Transcript HISPANIC

HISPANIC PROFILE
2010
Implications for the
Assemblies of God
Daniel R. Sánchez, Ph.D.
SOURCES
This presentation is based following sources:
1. The Pew Hispanic Center
2. The U.S. Census Bureau
3. The Brookings Institution
4. The Center on Urban Metropolitan Policy
5. Hispanic American Religious Cultures
6. Daniel Sánchez, PhD Thesis, Oxford
7. Books & Articles
REALITY # 1
The Hispanic American
population continues to
grow exponentially
Since 1980 The Hispanic
Population Has Tripled
15 MILLION (1980)
46 MILLION (2008)
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center
Hispanics Projected to Triple Again
Population in millions
Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).
Change in Hispanic Population
From 2000 has grown by almost 1.5 million a year
Total
2008
Population
2000
Population
Change
2000 to 2008
% Change
2000 to 2008
46,822,476
35,204,408
11,617,996
33.0 %
Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants from 2000;
Percent Foreign-Born Has PEAKED
Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.
Hispanic Growth by Births
Exceeded Growth by Immigration
2008
Population
2000
Population
Percent 2008
Percent 2000
Native Born
28,985,169
21,072,230
61.9%
59.9%
Foreign Born
17,837,309
14,132,250
38.1%
40.1%
Total
46,822,471
35,204,480
100.0%
100.0%
Even if immigration were to stop,
Hispanics would grow by
1 Million a year
2008
Population
2000
Population
Change
2000 to 2008
Growth
2000 to 2008
Total
46,822,476
35,204,408
11,617,996
Almost 1.5
million a year
Native Born
28,985,169
21,072,230
7,912,939
Almost a
million a year
Foreign Born
17,837,307
14,132,250
3,705,057
Almost half a
million a year
QUESTION
If the Hispanic
Population is multiplying,
are we multiplying in the
number of converts and
churches?
REALITY # 2
Hispanics continue to
spread throughout the
country faster than any
previous immigrant
group
12
13
14
15
Hispanic Population
By States - 2008
State
Hispanic
Population
Total Population
% Hispanic
California
13,434,896
36,756,661
36.6
Texas
8,815,582
24,326,974
36.2
Florida
3,846,267
18,328,340
21.0
New York
3,232,360
19,490,340
16.6
Arizona
1,964,625
6,500,180
30.2
Illinois
1,961,843
12,901,564
15.2
New Jersey
1,424,069
8,682,661
16.4
Colorado
993,843
4,939,456
20.1
New Mexico
895,150
1,984,356
45.1
Georgia
780,408
9,685,744
8.1
Hispanic Population
By States - 2008
State
Hispanic
Population
Total Population
% Hispanic
North Carolina
678,032
9,222,414
7.4
Nevada
672,393
3,600,167
25.9
Washington
642,959
6,549,224
9.8
Pennsylvania
588,950
12,484,297
4.7
Massachusetts
556,573
6,497,967
8.6
Virginia
556,002
7,769,089
6.8
Connecticut
424,191
3,501,252
12.1
Oregon
417,152
3,790,060
11.0
Michigan
408,695
10,003,422
4.1
Maryland
372,650
5,633,597
6.6
Hispanic Population
By States - 2008
State
Hispanic
Population
Total Population
% Hispanic
Utah
323,938
2,736,424
11.8
Indiana
322,148
6,367,792
5.1
Ohio
296,059
11,485,910
2.4
Wisconsin
286,058
6,376,792
5.1
Oklahoma
278,676
3,642,361
7.7
Kansas
268,964
2.802,134
9.6
Tennessee
234,868
6,214,888
3.8
Minnesota
217,551
5,220,393
4.0
Missouri
182,059
5,911,605
3.1
South Carolina
177,999
4,479,800
4.0
Hispanic Population
By States - 2008
State
Hispanic
Population
Total Population
% Hispanic
Idaho
159,257
1,523,816
10.5
Arkansas
155,309
2,855,390
5.4
Louisiana
152,781
4,410,796
3.5
Nebraska
147,968
2,855,390
5.4
Alabama
128,586
4,661,900
2.8
Iowa
124,030
3,021,557
4.1
Rhode Island
120,662
1,050,788
11.5
Hawaii
108,663
1,288,198
8.4
Kentucky
100,366
4,269,245
2.4
Delaware
62,506
873,092
7.2
Hispanic Population
By States - 2008
State
Hispanic
Population
Total Population
% Hispanic
Mississippi
56,632
2,938,618
1.9
D.C.
51,260
591,837
8.7
Wyoming
43,385
532,668
8.1
New Hampshire
39,123
1,315,809
3.0
Alaska
37,420
686,293
5.5
Montana
31,093
967,440
3.2
South Dakota
22,420
804,195
2.8
West Virginia
21,400
1,814,468
1.2
North Dakota
13,634
641,481
2.1
Maine
12,700
1,316,456
1.0
6,651
621,270
1.1
Vermont
21
22
QUESTIONS
1. What are the areas across the country
where we urgently need more evangelistic
efforts and churches to reach Hispanics?
2. Do we have a population to church
ratio? (e.g., 1 church per __ persons)
– One area 1:500; another area 1: 2,00)
3. What strategy do we have to reach
them?
REALITY # 3
There is significant diversity
in the Hispanic population
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S.
Passel, The Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003)
GENERATIONAL DIVERSITY
Generation
1st
2nd
3rd+
Total
Percent
(In Millions)
(Of Hispanic Pop)
14.2
9.9
11.3
40
28
32
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Roberto Suro and Jeffery S. Passel, The
Rise of the Second Generation, October, 2003)
PROJECTIONS
Generation
1st
2nd
3rd+
2000
2010
2020
%
%
%
40
28
32
38
32
30
34
36
30
1. Until 2020 the 1st generation will be the largest
2. The 3rd generation will remain about one third
3. From 2020 on, the 2nd generation will be the largest
LINGUISTIC DIVERSITY
Gen
Spanish
Bilingual
Dominant
English
Dominant
1st
72%
24%
4%
2nd
7%
47%
46%
3rd+
0%
22%
78%
CHALLENGES
1. Reaching and discipling the
immigrant generation primarily
utilizing the Spanish language
2. Reaching and discipling the
2nd and 3rd generation with bilingual and English-dominant
strategies
COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
DIVERSITY
Group
Number
Percent
Mexican
30,746,270
65.7
Puerto Rican
4,150,862
8.9
All other
(Spanish/Hispanic)
1,77,278
3.8
Cuban
1,631,001
3.5
Salvadoran
1,560,416
3.3
Dominican
1.334,228
2.8
Guatemalan
985,601
2.1
Colombian
881,609
1.9
Spaniard
629,758
1.3
Honduran
607,970
1.3
Ecuadorian
590,602
1.3
Peruvian
519,349
1.1
Country of Origin
Group
Number
Percent
Nicaraguan
351,704
0.8
Venezuelan
210,337
0.4
Argentinean
204,707
0.4
Panamanian
153,245
0.3
Chilean
127,747
0.3
Costa Rican
121,655
0.3
Bolivian
93,745
0.2
Uruguayan
60,730
0.1
Other Central American
43,352
0.1
Other South American
21,945
0.0
Paraguayan
18,365
0,0
Total
46,882,476
100
ASSIMILATION STAGE
DIVERSITY
Contributing Factors
1. Schooling – From day one kids start learning
English & about the American Culture
2. Media (Radio, TV, Movies, Music, etc.)
3. Peer Group – Classmates, friends
Assimilation Stage Diversity
Social Contacts & Language
Gen.
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Outside
Contacts
Few
Some
Many
Most
Language
Spanish
Bilingual (Spanish dominant)
Bilingual (English dominant)
English (only)
ECONOMIC STATUS
DIVERSITY
nd
2
rd
3
and
generation
Hispanics have made
significant strides financially
yet typically newly arrived
Hispanics have the most
difficult time financially
Financial Needs
Some Hispanics
have great
financial needs
1/3 of Hispanic
children live below
the poverty level
Ministry Implications
Purchasing Power Projections
The purchasing power of
Hispanics will grow from:
One trillion in 2008
to
2.5 trillion in 2020
Stewardship implications? Church planting vision?
REALITY # 4
Hispanic Americans are the
group with the largest
percentage of children and
young people
HISPANIC MEDIAN AGE (27)
Source: Current Population Survey, March 2000
YOUTH
“In America, one in five
people under the age of
18 is Hispanic.”
Source: D’vera Cohn, Washington Post
GOSPEL RECEPTIVITY
Hispanic children and youth
are generally more receptive
to the Evangelical Message
than their parents
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2002 National
Survey of Latinos, 53.
“Hispanic Churches In American Public Life”
Pew Center & Notre Dame U.
Affiliation
1ST
2nd
3rd
Generation Generation Generation
Catholic
74%
72%
62%
Evangelical 15%
20%
29%
IMPLICATIONS
1. Winning and discipling children
2. Winning and discipling youth
3. Training teachers for both
4. Training ministers of children, youth
5. Sensitizing pastors to this challenge
REALITY # 5
Hispanics are showing
more receptivity to the
evangelical message than
ever before in the history of
this country
Hispanics and Denominations
Percent
Catholic | Protes/Evan | Other Christian | Other Faiths | Secular
Hispanics’
Views of Religious Groups
Percent
Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
Catholic Hispanics and Views of
Other Religious Groups
Percent
Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
Evangelical Hispanics and Views of
Other Religious Groups
Percent
Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion
% of Hispanics Who Are
Born-Again or Evangelical Christians
NATIONAL ORIGIN
& Religious Affiliation
Country/Area
Central America
Puerto Rico
Cuba
South America
Mexico
Dominican Republic
“All other Hispanics”
% Evangelical
29%
29%;
20%
18%
16%
15%;
38%.
Latest PEW Study
More than 50% of Hispanics are seeking a
more direct and personal relationship with
God than what they find in their traditional
(Catholic) religious practices
Pew Hispanic Center, “Changing Faiths: Latinos and Transformation
of American Religion.” 2007
EVANGELISTIC IMPLICATIONS
The Hispanic fields are white unto harvest
The religious background of many
Hispanics favorably predisposes them to
the evangelical message if it is presented
in a positive, sensitive way
Most of our church members need to be
trained on how to share the good news
with Roman Catholic friends.
CONCLUSIONS
1. Overall findings suggest the need
for new ways of thinking and
strategizing regarding the Hispanic
population in this country
Examples: K-Mart, Chase Bank
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family
Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS
2. Many Hispanic immigrants are already
evangelical or are very receptive to the
gospel.
This has significant implications for
evangelism and church planting among
Hispanics.
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family Foundation,
2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS
3. Two processes – assimilation and
immigration – are taking place side-byside in the Hispanic communities, often
within a single family
We need many Spanish-speaking as well
as bi-lingual churches
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family
Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS
4. Because Hispanics are spreading
throughout the country so rapidly we
desperately need many new Hispanic
churches in many cities and towns across
America.
(Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The
Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan
Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)
CONCLUSIONS
5. The Hispanic population has tripled in
the last 35 years and will triple again in the
next 45 years.
Have the number of Hispanic churches
tripled? Will they triple in the future?
(Source: Pew Hispanic Center/Kaiser Family
Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos
CONCLUSIONS
6. There is a need for denominational
strategists to adapt quickly to vast change
presents special challenges in metro areas
that started with small Hispanic
populations and have experienced
sudden, substantial growth.
(Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America, ”The
Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan
Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center)
Hispanic Profile
1. The Hispanic population is growing
exponentially – (are we – in evangelism &
church planting?)
2. Hispanics continue to spread
throughout the country – (where do we
need churches the most?)
3. There is significant socio-cultural
diversity among Hispanic (what’s our
strategy to reach all segments?)
Hispanic Profile
4. Hispanics have the largest % of children
and youth (what’s our strategy to reach
and disciple them?)
5. Hispanics are now more receptive to the
Gospel message than ever before (what
are we doing to maximize our outreach to
them?)
CHALLENGE
“The explosive growth of the Hispanic
population coupled with their
unprecedented response to the Gospel
requires that extraordinary measures
be taken to bring in the harvest that the
Lord has placed before us.”
Source: Daniel Sanchez
OUR RESPONSE
HOW WILL LIFEWAY RESPOND
TO THIS CHALLENGE?
Resources
To obtain additional copies of this
presentation of purchase the book
Hispanic Realities Impacting America visit
the Church Starting Network website
www.churchstarting.net
You may contact Dr. Sanchez through his
e-mail address [email protected]
Or call 817 454 9016
% of Hispanic Catholics
Who Are Charismatics
% of Hispanic Protestants
Who Are Pentecostals or Charismatics
% Who Say Religion is Very Important
% Who Attend Church Weekly
% Who Pray Daily
Among those who belong to a particular religion
% Who Say Miracles
Still Occur Today as in Ancient Times
Among those who belong to a particular religion
% Who Say “Jesus
Will Return to Earth in My Lifetime”
Among those who belong to a particular religion