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Trail Leaders are Health Leaders • Richard J Jackson MD Professor and Chair, Environmental Health Sciences • UCLA School of Public Health • [email protected] Our shaping of the built environment shapes our health, wealth, and future. The Check Up 40 year old parent of two children • -- complains of “low energy” “Problem” List • • • • • • • • Physical exam unremarkable but 28 pounds overweight BP 155/95 Blood glucose elevated, urine normal Cholesterol 270 Signs of Depression No exercise. …Drives to work 25 miles each way Spends 3 to 4 hours a day sitting in a vehicle Treatment Plan • • • • • Meeting with Nutritionist Weight loss program Exercise club membership Pedometer: 10,000 steps a day Getting more control of work and life commitments Two Months Later… • Day is already too full • No Time for exercise • No place to Walk 2 months later our colleague is taking: – Antihypertensive medication – Oral Hypoglycemic agent – Antidepressant – Cholesterol lowering agent • Monthly medication costs: – $385 U.S. Health Care Expenditures as Percent of GDP Projections Keehan et al: Health Affairs March/April 2008 27: 145-155 An Aging Population Percentage of U.S. Population over Age 65 Percentage of Population 25 20 15 10 5 0 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 Year Source: From Baby Boom to Elder Boom: Providing Health Care for an Aging Population Copyright 1996, Watson Wyatt Worldwide. Persons employed in health service sites: United States -- 2005 • All employed civilians 141,730,000 • All health service sites: 14,052,000 – Hospitals: 5,719,000 – Nursing care facilities: 1,848,000 http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/hus06.pdf#summary Of the 4,800,000 new jobs in the US 2000-2005 • How many were in Health Care? • 1.8 million -- 40% http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/hus06.pdf#summary • “Even under the most optimistic estimates, of the 30 years of increased life expectancy achieved between the 1890s and 1990s, only 5 years can be attributed to medical care.” Bunker cited in Prescription for a Healthy Nation Farley and Cohn 2004 • We have rigged the “environment” against us… Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1990 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1997 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% ≥20 Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2004 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% ≥25% Bariatric Procedures: Annual Numbers JAMA 2005: pp1909-1917 California Prevalence of Overweight* Children aged 5 to 20 years 25 21.7% Percentage 20 15 10 Year 2010 target** 5 0 5-<9 9-<12 12-<15 15-<20 Age (years) Total * > 95th percentile BMI-for-age, CDC Growth Charts, 2000. ** Year 2010 target: reduce the proportion of children and adolescents aged 6 to 19 years who are overweight to 5%. 2003 California Pediatric Nutrition Surveillance (PedNSS) Supersizing Jet Fuel Use • Mean weight gain of Americans in 1990s: 10 pounds • Airline distance flown in 2000 in US: 515 billion passenger-miles • Weight transported 1 mile by 1 gallon of fuel: 7.3 tons (passengers or cargo) • Jet fuel to transport added weight in 2000: 350 million gallons • Cost of extra fuel: $1.1 billion • (Oct 2005 prices) • CO2 emissions from extra fuel: 3.8 million tons Data sources: NCHS; US Dept. of Transportation Age-Adjusted Relative Risk Relationship Between BMI and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes 93.2 100 Men Women 75 54.0 50 42.1 40.3 27.6 21.3 25 0 1.0 2.9 1.0 4.3 1.0 5.0 1.5 <22 <23 23 23.9 24 24.9 8.1 2.2 15.8 25 26.9 27 28.9 4.4 6.7 29 30.9 Body Mass index (kg/m2) Chan J et al. Diabetes Care 1994;17:961. Colditz G et al. Ann Intern Med 1995;122:481. 11.6 31 32.9 33 34.9 35+ Diabetes and Gestational Diabetes Trends Among Adults in the U.S., BRFSS 1993-94 No Data <4% 4%-6% 6%-8% 8%-10% >10% Mokdad AH, Ford ES, Bowman BA, et al. Prevalence of obesity, diabetes, and other obesity-related health risk factors, 2001. JAMA 2003 Jan 1;289(1). Diabetes and Gestational Diabetes Trends Among Adults in the U.S., BRFSS 2001 No Data <4% 4%-6% 6%-8% 8%-10% >10% Mokdad AH, Ford ES, Bowman BA, et al. Prevalence of obesity, diabetes, and other obesity-related health risk factors, 2001. JAMA 2003 Jan 1;289(1). Diabetes Projected Risks: For Babies Born in 2000 Girls: 38% lifetime risk – If diabetic before age 40, Lifespan shortened by 14 years (Quality of life by 19 years) Boys: 33% lifetime risk If diabetic before age 40, Lifespan shortened by 12 years. (Quality of life by 22 years) V Narayan et al: JAMA 8 Oct 2003 Life Expectancy Is Declining in Some Pockets of the Country NICHOLAS BAKALAR -- New York Times Too Many Calories? “Supersizing” a fast-food meal – the real costs • Paying 67 cents to supersize an order — 73% more calories for 17% more money — adds an average of 36 grams of adipose tissue. • The future medical costs for that “bargain” would be $6.64 for an obese man and $3.46 for an obese woman. University of Wisconsin-Madison, Rachel N. Close and Dale A. Schoeller Percentage of Trips in Urban Areas Made by Walking and Bicycling: North America and Europe 1995 50 45 28 40 35 12 30 Bicycling Walking 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 1 6 U.S 22 18 10 Canada Germany Holland Pucher J and Dijkstra L. Promoting Safe Walking and Cycling to Improve Public Health: Lessons From The Netherlands and Germany. AJPH, September 2003;93(9):1509-16. Nurse Study 1976-2000 Risk of Death 2.4 2.5 1.9 2 1.6 Active Inactive 1.5 1 1 0.5 0 Lean Hu et al. NEJM, December 23, 2004; 351(26):2694-2703. Obese • How does this have to do with how we build? The United States has paved over 60,000 square miles of its natural landscape. Less Density = More Driving Miles per capita– more than doubled in one generation Miles per Capita: 1960 to 1995 From 4000 to 9200 VMT per person For every age group from 3 through 33-crashes were the No. 1 cause of death More time in a car Higher probability of obesity More walking: Less obesity Higher density and connectivity: Lower obesity– Atlanta study 2004 Schools • Since World War II – Number of Schools declined 70% – Average School Size • grew fivefold, from 127 to 653 students We have changed how much we walk or bike • Percent of children who walk or bike to school: • 1974 66% • 2000 13% (CDC, 2000) Fitness of California’s Children Annual California Fitnessgram • Conducted in Grades 5, 7, and 9 • Measures 6 major fitness areas (e.g. aerobic capacity, body composition, flexibility) • 2004 Results: Who passed all standards? Grade 5 25% Grade 7 29% Grade 9 26% Institute Institute of of Medicine Medicine The The purpose purpose of of public public health health is is to to fulfill fulfill society’s society’s interest interest in in assuring assuring the the conditions conditions in in which which people people can can be be healthy healthy Mindfulness about Food Mindfulness about what and how we eat “…students have better attendance, are less likely to drop out, exhibit fewer discipline problems, and perform better when attending a smaller high school.” Secretary of Education Richard Riley Oct 4, 2000 Educational Benefits of Walking and Biking to School • Increases concentration • Improves mood and ability to be alert • Improves memory and learning • Enhances creativity Children’s Contact with Nature • School age children with ADHD who had higher contact with nature showed better concentration, task completion, and following of directions. Coping with ADD: The Surprising Connection to Green Play Settings” Environment and Behavior, 33 (1), 54-77 AF Taylor, FE Kuo, WC Sullivan, 2001 Outdoor Physical Activity • Studies in older children show that improved mood and emotional well-being are associated with physical activity. • Mood may be affected not only by the physical activity itself but also by exposure to sunlight if the activity occurs outdoors Steptoe A, Butler N. Sports participation and emotional wellbeing in adolescents. Lancet. 1996;347:1789-1792. Wirz-Justice A, Graw P, Krauchi K, et al. “Natural” light treatment of seasonal affective disorder. J Affect Disord. 1996;37:109-120. NYC Mayor Bloomberg Announces PlaNYC to place a park or playground within a ten minute walk for every New Yorker. August 2007 Trust for Public Land 10% increase in urban parks = 4°C decrease in urban surface temperature School Gardens Exercise, Learning, Cooperation, Fun, and It Tastes good “Farmer in Chief” Michael Pollan New York Times October 12, 2008 Reversing “The Disease” of the 21st Century… • Depression Income and Happiness SOURCE: Layard, R. Happiness and Public Policy. The Economic Journal 116 (March): C24-C33. Page C25. What does make people happy? Human Contact • Being with People we love and who love us Exercise in Healthy Places • Treatment for Depression— • Exercise • Sunlight • Nature Contact • The health need for places to walk Health – Planning Collaborations • SF Bay Area (11 counties) meeting Dec 2006 • Los Angeles County (300 attendees) April 2007 • Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, El Dorado, San Mateo, Sacramento, San Francisco, Placer, Yolo, Santa Barbara, San Diego, Riverside, Monterey, Humboldt AB 1358 -Complete Streets Act John P. Kouletsis, A.I.A. Director, Strategy, Planning, & Design National Facilities Services New Partners for Smart Growth Building Safe, Healthy and Livable Communities Leveraging Size and Prominence to Promote Sustainable Design February 8-10, 2007 The New Bicycle Commuter • 30 minute bicycle trip burns 250 calories each way (for a 190 pound man) • 3 days per week = 1500 calories per week, 78,000 calories/year. • Converts to 22 pounds of body fat. The New Bicycle Commuter One year follow up • • • • • Weight - 168 pounds (BMI 24.5) BP - 130/78 Blood sugar – Normal Cholesterol – 175 Energy level and Mood - Good