Visions for the future of mobility

Marko Jivcovici Elisabeth Korak Bettina Veigl

Passenger traffic…

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Actual situation

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6,09 millions of motor vehicles were admitted to traffic in 2010

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72,9% of these were passenger cars

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This means a (nearly) 50% increase since 1990

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2,45 millions of the passenger cars were operated with diesel engines in the year 2010

Passenger traffic…

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Influencing factors

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Development of the economy: GDP-growth or GDP decrease?

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Changes in the society: Population increase or decrease?

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Development of the traffic policy, environmental policy and infrastructure

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Technology and innovations

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Changes in the working situation

Passenger traffic…

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Influencing factors

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Future „way of life“

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Future „values“

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Mobilty services and future offer of different means of traffic

Passenger traffic…

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„Breaking-the-trend-factors“

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Very long lasting economic boom

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Deep depressions in the economies of different countries

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Wars in oil-producing countries

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Oil scarcity

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Sudden technical innovations in the mobility sector

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New transport infrastructure

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Increasing of extreme (wheater) situations

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Terrorism

Passenger traffic – future mobility…

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E-mobility in Austria

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One of the most important future mobility concepts

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Federal Environment Agency of Austria: under certain conditions 74% of the entire car stock in Austria can consist of electrically powered vehicles and plug-in hybrid cars in the year 2050

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E-mobility regions: Vorarlberg, Salzburg, Vienna, Eisenstadt and Graz

Passenger traffic – future mobility…

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E-mobility in Austria

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Different projects:

Passenger traffic – future mobility…

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Light weight technology in Austria

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Also one of the most important future mobility concepts according to the Austrian Institute of Technology

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Different components of the cars should be replaced with „lighter“ metals

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Would reduce the overall weight and hence reduce the carbon dioxide emissions

Passenger traffic – future mobility…

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Light weight technology in Austria

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„MILA Family“ – Magna Steyr: MILA Aerolight

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Operated with natural gas (CNG-drive)

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Materials from aeronautic sector are used

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700 kg

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Produces less than 55g/km of carbon dioxide emissions

Passenger traffic – future mobility…

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Light weight technology in Austria

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„MILA Family“ – Magna Steyr: MILA Aerolight

Magnetic Levitation Train

EOL Maglev designed by Vanja Valenčak

Magnetic Levitation Train

Concept: Magnets on the bottom lift the train, while magnets on the side keep the train on the tracks.

Magnetic Levitation Train

Pros

Few emissions (approx. 0.47 lbs. CO 2 passenger mile) per Reduction of noise High speed (> 400 km per hour possible)

Cons

Very expensive infrastructure Initial costs of the MagLev are very high Limited place (about 100 people per waggon) Less maintenance (fewer moving parts and nearly no friction)

Freight traffic…

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Current situation Road traffic

Tons 1000 TKM inl.

369.408.560

18.160.281

121.579.304

21.914.524

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Change in freight traffic Road traffic Rail traffic

Change tones Change 1000 TKM inl.

+4,27% -2,62%

Rail traffic

+5,24% +2,54%

Shipping traffic

11.208.711

2.358.532

Shipping traffic

-7,42% +9,17

Air traffic

213.666

Air traffic

-0,77%

Future Scenario (main changes)…

Domain

B2C, C2C, traditional mail order World trade volume (goods) User charges and road transport charges

Change

Significant increase 6-7% real growth p.a.

Net burden rises Increased in the EU Regulation of commercial vehicle weight and size dimensions Telematic systems for fleet management Technical equipment of freight cars Telematic systems are not often used Conventional technology Environmental concerns in the mode choice Child significance of environment Transport losses through criminal activities Increase losses due to theft

Hydrogen Train

EOL Maglev designed by Vanja Valenčak Hydrail H2

Hydrogen

Pros

„Clean“ fuel Great potential regarding efficiency Many capabilities (nearly every motor or generator which is powered by Oil or Gas could be replaced)

Cons

Hydrogen production very expensive Hydrogen cells still very expensive Production of Hydrogen emits much C 2 O Market and technology still focused on Oil and Gas