Transcript Trends in High School Graduates: West

I. Trends in Number of High School Graduates
Percent Change in Public High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by College Board Region
New England
28.0%
Middle States
23.0%
South
17.2%
Midwest
23.3%
Southwest
36.2%
West
36.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Source: The College Board
Change in Total High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by Region
New England
27.2%
Middle States
22.2%
South
17.6%
Midwest
24.3%
Southwest
33.3%
West
36.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Source: The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1994-2022: United States
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Projected Public High School
Graduates, 1994-2022, by College Board Region
New England
14.5%
Middle States
23.8%
South
16.8%
Midwest
58.1%
Southwest
85.3%
West
61.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Total Projected High School Graduates,
1994-2022, by College Board Region
New England
14.0%
Middle States
20.1%
South
15.7%
Midwest
59.9%
Southwest
78.8%
West
60.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: New England
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1993-2022: Middle States
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1993-2022: South
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: Midwest
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: Southwest
500,000
450,000
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1994-2022: West
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Actual Public High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by Region: Native American Students
New England
99%
Middle
States
89%
South
33%
Midwest
39%
Southwest
52%
West
54%
0%
40%
80%
120%
160%
200%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Projected Public High School Graduates,
1994-2022, by Region: Native American Students
New England
238%
Middle
States
118%
South
62%
Midwest
62%
Southwest
109%
West
69%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region
1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Native American Students
99%
New England
238%
89%
Middle States
118%
33%
South
62%
39%
Midwest
62%
52%
Southwest
109%
54%
West
69%
0%
50%
100%
Change 1994-2005
150%
200%
250%
Change 1994-2022
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Actual Public High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by Region: Asian Students
New England
54%
Middle States
47%
South
64%
Midwest
53%
Southwest
60%
West
32%
0%
60%
120%
180%
240%
300%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Projected Public High School Graduates,
1994-2022, by Region: Asian Students
New England
170%
Middle States
184%
South
334%
Midwest
206%
Southwest
317%
West
95%
0%
70%
140%
210%
280%
350%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region
1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Asian Students
54%
New England
170%
47%
Middle
States
184%
64%
South
334%
53%
Midwest
206%
60%
Southwest
317%
32%
West
95%
0%
70%
140%
Change 1994-2005
210%
280%
350%
Change 1994-2022
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Actual Public High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by Region: Black Students
New England
43%
Middle States
38%
South
26%
Midwest
36%
Southwest
53%
West
48%
0%
16%
32%
48%
64%
80%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Projected Public High School Graduates,
1994-2022, by Region: Black Students
New England
46%
Middle
States
30%
South
34%
W
M
NS
Midwest
46%
Southwest
123%
West
55%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in High School Graduates by Region
1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Black Students
43%
New England
46%
38%
Middle States
30%
26%
South
34%
W
M
NS
36%
Midwest
46%
53%
Southwest
123%
48%
West
55%
0%
25%
50%
Change 1994-2005
75%
100%
125%
Change 1994-2022
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Actual Public High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by Region: Hispanic Students
New England
86%
Middle States
72%
South
136%
Midwest
92%
Southwest
74%
West
80%
0%
180%
360%
540%
720%
900%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Projected Public High School Graduates,
1994-2022, by Region: Hispanic Students
New England
251%
Middle States
254%
South
1033%
Midwest
443%
Southwest
248%
West
226%
0%
220%
440%
660%
880%
1100%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region
1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: Hispanic Students
86%
New England
251%
72%
Middle States
254%
136%
South
1033%
92%
Midwest
443%
74%
Southwest
248%
80%
West
226%
0%
220%
440%
Change 1994-2005
660%
880%
1100%
Change 1994-2022
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Actual Public High School Graduates,
1994-2005, by Region: White Students
New England
23%
Middle States
14%
South
15%
Midwest
12%
Southwest
16%
West
-10%
22%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Projected Public High School Graduates,
1994-2022, by Region: White Students
New England
Middle States
-7%
-8%
South
Midwest
10%
-4%
Southwest
3%
West
-10%
3%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Change in Public High School Graduates, by Region
1994-2005 vs. 1994-2022: White Students
23%
New England
-7%
14%
Middle States
-8%
15%
South
Midwest
10%
12%
-4%
16%
Southwest
3%
22%
West
-10%
3%
-5%
0%
5%
Change 1994-2005
10%
15%
20%
25%
Change 1994-2022
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Percent Change in Projected High School Graduates:
2007-2010
6.1% and higher
3.1% to 6.0%
0% to 3%
-3% to -.01%
-3.1% and lower
Source: The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: California
450,000
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/ Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non- Hispanic
Hispanic
White non- Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: Florida
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of Public High School Graduates,
1992-2022: Massachusetts
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non-Hispanic
Hispanic
White non-Hispanic
Non-Public
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: New York
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/ Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non- Hispanic
Hispanic
White non- Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: Ohio
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/ Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non- Hispanic
Hispanic
White non- Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
Number of High School Graduates,
1992-2022: Texas
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
American Indian/ Alaska Native
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black non- Hispanic
Hispanic
White non- Hispanic
Non-Public Total
Source: WICHE/The College Board
II. The Aging Population
Percent Growth in U.S. Population, 1988-2008
by Age Bracket
100%
95%
86%
80%
66%
60%
52%
41%
40%
34%
24%
20%
15%
15%
14%
14%
11%
4%
0%
-4%
-7%
-20%
<5
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-74
75+
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in U.S. Population Over Five-Year Intervals,
1988-2008
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
<5
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
1988-93
25-29
30-34
1993-98
35-39
40-44
45-49
1998-2003
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-74
75+
2003-08
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
The Impact of Traditional Students on Total
College Enrollment
150%
Total enrollment
140%
130%
First-time freshmen
120%
18-year-olds
110%
100%
90%
80%
87-88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
07-08
Source: U.S. Department of Education/U.S. Census Bureau
Student Enrollments, 1988-2018
by Age Bracket
13,000,000
18-24
12,000,000
11,000,000
10,000,000
9,000,000
8,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
35+
3,000,000
25-29
2,000,000
30-34
1,000,000
1987-88
1993
1998
2003
2008
2013
2017-18
Source: U.S.Department of Education
College Enrollment Profile, 1988-2018
by Age Bracket
100%
80%
60%
18-24
40%
20%
35+
25-29
30-34
0%
1987-88
1993
1998
2003
2008
2013
2017-18
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Undergraduate Enrollment by Attendance Status
1988-2018
12,000,000
10,737,000
9,690,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
7,419,000
6,463,000
6,285,000
5,677,000
6,000,000
5,032,000
4,584,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
Full-Time
17-18
15
12
09
06
03
00
97
94
91
87-88
0
Part-Time
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Change in Part-Time Enrollment, 1988-2018
60%
50%
41.5%
40.4%
40%
36.9%
36.9%
30%
20%
10%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Graduate and Professional Enrollment, 1988-2018
by Attendance Status
1,800,000
1,693,000
1,600,000
1,414,000
1,400,000
1,365,000
1,195,000
1,200,000
1,032,000
1,000,000 951,000
1,020,000
800,000
769,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
Full-time
17-18
15
12
09
06
03
00
97
94
91
87-88
0
Part-time
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Gender and Attendance Status
1988-2018
40%
Percent of total enrollment
FT Women
35%
30%
FT Men
25%
PT Women
20%
PT Men
15%
10%
5%
0%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Full-Time Enrollment by Gender and Control
1992-2018
45%
Percent of total enrollment
Women in Public Institutions
40%
35%
Men in Public Institutions
30%
25%
20%
Women in Private Institutions
15%
Men in Private Institutions
10%
5%
0%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Part-Time Enrollment by Gender and Control
1992-2018
Percent of total enrollment
60%
55%
Women in Public Institutions
50%
45%
40%
Men in Public Institutions
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
Women in Private Institutions
5%
0%
Men in Private Institutions
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Male Enrollment by Status and Control
1992-2018
50%
45%
Full-Time in Public Institutions
Percentage of Total Male Enrollment
40%
35%
Part-Time in Public Institutions
30%
25%
20%
Full-Time in Private Institutions
15%
10%
5%
Part-Time in Private Institutions
0%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Female Enrollment by Status and Control
1992-2018
50%
45%
Full-Time in Public Institutions
Percentage of Total Female Enrollment
40%
35%
Part-Time in Public Institutions
30%
25%
20%
Full-Time in Private Institutions
15%
10%
5%
Part-Time in Private Institutions
0%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
III. Growing Ethnic Diversity
Growth Rate of U.S. Population by Ethnic Group
1981-2016
500%
Index: 1981 = 100%
Asian
450%
Hispanic
400%
350%
300%
250%
200%
Black
150%
100%
White
50%
0%
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in U.S. Population by Ethnic Group
1981-2016
350,000,000
300,000,000
250,000,000
200,000,000
150,000,000
100,000,000
50,000,000
0
1981
1986
1991
1996
White Non-Hispanic
2001
Black
Hispanic
2006
2011
2016
Asian
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in Black Population
2000-01 to 2007-08
+110.7%
+57.4%
VT +59.3%
+78.4%
+29.4%
+123.3%
NH +57.9%
+74.8%
+62.6%
+22.3%
+15.1%
DE +17.5%
MD +10.4%
DC -7.0%
+46.0%
+20.8%
+16.4%
+19.3%
LA -6.1%
New England: +0.8%
Middle States: +3.7%
South: +10.9%
Midwest: +4.9%
Southwest: +14.8%
West: +10.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in American Indian/Alaskan Native Population
2000-01 to 2007-08
VT -1.9%
NH +16.0%
+25.4%
+22.5%
+28.4%
CT + 17.1%
+16.1% +16.8%
+26.3%
+37.1%
+23.3%
+40.9%
HI + 75.9%
New England: +10.8%
Middle States: +10.4%
South: +19.5%
Midwest: +9.0%
Southwest: +8.9%
West: +8.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in Asian/Pacific Islander Population
2000-01 to 2007-08
NH +52.1%
+66.1%
DE +47.7%
+41.0%
+59.7%
+45.6%
+50.5%
+47.8%
HI -0.1%
New England: +30.4%
Middle States: +26.2%
South: +42.0%
Midwest: +28.9%
Southwest: +38.2%
West: +19.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in Hispanic Population
2000-01 to 2007-08
+67.3%
+54.1%
NH +60.7%
+69.5%
+63.6%
DE +50.6%
MD +56.3%
+52.1%
+57.6%
+74.0%
+73.0%
+77.7%
+70.2%
+54.7%
New England: +26.5%
Middle States: +18.6%
South: +48.9%
Midwest: +31.5%
Southwest: +28.4%
West: +26.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth in White, Non-Hispanic Population
2000-01 to 2007-08
-2.5%
+12.2%%
+2.5%
NH +4.3%
+3.4%
RI -3.5%
NJ -3.6%
+13.3%
-2.7%
DE +4.4%
+14.0%
DC +18.7%
+3.0%
+8.2%
+13.7%
+8.3%
+8.5%
+4.2%
LA -4.6%
HI +12.1%
New England: -1.0%
Middle States: -1.9%
South: +4.8%
Midwest: +0.3%
Southwest: +3.4%
West: +3.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Concentration of Minorities Enrolled in Public
Elementary/Secondary Schools, 2006-07,
and Selected Changes from 1996-97
+11.4%
+9.3%
-0.8%
+9.9%
+20.7%
+9.3 %
+10.0%
DC -1.0%
+10.1%
+11.2%
+10.2%
+9.7%
+10.0%
More than 50%
36% to 50%
21% to 35%
10% to 20%
Less than 10%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
High School Graduation Rates by Ethnic Group
1999-2008
100%
White
90%
Asian
80%
Black
70%
Hispanic
60%
50%
40%
98-99
99-00
00-01
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
College-Going Rates of High School Graduates
Aged 18 to 24 by Ethnic Group, 1999-2008
70%
Asian
65%
60%
55%
50%
White
45%
Black
40%
Hispanic
35%
30%
25%
20%
98-99
99-00
00-01
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Concentration of Minorities Enrolled in Higher
Education, 2007-08
and Selected Changes from 1997-98
+7.8%
+13.1%
+7.2%
+7.2%
+9.1%
+8.3%
+8.4%
More than 40%
+7.5%
31% to 40%
+7.4%
21% to 30%
11% to 20%
-6.1%
0 to 10%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Growth in College Enrollment by Ethnic Group
1997-98 to 2007-08
180%
Index: 1998 = 100%
Hispanic
170%
160%
Black
150%
Asian
140%
American Indian
130%
120%
White, Non-Hispanic
110%
100%
90%
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
07-08
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Racial-Ethnic Distribution in College Enrollment
1997-98 to 2007-08
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
97-98
99
00
01
White/Non-Hispanic
02
Black
03
Hispanic
04
Asian
05
06
07
07-08
American Indian
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Minority Males as a Percent of Total College
Enrollment, 1997-98 to 2007-08
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
Hispanic
5%
Black
4%
Asian
3%
2%
1%
American Indian
0%
97-98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
07-08
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Minority Females as a Percent of Total College
Enrollment, 1997-98 to 2007-08
10%
Black
9%
8%
Hispanic
7%
6%
5%
Asian
4%
3%
2%
1%
American Indian
0%
97-98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
07-08
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Ratio of Bachelor’s Degrees Earned to Enrollments
1992-93 to 2006-07
12%
White
10%
Asian
8%
Black
American Indian
6%
Hispanic
4%
2%
0%
92-93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
06-07
Source: U.S. Department of Education
IV. Profile of 2008 Seniors:
Selected States
Profile of 2008 Public High School Seniors:
California
Public 2006-07 junior PSAT
133,575
Public 2007-08 senior SAT
167,711
Public 2007-08 H.S. seniors
453,016
Public 2007-08 H.S. graduates
396,646
Fall 2006 enrolled 4-yr. colleges
118,446
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education
Profile of 2008 Public High School Seniors:
Florida
Public 2006-07 junior PSAT
46,334
Public 2007-08 senior SAT
78,187
Public 2007-08 H.S. seniors
168,213
Public 2007-08 H.S. graduates
152,693
Fall 2006 enrolled 4-yr. colleges
61,953
0
38,000
76,000
114,000
152,000
190,000
Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education
Profile of 2008 Public High School Seniors:
Massachusetts
Public 2006-07 junior PSAT
40,789
Public 2007-08 senior SAT
48,127
Public 2007-08 H.S. seniors
68,610
Public 2007-08 H.S. graduates
63,808
Fall 2006 enrolled 4-yr. colleges
41,718
0
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
75,000
Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education
Profile of 2008 Public High School Seniors:
New York
Public 2006-07 junior PSAT
130,317
Public 2007-08 senior SAT
127,519
Public 2007-08 H.S. seniors
185,498
Public 2007-08 H.S. graduates
169,419
Fall 2006 enrolled 4-yr. colleges
102,974
0
42,000
84,000
126,000
168,000
210,000
Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education
Profile of 2008 Public High School Seniors:
Ohio
Public 2006-07 junior PSAT
41,683
Public 2007-08 senior SAT
22,286
Public 2007-08 H.S. seniors
133,356
Public 2007-08 H.S. graduates
123,395
Fall 2006 enrolled 4-yr. colleges
62,411
0
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
150,000
Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education
Profile of 2008 Public High School Seniors:
Texas
Public 2006-07 junior PSAT
144,443
Public 2007-08 senior SAT
126,846
Public 2007-08 H.S. seniors
269,404
Public 2007-08 H.S. graduates
266,064
Fall 2006 enrolled 4-yr. colleges
88,738
0
60,000
120,000
180,000
240,000
300,000
Source: The College Board/U.S. Department of Education
V. Other Trends Affecting Higher Education
Percent Change in Resident Population, 1986-2006
by College Board Region
New England
5.3%
4.6%
Middle States
5.5%
4.2%
South
16.7%
Midwest
7.0%
Southwest
14.4%
4.7%
16.2%
West
17.6%
21.2%
0%
5%
10%
16.4%
15%
20%
87-97
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
97-07
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of High School Graduates Enrolled in a
Four-Year College Outside Their Home State
Fall 2006
-5%
-5%
-5%
-9%
-9%
-5%
NJ+6%
DE +6%
DC -6%
-5%
+8%
50% or more
30% to 49%
-8%
15% to 29%
Less than 15%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
States with Largest Net Migration of Four-Year
College Freshmen, Fall 2006
Pennsylvania
13,715
Indiana
8,086
North Carolina
7,688
Massachusetts
7,267
District of Columbia
6,507
Rhode Island
5,984
Connecticut
-5,308
California
-7,133
Maryland
-8,041
Texas
-8,810
Illinois
New Jersey
-35,000
-11,092
-27,022
-28,000
-21,000
-14,000
-7,000
0
7,000
14,000
21,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Intended Majors Showing Increase
1968-69 Through 2008-09
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
68-69
78-79
Biological Science
88-89
Business
98-99
08-09
Health Professional
Source: CIRP
Intended Majors Showing Largest Decreases
1968-69 Through 2008-2009
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
68-69
78-79
Math & Physical Sciences
88-89
Education
98-99
Arts
08-09
English
Source: CIRP
VI. Trends in College Costs and Financial Aid
Trends in Concern About Ability to Finance a
College Education, 1978-79 to 2008-09
100%
90%
15.7%
15.9%
14.4%
18.7%
10.9%
13.7%
13.0%
52.3%
52.6%
34.0%
34.3%
35.9%
98-99
03-04
08-09
80%
70%
60%
50.0%
51.3%
48.8%
53.2%
52.2%
50%
40%
30%
20%
34.4%
32.8%
78-79
83-84
36.8%
29.2%
10%
0%
88-89
None
94-95
Some
Major Concern
Source: CIRP
Percent For Whom Financing was a Major Concern
1992-93 to 2008-09 (Selected Years)
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
92-93
94-95
96-97
97-98
Public Univ
99-00
00-01
Private Univ
01-02
02-03
03-04
Public 4-Yr
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
Private (Non-Sect) 4-Yr
Source: CIRP
Trends in Rate of Increase in Total Four-Year
College Costs, 1982-83 to 2007-08
14%
12%
10%
8%
Public
6%
Private
4%
CPI
2%
0%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
Trends in Rate of Increase in Four-Year College
Tuition & Fees, 1982-83 to 2007-08
16%
14%
12%
Public
10%
8%
6%
Private
4%
CPI
2%
0%
Source: U.S. Department of Education
College Costs and Disposable Per Capita Income,
1998-99 to 2008-09
$40,000
Published Charges
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0
1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01
2001-02
Private 4-Year
2002-03
2003-04
Public 4-Year
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
Per Capita Income
Source:The College Board
Year-to-Year Change in College Costs and
Disposable Income, 1998-99 to 2008-09
Change in Published Charges
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
1998-99
1999-2000
2000-01
2001-02
Private 4-Year
2002-03
2003-04
Public 4-Year
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
Per Capita Income
Source:The College Board
Types of Financial Aid as a Percentage of Total,
1997-98 to 2007-08
60%
Loans
50%
Grants
40%
30%
20%
10%
Tax Benefits
Work
0%
97-98
98-99
99-00
00-01
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
Source:The College Board
Sources of Financial Aid as Percentage of Total,
1997-98 to 2007-08
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
97-98
98-99
99-00
00-01
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
Federal Grants
Federal Loans
Work-Study
Education Tax Benefits
Institutional Grants
Private & Employer Grants
State Grants
Non-Federal Loans
07-08
Source:The College Board