Treasure Coast Southeast Florida Regional Planning Models

In Cube Voyager Florida Model Task Force CORRADINO December 12, 2006 1

Consultant Teams TRCPM

Corradino Renaissance Planning Group Cambridge Systematics

SERPM 6

Corradino AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 With thanks to … •FDOT Districts 4 & 6 •MPO staffs of Palm Beach County, Broward County, Miami Dade County, Martin County, St. Lucie County and Indian River County •SFRTA Florida Model Task Force Corradino 2

TCRPM - History

Earlier FSUTMS/Tranplan Versions: 1 & 2 TCRPM 3 – Highway-only model developed and calibrated completely in TransCAD … thought we were done!

Model development switched to Cube Voyager after Model Task Force action in the fall of 2004.

Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 3

2000 Treasure Coast Regional Planning Model (TCRPM)

Cube Voyager based model Covers three counties    Indian River St. Lucie Martin Two Flavors  Highway – Only  With Transit Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 4

TCRPM – What’s New?

Cube Voyager Platform Initial Speeds from Posted Speed and Traffic Signal Data on the network PT for a simple transit network Matrix for Mode Choice Highway Evaluation Connected to standard FSUTMS RMSE and HEVAL programs Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 5

TCRPM

Uses FSUTMS Facility and Area type coding Trip generation rates are county specific Mode choice model  Splits auto and transit trips  Further splits auto trips in occupancy levels Run time for the full model is 7 min. on a 3.4 GHZ machine Traffic Analysis Zones = 731 Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 6

TCRPM VMT/VHT (Volume/Count) Ratios

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TCRPM RMSE

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SERPM - History

Earlier FSUTMS/Tranplan Versions: 1 - 5 SERPM 5 – 1999 Base Year with restructured mode choice responding to FTA concerns SERPM 6 is a Cube Voyager model, no Tranplan required. Custom-written Fortran code for LSGEN, Mode Choice and a few other minor components Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 9

SERPM 6

Palm Beach, Broward and Miami Dade Counties 4,134 TAZs (ZONESA) 3 Time periods (AM 6:30-9:30, PM 3:30 – 6:30, Off-peak) 10 Transit modes 22 – 28 hours run time on 3.4 GHZ computer Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 10

What’s New?

Zdata in TAZ Shape file DBF 3 Period Time-of-day Dynamic area types Estimation of initial speeds from posted speed and signals Estimation of capacities from roadway physical characteristics Estimation of time delays at freeway merges Equilibration of speeds in peak period pre-assignment Trips for HHs with autos distributed using highway skims, while 0-auto HHs use transit skims December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino Micro-coding of fixed-guideway transit stations Model is validated to observed highway speeds as well as to traffic counts Transit nets kept in PT, but Trnbuild used for paths, skims and assignment Non-motorized mode choice Built-in mode choice constant estimation process Better estimation of kiss-and ride and park-and-ride at stations 11

SERPM 6 – Model Flow

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

Setup controls and file names External – EE by period Trip Gen – LSGEN by auto ownership and TOD Highway – Including speed and capacity calculators Distribution – Including equilibration of peak period highway speeds Transit Nets and fares – PT  Trnbuild and connectors, paths, skims 7.

Mode Choice 8.

9.

Transit Assignment by access path and TOD Highway Trip Tables assignment – Combines trip tables for 10.

Highway Assignment time) – by TOD (use most computer 11.

Highway Evaluation county – HEVAL and RMSE by TOD and Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 12

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1 2 3 11 12 13 7 8 9 10

SERPM 6 - Transit Nets

PT Mode (applicable county) TRNBUILD Mode (applicable county)

Walk Access Walk Access n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Drive Access Sidewalk/Transfer connector Bus (Palm Beach & Broward) Bus (Miami-Dade) Express Bus (all) Metro-Rail Tri-Rail Metromover New Mode (all) Project Mode (all) Tri-Rail Shuttle (all) Limited Stop Bus (all) Drive Access Sidewalk/Transfer connector Bus (Palm Beach) Bus (Dade) Express Bus (Broward) Metro-Rail Tri-Rail Metromover New Mode (Broward) Project Mode (all) Tri-Rail Shuttle (all) Limited Stop Bus (Miami-Dade) Bus (Broward) Express Bus (Miami-Dade) Express Bus (Palm Beach) New Mode (Miami-Dade) Limited Stop Bus (Broward) Limited Stop Bus (Palm Beach) New Mode (Palm Beach) Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 13

Station Micro-coding

MetroRail Rail platform node Time= ~2 min Time= ~2 min PNR KNR Time= ~1 min Time= ~1 min Time= ~0.5 min Streets Source: AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 Bus platform node Florida Model Task Force Corradino Escalator Link Access Connectors 14

   FSUTMS uses auto

Time of Day

Standard FSUTMS Models

speeds from 24-hour assignment as for HBW

Purpose & Period Auto Impedances

mode choice HBW all Congested HBO & NHB use free-flow speeds HBO all Free-flow NHB all Free-flow SERPM6 uses time of day

Time-of-day Models

Peak period trips use AM congested speeds Off-peak period trips use free-flow speeds

Purpose & Period

HBW peak HBO peak NHB peak

Auto Impedances

AM congested Standard FSUTMS design expected for most models HBW off-peak HBO off-peak NHB off-peak Free-flow Source: AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 15

PT Overview

Multi-path algorithm  Can produce two or more paths per O/D pair  Skims reflect weighted values of all paths Advanced fare system & transit speed features Good network features Has ability to generate access connectors Source: AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 16

FTA Reactions to PT

Strongly recommended micro-coding fixed-guideway, park-and-ride & kiss-and-ride stations to better represent transfer time  Existing FSUTMS standards utilize same node for rail & bus stations Confirmed that multi-path builder is not compatible with existing FSUTMS mode choice structure PT v4.0 can not provide the necessary information for New Starts quality control tests Trying to quantify impacts of multi-path systems on New/Small Starts; would prefer single-path but do not require it Helpful to have empirical evidence of typical New/Small Start situations in PT Source: AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 17

FDOT Central Office Research

Citilabs added a best-path switch in PT  Addresses FTA’s New Starts quality control tests  Mimics single-path path-builders Developed and tested 3 prototype models  (1)PT multi-path (2)PT best-path (3)PT-TRNBUILD hybrid   Purposes: Provide empirical data to assist with FTA/Citilabs discussions Help determine best design for PT model that produces explainable results that are sufficient for New/Small Starts analysis Identify any issues as early as possible Developed modeling standards (“frameworks”) for multi-path system, adjusted slightly for other 2 systems Source: AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 18

SERPM 6 - TRNBUILD

Could not wait for PT “best path” Single-path builder from TP+ & available in Voyager Link based, some similarities to Tranplan’s path builder Well-known to FTA  Reliable history that dates back to MINUTP Used nationwide  Atlanta, Washington DC, Columbus OH, Northern NJ Can read Voyager highway networks directly Easy to convert PT network & connectors Only being used in Florida for SERPM6 Future development not supported by Citilabs Source: AECOM Consult December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 19

SERPM 6 – Mode Choice

December 12, 2006 Applied for Peak and Off-peak Florida Model Task Force Corradino 20

SERPM 6 – Transit Assignment

By TOD (AM, Off-peak)  By Access Mode (Walk, Auto) By Transit Mode   Bus Metrorail   Tri-Rail New Mode Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 21

SERPM 6 – Highway Assignment

By Time-of-Day  AM Peak  Off-Peak  PM Peak  Composite 24 Hours (add preceding) December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 22

SERPM 6 – Highway Evaluation

SUMMARIES BY:  SERPM 6 Region by Time-of-Day   Each County for 24 hours Trucks alone – each County for 24 hours December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 23

SERPM 6 - Validation

Standard FSUTMS +++ Plus Speed Validation Speed compromises made in favor of Volume/Count Good Volume/Count ratios Very good RMSE Good transit assignment results Florida Model Task Force Corradino December 12, 2006 24

SERPM 6 – Speed Validation

Facility Type Freeway Surface Streets 11 41 HOV Lanes 81 Toll Facility All Facilities: 91 Average Weighted Speed (mph) Model Observed AM PM

45.41 29.86 45.47 27.45

Off Peak

48.81 31.67

All Periods 46.44 30.13 AM

46.84 24.69

PM

54.15 23.60

Off Peak

52.25 26.62

All Periods 50.58 25.25

54.02 51.57

52.79

64.19 57.58

60.89

63.79

41.00

62.17

43.94

62.84

37.87 62.96 40.88

65.16 65.47

39.97 46.75

63.97

35.41 65.17 40.48

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SERPM 6 – Systemwide Comparison

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SERPM 6 – RMSE Validation

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SERPM 6 – Transit Ridership Validation

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Thank you!

December 12, 2006 Florida Model Task Force Corradino 29