Transcript Document

Educational Service District 113
Survey Research & Election Results
October 23th, 2013
JON GORES
MANAGING DIRECTOR
(206) 389-4043
[email protected]
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Today’s presentation will focus on

ELECTION RESULTS

SURVEY RESEARCH
Washington State Election Results
School Districts Only
2011 Election Results
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2012 Election Results

M&O Levies: 45 passed and 2 failed

M&O Levies: 166 passed and 6 failed

Capital Projects Levies: 15 passed and 2 failed

Capital Projects Levies: 34 passed and 3 failed

Transportation Levies: N/A

Transportation Levies: N/A

Bond Authorizations: 5 passed and 28 failed

Bond Authorizations: 12 passed and 6 failed
2013 Election Results
(Through April 2013)

M&O Levies: 43 passed and 1 failed

Capital Projects Levies: 14 passed and 1 failed

Transportation Levies: 1 passed and 0 failed

Bond Authorizations: 12 passed and 14 failed
Source: Washington Secretary of State: Election and Voting website and individual County Auditor websites.
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Voting Patterns
Bond Issues Passed by Year (Years 1993 through April 2013, inclusive)
Schools Only
61%
53%
45%
46%
45%
44%
41%
38%
38%
37%
38%
45%
45%
47%
43%
40%
34%
28%
24%
23%
15%
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
73
99
62
78
78
55
59
40
39
43
53
34
34
60
50
35
31
19
33
18
28
Source: State of Washington, Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction.
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Voting Patterns
M&O Levies - Statewide
Yearly Passage Rates
As of April 2013
94.1%
80.9%
83.7%
86.9%
85.9%
97.4%
97.8%
98.0%
93.9%
96.5%
89.6%
87.2%
83.8%
97.6%
70.6%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Source: State of Washington, Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction.
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013 Average
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Voting Patterns
Bond Issues Passed by Month (Years 1992 through April 2013, inclusive)
Schools Only
51%
52%
38%
February
333
March
149
April
79
Source: State of Washington, Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction.
37%
May
279
33%
August
3
27%
28%
September
109
November
138
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Voting Patterns
All Bond Issues Passed by Purpose Years 1992 through April 2013, inclusive)
Washington State
92%
68%
47%
45%
43%
38%
36%
26%
17%
13%
Fire
210
General
159
Hospital
47
Jail
18
Source: State of Washington, Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Library
45
Park
109
Police
13
School
1,106
Street
23
W&S
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2014 Special Election and Resolution Filing Dates
The 2014 special election dates and ballot resolution filing deadlines pursuant to the
Revised Code of Washington (“RCW”) are listed below for your information.(1) These are
the dates permitted under current law, which are subject to change by the Legislature.
2014
ELECTION DATE
RESOLUTION
FILING DEADLINE (2)
APPROXIMATE DATE
BALLOTS ARE MAILED (3)
February 11, 2014
December 27, 2013
January 24, 2014
April 22, 2014
March 7, 2014
April 4, 2014
August 5, 2014 (Primary)
May 9, 2014
July 18, 2014
November 4, 2014 (General)
August 5, 2014
October 17, 2014
(1) This data is for informational purposes only and does not take the place of local, state or federal laws. Specific RCW information can be
found at: http://www.secstate.wa.gov/elections/election_laws.aspx.
(2) Some dates may have been adjusted to reflect the business day prior to actual resolution filing date, according to RCW 29A.04.330, if falling
on a weekend.
(3) Applies to both mail and absentee ballots. Absentee ballots are required to be mailed no later than 18 days prior to the election date.
RCW 29A.40.070
Source: Washington Secretary of State’s Office, Elections and Voting website.
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Survey Results – Statewide Survey
Renewal of M&O Levy
• Would you say that you are now more likely, equally likely, or less likely to
approve renewal of the local levy that supports daily operations of your local
schools, as compared with two to four years ago?
July 2013
September 2011
More Likely
31%
Equally Likely
Less Likely
More Likely
37%
32%
Equally Likely
47%
Less Likely
Don't Know/Not
Applicable
Source: 2011 Economic Research Center, Washington State University
2013 Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson & Co.
19%
27%
7%
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Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
Renewal of M&O Levy
July 2013
More Likely
• Would you say that you are now more
likely, equally likely, or less likely to
approve renewal of the local levy that
supports daily operations of your local
schools, as compared with two to four
years ago?
Renew Levy
Equally Likely
47%
Less Likely
Don't Know/Not
Applicable
Age
Total
19%
27%
7%
Area
18-35
36-50
51-64
65+
Seattle
King
P/K
N. Sound
West
East
More Likely
19%
20%
13%
20%
24%
19%
21%
19%
23%
10%
24%
Equally Likely
47%
59%
56%
46%
35%
56%
54%
39%
48%
49%
38%
Less Likely
27%
22%
23%
29%
30%
19%
17%
37%
25%
34%
31%
Don’t Know/Not Applicable
7%
0%
9%
5%
10%
7%
9%
6%
5%
7%
7%
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, July 2013
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Survey Results – Statewide Survey
Renewal of M&O Levy
Here are two questions about whether you would vote for or against, or be
undecided about a school levy in your district if you knew two additional facts.
• The first one is, the number of students per class would increase if the levy is
not approved. Would you vote:
July 2013
September 2011
For
52%
For
Against
24%
Against
Undecided
24%
Undecided
Source: 2011 Economic Research Center, Washington State University
2013 Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson & Co.
49%
32%
20%
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Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
Renewal of M&O Levy
• The first one is, the number of
students per class would increase
if the levy is not approved. Would
you vote for or against, or be
undecided?
Class Size
Age
Total
Area
18-35
36-50
51-64
65+
Seattle
King
P/K
N. Sound
West
East
For
47%
61%
52%
48%
43%
54%
50%
43%
58%
47%
43%
Against
32%
27%
32%
35%
29%
28%
31%
35%
32%
38%
26%
Undecided
20%
12%
16%
18%
29%
19%
19%
22%
9%
15%
31%
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, July 2013
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Survey Results – Statewide Survey
Renewal of M&O Levy
• The second one is, the levy pays for one-fifth of the daily operating cost of
the school. In this case would you vote for the levy, be undecided or vote
against the levy?
September 2011
For
Against
Undecided
50%
July 2013
For
Against
16%
34%
Source: 2011 Economic Research Center, Washington State University
2013 Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson & Co.
Undecided
53%
23%
24%
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Survey Results – July 2013
Renewal of M&O Levy
July 2013
• The second one is, the levy pays for
one-fifth of the daily operating cost
of the school. In this case would
you vote for the levy, be undecided
or vote against the levy?
Operating
For
53%
Against
23%
Undecided
34%
Age
Total
Area
18-35
36-50
51-64
65+
Seattle
King
P/K
N. Sound
West
East
For
53%
59%
51%
59%
43%
57%
60%
41%
60%
50%
47%
Against
23%
22%
26%
22%
25%
20%
19%
30%
23%
32%
18%
Undecided
24%
20%
24%
19%
32%
22%
21%
30%
17%
18%
34%
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, July 2013
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Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
Last year, the state supreme court ruled that the legislature was not putting
enough money into public education. In response, the legislature added just
under $1 billion dollars to the state education budget.
• Given this additional money, if your local school district were to put a
maintenance and operations levy on the ballot in the next year, which of
these statements best describes you:
July 2013
I will be just as likely as ever to support the next levy in my district
42%
I will think twice about supporting the next levy in my district
27%
I will be more likely to oppose the next levy in my district
22%
Depends
Don't Know/Not Applicable
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, July 2013
6%
3%
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Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
Last year, the state supreme court ruled that the legislature was not putting
enough money into public education. In response, the legislature added just
under $1 billion dollars to the state education budget.
• Given this additional money, if your local school district were to put a
maintenance and operations levy on the ballot in the next year, which of these
statements best describes you:
Renew Levy
Age
Total
Area
18-35
36-50
51-64
65+
Seattle
King
P/K
N. Sound
West
East
As Likely
42%
45%
45%
47%
30%
46%
47%
26%
43%
34%
49%
Think Twice
27%
29%
32%
21%
30%
31%
23%
28%
28%
26%
28%
Oppose
22%
14%
14%
27%
27%
11%
19%
37%
20%
32%
16%
Depends
6%
8%
5%
5%
8%
7%
5%
7%
8%
6%
3%
Don’t Know/Not Applicable
3%
4%
3%
1%
5%
4%
5%
2%
2%
1%
3%
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, July 2013
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Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
 There is a proposal before the legislature to provide funding to every school district to have full-day
every day kindergarten. If they have full-day every day kindergarten, many school districts will have to
add classrooms to meet this requirement.

If there were a measure on the ballot in your community to increase property taxes in order to add
classrooms for a full-day every day kindergarten, which of the following would you..
2012 Statewide Totals
West
%
East
%
Definitely Support
17
14
Probably Support it
26
26
Probably Oppose
21
21
Definitely Oppose
32
36
Don't Know/NA
4
9
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, September 2012.
Definitely/Probably
Support:
King Co.
No. Sound
West
43%
42%
48%
36%
Eastern
Age
18-35
Age
36-50
Age
51-64
Age
65+
40%
63%
51%
37%
37%
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Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
 Electronic Books

In your opinion should electronic books - such as Kindles, Nooks and iPads - be
available for students in your district?
Yes
63%
No
25%
Don't Know/NA
12%
Yes:
King
Co.
No.
Sound
West
Eastern
Dems
Rep
Perfect
Voters
Age
18-35
Age
36-50
Age
51-64
63%
59%
58%
66%
61%
71%
56%
60%
68%
61%
68%
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Survey Results – National Survey 2012

Grades

Students are often given
the grades A, B, C, D and
Fail to denote the quality
of their work. Suppose
the public schools
themselves in your
community were graded
in the same way. What
grade would you give the
public schools here –
A, B, C, D, or Fail?
National Totals
2012
%
2007
%
2002
%
1997
%
1992
%
A&B
48
45
47
46
40
A
12
9
10
10
9
B
36
36
37
36
31
C
31
34
34
32
33
D
13
14
10
11
12
Fail
4
5
3
6
5
Don’t know/refused
4
2
6
5
10
Source: August 2012 PDK/Gallup Poll: “What Americans said about the public schools”
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Survey Results – National Survey 2012
 Overall Grade

2012 Statewide Totals
Overall, what grade
would you give your
local school district. We
will use a letter grade,
like they use in school
where:
[A] is Excellent
[B] is Good
[C] is Satisfactory
[D] is Unsatisfactory
[F] is Failing
A/B Grades:
West
%
East
%
A
15
18
B
32
39
C
26
17
D
13
8
F
6
5
Don’t know/refused
8
14
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, September 2012.
All
King Co.
No.
Sound
47%
48%
57%
West
Eastern
Dems
47%
57%
58%
Rep
Perfect
Voters
65+
54%
54%
50%
20
Don't Know/NA/Refused
Other
1%
Upgrade/Build a new school
1%
More parental involvement
1%
Stop bullying
1%
Get rid of standardized testing
1%
Vocational/"real-life" training
1%
More extracurricular activities
1%
Art and Music
2%
Longer school days/year
2%
Computers/upgrade equipment
3%
Pay teachers more
4%
Discipline
5%
Hire more teachers
6%
Diversify Curriculum
7%
Better/Less Administration
8%
Funding
10%
Get Back-to-Basics
12%
Student-to-teacher ratio
Higher standards for teachers
Survey Results – Statewide Survey 2012
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If other than [A]: What is the one thing your school district could do to improve its
grade?
26%
6%
1%
21
21
Statewide Survey Results – July 2013
 Taxes

2012 Statewide Totals
If there were a
proposal to increase
taxes to make more
computer technology
available to students
in your district, would
you…
West
%
East
%
Definitely Support that proposal
34
35
Probably Support it
15
26
Probably Oppose it
20
17
Definitely Oppose that proposal
29
13
Don't Know/NA
2
9
Source: The Elway Poll, D.A. Davidson, September 2012.
Definitely/Probably
Support:
King
Co.
No.
Sound
West
Eastern
Dems
49%
56%
59%
49%
61%
71%
Rep
Perfect
Voters
Age
18-35
Age
36-50
Age
65+
40%
59%
74%
56%
54%
19
22
Voter Outlook Index Items: Two-Year Trend
In next year, will things get better or worse..
In the United States
In Washington State
20
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Voter Outlook Index Items: Two-Year Trend
In next year, will things get better or worse..
In your Community
For You and Your Family
Bio – Jon Gores
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Mr. Gores joined D.A. Davidson & Co. in 2006 as a Senior Vice President in the Fixed Income Capital
Markets division. Previously, he was with Seattle Northwest Securities for 18 years as Vice President of
Public Finance, where he served as Manager of the School Finance Group for Washington State schools.
Since 1985, Jon’s focus of practice has been school district public finance. He has been instrumental in
developing financing solutions for specific school district funding needs. His advocacy on behalf of school
districts with the State legislature contributed to the repeal of the law that caused the tax rate spike that
districts encountered with a mid-year bond sale, and led to the expanded use of limited general
obligation (LGO) debt. His efforts resulted in H.B. 1832, which allows school districts to use LGO debt for
remodeling of and additions to existing facilities. Most recently Mr. Gores was instrumental in the
passage of legislation that allows a direct transfer of state forest revenue from the debt service fund to
the capital projects fund.
Jon is a member of WASA, WSSDA, WASBO, and is a featured speaker at numerous conferences. He
serves as a trustee of the Washington State School Boards Educational Foundation. He has been a guest
lecturer at the University of Washington, WSU, Seattle Pacific University and Seattle University. Mr. Gores
served on the School Bond Guarantee Program advisory committee and was appointed to the Finance
Committee for the Simple Majority. Jon is a recipient of the Advocate for Education Award by WSU.
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