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Public Finance and Budgeting Miami ICGFM , May 11, 2006 Richard Bartholomew OTA Senior Budget Advisor AN OVERVIEW OF PUBLIC FINANCE & THE BUDGET Today’ Presentation 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. A brief look at the Public Finance System The Budget Process An Emphasis on Budget Execution The PEFA Indicators The Platform Approach Questions and Discussion What Happens When The Public Finance System Malfunctions? – improper payments Inflation – the worst tax Budget deficits and debt pile up Corruption What Happens When The Public Finance System Malfunctions? Money gets spent but results are not seen – damage to democracy and government credibility Banking System – bank manipulation or bad regulation can create serious problems It is necessary to understand this system to work effectively in it The Public Finance System MoFinance: Macroeconomics, Budget, Treasury, Tax and Debt Executive/Council of Ministers Taxpayers, Bondholders Lenders Ministries/Chapters/ Localities/Agencies Supreme Audit Agency External Partners: WB, IMF, donors, peer groups Parliament Payments System A Vehicle to Achieve Objectives PFM can help move us from where we are to places we want to go: To better benefits and education for citizens To economic competitiveness, growth and jobs To more security in the streets or at the border PFM is a sophisticated, powerful vehicle that must be professionally maintained and controlled PFM Task 1 Maintain aggregate fiscal discipline by -Setting Spending Frameworks -Establishing Fiscal Rules & Controls PFM Task 2 Allocate resources effectively, according to priorities, by formulating the budget in a fair, stable and sustainable process that involves stakeholders PFM Task 3 Gather, Maintain and Use resources efficiently by - executing the budget in a way that does not waste money or time. Revenue collection is in this task. Capital inventories are part of it. Roles Taxpayers, Fee Payers, Lenders and Asset Purchasers All provide the inputs, the fuel of Public Finance Roles Parliaments have the constitutional authority to provide public resources Councils of Ministers and subordinated agencies hold Executive powers and manage public funds Managers of Public Funds Ministries, led by the Finance Ministry Special bodies, such as procurement boards Local governments Government Sponsored Enterprises Managing Public Funds Schools and universities Subordinate organizations such as public transport Private vendors/contractors for state and donor projects (NGO’s) Payments Systems Help collect revenues Make payments during budget execution Interact with other systems, especially banking External Partners International Financial Institutions (IFI’s) World Bank: development loans/grants IMF: monetary stabilization and planning Development Banks: project financing OECD: shares advanced practices Networks (ICGFM, SBO’s) Bi-lateral donors such as Japan, EU, The Netherlands, Britain and America The Verification Role Supreme Audit Agencies and Internal Auditors report on the ultimate use of resources – can you define this in a more precise way? Budgeters needs auditors! Audits determine credibility Program Budgets Need Auditors Program budget systems Require performance audits using nonfinancial data Must validate indicators that measure results Use continuing flows of audit information to analyze results and make allocation decisions Rely on the expectation of audits to encourage spending organizations to submit truthful budget execution data The Fiscal Facts of Life 1. Countries can only spend what they can collect through revenues and borrowing 2. They must manage these funds successfully Finance of Ministry Functions Revenue Public Finance Policy Budgeting Macroeconomic Estimates Internal Audit/Control Finance Ministry Functions Treasury: management of accounts and payments Debt Operations Financial Institutions Regulation Finance Ministry Budget Tasks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Budget Formulation - ensuring allocation of funds according to priorities enacted in Parliament based on Executive preparation Budget Execution - conforming the use of resources to the enacted plan and making changes Systemic controls and accountability Analysis – monitoring and internal challenge Information and Reporting – for transparency and management Budgeting Focuses on PROCESS, as does Internal Audit This is different from Debt Instruments and Treasury payments, which involve transactions The Budget The device that allocates the shortage of public money There is never enough money to do all the things people want done. The Budget We use budgets to decide what is most important and who gets what proportion, or share, of public resources Therefore: A budget should = a priority list of government actions and policies The Formulation Chart This illustrates a complete, mature process OTA suggests that you use it as a template to see how your system measures up A detailed explanation can be found in the UST 100 course found on our website A Good Formulation Process: Starts with real macroeconomic and budget execution data Operates within politically accepted limits Relies extensively on analyses of financial and non-financial data Has an established calendar and clear instructions/manuals/handbooks Incorporates internal challenges, appeals and final decisions Formulation You can badly execute a well formulated budget You cannot execute a badly formulated budget well Budgeting for Results OTA recommends program, or results based budgets This is how we tell people what we are doing with their money Program Budgets Take Time Get political “buy in” – do not waste the effort Put the data/accounting fundamentals in place early Start with outputs while you work on outcomes Migrate from organization/economic classification to measurable objectives that drive real programs Budget Execution Allocation plan Apportionment Commitments Payments, receipts and accounting Forecasting, Cash Management and Borrowing Formulation Analysis and review Audit System Reports and Statements Year end accounting The Rail Track Analogy Budgeting ALWAYS follows two tracks: Budget Formulation and Budget Execution The Rail Track Analogy Ties of budget law and policy, help execution to follow budget formulation. Execution data ties guide formulation. Destination: SAI Report The last stop on every budget’s journey down these twin tracks is a final statement, the reconciliation of what was authorized to what has been spent and accomplished. Budget Execution Stakeholders Finance ministry units: Central Treasury Management Budget Internal controls and auditing Finance Ministry Execution Stakeholders Cash and Debt Managers Revenue Units Capital Investment Programmers Grant Management Unit Spending Ministry Execution Stakeholders Departments or sections which perform the following functions: Treasury transactions Budgeting Revenue collection Capital Programs and Projects Spending Ministry Stakeholders Human resources/payroll Procurement officers Internal audit and other controls Grant Management Other Budget Execution Stakeholders Citizens, companies and organizations Audit Institutions The Council or Cabinet of Ministers Parliament Planning and analysis units Other Budget Execution Stakeholders The Central Bank The banking community Credit rating organizations International Financial Institutions (IFI’sWorld Bank and International Monetary Fund) and Donors Budget Execution Duties a. carefully managing daily financial operations; b. accounting under clear rules and controls; Budget Execution Duties c. maintaining a record of historical and comparative data; and d. auditing, analyzing and evaluating the financial performance and results of government policies, spending and programs Major Treasury Unit Duties Cash management. Management of bank accounts. Accounting and reporting. Planning and forecasting of cash flows. Treasury Unit Duties • • • Management of debt and guarantees. Administration of grants and counterpart funds from international aid. Financial assets management. Cash Management NOT cash rationing! Does not pay bills on an ad hoc, day to day decision basis. Relies on continuous communication, good data and established rules Uses multiple tools Experience-based scheduling Short term borrowing Commitment System Cash Management Activities a. controlling aggregate spending; b. effectively implementing the budget by insuring that adequate cash is available to pay liabilities and prevent arrears; c. concentrating available funds to earn interest; and, therefore d. minimizing costs of public borrowing. More Treasury Responsibilities Maintaining the Chart of Accounts; Setting budget accounting standards; Developing budget accounting laws, regulations, policies, and procedures; More Treasury Responsibilities Reporting on results of the government’s budget execution; and Preparing statutorily or contractually required financial and non-financial reports (e.g. for donor funds) Others you could suggest? Chart of Accounts The General Ledger – Those accounts representing the highest level of summarization for assets, liabilities, equity, revenues, and expenditures of the state. These are the accounts that will be the basis for the annual financial statements. Functional Classification – The broad area of government activity, often defined by the international “GFS” system endorsed by the International Monetary Fund. GFS compatible functional classifications are used for international reports. Chart of Accounts 2 Economic Classification – Shows “what” is being acquired/paid for with budget resources. Examples include Employee pay, Employer Benefit/Social Insurance costs, Goods and Services such as travel, and interest payments. Chart of Accounts 3 Revenues – Taxes, fees, and other receipts that finance the government’s operations. Organizations – shows what governmental entity is responsible for expenditures or revenue items. Examples might be the education ministry or a special investigations office. The PFM System Should Use ANY Desired Classifications Location New spending vs. existing Beneficiary groups (retirees, students) Combinations of other classifications, such as sectoral classification Source of funds (internal, donor) Level of Government Your suggestions? More Classifications One-time or ongoing (projects or programs) Capital or recurrent Risk (high, medium, low danger of failure) Government Priority Items Decision options (grouping by variables) The Power to Classify Determines how we think about Public Finance Defines Transparency Enables Reform Manipulates debate Intergovernmental equity needs jurisdictional data Do I argue for money by organization or function? Limits concepts Example: without program classification, we cannot see results. All other classifications show inputs. Classification and the Useful IFMIS Can the system accommodate current classifications for budget formulation and execution? Can the system add classifications when desired by the users? Can the system manipulate all classifications for analysis? Example: ability to compare and modify classifications at various time points 2/13/2003 7:10:24 AM Historical Classification All funds Economic Class 1 - by Organization 1 Col. 1 State budget Nominal values Report total /%change 1 - Current expenditures 1 - Parliament and Related Organizations 2 - Central Elections Commission 3 - Chamber of Control of 4 - Constitutional Court of 5 - Supreme Court of 6 - General courts 7 - The council of Justice 2 - Interest 24 - Ministry of Justice of 25 - The Ministry of Culture of 35 - Ministry of Finance 55 - State Road Department 3 - Subsidies and transfers 8 - State Chancellery 19 - Ministry of Education 21 - The Ministry of Economics, Industry and Trade of 4 - Capital expenditures 1 - Parliament 3 - Chamber of Control 4 - Constitutional Court 5 - Net lending 35 - Ministry of Finance 1999 Actual Col. 2 2000 Actual 1,231,900.2 3% 1,264,116.0 -20% 395,737.2 32.1% 390,959.4 30.9% 9,671.6 1,702.6 2,690.5 532.6 1,318.9 4,205.1 422.0 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 8,544.0 2,240.2 2,555.5 983.0 1,704.0 6,756.0 551.7 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 165,923.0 13.5% 181,200.0 Col. 3 Col. 4 Col. 5 Col. 6 2001 2002 2003 2003revised 1,012,861.6 24% 1,259,527.5 12% 1,415,359.8 300,155.2 29.6% 401,457.8 31.9% 497,698.2 35.2% 7,718.4 550.0 1,757.2 955.6 1,785.0 6,760.0 493.4 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 14.3% 141,504.5 14.0% 0.0% 14.0% 9,556.2 420.8 3,260.0 1,267.6 2,255.0 8,460.0 590.0 0.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 173,750.0 13.8% 8,680.7 2,371.4 3,124.4 1,047.6 2,130.0 8,460.0 360.5 6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.0% 165,300.0 11.7% 1,494,600.0 571,614.1 38.2% 10,502.8 420.8 2,970.0 1,248.6 2,075.0 8,060.0 540.0 0.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 187,474.8 12.5% 1,874.8 0.1% 165,923.0 13.5% 181,200.0 14.3% 4.5 141,500.0 338,861.6 27.5% 399,526.8 31.6% 360,818.0 35.6% 48.2 520.4 206.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 266.4 527.4 237.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 53.4 146.2 237.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 53.4 190.2 237.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 59.0 475.4 312.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 59.0 469.6 312.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 24,953.4 2.0% 32,366.0 2.6% 9,351.5 0.9% 20,626.1 1.6% 14,954.3 1.1% 10,368.4 0.7% 520.0 0.0% 300.0 0.0% 273.9 50.0 132.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 247.2 40.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.7 117.4 40.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 387.2 230.0 20.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 239,850.0 19.5% 214,600.0 17.0% 159,372.8 15.7% 227,838.0 18.1% 269,875.0 19.1% 221,500.0 14.8% 239,850.0 19.5% 214,600.0 17.0% 159,372.8 15.7% 213,575.0 17.0% 253,000.0 17.9% 221,500.0 14.8% 173,600.0 13.8% 150.0 0.0% 384,075.0 30.5% 165,100.0 11.7% 200.0 0.0% 467,532.3 33.0% 185,600.0 12.4% 503,642.7 33.7% 2/13/2002 7:18:21 AM Historical Classification All funds Organization Budget – by Program Col. 1 State budget Nominal values 1998 Actual Report total/% change 11,802.4 -7% 25 - The Ministry of Culture 1- Institutional Support Program a – Theater sub program – Element/Activity: original works b – Museums sub program. - Renovation Project c- Music sub program – Element/Activity: original works 2 – Cultural Development Program a– New artists sub program – Element/Activity: scholarships – Project new art Col. 2 1999 Actual 10,966.7 -12% Col. 3 Col. 4 Col. 5 2000 Actual 2001 Actual 2002 Approved 9,624.7 11,551.0 17% 13,532.2 17% 15,890.4 17% 20% Col. 6 2002 Revised %of Tot. 3,713.5 31% 3,701.0 34% 3,316.1 34% 4,248.5 37% 5,818.8 43% 6,917.9 44% 553.7 553.7 1,495.7 1,495.7 1,664.0 1,664.0 5% 5% 13% 13% 14% 14% 548.9 548.9 1,500.3 1,500.3 1,651.8 1,651.8 5% 5% 14% 14% 15% 15% 560.3 560.3 1,332.7 1,332.7 1,423.1 1,423.1 6% 6% 14% 14% 15% 15% 560.3 560.3 1,472.5 1,472.5 2,215.7 2,215.7 5% 5% 13% 13% 19% 19% 654.0 654.0 1,747.6 1,747.6 3,417.2 3,417.2 5% 5% 13% 13% 25% 25% 1,224.0 1,224.0 3,008.9 3,008.9 2,685.0 2,685.0 8% 8% 19% 19% 17% 17% 8,089.0 69% 7,265.7 66% 6,282.8 65% 7,302.5 63% 7,713.4 57% 8,972.5 56% 8,089.0 69% 7,265.7 66% 6,282.8 65% 7,302.5 63% 7,713.4 57% 8,972.5 56% 7,515.1 573.9 64% 5% 6,779.4 486.3 62% 4% 6,115.4 167.4 64% 2% 7,052.2 250.3 61% 2% 7,507.5 205.9 55% 2% 7,877.8 1,094.7 50% 7% Execution Manuals (Policies and Procedures) 1 Accounting Reporting Chart of Accounts Capital Assets Procurement Execution Manuals (Policies and Procedures) 2 Donor funds Payroll Internal controls and audit Glossary of terms Internal Control Objectives It is every stakeholder’s duty to follow procedures to assure : Effectiveness and efficiency of operation (e.g. payment processing time) Reduction of Risk (e.g. securing assets) Internal Control Objectives Prevention of Corruption (e.g. dual signatures) Reliability of financial reporting (e.g. professional verification techniques) Compliance with applicable laws and regulations (e.g. release of funds requirements observed) Execution Sequencing 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Allocation Plans Commitments for contracted goods or services Authorization to spend Disbursements and Procurement Reconciliation and Accounting Reporting and Analyzing Accounting Cash Accrual What do you prefer? GFS 2001: Compatibility but not an accounting system IPSAS Compliance Sample Cash Controls Segregation of duties in the handling of cash is one of the most effective ways to gain control over this asset. No one individual is to have complete control over cash. Incoming cash must be made a matter of record as soon as possible. Two persons should open the mail when they expect cash or checks in the mail. One copy of the listing is forwarded to the cashier. The other copy forms the basis for accounting controls through ledger posting. A third person periodically compares the listing with the deposit. Payroll Controls Census of Employees (remove phantoms) Position controls to prevent unauthorized hiring Signed Time sheets Payroll Controls Responsible, accountable supervisors Full Time Equivalent or Head Count? Cash payments or bank deposits? PEFA The Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability project of the major donors Applying PEFA Indicators The Performance Measurement Framework -PMF The OECD-DAC Task Force on Donor Practices provided guidance on diagnostic reviews and performance measurement and suggested: 1. Reducing duplication in assessments and high transaction costs on partner countries 2. Establishing a performance measurement framework to monitor progress over time in PFM systems A Public Expenditure Working Group was set up in July 2003, chaired by the World Bank, with Fund and PEFA Secretariat representation, reporting to the PEFA Steering Committee 1. Greater country ownership, and alignment of donor work around country priorities 2. Reduced transaction costs from streamlining diagnostics 3. Enhanced collaboration between donors, governments, and stakeholders 4. Better meeting of both development and fiduciary concerns Improved impact on the reform of country systems The PFM High-Level Performance Indicator Set 1 A. PFM-OUT-TURNS: Credibility of the budget PI-1 Aggregate expenditure out-turn compared to original approved budget PI-2 Composition of expenditure out-turn compared to original approved budget PI-3 Aggregate revenue out-turn compared to original approved budget PI-4 Stock and monitoring of expenditure payment arrears B. KEY CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES: Comprehensiveness and Transparency PI-5 Classification of the budget PI-6 Comprehensiveness of information included in budget documentation PI-7 Extent of unreported government operations PI-8 Transparency of inter-governmental fiscal relations PI-9 Oversight of aggregate fiscal risk from other public sector entities. PI-10 Public access to key fiscal information The PFM High-Level Performance Indicator Set 2 C. BUDGET CYCLE C(i) Policy-Based Budgeting PI-11 Orderliness and participation in the annual budget process PI-12 Multi-year perspective in fiscal planning, expenditure policy and budgeting C(ii) Predictability and Control in Budget Execution PI-13 Transparency of taxpayer obligations and liabilities PI-14 Effectiveness of measures for taxpayer registration and tax assessment PI-15 Effectiveness in collection of tax payments PI-16 Predictability in the availability of funds for commitment of expenditures PI-17 Recording and management of cash balances, debt and guarantees PI-18 Effectiveness of payroll controls PI-19 Competition, value for money and controls in procurement PI-20 Effectiveness of internal controls for non-salary expenditure and assets management PI-21 Effectiveness of internal audit The PFM High-Level Performance Indicator Set 3 C(iii) Accounting, Recording and Reporting PI-22 Timeliness and regularity of accounts reconciliation PI-23 Availability of information on resources received by service delivery units PI-24 Quality and timeliness of in-year budget reports PI-25 Quality and timeliness of annual financial statements C(iv) External Scrutiny and Audit PI-26 Scope, nature and follow-up of external audit PI-27 Legislative scrutiny of the annual budget law PI-28 Legislative scrutiny of external audit reports The PFM High-Level Performance Indicator Set 4 D. DONOR PRACTICES D-1 Predictability of Direct Budget Support D-2 Financial information provided by donors for budgeting and reporting on project and program aid D-3 Proportion of aid that is managed by use of national procedures Today’s PEFA Discussion • Consider possible applications • Explore pitfalls • Relate to reform programs • Note the “Platform Approach” Indicators Are For Country Use Straightforward and credible Good job for a special assistant - But ratings must be reviewed/discussed Provides immediate insights Auditors are suited to this task PMF: For Country Use A measure of change over time – milestones & marks A tool for interaction with donors that can prove progress The basis for a “Platform Approach” The platform approach is currently being implemented in a number of countries, supported by development agencies. In Cambodia, for example, this approach is led by government and supported by a joint donor group. There is an 8 year plan to move through the platforms. Why Platforms? Reforms are often led by different agencies and donors, with insufficient attention provided to the co-ordination and sequencing. This has typically led to a fragmented and partial approach, characterized by: an undermining of government-led reform less trust between governments and donors administrative burdens on government Fragmented Approaches too much focus on technical developments (e.g. complex IFMIS) a tendency to promote parallel systems implementation of reforms frequently fails to complement each other an inconsistent approach to PFM reform between line ministries and the Ministry of Finance and the SAI Cambodia Platform 1: A credible budget delivering reliable and predictable resources to budget managers Broad Activities • Integration of budget (recurrent & capital budgets) • Strengthen macro and revenue forecasting • Streamline spending processes Enables a basis for accountability Cambodia Platform 2: Improved internal control to hold managers accountable Broad Activities • Re-design budgeting classification system • Initial design of FMIS for core business processes • Define the internal audit function Enables focus on what is done with money Cambodia Platform 3: Improved linkage of priorities and service targets to budget planning and execution Broad Activities •Re-design the budget cycle (e.g. MTEF) • Pilot program-based budgeting & budget analysis • Further fiscal decentralization Enables more accountability for performance management Cambodia Platform 4: Integration of accountability and review processes for both finance and performance management Broad Activities • Full design of FMIS • Develop IT management strategy • Initial design of asset register Do Not Wait For Donors Learn the PEFA system now Identify strengths/weaknesses Create plans to raise ratings Divide TA among donors based on sequenced action plans Target Selected Indicators Decide what is critical AND doable Set practical steps and timeframes Good Target Indicators 1 & 3 Aggregate out-turn vs. enacted1st step in deficit control 2 Composition of out-turn vs. enacted --can highlight budget execution quality and policy strategies 4 Arrears – often elusive, always important to budget credibility Good Targets 7 Off Budget spending – an issue in most countries; can be a political power indicator 10 Public access – can be done with websites, publications and public activities. Good for an “early win.” Good Targets 11 Annual budget process 18 Payroll controls – one place to start the fight against corruption Good Targets 16 Availability of funds – a key budget execution improvement opportunity 21 Effectiveness of internal audit 24 Budget reporting – a practical test for the IFMIS, or existing systems Example PI-21. Effectiveness of internal audit Dimensions to be assessed: (i) Coverage and quality of the internal audit function. (ii) Frequency and distribution of reports. (iii) Extent of management response to internal audit findings. Internal Audit – Rate Your System Internal Audit Effectiveness Grade D: (i) There is little or no internal audit focused on systems monitoring. (ii) Reports are either non-existent or very irregular. (iii) Internal audit recommendations are usually ignored (with few exceptions). Effectiveness Grade C: (i) The function is operational for at least the most important central government entities and undertakes some systems review (at least 20% of staff time), but may not meet recognized professional standards. (ii) Reports are issued regularly for most government entities, but may not be submitted to the ministry of finance and the SAI. (iii) A fair degree of action taken by many managers on major issues but often with delay Internal Audit Effectiveness Grade B: (i) Internal audit is operational for the majority of central government entities (measured by value of revenue/expenditure), and substantially meet professional standards. It is focused on systemic issues (at least 50% of staff time). (ii) Reports are issued regularly for most audited entities are distributed to the audited entity, the ministry of finance and the SAI. (iii) Prompt and comprehensive action is taken by many (but not all) managers. Internal Audit Grade A: (i) Internal audit is operational for all central government entities, and generally meet professional standards, It is focused on systemic issues (at least 50% of staff time).. (ii) Reports adhere to a fixed schedule and are distributed to the audited entity, ministry of finance and the SAI. (iii) Action by management on audit findings is prompt and comprehensive across government entities. Problems with PEFA Consultants with opinions Differences in scoring or data- weaknesses can cause problems of appearance & substance Extra work required Inadequate for major anti-corruption efforts Donor add-on requirements PEFA-based Reform Plans Specify indicator (s) for improvement Set a timetable for change Report monthly on milestones and manage setbacks Example Goal: Improve the stability of the budget process through improved procedures/circulars Objective: Improve the BY07 Circular to raise Indicator 11 (policy based budget: orderliness and participation) # 11 – Budget Circular Dimension (i) the Calendar (no change targeted) Score = B: A clear annual budget calendar exists, but some delays are often experienced in its implementation. The calendar allows units reasonable time (at least four weeks from receipt of the budget circular) so that most of them are able to meaningfully complete their detailed estimates on time # 11 Example (iii) Timely approval by the legislature (no change needed) Score = A: The legislature has, during the last three years, approved the budget before the start of the fiscal year. Improvement Plan Target Dimension (ii): preparation of budget submissions Current Score = D: the quality of the budget circular (instructions) is poor, causing confusion about requirements and late submissions of requests Target Desired Score = B: A comprehensive and clear budget circular is issued which reflects ceilings approved by Cabinet (or equivalent). Ceiling approval takes place after the circular distribution to units, but before they have completed their submission. Plan Milestones 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Agree on concept – Nov, 06 Inform spending units - Nov, 06 Draft the changes-Dec-Jan, 06-7 Gain cabinet approval for draft- Jan, 07 Training as needed- Feb, 07 Distribute Final Circular- March 15, 2007 Cabinet sets ceilings- April 15, 2007 Requests submitted –June 2007 What do you think? At what point might the plan schedule most likely break down? Drafting and Training time adequate? Reasonable target score? Unrealistic time frame for this change? Other Potential Complications Possible disagreement with donors on the quality of a new or old budget circular Failure of Cabinet to give timely ceilings (results in a C rating) Your observations? Rating Change Country score for # 11 goes from ADB = B rating to ABB = B+ According to the PMF, policy based budgeting has advanced Advances Country PFM Goals: 1. 2. 3. Transparency Accountability and Credibility Stability and Sustainability Recommendation 1. 2. 3. Do your own PEFA Review Set a PEFA focus for your planned changes/reforms Get measurable results Further Information Websites: www.ustreasury.hu/budget/frm.shtml www.ustreasury.hu Email: [email protected] Remember: 1. 2. 3. Public Finance Management impacts every citizen and public organization PFM requires collaboration PFM Change occurs through: personal, technical and political processes Two Sides to the PFM Reform Coin 1. 2. The design, training and technical assistance face The management of people face These two aspects must be considered for any reform activity to succeed. Change Management Leaders want change but people and organizations resist it. Why? We are not sure how it will affect us and what our work will be like after the change is made. Uncertainty breeds resistance. Systems do not “work” or “fail” – people make them work or allow them to fail Reactions: Anger & Fear Those who are corrupt are angry that someone is trying to expose them. Those who are honest worry that someone intends to take away their work and security. The Faces of Change Responses to Change 1 Denial This cannot work in our country because… This only works in other countries…. We cannot get political support for such an idea because…. Denial We do not have the technical expertise/staff capacity/etc. to do this There are many other things that we must do that are more important We agree that this is a good idea and we intend to begin, but only when the time is right Response 2 Bargaining Ok, we will do it, but let’s move slowly; It would be better to do it this way than that way; Let’s study this thoroughly before taking the next steps. Appoint a study committee! Response 3 Depression It has happened. There is no going back. We could not stop it. BUT, this shows that the leaders of change are succeeding. Response 4 Acceptance The change becomes the new “old way” and develops many defenders Are you trying to change PFM? Economic Forecasting? Budget Formulation? Accounting Standards? Procurement? Information Systems? How do you plan to deal with the human side of change?