Transcript Regional food balance sheet

Leveraging National Marketing
Information Systems and the
Regional Food Balance Sheet.
Presentation by:
Janet Kalulu Ngombalu
Marketing information systems and
Communications Manager - EAGC.
Presentation outline.
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Introduction
About EAGC.
EAGC MIS work.
Regional Food Balance Sheet (RFBS)
Rationale
Role of MIS in Regional Food Balance Sheet
Participation of National MIS’s in RFBS
Conclusion.
Introduction
• Agribusiness marketing is currently
estimated at US $ 150 Million with projected
growth.
• International agribusiness is positioning the
Africa to feed the future.
• According to CAADP, investments in market
access requires an initial investment of US
$62 billion over some 10 to 15 years while
operation and maintenance of these assets
will require an additional US $37 billion.
Regional Markets
• Africa is on the right path of intra-regional trade, but
lags behind other global regions.
• •Exports from Africa increased significantly in the
last 8 years.
• •Intra-regional trade within emerging Asia increased
8 fold.
• •Africa remains low and accounts for less than 10% of
world total trade.
• •IRT grown by 49 per cent in the last five years (EAC)
• •Increased investments in foreign direct investment
(FDI) almost tripled from $ 692 million (Sh913.4
billion) in 2002 to $ 1.7billion (Sh2.2 trillion) in 2007.
• •The trade is both informal and formal trade.
Overview of EAGC
A REGION FREED FROM INDIGNITY OF HUNGER
AND FOOD INSECURITY- Overall Goal
Alternative dispute resolution
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mechanisms
Institutional framework for
regional grain trade promotion
Dialogue between public and

private stakeholders
A system for providing timely ,
reliable and accurate information
Stabilized Regional grain
market prices
Enhanced Market access by

small-scale grain producers
Well- functioning regional grain
supply chain
REDUCING
TRANSACTIONS
COSTS
Structured Trading
system
Market Information
System
Grain Value chain
stakeholders capacity
building
Grain trade and
policy environment
EAGC Market Information
RATIN SYSTEM FLOW
USERS

EAGC Members ( Producers,
Traders, Processors, Financial
Institutions)

National Government
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Regional /Bilateral Organizations

NGOs/Development Partners

International Agencies
RATIN Users
___________________________REGIONAL GRAIN TRADE MARKET INTELLINCE (RATIN)____
PRODUCTS

Weekly Commentaries

Trade Flows

Price Analysis (Graphical)

Trade Trends and Forecasts

Production Data

Regional Food Balance Sheets.

Interactive systems

Important web links

Sector Update
MARKET
INTELLIGENCE
PRODUCTS
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---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------DATA
COLLATION
Data
Analysis
Tools
RATIN Database
Partners Databases
WFP/FEWSNET/MAS
/ACE/ZAMACE/ESOK
O/MOA
DATA
INPUT/COLLECTION
Data Collection tools
Border/Market
Monitors
Border points
Internal Markets
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The Regional Food Balance Sheet
(RFBS)
• It is a reflection of the food security picture
at a given time indicating availability,
through production estimates and trade
• It has mostly been prepared by governments
through respective Ministries of Agriculture,
private sector, millers, traders and farmers
• EAGC is spearheading efforts for the
regional balance sheet with EAC and
partners
Rationale for RFBS
 Initiative anchored in the EAC Regional Food
Security Action Plan
 Great potential for food surplus and trade in the
region
 This evidence/information is presently not readily
available hence ad-hoc policy decisions to protect
national interests
 Information on regionally available food stock to
inform food security policy
 Regional staple foods trade development – better
prices, movement of foods from surplus to deficit
region
 Investments in agriculture as a result of
predictable policies.
Regional Production vs Consumption and Tradeable Surplus for Select staple food products
25,000,000
20,000,000
Total Production per year plus Carry
Over Stock (MT)
MT
15,000,000
Regional Consumption (MT)
10,000,000
Tradeable Surplus
5,000,000
Maize
(5,000,000)
Wheat
Rice
Beans
Millet
Sorghum
The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet - Template
Annex 1: ESTIMATED AVAILABILITY FOOD BALANCE SHEET – TEMPLATE
Country: Uganda
Month ending 30TH August 2011
Maize
A. Domestic Supply
(1) Carry Over Stocks - as at 31st July
(MT)
(2) Imports (projections for 2011)
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From Regional sources
(EAC&COMESA/SADC)
From Extra Regional sources
Total Imports
(3) Production (projections for 2011)
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Long rains
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Short Rains
Total Production per year
(4) Post harvest loss
(5) National Availability (MT) =
(1+2+3) – (4)
Wheat
Rice
Beans
Millet
Sorghu
m
The EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet – Template (Cont’d)
Maize
B. Domestic Utilisation
(6) Exports (projected exports for
August 2011
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Exports to EAC/COMESA/SADC
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Extra regional exports
Total Exports
(7) Seed (Projected allocation for seed)
(8) Feed (Projected allocation for feed)
(9) National Consumption (MT)
(10) Available stock by end August
2011 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7+8+9)
Wheat
Rice
Beans
Millet
Sorghu
m
Table 1: Illustrative EAC Regional Food Balance Sheet As at 1st April 2010
Source: National Food Balance Sheet survey reports
Maize
(1) Carry Over Stocks – as at 31st March 2009 (MT)
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Wheat
854,085
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Rice
5,077
Beans
41,709
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Millet
93,060
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Sorghum
10,154
-
84,238
-
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From Regional sources (EAC&COMESA)
408,300
15,000
8,000
12,000
4,703
16,500
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From Extra Regional sources
129,060
859,996
257,532
14,190
36
4
604,677
880,088
279,055
38,390
4,757
29,783
Total Imports
(3) Production (projections for 2010)
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Long rains
5,830,162
468,648
918,683
1,593,205
1,010,524
1,116,378
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Short Rains
2,261,414
89,879
295,415
857,946
93,147
518,915
8,091,576
558,527
1,214,098
2,451,151
1,103,671
1,635,293
573,727
36,306
40,931
122,736
22,385
103,701
8,976,611
1,407,386
1,493,931
2,459,865
1,096,197
1,566,060
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Total Production per year
(4) Post harvest loss
(5) Regional Availability (MT) = (1+2+3)-4
(6) Exports (projected exports for 2010
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Exports to EAC/COMESA
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Extra regional exports
Total Exports
(7) Regional Consumption (MT)
(8) Available stock by end of As at 1st April 2010 (MT) = 5 – (6 + 7)
126,828
-
126,828
5,378
25,382
37,364
-
14,524
2,000
4,000
61
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5,378
25,382
37,425
-
14,524
-
7,980,077
1,344,055
1,355,102
2,010,240
962,486
1,460,509
870,244
67,442
113,447
591,606
133,711
91,027
National Institutional Framework –
Roles and responsibilities
• Public: Ministries of Agriculture, Ministries of
Trade, Ministries of Emergency programs, Central
Bureau of Statistics organizations, National Food
Reserve Agencies, Revenue Authorities, Central
Banks, Ministries of Finance & Planning.
• Private: Farmer organizations, Traders
Organizations, Millers Organizations, Warehouse
operators, commodity exchanges, civil society,
seed companies, animal feed organizations,
development partners, FAO, FEWSNET, WFP and
National MIS service providers.
National MIS initiatives and RFBS
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Main driver of RFBS
Quality, Valid, Relevant and Timely data
Market Intelligence projections and analysis reports
Warehouse stock tracking
Prediction of surplus and deficit areas.
Provide Market linkage and access.
Daily, weekly or regular monitoring of information.
Harmonised regional data collection methodology.
Export/import monitoring
Packaging and Dissemination to relevant users.
Coordination of National Committees.
Monthly updating of the balance sheets
END
Thanks
For More Information
Janet Kalulu Ngombalu
[email protected]
www.eagc.org
www.ratin.net
Harriet Nabirye
EAGC Country Manager,
Uganda
Email: [email protected]
+254 772 457417