are among households are less probable - Maybe difficult to be adopted - Relative weights are derived, thus, weights change depending on the dataset Barangay Kemdeng: Uses of CBMS • Provide crucial information to support planning and project implementation at the local levels • The comparison and analysis of the two survey periods provides clear understanding of the development of the barangay – Allow the assessment, fine-tune or change programs and project to yield more desirable results • Data are very useful to target beneficiaries of programs • They are helpful to identify the poor Barangay Kemdeng: Conclusions and Recommendations • The comparative analysis of data from two CBMS surveys is a useful procedure in impact assessment of programs • Concern for careful planning of projects at the local level, most specially at the barangay level • Composite indices are good tools for ranking households, however, further work is needed to be done in this area