Transcript State of Solar” Energy in the U.S.

“State of Solar” Energy in the U.S.
Kathy Jack
Environmental Science
University of North Texas
October 4, 2014
http://www.hdpaperwall.com/sunlight/
Solar Energy Technologies
http://solartribune.com
Jarlanbah EcoVillage, Nimbin, Australia.
Red Oak Subdivtision. Boulder,CO. http://www.lighthousesolar.com/
Soalr One, Barstow, CA. http://solartribune.com/solarpower-plants/
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Source (2000-2013)
120
QUADRILLION BTU (QUAD)
.03%
.06%
.1%
.3%
100
Solar as % total
Biomass
Wind
80
Solar/PV
Geothermal
60
Hydroelectric
40
Nuclear
Petroleum
20
Natural Gas
Coal
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
YEAR
U.S. Energy Information Administration. Monthly Energy Review. September 2014.
http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/#summary
Cumulative Solar by Technology (2013)
1.275 GWAC
CSP
11%
11.74 GW AC
.4% total U.S. electricity
PV
89%
10.4665 GWAC
Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC).U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013 (2014); GWDC
derated by 13.% as recommended by Larry Sherwood, IREC (Oct 2014).
New Electric Generation by Technology
Other
6%
Coal
11%
Solar
12%
Wind
7%
Other
Coal 7%
10%
Solar
31%
Natural Gas
30%
Natural Gas
45%
Wind
41%
2012
2013
PTC was slated to end 12/12, but extended by American Taxpayer Relief Act 0f 2012
USEIA and IREC in U.S. Solar Market Trends 2012. 2013:5 and U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013,
2014: 6.
Cumulative Installed GPV in U.S.
82% of cumulative GPV installed in last 3 years!
Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC).U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013 (2014:8).
Annual Installed GPV by Sector (2003-2012)
Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC).U.S. Solar Market Trends 2012. 2013: 12.
Annual Installed GPV by Sector (2009-2013)
34% increase Total
47% increase in utility
92% PPA
8% decrease
68% increase in residential
Increase in leases
Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC).U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013. 2014: 12
Top 10 States - Annual PV Installation Capacity
Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC).U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013 (2014:17).
PV Leases - California
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, based on California Solar Initiative data at USEI,
http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=12991.
5000
Trends/Drivers
EPA 2005
E.R.S.A 2008
4500
Annual Installed Capacity MWDC
538 utility or
gov. rebates
$10.00
A.R.R.A 2009
$9.00
4000
$8.00
3500
$7.00
3000
$6.00
RPS- 37
2500
$5.00
33
2000
1500
$3.00
A’s/B’s Net Metering
26
1000
12
RPS- 20
500
2003
2004
2005
2006
$2.00
$1.00
2
0
$4.00
Installed Cost $/W
• Workforce development
• Financing
• Ownership models
2007
A’s/B’s Interconnection
2008
2009
2010
2011
$0.00
2012
Installed Cost- LBNL Tracking the Sun VII; Annual Installed PV Capacity- IREC Solar Market Trends 2013; Freeing the
Grid:http://freeingthegrid.org/ ; WRI Bottom Line on Renewable Energy Tax Credits:
http://www.wri.org/publication/bottom-line-renewable-energy-tax-credits
Installed Cost of PV
44% in 4 years
11%
LBNL. Tracking the Sun VII (2014).
http://www.pvsolarreport.com/lbnl-report-shows-decreasing-soft-costs-of-solar/
GW DC
Annual Installed CPS in U.S. (2009-2013)
900
The most CSP capacity ever
installed in U.S. in a single year
800
700
3 new CSP plants
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2009
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
On the Horizon
• Continued work on Soft Costs
• Continued Growth expected
• Grid Saturation
– Technical
– Loss revenue
Key Sources
• Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC).
– www.irec.com
– U.S. Solar Market Trends 2013. (also 2009-20012)
• Database for State Incentives for Renewables and Efficiency
(DSIRE). IREC, USDOE, NCSC.
– http://www.dsireusa.org/
• U.S. Energy Information Administration.
– www.eia.gov
– Monthly Energy Review.
• Freeing the Grid: http://freeingthegrid.org/