Transcript Miranda
Emerging energy focus 11 September 2008 Nedbank “Mid- Cap” conference presentation Cape Town Disclaimer All forward-looking statements in this presentation, other than historical facts, that address exploration activities and mining potential are forward-looking statements. Although Miranda believes the expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements should not in anyway be construed as guarantees of the future performance and no assurance can be given that such expectations will be realised. Factors that could cause actual developments to differ materially from expectations include, but are not limited to, the successful conversion of the group’s old order exploration rights into new order rights, exploration results, analysis of geological, metallurgical and other technical information, the operational performance of joint venture partners, and the company’s ability to raise the necessary capital to progress its projects further. The group is subject to specific risks inherent in the exploration and mining business, and general economic and business conditions including, but not limited to, changes in the regulatory environment and other government action, fluctuations in commodity prices and exchange rates, and business and operational risk management. Reserves and Resources were compiled using the SAMREC guidance, with CPR’s still to be submitted to the JSE Short-term Asset Focus Portfolio’s potential has not yet been recognised - significant value remains to be unlocked Develop Sell / trade Seek Coal – Main focus, move from JV to own production Diamonds – Build up portfolio; create new vehicle Gold Andalusite – minor mineral Magnesite – minor mineral Base minerals – low grade, high capex, bulk up, create regional play Silica sands Fluourspar – Grassroots Sand/aggregates - Construction sector active into foreseeable future RETAIN INVESTMENT IN NEWCO which houses the balance of the assets Coal production Uranium More Diamonds Any other assets where value can be added Team to focus on high value assets – create energy and diamond company from MMH with potential to separately list diamonds Section 2 Coal – the primary thrust Coal strategy With the price of coal reaching new highs… “Xstrata has tabled its offer to some Japanese utilities for thermal-coal term contracts starting in October at $175 a tonne, up 125 percent from a year ago, a source familiar with negotiations said on Monday” Brooke Hunt website 1 Sept 08 Source: Global coal website Coal in crisis: There are shortages of both coking and thermal coal globally to the point where steel mills may sit idle and consumers face electricity shortages. Macquarie– 28 July 2008 …it is easy to see the hidden upside in Miranda Why KZN? MMH has historical relationships in the area Major producer of coking coal and anthracite over the past 100 years Access is simple, infrastructure readily available Mining previously challenging but major progress in the thinner seam mining has been achieved Historical Coal production from KwaZulu-Natal KwaZulu-Natal has mined coal for over one hundred years, and is renowned for its production of anthracite and coking coal. Overview of Miranda’s Coal projects Status Summary Project Name Hectares Region Sesikhona - Klip Rand 816 Permit Status JV Explore Resource Progress Dannhauser Applied for Mining permit Y Drilling completed Indic. 22.0 mill tons Mining start Q4 '08 2,437 Glencoe Prospecting right Y Drilling completed Meas 6.6 mill tons Mining Q3 '09 4,540 Glencoe Prospecting right N Infill drilling Infer.10.8m tons, Indic 34.4m tons Mining Q3 '09 Boschoek/ Boschkloof 6,608 Glencoe Prospecting right N Infill drilling Indic 52.0m tons Mining 2010/2011 1 Uithoek 2 Burnside 2 2 Nungu Trading Wasbank 2 2,135 Glencoe Prospecting right N Drilling commenced Infer 1.5m tons Mining Q4 '09 Mlebogeng Nachtwacht 2 11,322 Utrecht Prospecting right N Drilling ongoing Pre-Infer. 53.0m tons Resource during '09 Point Blank Learydale 2 253 Dannhauser Prospecting right N Drilling to commence Infer 44.3m tons Resource Q3 '09 Yarl 2 1,216 Dannhauser Prospecting right N Drilling to commence Infer 16.9m tons Resource Q4 '09 Amajuba 2 3,727 Dannhauser Prospecting right N Drilling commenced Pre-Infer. 100.0m tons Resource during '09 7,102 KZN Applications and conversions in DME process N Drilling to commence To be determined Awaiting permits Six further permits on 33 farms 2 Notes: 1 JV with Iloshi Mining, Miranda's royalty R50/ton, Produce +/- 50,000 tpm 2 Project to be operated for Miranda account Klipriver Collieries - primary focus Coking coal Burnside Colliery – 40 000 tpm coking coal – Active 1909 - 1956 Northfield Colliery – 55 000 tpm coking coal – Active 1981 - ? Indumeni Colliery – 30 000 tpm coking coal – Active 1962 – ? Durban Navigation Colliery – 40 000 tpm coking coal – Active 1903 – ? Dewars Colliery – 40 000 tpm anthracite – Active 1978 – ? Project location - Kliprand Sesikhona Kliprand colliery – awaiting mining licence -86000 -85000 -84000 -83000 -82000 -3097000 -81000 -3097000 -3097500 VERDRIET KLIPROTS -3098000 -3098000 14.11 VR TE EL W 23.46 EN ED Dam -3098500 7.4 Sill Break Through 7.4 8.8511.8 9.88 14.35 -3099000 Borehole Position 15.68 16.21 11.3 35.18 Top Seam Shallow Resource 38.09 47.53 41.62 3.54 4.74 5.4 8.7 12.96 14.46 8.8 -3099000 10.65 12.45 10.4 KLIPRAND 11.22 Top Seam Deep Resource 22.83 41.65 17.95 44.49 34.1 9.27 44.26 16.1 17.7 47.32 -3099500 46.35 16.69 5.54 6.56 7.56 10.28 12.45 6.15 -3100000 -86000 -3100000 -85000 0 -84000 250 500 750 -83000 -82000 -81000 1000 Dannhauser region, Northern Natal Measured resource 5.4 million tons – Indicated resource of 22.0 million tons Sesikhona JV with Ihlosi contract mining Conversion to mining license submitted - mining is estimated to commence in Q4 2008 Planned production at 50,000 tpm with opencast and underground mining Seshikona Kliprand - Timeline Q2 ‘07 Q3 ‘07 Q4 ‘07 Q1 ‘08 Q2 ‘08 Q3 ‘08 Q4 ‘08 1st phase exploration Scoping SLP EMP Mobile plant delivery Feasibility Mining right application Mining begins Project Location – Burnside, Uithoek, Wasbank, Boschoek & Boschkloof Uithoek prospect Glencoe region, Northern Natal A total of 122 boreholes drilled, with49 infill holes completed to confirm qualities Measured resource of 6.6 million tons About 40% of resource could be opencast mining The CPR was updated in August 2008, confirming that the resource is a lean & bituminous coal with the latter having coking qualities Feasibility study to be completed Mining could commence during second half 2009 Burnside prospect BURNSIDE -98000 -96000 -94000 -92000 -90000 -88000 -86000 FAULT LINE -3117000 103 230.25 -3117000 104 212.04 D5 1400 m 110 214.66 253.59 UG Block1 108 1 106 1200 m 184.4 232.13 UG Block2 D8 313.71 2 -3119000 322.29 D9 298.45 Davelsberg 3286 47 54 21.2 149.68 216.1 49 11.46 59 20.5 60 153.72 175.13 159.03 1400 m 51 168.1 17.3 9 20.5 -3121000 3 21.5 4 105.46 20.3 23 5 22.5 119.36 Open Pit 1200 m -3121000 46 97.56 1600 m -3119000 136.25 24 18.4 19.9 104.39 101.2245 97.54 16.6 195.61 UG Block3 21.3 58 57 55 56 1600 m 33 157.18 13.8 16.8 204.17 16.7 14.2 46.58 17.249.99 110.39 1600 m 17.7 2 23 Burnside 3287 D12 109 196.3 6 34 260.02 D6 23 20 48 206.86 6 17.4 1400 m 1200 m -3123000 -3123000 Izemfene Top Seam Resource Areas Burnt Boreholes Depth -3125000 1400 m Property Boundaries -3125000 Resource Blocks -98000 0 -96000 -94000 -92000 2000 4000 6000 Scale 1:750 -90000 -88000 -86000 Glencoe region, Northern Natal 78 boreholes drilled previously Indicated resource of 34.4 million tons Inferred resource of 10.8 million tons About 25% of resource would be opencast mining Infill drilling (45 holes) in progress to upgrade resource to measured Early indications are that it is a lean & bituminous coal with the latter having coking qualities Feasibility study to be completed Mining could commence during second half 2009 Boschoek/Boschkloof prospect BOTTOM SEAM -100000 -99000 -98000 -97000 -96000 -95000 -94000 -93000 -92000 -91000 -90000 -89000 -3119000 1600m -3120000 -3122000 1600m 1400m -3121000 -3119000 1400m Biggarsberg -3120000 BF36 1600m 218.15 0.67 1160.18 BF21 200.82 0.83 BF24 BF29 BF26215.39 1145.75 1.12 0.44 176.68 284 0.07 1160.58 1155.13 1163.09 1400m BF64 1600m 185.82 1.2 BF66 BF60 BF17 1159.28 256.12 213.98 1.18 165.6 1.23 1.4 1153.3 1156.12 BF19 1149.07 185.7 1.21 BF58 BF681140.79 171.5 0.45 BF31 1400m 198.38 1.46 1.34 1134.35 BF69 199.04 BF57 1154.98 1155.9 278.79 BF32 0.59 BF61 139.25 0.55 225.27 1.37 173.9 1142.82 0.581152.1 1400m 1150.66 1150.82 BHK 15 BF18 190.77 0.36 1400m 126.95 1.15 1137.17 BF34 1148.3 0.94 BF56 163.89 BF35 1137.37 154.35211.73 0.29 BHK16 BF55 1.82 BHK 14 BHK63 140.49 3.96 1139.56 120.88 0.6 1124.75 250.61 1.05 BF38 BF39 0.31 BF52 1137.55 1137.12 BF70 220.2 0.12 258.43 199.41 1.57 BHK39 BHK40 1076.34 140.08 1.28 BF10 252.09 0.29 196.37 0.39 131.68 1.3 1037.48 1138.44 1065.7 1095.28 159.09 1.06 1063.12 BHK62 1095.34 1129.72 BHK59 148.43 0.52 BF11 1088.35 Uplifted Block 86.19 BHK65 1.16 BHK13 BF51 116.32 0.91 1161.05 BF63 BHK66 1172.65 180.78 1.02 96.08 1.14 198.53 1.39 224.8 0.29 1131.67 BHK60 177.65 1.07 BF30 1076.6 1132.08 1060.88 1097.31 151.3 1073.580.65 189.35 1.3 BF67 152.63 0.65 1148.05 BF33 1099.35 173.58 0.14 1086.52 BHK 11 226.19 0.31 BHK37 1133.18 BHK43 0.6 BF65 176.89 1.19 158.33 121.31 0.52 1090.3 Uplifted Block BF9 173.01BF3 0.86 1073.22 1073.151109.79 150.05 173.23 1.15 1.42 BF37 1059.53 BHK54 BHK51 BF12 Left Out of Resource BF1 BHK35 160.41 0.97 BF42 67 113.97BHK 0.53 71.33 0.41BHK49 184.35 1.31 1065.8 1054.95 146.05 1.11 BF50 163.27 1.08 1051.64 146.32 1.57 1124.12 126.81 1.39 1400m 40.2 1.1 1040.5 BHK55 1088.26BHK 170.89 1.39 1095.75 1087.14 12 BF46 1129.41 1117.2 104.79 4.69 1099.5 BF49 1200m BHK33 48.97 0.43 129.2 0.96 1104.22 1030.52 154.75 0.96 1111.2 1119.04 201.08 1.25 BHK61 BHK42 1053.59 1037.47158.19 1.02 117.61 1.08 1078.89 BF28 1067.61 BHK58 230.6 0.89 BHK41 BHK53 135.05 1.27 1042.71 123.54 0.38 123.18 0.8 BF8A BF8 BHK56 1067.18 1200m BHK57 157.17 1.12 0.5 BHK50 1051.78 112.95 1.081026.02 BF13156.05 BHK19 162.1 0.04 67.33 0.37 1200m 1044.73 163.09 1.111045.13 1027.97 123.25 0.35 1052.16 1056.1 BF41 BHK441082.3BHK46 1105.5 225.82 0.5 108.05 2.4567.97 1.18 BHK 6 BHK64 BHK48 117.32 1.9 118.68 0.55 1041.08 1055.2 BF48 Uplifted Block 1063.25 101.83 0.98 1058.58 168.44 0.55 1059.67 Left Out of Resource 1050.99 1039.81 BHK18 BHK 10 BHK45 136.34 0.47 96.67 0.16 127.52 BF4 BF7 0.39 BF40A BF40 0.95 1085.09 1043.57 88.21 102.44 3.74 1015.59 BHK34 220.84 221.4 1.52 0.95 1095.85 1098.41 BF45 143.08 3.77 1040.51 1039.28 252.68 1 1052.85 BHK 27 BF14 BHK23 1038.42 BHK 9 55.4 1.13 114.94 0.27 146.41 0.74 BHK29 54.86 0.97 1043.77 1087.29 1032.25 92.75 0.3 1062.87 BOTTOM SEAM BHK26 1039.25 BHK24A BHK24 149.51 0.21 BHK 3 BHK2 43.03 0.29 0.77 163.71 0.08 54.6643.78 1.23 1031.98 BF5 BH Position 1047.13 1047.2 Burnt or No Coal 1038.91 142.46 1 1057.41 BHK 1 1200m BHK 31 Thickness Depth 154.66 1.06 69.83 1.02 BF6 1067.84 BHK30 112.64 1.12 1049.28 BHK28 1066.45 93.65 0.82 1200m Seam Elevation BF15 1079.13 115.68 1.22 BHK22 114.71 0.97 1079.24 Sill Breakthrough 1057.7 55.3 0.32 1062.32 BHK 5 1038.48 143.88 0.27 BHK 8 Licence area 1051.65 56.45 1.44 Resource Areas 1103.21 BF43 141.43 0.78 1069.69 1200m Rivers & Streams BF16 143.2 2.11 Possible Dyke 1051.6 Biggarsberg -3121000 Boschhoek -3124000 -3125000 -3126000 -3127000 -3128000 Block1 Boschkloof Block2 1200m Surface Contours -100000 -99000 -98000 -97000 -96000 -95000 -94000 -93000 SCALE 0 2000 4000 -92000 -91000 -90000 -89000 141 boreholes drilled previously Indicated resource of 52.3 million tons -3122000 Block3 -3123000 Glencoe region, Northern Natal 1400m -3123000 -3124000 -3125000 -3126000 -3127000 -3128000 Infill drilling (15 holes) in progress to upgrade resource to measured Early indications are that it is a lean & bituminous coal with certain areas having anthracitic qualities , with about 75% of resource with coking qualities Feasibility study to be completed Mining construction could commence during second half 2009 Uithoek, Burnside & Boschoek / Boschkloof - Timelines Q1 ‘08 Q2 ‘08 Q3 ‘08 Q4 ‘08 Q1 ‘09 Q2 ‘09 Q3 ‘09 Q4 ‘09 1st phase exploration Scoping SLP EMP 2nd phase exploration Feasibility Uithoek & Burnside Environmental approval Mining right application Mobile plant Feasibility Boschoek & Boschkloof Environmental approval Mining right application Mobile plant Resource update Reserve update Mining begins Wasbank prospect WASBANK -92000 -91000 -90000 -89000 -88000 -87000 -86000 W as ba nk Sill Line BOTTOM SEAM RESOURCE -3127000 No Coal Holes WK5 WK3 53.4 31.55 WK4 0.61 0.82 25.87 0.28 WK1 58.1 1.34 -3126000 -3127000 WK2 50.41 0.54 R oa d 2008 Boreholes -3128000 -83000 Property Boundary -3129000 -3129000 -3130000 6/77 MS1/79 MS2 MS 5 -3131000 Meran 29/47 -3132000 Wasbank MS1 MS3 21.33 MS8/79 18.38 0.77 18.95 0.14 0.7 MS7/79 MS4 18.35 MS6/79 25.480.37 17.85 0.89 MS5/79 0.65 17.26 0.27 Mooispruit Wasbank River MS9/79 R ai lw ay -3132000 Road R602 -93000 -92000 -3133000 -91000 -90000 -89000 -88000 -87000 Scale 0 2000 4000 -3131000 MS10/79 -3133000 -3128000 Resource Block -3130000 Sill Line R 60 2 BH Position Depth Thick -84000 R iv er Boschhoek -3126000 -85000 R ai lw ay -93000 -86000 -85000 -84000 -83000 Glencoe region, Northern Natal 7 boreholes drilled previously Inferred resource of 1.5 million tons 16 further boreholes planned for 2008 Resource to be upgraded Feasibility study to be completed Mining could commence during second half 2009 Project Location – Yarl, Learydale & Amajuba Yarl prospect YARL 2962 -93000 -92000 -91000 -90000 -89000 -3089000 1400m BH No. 13 00 m -3089500 BOTTOM SEAM Floor Elevation Depth Seam Thickness -3089500 Sill Transgression Line 1300m Resource Blocks -3090000 Surface Contours M7 193.84 1134 2.02 M6 155.99 -3090500 1135 -3090500 YARL 2962 1 21 1300m 194.46 130.76 1104 1078 -3091000 0.76 M8 1.22 No Coal 172.55 1117 1.2 1300m Uplifted Block M27 -3091500 -3091500 190.22 1109 0.5 M17 116.6 1120 1 Normal Block -3092000 M9 162.42 1165 0.08 1300m 24 M18 134.75 1110 1 -3092500 188.32 YL2962/2 1155 169.98 1076 1.07 -3092500 M16 151.18 1186 1 -93000 -92500 -92000 -91500 -91000 -90500 -90000 -89500 Scale 1:250 0 1000 2000 3000 -89000 -88500 Dannhauser region, Northern Natal 71 boreholes drilled previously Inferred resource of 16.9 million tons Currently infill drilling (20 holes) in progress to upgrade resource to indicated Early indications are that the coal qualities are anthracitic and bituminous A further 80 holes to be drilled during 2009 to upgrade resource to measured Feasibility study for an underground mine will commence when drilling is completed Learydale prospect LEARYDALE 4259 -95000 -92000 -91000 39.01 0.28 1300m 34 boreholes drilled previously 4 -3091000 -3091000 14.94 0.92 NC 62 15.7 1.11 Sil Inferred resource of 44.3 million tons Sill BH No Seam Depth Thickness M2 52.9 1.25 M.19 -3092000 -3092000 77.96 About 5% of resource would be opencast mining Infill drilling required to upgrade resource ak Bre TOP SEAM ea k l Br 1 Permit Area Yarl 1 NC 45 -3093000 103.38 1.04 M3 132D 131D 62.69 1.04 98.75 1.45 104.87 1.68 0 NC 75 1 1.4 1.46 137.02 0.08 CR 1 -3095000 Glenalgy CR 3 CR 2 156.71 NC 41 M11 A 157.77 1.03 151.27 1.1 131.57 1.62 0.94 M.5 190.55 1300m -3094000 1300m 166.71 1.87 M.21 CA9369/5 90C 165.4 163.04 1.9 NC 77 105.56 1.02 CA 9369/4 148.7 1.09 -3093000 NC 71 132.67 1.28 141.22 1.07 2000 96.11 M.4 -3094000 1000 89.43 1.58 143 0.86 97.97 1.17 Road Scale Milnedale M20 Resource definition during second half 2009 Resource Blocks 1300m NC 57 62.74 0.97 -3095000 M 12 1300m MB 22 163.53 163.17 1.75 2.11 1.1 E 181.82 1.58 Brazil M 13 NC 66B 192.43 1.47 162.45 1.329 Road 207.67 1.57 -3096000 1300m NC48B Christiana 171.91 1.6 D 157.77 1.06 -3096000 M10 209.02 1.44 -3097000 -3097000 Railway Learydale Railway -93000 NC.72 Railway Glencoe region, Northern Natal Railway -94000 -95000 -94000 -93000 -92000 -91000 Amajuba project Miranda obtained a 70% participation in the Amajuba project – located in the Newcastle/Dannhauser region, Northern Natal The project consists of four prospecting permits over five farms for a total area of 3 727 Ha 242 boreholes were drilled previously, with a further 51 holes planned at an estimated cost of R 3.1 million Drilling has commenced, with completion estimated for December 2008 From previous estimates indications show a likely resource approximating 100 million tons The Amajuba project is contiguous to the Yarl and Learydale projects and should form one mining area Feasibility study for a large underground mine with associated infrastructure,will commence once drilling is completed Amajuba - Timeline Q1 ‘08 Q2 ‘08 Q3 ‘08 Q4 ‘08 Q1 ‘09 Q2 ‘09 Q3 ‘09 Q4 ‘09 1st phase exploration Scoping SLP EMP 2nd phase exploration Feasibility Mining right application Resource update Reserve update Mining begins The Utrecht Coalfields Project location - Nachtwacht Nachtwacht prospect Utrecht region, Northern Natal 8 boreholes drilled previously Pre Inferred resource of 53.0 million tons Infill drilling required to upgrade resource Summary of MMH Coal Resources Total Project Name Measured Indicated Sesikhona - Klip Rand 1 5.4 22.0 Uithoek 2 6.6 Inferred Tons (million) 22.0 6.6 Burnside 2 34.4 Boschoek/ Boschkloof 2 52.3 Nungu Trading - Wasbank 2 10.8 45.2 52.3 1.5 Mlebogeng - Nachtwacht 2 Point Blank - Learydale Reconnaissance 1.5 53.0 2 Yarl 2 53.0 44.3 44.3 16.9 16.9 Amajuba 2 100.0 100.0 153.0 341.8 Six further permits on 33 farms 2 Total 11.0 108.7 73.5 Attributable value of MMH’s key coal assets Based on 3 measures: Comparable transaction values, peer multiples and NPV’s Resource Value Tons(m) Resource Mineable¹ 6.5 2.0 5.0 25.1 2.5 5.0 Average Peer Holding Attr determined (%) Value(Rm) value (Rm) 52% 14.0 24.9 52% 54.3 76.9 NPV (Rm)² Uithoek Measured 6.6 65% 4.3 3.0 5.0 19.8 21.5 20.6 100% 20.6 29.2 394.0 Bosch Indicated 52.0 60% 31.2 2.5 5.0 130.0 156.0 143.0 52% 74.4 119.8 285.0 Yarl / Learydale Inferred 60.9 50% 30.5 2.0 5.0 121.8 152.3 137.0 75% 102.8 202.3 102.8 53.0 40% 21.2 2.0 5.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 100% 106.0 234.8 0.0 100.0 40% 40.0 1.0 5.0 100.0 200.0 150.0 70% 0.0 0.0 0.0 372.1 688.0 1382.8 378.4 378.4 211.6 Pre-resource Total for resources Kliprand royalties Indicated 60% 75% 316.7 22.0 Resource Mineable 21.6 32.4 83.5 125.3 Value (Rm) MMH Status Inferred Indicated Amajuba % Rate (R/t) Farm Burnside Nachtwacht Pre-resource Tons(m) 10.8 33.4 Mineable 158.7 60% 13.2 27.0 104.4 688.0 0.7 8.6 50.0 430.0 88% 601.0 Total Value Range (Rm) 750.5 1,066.4 1,594.4 Total Value Range (Cents/share)³ 348 495 741 Notes: 1. Based on comparable transaction multiple: Acquisition of Coal Prospecting Rights by Wescoal holdings Limited (WSL) at R5/mineable ton (SENS announcement dated 10 April 2008) 2. The NPV calculation are based on the following pricing assumptions: a) Average export prices : From US$ 168 to US$ 192/ton 4. Peer group average per resource ton (all at similar stage of development) 4.43 a) Average Eskom sales : R 130/ton a) Exchange rate : R 7.50/US$ Includes resources as per CPR and competent persons input 01 09 2008 3. Based on 215 130 865 MMH shares in issue (as at 1 September 2008) SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE IN VALUE AS PRODUCTION NEARS Delivery to date Past nine months Key licenses granted for coal Initial coal drilling capital raised Next twelve months Board realignment started Strategic review completed Botswana diamond focus initiated with two key permits CPR’s completed for four key projects Additional resources consolidating areas Complete drilling and start coal production Sale of non-core assets Bolster diamond asset base Expand gold exploration base 1/2 1/2 Investment summary MMH is delivering on its focused coal strategy Currently in full blown exploration mode Drilling continues at all prospects CPR update at Uithoek confirms value expectations, coking coal quality Mine planning and development on track Amajuba is another step into consolidation of the KZN coal fields Coal values are high for coking coal and anthracite The immediate value-play as seen by NPV’s and Peer comparables is coal Remain open for business re: new rights in coal, diamonds and gold Examining the potential listing of diamond assets in Botswana Gold strategy developing as team scouts for opportunities to bolster the portfolio QUESTIONS ?